Platinum MLB (1 Viewer)

[The Platinum Standard]

For the next several months I will hopefully add to the winners this forum already provides day in and day out. Enough winners for those following to build a huge bankroll for the upcoming football season. I am looking at 200 units in the next 90 days just in MLB action. Laugh at it, play it, or just ignore it. Consider this an early x-mas present to this forum when it works out.

Since I am new here, all I would like in return is some positivity, whether this turns out over or under the predicted amount. They aren't just picks with a dollar amount, as I will always have a write-up to go along with it most of the time. There will be anywhere from 3-5 plays on most days. This will continue for 3 months watch it for a few weeks to see if it is actually legit, and yes it is straight from me, not a copy of someone else's stuff. It might be called an outrageous claim, but if this works out there will be alot of members with higher balances with their sportsbooks!

Hopefully the forum will enjoy this thread! Thank You!

JUNE 3,2009

$500 Angels/Jays UNDER 9

This game will likely cruise to the under. Last night these teams went over and considering the fact that they have played the under 13 of the last 17, it should make for a great call tonight. Weaver faces Janssen. Weaver has yet to face the Jays in Toronto, but at home he has made a name for himself vs. this club. Toronto has averaged about 3 runs per game when Weaver starts. Janssen is on the verge of making a name for himself after some quality outputs this year. He has allowed 3 ERs in each of his 2 starts with both being 6 innings and 7 innings respectively. In his career he has failed to allow a run to the Angels just yet. In 2 outings back in 2006, he pitched over 15 innings of scoreless baseball. I suspect he will get it done tonight in a 3-1 final.

 

[Bogart]

 

[The Platinum Standard]

Yesterday: Angels/Jays Under pushed

Janssen hadn't allowed a run in 2 straight games vs. LA and gets tagged early.

Jesse Carlson had 2 and 1/3 relief vs. LAA previously, no runs allowed. Yesterday, 3 hits 1 Earned. Rolen's error would've been out number two setting up the Figgens K. 6-1 should've been the final but the push stings, it don't hurt.

June 4th

Between the Sox and Dodgers we are looking at a 75% win ratio meaning that we will win 3 of the next 4 of these selections.

$1000 Boston Red Sox -125

Boston is on fire right now, things are clicking, guys are starting to hit and drive in runs and that spells trouble for the AL. Detroit is being outscored and outplayed by Boston. I see this continuing today. Willis had a rough return this year but had 2 solid home starts to follow. He then fell off in his last start allowing 7 ERs. Is this a sign of games to come? I think the Sox will struggle against him a bit but have not faced him since 2006. Willis is not the same pitcher as he was then. Regardless, he will either pitch badly which will lead to a blow-out, or pitch well, but only go 5 innings. That is what my take on this game is. Wakefield has had good numbers vs. Det. Last year he went 13 innings in 2 starts allowing 1 ER, including a shutout. Play the road fave today!

$500 LA Dodgers -105

Looks like the Phills and Dodgers meet yet again. I would not put too much weight on Kershaw in his last two against Philly as he was on the road. He is better at home. Which brings me to Hamels, who has settled down this season, owns LA no matter where they play, but he has a 6+ ERA on the season on the road. The home team in this series last year was 11-2 during the regular season. LA is still serving payback for the playoff loss last year. Both starters have lost 5-3 games this year, in Philly. Look for Kershaw to outduel Hamels for the win tonight.

$300 Indians/Twins Under 9.5

I feel that the best total on the board is right in this game and here is why...Both Carmona and Baker have drastic changes in numbers comparing the Minnesota ballpark to the Cleveland park. Stats are like night and day. Baker in Cleveland, allowed 15 ERs, 28 inngs, last 5 starts. Baker at home vs. Cle, allowed 4 ERs, over 20 inngs, last 3. Carmona at home vs. Min, 13 ERs, 17.33 inngs, last 3. Carmona in Minny, 5 ERs in 22 innings in his last 3 there. Going by those drastic numbers they are both pitching in the right ballpark today. This one may get to 9 runs but should stay under that 9.5 for the win!

 

[The Platinum Standard]

Okay, in case anyone had questions, I will explain in more detail exactly how these selections are to be played. I have a database with 5 MLB angles with 16 sub angles all together. Based off of several years of history and stats, along with all around team statistics.

The highest platform play will read 10 units or $1000. This is the best scenario worth of plays, hitting at a tenth under 70% over the last several seasons. These should bring in half the predicted units. The other ratios equal in the upper 50% - low 60% range, winning mostly with underdogs and totals. These will range anywhere from 1 unit to 6 or 7 units. The 6 and 7 unit plays are very rare and will only be seen once in a blue moon. I am looking at worst case scenario 40-18 on average reamaining for 10 unit plays, and 80-40 for combined remaining sides if this continues to work out.

Totals will be above .500 for this segment and should add to the fund.

If playing for a smaller amount, obviously many will start small if following, I suggest breaking down the listed units to where you feel comfortable. Leave room for at least 3 big days worth of plays. Usually Mon/Tuesdays and Fridays are the biggest days of the week. I wouldn't just let it ride on any given night as it could put you out of playing for good. Best to maybe sit back and watch for a week or even just play the 10 unit ones to start building as they are the most solid.

As for the plays themselves, all totals are usually listed pitchers with most sportsbooks and that is how I usually play them. Sides are always action, regardless of starter, we are playing the team itself in that spot. All listed units are to win that amount. So alot of 10 unit plays will be risking a bit more to win the 10 units.

Four of the angles are based on previous statistics. It gives me a win pct, and units are based off of those numbers. For example: the 10 unit plays hit at roughly 70% consistantly on average over years of research in MLB. The worst angle actually shows an average of 54-44 yearly which isn't much but shows a profit of a near 50 units based on playing 300 pp. The other angle shows an 85-54 mark per season. This also includes some 70% plays.

Sure hope this helped. It is a lot of info but it is needed for those with questions.

Today's plays to follow shortly!

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Current standing: 1.45 units

Units remaining: 198.55

First 4 plays:

Angels/Jays under 9 PUSH

Red Sox -125 Win 10 units

Indians/Twins under 9.5 Loss -3.3 units

LA Dodgers -105 Loss -5.25 units

June 5th

$1000 Detroit -170

LA took 2 of 3 this season at home from Detroit. Look for the Tigers to return the favor. LA has not had an easy time putting win streaks together this season. Streaks of 3 or more games have not happened in about a month, and they have failed on their previous 3 chances. Tigers were embarrassed yesterday pulling Willis early, and will bounce back today despite heavy juice. Ervin Santana has struggled most recently allowing 15 ERs in his last 2 games. He has struggled with Detroit in the past and mind frame wise it may not be a good situation for him tonight. Verlander will counter and he too has struggled at times vs. Angels, but has put together one solid outing after another and looks like the old Verlander from a couple years ago. Need to stay away from Santana right now and I feel this is a great spot for Detroit to get the W.

$1000 Toronto +135

Greinke may just be up for a little letdown after coming off of his worst outing of this season. Greinke only has one loss on the year but his club has lost 3 of the last 5 outings. The Royals are not a good team to bet as they just keep losing. Although Greinke has earned backers decent money there should be no reason to lay money on the road with a team that is struggling. He most likely will not get run support tonight and cost backers more money, even if he pitches well. Romero will oppose Greinke and has struggled against AL east opponents. Outside the division, no problem as he has allowed 4 ERs in 21 innings. Take the Jays as they were once on this downward spiral and have an easier task than they've had of late.

$500 NY Mets +105

Tim Redding is looking at a match-up with his old team tonight. He may just get his chance to have his old team make him look like a superstar when the Nats host the Mets Friday night. Now the Nats are the decade's worst, no doubt, and if you look at their track record as faves and in series game 1's you would steer clear of them regardless what the match-up shows. Nats are 3-7 as faves this season, all home games. The three wins were actually -123 and higher. For the ones in the -110 to -120 range, they are 0-4 as faves. In opening series games this year they are a miserable 4-14. The Mets are 7-1 vs. Wsh in the last 8 meetings, and have won 25 of the last 32 on the road there. Even with a banged up line-up Redding should have enough motivation to defeat Martis, who gave up 6 ERs in his lone meeting with NY, last season. He lasted just 3 inngs. He has allowed 17 ERs in his last 3 starts and 10 ERs in his last 2 at home.

$500 Arizona +105

Look for the motivational edge for Davis as he pitched brilliantly in his last meeting with Gaudin and the Pads. He allowed just 2 ERs but his team lost a 9-7 game at home. Now they are in SD with revenge on their minds with these two starters rematching. Last season Davis shutout SD over 8+ innings. he pitches pretty good in Petco Park. Zona can hit Chad Gaudin. Gaudin has not had two solid outings in a row yet, and looks shaky at times, especially after a good outing. This season after shutting out Colorado over 5 innings he followed up with a 6 ER performance in LA. After a solid home outing vs. SF, he allowed 7 ERs to this same Arizona team. Davis will get the win tonight along with his team as they avenge the previous loss at home, winning in SD tonight.

$500 Orioles/A's Under 8.5

Look for Guthrie and Braden to keep this one under the total of 8.5 runs. The O's are on a downswing after winning 9 in a row. They have lost 4 of their last 5. This losing sstreak will continue tonight but more importantly this one will stay under. Guthrie is 4-4 with a 4.86 ERA while Braden is 4-5 with a 3.63 ERA. Over the last 2 seasons, Guthrie has done well against the A's. He allowed just 5 ERs in 3 previous starts against them. On the road, in Oakland he has averaged 1 ER per 3 innings. Braden has also previously faced the O's, 3 times over the last 2 seasons. They were all 1 ER performances, averaging 6 innings pitched per game. The O's have scored just 2 runs in all those 3 games. Look for a 5 run final here.

$300 Texas +125

Kevin Millwood has a shockingly low ERA as a Rangers starter. A 3.23 to be exact. That's pretty damn good when you think about how many runs Texas and opponents put up especially at home. Penny is 5-1 for the Sox and although his ERA is at a 5.63 he has the best record of any Sox starter right now. The ERA sells the struggle for Penny and it proves the Sox are scoring runs even when everyone thinks they aren't putting up enough. Millwood has been stellar away from home this year as far as innings pitched is concerned. He has gone 7 or more in all of his recent road starts. Look for a home letdown for Boston as the public is riding them. They will likely drop the first of the series. Penny is well overdue for a bad outing as he has not pitched bad in his last 3.

$200 Phills/Dodgers Over 9.5

Moyer will look to get rid of whatever the Dodgers hold over him tonight. Moyer has a 6.75 ERA in 2009 as he watches his career come to an end. He has allowed 15 ERs in his last 4 road starts in just 20 innings. He also has allowed 16 ERs in his last 2 in LA, and 23 ERs in his last 3 vs. LA. Milton comes back with a vengeance after missing the bigs in all of 2008, with 3 strong outings in 09. This will be his first home start for his new club. He has only allowed 5 ERs in 3 starts this year and should pitch as good if not better at home. Milton should continue his dominance, and after getting shut down last night look for the LAD to explode for runs tonight.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 4-3, +3.05 units

Current standing: 4.5 units

Units remaining: 195.5

JUNE 6th

$500 Cleveland/Chisox Over 9.5

Sowers has struggled mightily on the road and previously against the Chisox making this a good play for the over this afternoon. Sowers has a 12.60 ERA on the road this year, allowed 20 ER's in his last 4 road starts, and 18 ERs in his last 4 vs. Chicago. His last 3 of 4 outings vs. Sox were brutal, and I am banking that he will struggle again today. Floyd has started to pitch well but his last 3 vs. Cleveland have gone over the total. This is a rematch from a 9-7 game last season these starters were involved in. Between the starters and bullpens this one should reach double digits today.

$200 Seattle/Minnesota Over 7.5(Bookmaker)

Blackburn and Washburn have both pitched well recently. Both these teams are capable of hitting, and after a low output last night, I expect this one to reach 9 runs in the least. It is very do-able. Each starter should give up 3 a piece, setting up for a few late runs by either one or both clubs. The over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in Seattle.

$200 Mets/Washington Over 9

Even though the Nats are dead even just about with overs/unders on the season it is really taking a risk playing under the total. Even though both Maine and Lannan have shined at times vs. these line-ups they also have been struggling in this spot. Maine has struggled on the road this year and opponents are averaging 5 runs per game over his last 5 on road. Lannan has struggled in 2 of his last 3 vs. NY allowing 5 ERs in the 2 bad outings. He has allowed 4+ runs in 4 of his last 6 vs. NY. The Nats had a strong showing by their bullpen up until the 10th last night and I feel it won't go so smoothly tonight.

$200 Colorado/St. Louis Under 8.5

All signs point to an over in this one with Cook and Wellemeyer slated to start. Usually when a total looks to good to be true it is. The public will jump on the over with this low total but I feel it has a shot at the under tonight. I would assume Cook will go 6 or 7 and Wellemeyer at least 5. Here are some interesting trends that have formed for this games situation tonight. Under is 11-5-1 last 17 mtgs in STL. In Cards last 11 home gms under is 9-2. Wellemeyer is surprisingly 4-0 to the under in his last 4 as fave. Rocks are 12-3-2 to the under in their last 17 as a dog.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 0-4, -12.1 units

Current standing: -8.4 units

Units remaining: 208.4

Funny how I was on the losing end of all 4, with every starter having his best worst outing vs. opponent.

Sowers and Floyd pitched career bests vs. opponents.

Blackburn and Washburn did the same.

Maine had his career wordt vs. Wsh, but Lannan had his best start ever in his career still costing me an over.

Lastly, the Rockies have Cook pitch his best vs. STL while Wellemeyer pitched his worst and count em, on 3 occasions the Rockies homered with 2 outs in that one.

Need to bounce back big today but I am keeping it light.

JUNE 7th

$300 Col/StL UNDER 8.5

After Colorado has had an output of massive run support, I feel as though today they will be stifled by one Joel Pineiro. Pineiro has shut the door on many teams this season at home with a 2.05 ERA there. He did allow 3 in Colorado last year but has not faced them at home this year. Pineiro has gone 30 innings+ over his last 4 home starts allowing just 7 ERs. He is coming off a not so good performance so look for the bounceback here. Jiminez counters for Colorado who has somehow gotten the good pitching needed to win games. Jiminez faced the Cards twice last year allowing 6 ERs over 10 innings. He should keep STL limited while Pineiro does the rest to get the Cards on the board for an under in this series.

$250 TB/NYY UNDER 9.5

We find Garza meeting Joba C. today in the early of the 3 picks. Joba has never faced TB but as the season has gone on he looks more and more comfortable. In the home start vs. Cle back in April he allowed 5 in less than 5. His next he went over 5 allowing just 4 and his most recent start of quality was a 6 inning, 2 ER outing before leaving his last home start in the 1st inning. Even with the bugs and birds in Cleveland, in his last start, he pitched 8 innings allowing 2. Garza did shut the door on the Yanks this season in a 7 inning, 2 ER performance so look for him to help keep this one under. Surprisingly the Rays have gone 6-0-1 under vs. a righty with a WHIP of 1.30+. Scott Barry will ump the plate today and 20 of his last 28 behind plate have gone under.

$200 San Diego +150

The thing I like about this one is that the Pads come off the win last night and send Josh Geer to the hill to face Danny Haren. Pads have taken the last 7 of 10 meetings between these clubs. Geer is only averaging 2 ERs on home field in his last 5 home starts. He is fighting to stay in the rotation as he has come on in relief a couple times this season. Look for him to have a good performance against an Arizona team in the - money on the year, and a team struggling for run support. Haren would need to pitch better than he has previously against SD to get his team the W. Haren also is averaging 2 ERs allowed over his last 5 but has not gotten support from his pen as opponents have finished with 4 runs on average in those 5 games. Especially his last 2 outings, 15 total runs allowed. Pads by 1.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 1-2, -2.8 units

Current standing: -11.2 units

Units remaining: 211.2

June 8th

$1000 (10units)St. Louis -120

$100 (ONLY 1 UNIT)Colorado/St. Louis UNDER 9

The Cardinals have looked as bad as they could have over the last few gms vs. Col. Gm 1 was a blowout, and gms 2-3 were shaping up to be good until late inning rallies in both by Colorado. Today needs to be a different story for St. Louis. They will head to the road after today and I feel they will pick up the final home win this afternoon. Thompson could be the very best that Colorado will have faced in this series. He did not allow a run in nearly 7 innings last season vs. Col, in a 3-0 win. He has only made 1 start this year and allowed 2 ERs over 5 inngs. Marquis has had rough spots vs. STL. In his recent 3 starts he allowed 5,1,6,and 3. Look for the Cards to get some runs up today as Colorado will struggle to score in a game that should see 7 runs max.

$200 Arz/SD UNDER 7.5

After yesterdays two game play and over 6 hours, look for these teams to be completely drained tonight in the finale of this 4 game series. Tonight, Garland will face Peavy, and look for both starters to take advantage. Garland shutout SD over 7 innings this season in Petco. He has only allowed 7 ERs in his most recent 5 outings on the road. Peavy has dominated Arizona in the past, allowing only 2 ERs in each of his last 3 vs. Arz at home and 7 ERs in his last 5 home starts against them. He started to look sharp in his 3 previous home starts up until the Phillies game where he allowed 4 ERs. Look for him to bounce back and for both starters to be at their best as they could be playing for a near future new contract. Zona 2-1.

$300 Detroit/Chisox UNDER 10 GAME 2 (Only if game 1 goes over 9.5)

This play is something I base off of a double header result in game 1. Game 2 is slated to be Bonderman vs. Contreras. If game 1 goes over the total of 9.5, then we will have a play on the under in game 2 which is currently set at 10 runs. That number may change by the time we can have the criteria for a play on game 2 or not, so this game 2 will be graded by the closing line at a majority of sportsbooks. Bonderman makes his first start in over a year and has hit unders in his last 4 in Chicago. Contreras should keep the run scoring low enough for the bullpen session late in this one. Sox pen has been pretty dominant of late and I see that continuing in this series. Play under only if game 1 goes over 9.5 runs.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 1-2, -13.20 units

Current standing: -24.4 units

Units remaining: 224.4

JUNE 9th

$500 Seattle +120

Give me Vargas over Bergeson in this ballpark. This is a re-match from last week where Seattle hung on to win 3-2. Vargas has allowed just 7 ERs on the season in 5 starts. Included in that just 3 ERs in 2 road starts this season. Opponents are averaging less than 3 runs per game in Vargas starts. Baltimore has struggled for runs and wins. They are a likely small home fave here, but do not warrant a play. They have struggled. Bergeson has pitched decent. He has a 4.60 ERA at home and has allowed 15 ERs in his last 5 home starts. The total is set at a 9 and up to 9.5, so I assume oddsmakers feel for one starter to get tagged especially after a 3-2 contest last week. Look for Seattle to open this one up at some point and win it by a couple.

$300 LAA/TB UNDER 8

With Shields and Weaver as the starters tonight, I expect minimal scoring in this one. Especially since Shields has pretty much dominated LA at home over the course of his last several starts. LA has managed just a handful of runs in Tampa off Shields and relief so look for LA to struggle tonight. Weaver has allowed just 1 ER in 5 of his last 6 starts in total, 2 of those coming on the road out of 3 games. This one should see 5-6 in total tonight.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 1-1, -2 units

Current standing: -26.4 units

Units remaining: 226.4

JUNE 10th

$300 NY/Bos OVER 11

The Yanks have failed to get runs on the board vs. Boston this year(45-23 in favor of Bos). Look for the Yanks to finally get runs on the board as this one shapes up to be an ugly one. Wang will face the Sox for the first time in over a year. In his last meeting he allowed 8 ERs as the Yanks won 15-9. Focusing in on Wangs last 10 starts, he has only 2 quality outings. He is not the same guy from the last couple seasons. A total of 51 ERs in those 8 non-quality ones. Wang is in a bad place and after jnot even 12 innings pitched in 4 starts this year, the Sox should have no problem chasing him early. Wake has been shaky vs. NY in the past and in his last 3 starts this year. Look for a bundle in this one tonight as one of these teams should reach double digits alone.

$200 ChC/Hou UNDER 8.5

This is without a doubt a should be winner tonight as Zambrano faces Wandy Rod in Houston. Big Z has put a hurting on opponents this season, as he has only allowed 10 ERs in his last 5 on the road. In Houston he is averaging 7 innings per game over his last 5 there, and just 12 ERs. In early April he allowed just 1 ER over 6 innings in Houston. Wandy can hurl too, especially when the Cubbies pay a visit. In his most recent 3 starts vs. Chicago at home, he allowed 1 ER in each, with the Cubs managing 4 total runs. Wandy has gone under in 6 of his last 8 vs. Chi and at home 5-0 under last 5 mtgs. Big Z is 8-2 to the under last 10 vs. Hou, and 4-1 under last 5 in Houston. Should see 5 runs max.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 1-0-1, +2 units

Current standing: -24.4 units

Units remaining: 224.4

JUNE 11th

$1000 Milwaukee -175

The Rockies will only win this one with a great outing by Cook. The Rocks are 1-4 when Cook allows 3 ERs or more on the road this season and 0-5 when he allows 4+ runs in a game. Cook has not rebounded after an impressive start. Recently, he allowed 4 ERs in 2 games following a 1ER performance and a 0 ER outing. His last start he allowed just 1 ER, so look for this pattern to continue. Brew have managed 4 runs in each of Cooks last 2 out there. Gallardo will oppose, and he has been a home workhorse this season. He is 3-1 at home with a 2.87 ERA. He has only allowed 26 ERs in his last 26+ innings at home. He did allow 11 ERs in Colorado in 2007, but has upped his game since then. Brew by at least a couple, 4-2.

$1000 Texas -155

The Jays came into this series just 11-17 on road, and after 2 wins in Texas they will hit a wall in Millwood tonight. Millwood has dominated at home as a Texas starter, which is surprising considering runs are put up there. Millwood has not faced the Jays in a home game since 2005. Earlier this year he allowed 4 ERs in 7 inngs on the road. He is 3-1(2.59) at home this season. A steady diet of 2 ERs allowed in 4 of his last 5 at home. Look for that to continue. He has averaged roughly 7 inngs per start at home. Texas is also 3-1 at home last 4 games Mill has started. Romero should not be too much of an issue as he has struggled recently allowing 5 ERs in 2 of his last 3 starts. Texas will outscore Jays and have the new and improved bullpen that will seal the deal!

$200 SF/Arizona OVER 9

Here is my take on this one: Sanchez has allowed 21 ERs last 5 on road. Only 1 of those 4 were quality outings. His last 3 in Arizona he allowed 12 ERs. This season 6 ERs in Arizona. He is coming off of a 0 ER performance vs. D-Backs so look for a letdown start here, as there is alot of weight on this total based on that last start. Scherzer will go for Zona, and he too has struggled. He allowed 1 ER in SF but at home this year allowed 4 ERs. He has allowed 18 ERs in his last 4 at home, and opponents have totaled 27 runs in those 4 games. The over is 8-2 in Zonas last 10 at home, and they have gone over in 6 straight. Starters have not been cutting it lately and the bullpen has not done much better. This one should see 11 runs.

 

[Bogart]

$1000 Texas -155The Jays came into this series just 11-17 on road, and after 2 wins in Texas they will hit a wall in Millwood tonight. Millwood has dominated at home as a Texas starter, which is surprising considering runs are put up there. Millwood has not faced the Jays in a home game since 2005. Earlier this year he allowed 4 ERs in 7 inngs on the road. He is 3-1(2.59) at home this season. A steady diet of 2 ERs allowed in 4 of his last 5 at home. Look for that to continue. He has averaged roughly 7 inngs per start at home. Texas is also 3-1 at home last 4 games Mill has started. Romero should not be too much of an issue as he has struggled recently allowing 5 ERs in 2 of his last 3 starts. Texas will outscore Jays and have the new and improved bullpen that will seal the deal!

:mansion:

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 1-2, -9.7 units

Current standing: -34.1 units

Units remaining: 234.1

June 12th

$1000 Milwaukee -140

These 10 unit selections are just 3-3 over the last 6, and I am banking on a live one here with the Brew to take care of the slumping Sox. The Brewers got shafted at home by MLBs hottest team currently, the Rockies. They will bounce-back today at home and Jeff Suppan is due for a strong outing. Sox are just 3-8 in their last 11 games and have been outscored almost by a 5-3 margin over that span. They also have not followed a win since early this month. Both pens are pretty evenly matched, but as far as starters go, it is Suppan with the better ERA. Richard has struggled along with the Sox in their slump. He didnt even get to complete the 5th inning in his last outing. Look for this to have an effect on tonights game as that type of performance wont cut it!

$500 Yankees -215

The Yanks couldnt ask for a better match-up for tonight after losing an 8th straight vs. Boston this year. The Mets were stomped on late last night and that will continue this evening. The Yankees will bounce back after the loss to the Sox, especially after letting last nights game get away. Livan Hernandez is what the Yanks doctor ordered for tonight as he has allowed 12 ERs in his last 2 outings vs. NY. I expect Tex, and A-Rod to have a field day against him. Since May 8th, the Yankees are 9-0 in games after a loss, not including Boston series. Yanks will win tonight as Joba will cruise in his first mtg with Mets. Mets have managed just 44 runs total in their last 4 series, 12 games. That is less than 4 RPG and they will need more than 1.5 times that to win tonight. Just dont see it!

$300 Philly +115/Under 9.5

Joe Blanton does not mind facing Boston and should in fact pitch well tonight. Lester goes for Boston and he also has had success in Philly. Lester has not had much success on the road this season though so keep an eye on that. I look for Philly to put up a few this time vs. Lester as he shut them out last season. Blanton has allowed just 8 ERs in his last 3 vs. Boston, and has looked sharp most recently. Blanton has only allowed 4 ERs in his last 3 starts and looks like a streaking pitcher to keep an eye on. I see both starters having good outings keeping this one under the total. Phills are coming off an emotional high after their big win in extras last night. Sox have only scored 5 runs in their 2 gms after finishing with the Yanks. Philly wins, 4-3.

$100 LAD/Texas Under 10

Padilla has struggled at times this season but has also looked sharp in several games recently. Over his last 6 outings he has only had one real bad one(at NYY). Besides that game he has allowed 9 ERs in the other 5. Out of those 5 games, 4 of them have gone under. I expect the Dodgers to get a few runs, maybe 4 off Padilla. Kuroda is the bigger story in this game. He has been stunning in his return after missing a good 2 months. He looks like he has not lost anything and is back to form. Since his return, he allowed 2 ERs, both at home. He has not pitched on the road since early April, but I still feel he will give innings and allow limited run scoring. All 3 of his outings went under this season. Tonight I would expect some offense but the pens and starters keep this one under 10 runs.

$100 Oakland/San Fran Under 7

The final of a 6 play evening capped off with Mazzaro and Lincecum, which should be a dandy. Vin Mazzaro has yet to allow a run and has held opponents to a limited amount of hits. Usually you see new faces pitch well in the third game after the first two were golden outings. This is another one of those situations. Lincecum did not allow a run last season in Oakland and after looking shaky early in the season has settled in nicely, only allowing 5 ERs over his last 4 outings. He is catching fire and should keep this one under along with Mazzaro. Look for 4-5 in this contest.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday MLB: 5-1, +17.0 units

Current standing: -17.1 units

Units remaining: 217.1

Keeping it small for Saturday...

JUNE 13th

$200 SD/LAA OVER 8

Most confident of the three totals tonight as Saunders faces Josh Geer at home. These teams put up 17 last night and they will not close the book on run scoring in this series just yet. No pitchers batting which leaves room for the DHs in this one which youd assume there will be less GIDPs and Ks by the DH taking the pitchers spot in the AL park. Saunders has a 6.50 ERA over his last 3 starts and is due for a strong one. Geer is the big part in this over and it will win if he pitches like he has all season. He has allowed 11 ERs at home in 4 starts in a hitter friendly park. On the road, worse, as he has allowed 15 ERs in 4 outings and opponents have scored 33 in those games. LA will get on the board early and often, sealing this one midway through.

$100 ChW/Mil Over 9.5

The Brewers cruised past the Sox last night and I see them cruising for a second consecutive night against Contreras. Jose Contreras will start today and battle Manny Parra. The Brewers have only won 3 of Parras last 10 starts. On the otherhand, the Sox won for the first time with Contreras on the mound in his last 9 starts. Contreras looked strong at home vs. Detroit, but he is on the road today where he has allowed 17 ERs in just 3 starts this year. Opponents have scored 28 runs total in those 3 games. Milwaukee should hit well, and carry this over on their backs. Sox should be able to get 3-4 of their own in addition.

$100 LAD/Tex Under 10.5

The Rangers have gotten strong starting most of the year at home and it is a major reason why this team is amongst the best in the AL. Feldman will try to follow up a brilliant outing by Padilla last night. Going right back to an under here as both Wolf and Feldman have been successful in 09. Wolf has a 2.58 ERA on the road, and Feldman has only allowed 10 ERs in his last 5 at home. With that being said, the bullpens should put together a similar performance like last night and keep this one under 10.5 runs.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday MLB: 2-1, +1.9 units

Current standing: -15.2 units

Units remaining: 215.2

JUNE 14th

$1000 Toronto -115

This one is a tough call because the Marlins have done extremely well with Johnson on the mound. Johnson has not allowed more than 3 ERs in a long while, and the Jays feel they can get to him and get 4 on the board. Marlins bullpen has been solid in this series and in gerneral so the Jays would need to beat on Johnson early and put up enough to win this thing. Brian Tallet has not been all that great of late, but he does come off a shutout performance vs. Texas. Look for that to carry over as he shuts down the fish this afternoon giving his team a golden opportunity to pick up the win. Toronto heads on a 6 game road trip after today so look for them to take care of some business in their final home game before they head out.

$1000 Boston -125

The Red Sox have already made it 5 straight winning series vs. Philly after last nights win and will seal the door on another series sweep today, this time on the road. The Sox have won 5 straight and 10 of their last 12 games. Beckett has had no major issues with Philly, and the Sox are putting up plenty of runs for their starters and I feel no different about today. The Sox have unloaded on teams lately. I dont think this one will get out of hand but the Sox should be able to outscore Philly today. In this situation it is more likely that Boston sweeps rather than Philly stops the sweep. Play the Sox as I look for a 5-3 final today!

$200 Det/Pit Over 9.5

This selection is a part 1 of a possible 2 on totals today. Dontrelle Willis still has not found it. You can tell that his manger lacks confidence as well pulling him before he can get into trouble. The only thing that may save him is pitching against an NL team with the pitcher due up 9th. If you look at his previous outings, most have gone under. All those unders were set at 10 or more runs however, with the last one at 9.5, blowing it away with 13 total runs. Opponents are averaging 4 runs on Ohlendorf in his last 5 outings and his last 3. His last 2 home outings saw the other team scoring 6 total in both gms. This one should get to 12 runs, assuming Willis and Ohlendorf both allow at least 4 each. I dont see that being an issue today.

$200 StL/Cle Under 7.5(ONLY IF Det/Pit total loses)

This play will only be a go on the back end of the Det-Pit total loss. ONLY PLAY THIS SELECTION with a loss on the early game total for today. If the early total wins, this play will not be a graded selection. Carpenter will face off with Cliff Lee, which should be a good cap off of the interleague weekend. If you look at Carpenters stats, he has not allowed much. More recently he is getting hit and runs are being scored but not pouring in. Lee has also followed up last season nicely and with these two starters going at least 13 innings combined tonight I fail to see many scored. The Cards still have not found it offensively and that will ultimately help this one. Look for a 3-2 final in Sundays final game of the day!

 

[The Platinum Standard]

Has not been a good run of late. I turn this around starting tonight. Write-ups are for 3 of the 6 plays for tonight including 2 big ones. 10 unit plays have gone 5-6 last 11 so look for a nice run to brew very soon.

I will update all statistics with tomorrows plays. Sunday there was a -24+ unit loss.

JUNE 16th

$1000 LA Dodgers -145

Oakland comes into this one just 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games. They have lost 5 of 6, and have to face a great starter in Kershaw tonight. Kershaw should go pretty deep in this one and allow just 1-2 runs. That is all in fact I see Oakland getting tonight as the Dodgers should be able to put up 5+ in this one. Dodgers have not given Kershaw much run support over his last few starts for them so look for a nice padding for the home starter tonight.

$1000 NY Yankees -360

It is a steep one but these favorites are 19-2 with this angle over the last 3+ seasons laying -200+ in a game. The runline may be better suited, especially the way things are going but stats are based on SU moneylines. Sabathia shut out Washington just last season and considering the Yanks bats have been hot recently, I just can not see the Nats putting up more in this contest. Remember, as I recently pointed out the Nats are horrendous in opening series games. They currently stand at 4-17 on the season and just 1-9 in game 1 road series. Martis will go for the Nats today, and opponents have averaged roughly 7 runs in his outings, mostly in part of the bullpen woes in Washington. Yanks should get at least 7 in this one unless they decide to play down to this league worst club.

$200 Arizona/KC Over 8.5

Look for at least a possible dozen tonight as I see both of these starters struggling. Davis will face Meche. Doug Davis shut out KC last season so look for a bit of revenge by the Royals tonight. Royals are also starting to get hot after falling out of the division race. They come in after a sweep of the Reds. Zona has allowed 7 runs in the last 4 Davis road starts that he wasnt accounted for. That leaves a weak bullpen for the Royals hungry offense. KC should be able to put up 5 or more here, and looking at Meche, he steadily gives up 3 or more on average at home. Meche has struggled at times to go deep in ballgames which led to opponents having a field day scoring. Opponents have averaged 8 runs per Meche start over his last 5 home outings. Take the over, should get it easily.

$500 Colorado -115

$500 Atlanta -125

$500 San Diego +125

 

[The Platinum Standard]

Definitely not what I wanted last night but the way things have gone I will take it and am pleased that the 10 unit plays both came through. I may have one play later and will get back in here by 5 pm eastern to finalize the current standing. Wanted to get this play up as fast as possible due to the early start!

JUNE 17th

$1000 San Fran -170

San Fran needs a a good outing from Lincecum today to get the win. The previous 2 games with LA the Giants could not get 4 innings out of their starters, while LA got 7 strong innings from their starters. Today the results will be reversed as Palmer should get KOd early. Lincecum will go deep in this one. The Giants come into this game 7-1 after a loss and they have gone 9-3 at home in their last 12. Palmer is 6-0 for LA on the year but has a 5.62 ERA on the road and will not get enough run support to help his cause today. Lincecum has looked sharp recently, allowing just 5 ERs in his last 5, with 2 home shutouts in a row. He hasnt allowed a run at home in his last 2. SF has the advantage pitching wise and thats all they will need today!

 

[The Platinum Standard]

Here are the other 2 I have going tonight, June 17th...

$300 Mil/Cle Under 10.5

David Huff has impressed after starting his career in Cleveland on a sour note. His first two starts this year ended up showing him allowing 13 ERs in just less than 7 innings. Since then he has settled in and although he hasnt gone deep in any games but for 1, he has limited ERs allowed over his last 4 games. He has seemingly gotten better whith each outing and in his last he allowed 3 Ers in over 7 innings of work. Surprisingly, at a 10.5 total margin of runs, Huff has gone under that total 3 of his last 4 with finals of 3,7,12, and 10 runs. Suppan has been sharp also lately and has allowed 5 ERs in his last 4 road outings, 2 of them shutouts. After two massive run scoring nights look for a cease in the offense with a more defensive outlook in this one.

$300 Tampa Bay +105

The Rockies finally lost a game. The first time they allowed double digit runs since May 25 and the first game where they allowed more than 4 since their win streak. After getting into a comfort zone with winning Colorado may flip this around and start losing several. With that being said the starting pitching favors TB with Price who has really allowed 1 ER per start. The problem has been the bullpen, but TB handled Colorado nicely and should continue pitching better. Tampa is on a 6 game win streak and this will continue tonight. Cook allowed 6 ERs in his last outing vs. TB. This season after allowing 1 ER in 2 consecutive starts he allowed 4 ERs. Look for TB to rough him and keep to their winning ways.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Current standing: -78.90 units

Units remaining: 278.90

Can't say I am not ashamed of the current start to this little personal challenge. Even 10 unit plays are struggling going just 7-7 after a tremendous start. Look for these babies to get hot soon. Looking at a possible 13-3 run over the next 16 to solidify what I stated(near 70% winning clip). I have my work cut out for me, but just as there has been some real bad days, there can and will be good ones, real good ones when this turns around. I will certainly finish this out win or lose thru August 31st. In fact, I do have 75 days left which makes this an even greater accomplishment if it pulls through. I told everyone to watch for a few weeks first. Let's see how this finishes out!

6/18/09

$1000 Philly -160

$300 St. Louis -115

$300 Hou/Tex Under 10.5

 

[The Platinum Standard]

Yesterday -16.45 units

10 unit plays are nausiating lately, but I have noticed that one of the angles has a horrible 1-5 track record with NL teams, which have been most of the plays. These plays went 18-6 to start the year for me, most which of course were before posting here. They will turn around and probably win at 75-80% the rest of the way. As the season progresses these systems get stronger and I still did not break a sweat yet. Still plenty of time. Standard 1-5 units on totals and 3, 5 or 10 units on sides. Nothing will change. Keeping the same formulas and formats and this will turn around fast. Guaranteed profitable night tonight!

6/19/09

$1000 Philly -145

The Phillies had their chances yesterday letting the bullpen let another slip away. It seems as though since Lidge has been out this team and their pen have thrown in the towel. Not a good relief showing over the last week or so. They will stay at home and face the woeful Orioles, who took 2 of 3 from the reeling Mets. Phillies should win this easily on paper against a weaker AL team. All will depend on how they play and close it out. Bastardo comes off his career worst since making his debut this year. His team needs him to be strong today and he will bounce back big time. The biggest question is will Rich Hill continue pitching the way he has on the road? Against the Phills, I see an early exit for Hill. Philly will win this one easily and forget any previous heart-breaking losses.

$1000 San Fran -105

$200 Tex/SF Under 8

Randy Johnson has to be feeling good. Coming off his 300th win, he has gotten new life as a starter and has been overly sharp of late. A look a Johnsons last 5 starts based on total run output for game: 3,9,6,4,7. This one should finish in the 5-7 run range. Feldman has not been a slouch going 5-1 this season for Texas, who comes off the loss last night. The Rangers were 7-1 in games Feldman started but have lost their last 2 he started. SF is 21-12 at home this season, and after coming off 3 straight home losses look for them to win tonight. Under is 7-0 last 7 gms for Texas vs. NL West. Feldman is 22-6 to the under in his last 28 gms. Rangers have gone 20-7-1 to the under facing a left handed starter.

$500 Washington -110

Washington is a terrible series game 1 play as I have stated many times, but they took 2 of 3 from the Yanks, and could be heading toward a little mini win streak. This team was just about at a .250 win pct. so look for them to start winning some more games, especially on home grounds. Toronto comes in, overvalued by the public, as dogs. A no-brainer, right? Wrong, as the Nats will get a good solid outing from Zim and take this game 1 tonight. Toronto just swept Philly and they go into Washington as dogs? Oddsmakers know something is up in this one. This will be one of those upsets as a fave games. Washington has had some bullpen improvement over the last several and Tallet for Toronto is also coming off an 8 ER outing, so look for him to be a bit shaky possibly.

$500 Detroit -110

The Brewers looked real good against Cleveland, last series but how bad was their pitching? I think Detroit will take full advantage of that as the Brewers were scoring alot but allowing almost as much over the last few games. Looper has not had success in Detroit over the last 2 seasons. In 2 starts there, he allowed 11 ERs. On the road this year, he has allowed 9 ERs in his last 2, and 15 ERs in his last 4 on road. Look for Detroit to take care of him early in this one. Armando Galarraga has more than struggled this year but is well overde to start pitching better. His last home start wasnt a bad one going 7 and allowing 3 ERs to Boston. Look for similar tonight and if he does pitch like that Detroit will easily get him enough run support as they have done all season.

$300 LA Dodgers +100

Soon the Dodgers will get Manny back but for now, they are doing fine without him. Billingsley has the better overall last 3 outings as far as stats go compared to Saunders and the Angels roughed up Billingsley this year. Overall these teams tend to play the low scoring game, and with that being said I feel this will favor the Dodgers. LA did win a 1-0 game with Billingsley on the hill last year. If he can bounce back this time around and pitch good enough, the Dodgers will put up enough in this one to win it. Saunders did lose a 6-0 final to LAD last season. Look for a 4-2 type game here with LA beating LAA.

$300 Cleveland +105(Early start)

Cleveland will look to steal one on the road this afternoon against the Cubs. Cliff Lee will face Rich Harden. Both starters have become household names for fans of these clubs but with a total set at 9 runs look for one of these starters to allow more than one would think. I capped this game at roughly 7 runs. Both teams have had bullpen issues as well recently so this one could get out of hand late. Lee will go deep in this one leaving few mistakes for the Cleveland pen to make. The Indians pen has not allowed a run in the last 4 games Lee started in. That is 7 innings. Lee has allowed just 5 ERs in his last 3 and 9 ERrs over his last 4 on road. Harden has not been good at home with a 5+ ERA in Wrigley. That should be the deciding factor in this one.

 

[Bogart]

This is not going in the right direction...

 

[The Platinum Standard]

6/20

$300 LAD/LAA Under 9

It is Weaver vs. Weaver tonight. Interesting match-up. Last night the Angels came back and cost me and went over in the process which makes me a candidate for an under play tonight. These teams have surely had some low scoring affairs in the past. Jered owns the Dodgers, and without Manny in this line-up he should shine brighter. Five previous outings vs. LAD with only 5 ERs total. He has shut them out twice. Jeff will need to keep pace with his brother and even though he has struggled in the past I think there is the extra motivational factor tonight to get him a stellar outing. I would lean Angels as they are smoking hot and with Jered and his 1.01 home ERA who could blame one for choosing the home fave tonight. Under is the smarter play tonight in a competitive 4-2 final.

$300 Oak/SD Over 8

Tonight pits B. Anderson against W. Silva. Neither starter can be talked about in a good light. Opponents have put up 5 runs in each of Silvas starts this year. He allowed 5 ERs in his last to a banged up NYM offense. The overs are hitting more than usual at Petco of late. Anderson is the concern, allowing 6 ERs in 2 of his last 3 on road. He has gone less than 5 innings in 4 of his last 8 outings. 3 of the 4 were on the road, so the odds get better for us. He has gone over in 5 of his last 7 starts, in which opponents are putting up over 7 runs per game on average in those 7 outings. Brett could win this total alone. He has pitched bad in 3 of his last 4, and with bad road history this one will clear the 8 runs.

$100 Arz/Sea Under 9

Vargas has absolutely been on fire, especially at home. He will go tonight instead of Bedard. Vargas seems to bring out the best in his opposition as well. At home, Vargas has a 1.80 ERA. Much better than his 3.56 overall. His first home start as a Mariner saw a battle with Justin Masterson and a 3-2 final. Then he faced Randy Johnson in a 2-1 final. Lastly a 3-2 final vs. Baltimore, where Bergeson pitched a gem too. In fact, all 7 of Vargas starts have gone under. I like him at home, coming off a rough outing, trying to keep a spot in rotation as well. Buckner needs a good outing too, as he has allowed 14 ERs in his last 2 starts, both at home. He shows better numbers away as he only allowed 1 ER on the road this year.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

After today's games I will have the stats updated. I was not surprised yesterday that the Angels scored 2 in the bottom of the 9th to ruin the under and the M's and D-Backs scoring 7 runs from the 7th inning on or just Seattle putting 5 up in their final 2 at bats to cost me the under in that one. 1-2 for a 1.3 unit loss. Just the way the plays have been losing for these past couple weeks. Hopefully I can get on the right side of some upcoming games for a change. Hoping for a monster day today!

Happy Father's Day 6/21

$300 Detroit -120

$200 Mil/Det Under 8

Look for both Yovani Gallardo and Justin Verlander to go deep in this contest leaving the bullpens with short work this afternoon. That along with solid pitching will keep this one under the reduced total of now 8 runs. Gallardo has fluctuated with how deep he has gone in games on the road. His stats over the last 5 rd gms: 9 innings, 7,5,8, and 5. Look for him to bounceback and go the 7 innings today. If he keeps innings short and does not walk Tigers today that should happen. In his last 5 outings of over 5 innings, opponents have scored a total of 6 runs. Verlander is back to form. He is on a bounce back start but has only allowed 2 ERs in his last 4 home starts. The Brewers pen has been performing poorly so Detroit will steal this one late.

$300 Washington +115

Look at these Nationals. Winning the last 2 at Yanks and now the first 2 at home vs. Jays. They will sweep today. Baseball is all about streaks, and the are streaking in a positive way right now after one of the worst starts I have seen. The starters are taking the reigns, and the bullpen is finally pitching well. The Nats have had lengthy outings for their starting rotation with Detwiler last night and Lannan almost going the distance the other night. Actually no starter has gone less than 5 innings during this win streak or in their last 10 games for that matter. Martis comes off a strong outing in NY and should shine brighter today. This team has the confidence to pull it off and I see them getting it done.

$1000 Philly -160

The Phillies are not in a good place. They were swept by Toronto at home, now lose 2 straight to Baltimore. Things should not get worse as this team needs to turn it around now! Hamels needs to go the distance today or close to it to give his bullpen a much needed day of rest. He can very well do it. Phills have lost 7 of 8 and of those 7 losses, 5 of them were the bullpens doing. Philly has stayed close in games or have had leads and the pen has allowed the game to get blown open. The only way to stop this is to break the cycle for a day. Hamels needs a strong performance. I love the match-up as Guthrie has an 8+ ERA on the road this year and in his last 3 games as well. Phills should finally break the barrier today and win by 5+.

$300 San Fran +125

Millwood will face Zito today in the finale. Kevin Millwood is having a phenominal year, but lets not hold him in that high of a light away from home. His team is only 2-4 when he starts on the road compared to 6-2 with him starting at home. Zito would need an extremely solid outing today to get his team a win. I feel after his poor home outing last time out, he will come back stronger today. This one should be a tight game but these starters could allow several today so lean over. Giants have stolen 2 games in this series on late run scoring. See them doing it again.

$300 San Diego +110

I love the Pads as the home dogs today. Brett Anderson pitched better tan I thought yesterday. Alot of people are putting a big ride on Dallas Braden for today. The Pads are by no means a good ballclub this year but neither is Oakland. They have failed to get run support and even with a well pitched game from Braden they can still lose. Correia allowed 1 ER in his last start vs. Oakland last year but will face a different line-up. Braden has pitched well in 9 of his last 10 outings this year. Funny how the As managed to win just 4 of those 10 games, 3 of them by 2 runs or less. They also won 2 of those 4 wins by only 1. This one should stay tight either way. I like the home dog over an iffy As ballclub for the final play of Fathers Day!

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units by 8/31/09

Current standing: -106.3 units

Units remaining: 306.3

6/22/09

$500 NY Mets +100

The Cardinals come into NY tonight maybe a little overvalued with Wellemeyer on the hill. The public like the Cards but Redding has been better than normal of late, and he will continue his run tonight. As should most games, this one will come down to the starting pitching early on in this one. The bullpens should not have much of an issue. Both teams should have an easy time with relief in this series. Wellemeyer has struggled against the Mets in his last 2 giving up 10 ERs in 10 innings and even with a banged up line-up. I feel the Mets should see at least 4 cross in this one. Well has an ERA iof 5+ on the road this year and 6+ in his last 3 starts. Whoever gets more off the starters will win tonight and the Mets should handle that task easily.

$500 Atlanta -150

You can sure bet the Atlanta Braves are ready tonight after being fired up in yesterdays contest on the losing end in Boston. The Braves play this one game make-up with the Cubs. The Braves have gotten solid pitching in their series with the Cubs and this should continue for this one. Braves have struggled offensively as if that is new to this club. The pitching has been the best it has been in years, but the bats are not putting up runs. Cubs with Dempster tonight are just 3-11 as a team as underdogs, so what might look like a sure win may not be. Look for Javy Vasquez to get the job done tonight with Atlanta putting up more than usual.

$500 Oakland -150

As far as teams to open as a fave, the As are probably the only team on the board deserving of the line. They have been playing better of late, and send Cahill to the mound to face off with J. Sanchez. Cahill has seen opponents put up 3-4 runs on average in gms started at home recently. He has allowed 5 ERs in his last 3. Sanchez is the weak spot in this game. Although he shut down Oakland last season in a 11-1 win, he did not face this line-up this year just yet. Sanchez comes in with a 5.43 ERA on the season. A disappointment in some peoples eyes. Even worse he is 0-6, 6.39 ERA on road in 2009. It does not get better as he has allowed a 7.71 ERA to form over his last 3 starts, 2 of those on the road. Cahill has the edge, bullpens shouldnt have an effect on the outcome. As by a few.

$500 LA Angels -110

$100 Col/LAA Under 9

Cook will try to keep the Colorado win streak going again. The Rockies are putting together a run like a couple years ago at the end of the season. Palmer will go for the Angels and he is 6-0 on the year. He stands at 4-0 at home. I went against him in his last outing and today I am going with him and the Angels to win a low scoring contest. Both starters have an under 3.00 ERA over their last 3 ballgames. A combined 4-0 mark between them over those 3 starts each. The Angels are 8-1 when Palmer takes the hill and should get enough off Cook to seal this one up. The Rockies are 4-1 in Cooks starts when he pitches more than 6 innings. When he goes 6 or less it is a different story. I doubt he will last more than 6 innings tonight. Look for a 5-3 final.

__________________

 

[The Platinum Standard]

Finally, a nice profitable night. Hopefully the remaining 70 days will be worth the wait for a nice chunk of change. A 7-play card tonight hopefully the start of positive things to come. What I am facing is roughly 300 units in the next 70 days, or 10 weeks. As much as the losing streak sucked out of me, I am not one of those fly by night posters that will just run when things are at their worst. I am sticking with this as it has succeeded for the last several years of doing it. Hopefully the winning will continue this season. I am here til the end, whether I accomplish the goal at hand or not. We have 70 days til truth or failure.

The Standard: 300 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 3-2, +8.4 units

Units remaining: 300

6/23/09

$750 Texas +130

Harrison will go for Texas coming off being swept in SF. Max Scherzer will take the home hill for Zona after they too were swept. Both starters have gotten their teams wins of late as the Rangers are 5-2 in the last 7 Harrison has started, while the D-Backs are 6-2 in Scherzer starts. Both teams come in 2-6 in each of their last 8 games. The key here is the bullpens, and Texas will have the big edge in this one. Arizona pen is allowing 1 ER in less than 2 innings on the year. Scherzer has struggled at home with a near 6 ERA. Harrison had a great early May but fell apart in late May. He bounced back in his last start and should return to dominant form tonight against a team that has scored 4 or less runs in 15 of their last 21 games. Plenty of value with Texas as dogs.

$500 Cubs +115

Zambrano has a 1.66 ERA over his last 3 outings. He has allowed just 5 ERs in 28 innings over his last 4 outings. His last 2 on the road have shown nearly 15 innings with just 1 ER allowed. After being shut out last night things may look up for Cubbies tonight. Still questioning why the Rays let Jackson go? Stellar season with his new club. He is only 1-1 at home though, with a 3.00 ERA. Both starters will pitch well, no doubt but I see the Cubbies winning this one late, by a 5-3 margin. Lean under in this one.

$500 Milwaukee -110

Jeff Suppan of the Brewers will face Liriano for Minny. Liriano has good numbers against Milwaukee in 2 starts previously back in 2006. Things have changed since then including his struggles in 09. Liriano has given up 15 ERs in his last 4 road outings, including a 7 ER performance in Chicago. He is 2-8 overall, 1-4 on road with a 6.43 ERA. Suppan is 2-0 in his last 3 starts with a 2.50 ERA. Suppan allowed just 2 ERs in 7 innings at home vs. Min last season. The big question mark is the Brewers bullpen. If Suppan can give a strong outing like last season and limit the pen work to 2-3 innings, I see Milwaukee taking this one tonight. Like the starter match-up with the small home fave Brew Crew tonight. If they get enough off Liriano they will cruise in this one.

$500 Kansas City -130

Greinke has struggled lately. Russ Ortiz has looked sharp getting into the mix as Astros starter. When the Royals put up more than 5 runs with Greinke on the hill they are 4-0 this season. A showing of 5 or less puts them at 4-6 with Greinke starting. Run support is key tonight. Ortiz has started in 4 home games this year going 5 innings on average, allowing 2 ERs. Opponents have averaged 4-5 runs per game in his starts this year. The big factor here is the NL ballpark which will favor Greinke. Last season he allowed just 1 ERs in his last 14 innings during road interleague play. Having the pitcher spot bat is key for Greinke and will help him throughout the first 5 innings at least. Royals should get enough on the board to help his cause. KC by a few.

$500 San Diego +120

$200 SD/Sea Over 8.5

The Padres are a good value underdog today considering Olson has not pitched well at home for Seattle this year. Coming off a 4-3 win in San Diego, the Ms look to do more damage to this club at home. Opponents have scored 5 runs in both of Olsons starts at home. Olson has also allowed 5 ERs in 2 of his 5 starts for Seattle. Opponents also are averaging 5 runs per contest when Olson starts. Gaudin has been a mess this year, and I feel the public perception with this re-match is that the same results will take place. Seattle and the under will come in, but I disagree. With these two on the hill I think we will see double digits tonight in a high scoring affair. I see Gaudin pitching stronger than he has previously getting on the winning end tonight. Pads by a run.

$200 San Fran/Oakland Under 7

Lincecum and Mazzaro will do battle once again, this time in Oakland. Last meeting the Giants shut out Oakland at home 3-0. Mazzaro has been a strong move to the rotation for Oakland but should see a couple cross while he is out there tonight. I still feel he will go deep into this one as Oakland has been more pitcher friendly than San Fran has. Lincecum will try to continue his mastery against this line-up tonight. He has a 16 consectutive scoreless inning streak vs. Oakland still in tact. Giants won 1-0 last season in Oakland while the 3-0 Giants win occured just 10 days ago. I see at least 15 innings with these starters combined in a near 2-1 finish tonight. Under looks more than a little nice!

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The write-ups yesterday certainly were dead on for the most part, still needing that one win to have a big night. The late games were well called, Milwaukee didn't get enough off Liriano which was stated so that was a bust, and the Cubs lost one late but with the Cubs up 4-3 that could've been almost correctly called. Harrison didn't show up and that was was over early on as the D-Backs put up 8 last night, the most they have scored in a while. Onto Wednesday!

The Standard: 300 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 4-3, -3 units

Units remaining: 303

6/24/09

$200 LAD/ChW UNDER 9

Top total as Wolf and Floyd face off. I like both of these starters and what they have done recently. The bullpens have done a bang up job as well. Wolf was on a tear early this season and simmered of late allowing 11 ERs over 2 starts not long ago but has bounced back. He gave up 0 ERs in Texas of all places, and 1 ER vs. Oak. He still holds a 2.28 ERA on the road this season and has proven he can hang with MLBs top pitchers. Floyd has also been on a tear of his own of late allowing only 1 ER in each of his last 3 starts. He holds a 2.68 ERA at home and a 1.25 ERA in his last 3. After a shaky s tretch he has settled in with 6 straight quality starts in my opinion. Opponents have only put up 10 runs in his recent 5 home outings so look for this one to finish under the 9 with room to spare.

$200 San Fran +105

Gio Gonzalez will take the place for Outman who will miss tonight due to elbow issues. Randy Johnson will go for SF. RJ allowed just 2 ERs in his mtg with Oakland this season at home. On the road I see him having an even better outing. Gonzalez has been awful as a starter and reliever. He has a 7.27 ERA as reliever, and last season as starter allowed 29 ERs in 28 inngs. Opponents totaled 50 runs in 7 starts last year. He may pitch better at home as alot of those starts were based on the road, but the guy has yet to prove himself. He would need a solid 1 or 2 ER outing to beat Johnson tonight. I would expect a move favoring SF in this one but take them with the plus money as they should win based on pitching as they did last night.

$200 Seattle -135

Morrow has looked shaky in the past but this season looks better as far as runs allowed. He just needs to go deeper. Two of Morrows final 3 starts of 2008 were 6 ER performances but this season looks sharp only allowing 3 ERs in his 2 outings. Yes he has only pitched 7 innings, but his team will back him tonight facing Josh Geer. The run support was shaky for Morrow as Seattle only scored 3 runs in those starts and lost both games. I think with SD in town and a ton of run scoring last night will send this one into possible hibernation. I dont see many runs being scored by SD tonight. Geer may not be as good on the road against Seattle. He allowed 3 runs last mtg this year but opponents have scored 29 runs in his last 3 rd starts, and 42 runs over his last 5 on rd.

$100 Minnesota -115

Minnesota pitching has slowly caught fire of late and Blackburn is another example. He is 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA in his last 3 ballgames. He has climbed the ladder in his last 3 outings going 7,8 and 9 innings respectively. Milwaukee struggled against the bullpen and struggled after the first couple innings last night. That will likely continue with Blackburn on the hill. Both Blackburn and his opposition Looper, have had one career start against the respective opponent. Neither looked sharp. Looper will continue to struggle as he has given up 11 ERs in his last 2 games. Not even 10 innings pitched over those 2. Minny should easily get 5-6 runs and that should be enough to win this one.

$100 Cincy/Tor OVER 8.5

This has risen at most books during the completion of this write-up. The move will not matter in the slightest. Opened at 8.5 runs and is on the rise. These teams easily hit an over last night and will do the same tonight. I would guarantee double digits in this one as Arroyo will face Richmond. Both starters have a 4+ ERA in each of their last 3 including on the road and home for the season respectively in this spot. Arroyo has given up 5 or more runs in 3 of his last 4 on road. He also allowed 10 ERs in his meeting in Toronto last meeting, last year. He may have a stronger outing than last but will still be tagged for several. Richmond has also given up 5 ERs in 2 of his last 3 home outings. Opponents average almost 6 runs per game over his last 5 starts. Look for at least a dozen to cross in this game.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

Write-ups are a little shorter than usual based off an early card today. All sides are action, totals listed starters.

The Standard: 300 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 3-2, +1.75 units

Units remaining: 301.25

6/25/09

$200 St.Louis -115

$100 StL/NYM Under 7

Johan Santana has not looked the same of late. Seems like he is fighting the losing battle with many of his teammates out of action. It is showing on the mound. The Mets cruised 11-0 last night so look for them to be dormant today in a revenge game for STL. Especially with Carpenter going. Opponents are averaging 2.5 runs per game when Carpenter starts, and that includes his 3 inning short outing this season. Carp has allowed 10 ERs in 9 starts this season. Johan will do battle today and bring his best but it wont be enough. Look for a 3-2 final. Mets were 22-12 in Santana starts LY. Only 7-11 in games where Santana was dog or was laying less than -170. TY Mets are 8-6 with him as starter, 4-4 as dogs or faves less than -170 and are 1-3 in his last 4 outings.

$200 Kansas City +105

This one likely should go over the total but more importantly KC should be able to get plenty of runs and win this one easy. Bannister faces Moehler. Moehler has a 9+ ERA at home this season and stands at 0-3 there. With some low outputs in the first 2 games look for KC to especially put up a bunch. Bannister has shown good signs lately and has looked sharp in his last 3 games. It is the pen that has failed him. That will not happen today.

$200 Cubs -110

Lilly has a 2.21 ERA over his last 3. Galarraga has struggled mightily since early in the year. Galarraga has only pitched 6 total innings in his last 2 outings. I played to victory in the last Galarraga outing, now I will fade him today. Cubbies will stop the road sweep in Detroit and get some revenge from the first 2 in this series.

$200 NYY/Atlanta UNDER 8.5

Pettitte and Lowe will face off in the rubber-match series game. NY won last night with 4 late inning rallies for runs. Braves gave that one away. These starters should keep runs off the board as long as things dont get sloppy like last night. Lowe has struggled of late, so I would lean Yanks here. Overall Pettitte has dominated road opponents of late and the Yanks would have only gotten a couple last night if the Braves didnt fork over about 5 runs. Neither team has been able to put up tons lately and that will continue tonight in a 4-2 ballgame.

$200 Texas/Arizona OVER 9.5

Texas comes off the win last night looking for run scoring. Tonight they may get it as they face Garland who has a 7.82 home ERA. He allowed 20 ERs against Texas last year in just 3 starts. This year opponents at home have put up nearly 10 runs per game in Garlands last 3 at home. Overall at home on the year, opponents have scored 52 runs in his 7 home outings. A weak home starter and a weak bullpen equals a ton of run scoring coming off a 2-1 game the night before.

$200 Cincy +120

How could one pass up Cueto as a dog tonight over Brett Cecil who has not looked that great. Cueto has allowed 5 ERs in his last 4 road outings. The bullpen remains to be seen to see how well they will perform tonight. But even in those games opponents averaged 4 runs per. I would certainly ride against the public here, as they weigh heavy on Cecil who has allowed 11 ERs in his last 2 outings. Cincy should put up 3-4 alone on Cecil and take this one by a run or two.

$300 Washington +110

Smoltz makes his Sox debut tonight in Washington, a place he has succeeded in the past. The thing is, he may be rusty, he may not be able to go too long tonight. There is value on the Nats as home dogs tonight with the public heavy on Boston. If Smoltz goes 3 innings with pain or stiffness(highly possible) the Nats could have an easy night. Oh, and Jordan Zimmermann has not been pitching that bad recently and this could set up a big outing for him. Home dog to take the final game in this series.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 300 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 4-4, Even

Units remaining: 301.25

Three one run losses busted any chance of a profitable day with the late plays coming through for a save.

6/26/09

$500

Chisox +105

Washington +150

Houston +105

Tampa Bay -140

Analysis: The public loves the O's and the Tigers. I can personally see both teams losing today, and hopefully so as these are 2 of the 4 big ones tonight. O's were just swept, and the Nats have ultimately shown life in the 11th hour of their season. At a +150 there is no reason why this team can't win tonight. Their bullpen has done much better against two of the AL's best in the Yanks and Sox. Detwiler has been impressive and I like him over Bergeson tonight as things are clicking for the Nats. Detroit is overvalued tonight as road faves after sweeping a lowly Cubs ballclub. I expect Wandy Rod to come out and outperform Verlander for the win. Speaking of the Cubs, they can not seem to win ballgames of late. Swept by Detroit when 2 of the games were in reach for wins until they folded up shop. This afternoon Contreras will have his way with these Cubs and keep them on the losing path. Finally, the Rays have shown some life as have the Marlins. Should be a close call tonight, but I have found that teams going on the road after facing a weak opponent at home struggle. I expect the fish will struggle tonight after a seemingly easy series with Baltimore.

$300

Texas -1.5(-115)

SD/Tex Under 10.5

Oakland -140

Analysis: Looking to get at least 2 of 3 of these, but 3-0 would be nice. Millwood should be this heavy of a fave tonight at home as he has been dominant in this ballpark. The Pads are just awful and send Walter Silva to the hill. Silva and the Pads allow 5 or more each time he starts. With Texas getting the offense going this should be a 5+ run margin. Millwood should not allow more than a couple tonight unless this one gets sloppy, hence the only chance of an over hitting. Like the under as I see no more than 9 coming in. Besides for a 9 run outburst the other night, the Pads have scored 26 runs in the last 10 games. As far as the Rockies and their 17 wins in 18 games streak is all but over losing 2 straight. They head into another seemingly weak series with Oakland and Brett Anderson who pitched well last time out despite losing. Rocks are on the downswing now and will struggle to hit Anderson. Public favors Colorado heavily, as +130 dogs but there is a reason why this line is what it is. Let us not forget that. When a line sometimes looks to good to be true it is.

$100

Bos/Atl Under 8

Fla/TB Under 8

Analysis: Small plays on these two totals for a few reasons... Beckett has absolutely owned Atlanta in years past. It seems like whether it is 2008 or 2003, his stats dont change much vs. Braves. He has alot of 0's when facing Atlanta as far as ERs go so look for Atlanta to struggle for runs after putting up close to double digits last night. This stays under with a greatly contested game by Jurrjens and an error free effort by Escobar and the Braves fielders. Johnson will face Shields and these guys steadily put up good numbers in Tampa. Shields obviously is the good guy at home and Johnson and the fish see opponents putting up an average of 3 regularly on the road. I see a 4-3 game at best here tonight as long as the bullpens finish strong.

 

[derek245583]

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 300 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 4-5, -4.35 units

Units remaining: 305.60

6/27/09

$400 San Fran/Milwaukee OVER 9

$400 Wsh/Balt UNDER 10.5

$400 Cincy/Cleve UNDER 10.5

$300 Oakland -130

$200 Florida/Tampa Bay UNDER 9.5

$200 Seattle/LA Dodgers UNDER 7.5

$100 Yanks/Mets UNDER 9

 

[The Platinum Standard]

6-1 for 13+ units yesterday. Hopefully this is the new beginning.

Instead of posting the 300 units as the goal, which might be misleading, I am back to the 200 showing I am down 92 units since the start as I try to climb my way back.

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 6-1, +13.10 units

Units remaining: 292.50

6/28/09

$300 Milwaukee -150

$300 Houston +125

$300 Philly/Toronto OVER 10

$100 Colorado/Oakland UNDER 7.5

$1000 NY Yankees -130

The New Yorks will face for the last time in 2009 most likely. Wang will go for the Yanks while Hernandez counters to try to get the Mets a win in the series. Mets are still in a bad way without their stars. When they return, maybe they can make a run, but until then...For now the Mets will struggle until that can become a reality. The Yanks have owned the Mets at the plate. Wang has seemingly gotten better with each start despite his 11+ ERA on the year. His last 2, were nearly identical with 3 ERs, 4 Ks, 6 hits allowed over 5 inngs. NYY lost both of those gms. Hernandez has not had luck vs. Yanks. His recent 3 show him allowing 6 runs on average in 5 innings. Yanks will stay hot, get a good enough outing from Wang, and sweep the Mets in the final IL game of 09.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 2-3, +0.2 units

Units remaining: 292.30

6/29/09

(70%+ angles should hit 6 of next 8 sides)

$500 Washington +170

Nats have a 10-0 angle backing them tonight with this one, as this is my strongest of the evening in terms of probable win pct. The Nats are coming off the win while Florida was swept on the road. The public will over-value the home team in this situation in which they are. The Nats are getting good dog money as Olsen returns to face his old club. The motivational factor is in efeect, not to mention a revenge angle that shows the Nats blew 3 possible wins against this Marlins team earlier this season. Nats pen has been performing much better at this point in time and this time I see them holding onto a win. Should be a tight contest either way. Nats by a run.

$500 NY Mets +120

Mets gave us a 10 unit winner last night but after another embarrassing loss to the Yanks, they will be hungry for blood tonight against Braden Looper. The one bright spot for the Mets right now is their rotation as Redding, Hernandez and now Nieve, who goes tonight, have been key. No run support is killing this team. I feel if they can get at least 3-4 off Loop tonight, they should handle the Brewers in the first game of this series. After being held to a handful of hits over the last couple games look for the Metropolitans to fire up on all cylinders tonight and get this much needed road win.

$500 Toronto -150

Halladay will be back tonight for Toronto as he has missed time recently. The Jays host the Rays in game 1 of this set. Toronto needs Roy to get back into the groove he has been in. Halladay, hurt or not, is a must play at home laying only minimal chalk here tonight as he is 10-1 on the year. He is 6-1 with a 3.00 ERA at home, while his opposition has struggled of late. Niemann has given up 9 ERs in his last 3, with 2 of those on the road. Now that isnt terrible but it is when you discuss the fact he has only gone less thab 13 innings over those 3 starts. If he does not give TB a good strong long outing tonight, they will not have a chance. Toronto should be able to outscore the Rays, and if they get Niemann out early they will have a field day on the shaky Rays pen. Toronto by a couple.

$500 Detroit -110

Porcello is a must play off the win yesterday where he is superb on the road. Anderson has struggled at home all year and is 1-4 with a 5+ ERA there. Oakland is usually a pitcher friendly park but Anderson would not agree. Opponents have scored 3 or less in 8 of Porcellos last 10 starts. Oakland has scored 3 or less in 4 of their last 5 at home so there are no guarantees of a big night. Detroit should win this by 3 or more based on the numbers of both teams pitching and hitting. Oakland has also lost by 2.5 runs average in their last 5 gms during their losing streak.

$500 LA Dodgers -110

Someone needs to stop the Rockies before they cruise to a wild card berth and claim another NL championship. The competition has not been strong for Colorado as they have faced some weak clubs and good ballclubs that were slumping. They lost the series to a hot Angles team, and the LAD rank up there. LA has lost 4 of 5 but have yet to lose 3 straight games all year let alone 3 straight at home. They swept Colorado last time here, outscoring them 27-10 in a 3 game series. Wolf is on a bounce-back, and considering this Dodger team pounded Jimenez last time puts a damper on the Rockies winning yet again. Rocks are 1-4 in Jimenezs last 5 road starts. Colorado swept on the road and stay on the road, a place where LA has won 26 of 38. LA by a few.

$500 Texas -120

$200 LAA/Tex Under 10.5

This game is off a similar scenario as the Marlins fade was the other night. Marlins had an easy opponent and went on the road to face a tougher team. Same here as the Angels took care of business at Arizona and now face a division rival in Texas. The Rangers are coming off a slump with hitting besides for two games ago where they scored 12. This one should go under the total of a steep 10.5, where both of Texas totals went under in their last couple. Sully goes for the Angels while Padilla starts for Texas. Both starters have done exceptional this year, mind you Sully has only two starts, but impressive. Sully has not faced a line-up quite like this and if Texas can put up 4-5 they should easily take this one. I see a 5-3 final here.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 2-5, -22 units

Units remaining: 314.30

6/30/09

$500 Arizona -130

As bad as the Backs have looked I think they outmatch Arroyo and Cincy tonight. Arroyo has been awful over his last several especially at home.

$500 Seattle +220

Big chance here as Morrow comes off the decent outing. He previously held the Yanks to 1 ER over 7 innings. I won't be shocked if the result is the same tonight. Yanks have played weak slumping teams lately, way overvalued.

$300 Cubs/Pirates OVER 8

Lilly is coming off a rough start and I look for him to struggle tonight. No evidence states this will be a low scoring game. Both sides would need to not hit and pitchers would need great outings. Don't see it. Look for at least 9 in this one, 5-4.

$200 LAA/Texas OVER 10.5

Look at Saunders and Feldman in this park against these rosters and you would agree. Coming off a low scoring game yesterday, Sauders has struggled against Tex for the most part and this one should see 13-15.

$200 Boston -120

Worth the shot with Sox as small road faves coming off win last night. Smoltz got the rust out after a rough outing last time. He will bounce back strong tonight being undervalued. Hill has been a nice fill for the O's but has struggled in home starts this year.

$200 Philly +115

$100 Phi/Atlanta OVER 9

These teams will hit the ball in this game. Philly seems to be scoring again and Lowe has struggled. Blanton has been great lately but has not had success with Atlanta. Philly will get it done on Atlanta's pen late in this one. Look for at least 12 scored tonight.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 2-4-1, -5.7 units

Units remaining: 320

I am happy that June is over. Gives me a fresh start for a new month and hopefully these 1 run losses stop over the next 60+ days. The losses have been nothing short of brutal, capping off with Philly pitching in a non force situation with runners in scoring position and one out(lousy call). How about Seattle coming back twice but falling short in NY. Morrow got out of trouble several times. They had opportunity. Lastly, was that really Boston who blew a 10-1 lead in the bottom of the 7th and 8th innings last night. Come on. It doesn't get much worse when the capping is dead to rights and you still somehow seem to lose. Best call of the night was the Texas over which came in right in the middle of the 13-15 predicted runs in a 9-5 final. Let's get July rolling.

$1000 Toronto +115

Jays look to avoid being swept today and with Ricky Romero on the mound it is very possible that the Jays accomplish this task at hand. Romero has allowed just 10 ERs in 31 innings at home this year. He has allowed 3 or less ERs in 8 of his last 10. Dominant all year long so far. James Shields counters for the Rays who look to win their 8th straight. Shields usually pitches well vs. Toronto but the Jays finished with 13 runs in his last 2 outings while his previous 6 to those starts saw the jays total 18 runs. If the Jays can hit today and give Romero run support this one is in the bag. Jays are winless in their last 10 games when they average less than .250 hitting for the game. They need hits today and will get them. Jays 4-3.

$100 NYM/Mil OVER 7.5

The Mets have just been awful of late. Their lack of hitting is now bleeding into their pitching as Nieve and Santana struggled recently vs. Brew. Today Pelfrey has his turn. He allowed 4 ERs in 5 innings last time out vs. Milwaukee. Gallardo goes for Milwaukee and shut down the Mets this season over 6 strong innings of 5 hit ball. Brew won that one 1-0. This time around the Mets should muster up a couple at least but it is the Brewers that should send this one over the total. These teams equalled 25 runs already in this series. I dont see the run scoring stopping today. I just hope this is not one of those 2-1 games going into the 7th. Should see at least 9 here.

$300 Arz/Cin UNDER 8.5

Garland and Cueto look to continue the trend of unders these teams have played for years. I feel that this one should see at most 7 runs tonight keeping this one under the 8.5 listed. Garland is doing a much better job on the road compared to at home. He only has a 2.60 ERA away from home, and has looked sharp overall in 2 of his last 3. The problem is run support as the D-Backs have been outscored 55-31 in the 8 previous losses with Garland on the hill. As a team the backs are 2-8 in Garland's last 10 starts. Look for Cincy to win and get revenge after last night but still keeping this one under. Cueto has allowed just 5 ERs in his 3 starts vs. Arz and the D-Backs have scored just 6 total in those games.

$200 Chisox/Cle UNDER 9.5

One of the better totals on the board for today. Contreras has been superb lately as has Sowers. Contreras has allowed 7 ERs over his last 4 games. Sowers is coming off a stunning start at home vs. Cincy. Contreras has pretty much owned Cleveland over his last 4 meetings. How about 4 ERs in those games including both in Cleveland were shutouts. Cleveland has averaged 2 runs per game in those previous meetings. Sowers did allow 5 ERs at home this year to this Sox club but allowed just 2 ERs in his last meeting with them. Unless the pens fail in this one these starters will likely keep this one under.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 3-1, +15.4 units

Currently: -104.6 units

Units remaining: 304.6

Great way to kick off July, going 3-1 last night for 15+ units. Hopefully this month will reverse mirror June. 61 days remaining, a good two full months. Totals have been the hotter of the selections placed. A tally of 11-3-1 in roughly a weeks time for nearly 20 units in profit. Hopefully sides will start doing the same.

7/2/09

$300 Kansas City +135

The Royals are going to give comebacker Bruce Chen another shot tonight. The White Sox look to continue their hot hitting when they travel to KC. Chisox may be overvalued today, coming off the travel after game with a lowly Cleveland club. Royals can hit the ball and should have some success vs. Buehrle. I like the home dog in this spot. All signs point to the Sox as they come off the sweep, playing a team that has struggled, and face a pitcher who gave up 4 on the road last time out. All of those facts have little significants. What is of greater importance is the fact that all signs point to Chicago as an easy win tonight. I doubt that as we have not seen Chen at home. KC lost a home series and will look to win at home here. Play the home dog tonight.

$300 Atlanta -135

$200 Phi/Atl UNDER 8

Look for the Braves to rid themselves completely of their previous slumping losing streak as they have outplayed the Phillies in the first two looking to make it 3 for 3. Vasquez will take the bump for the Braves where he has dominated lately. Especially against Philly in his last 3, which were on the road, just 8 ERs allowed in a hitter friendly park. Opponents have scored a combined 14 runs in his last 6 home starts. He will go pretty deep and limit the pen work which has done a good job of late. Happ will counter for Philly, but this team has lacked run support for their starters. In their last 10, minus the two 10 run outbursts, they average less than 3 runs per game. Happ has just allowed 2 ERs in 2 starts vs. Atlanta in his career. Braves get more on the board, 3-2.

$200 St.Louis -130

Cards get a win after the win tonight as Wellemeyer faces Zito. Surprisingly both starters have good numbers against these opponents. Zito has only allowed 9 ERs in his last 3 vs. STL and Wellemeyer has allowed 6 ERs in 3 starts vs. SF. The key here is that the SF bullpen has always struggled in Zito outings vs. this Cards team. They gave up 7 runs in the last 2 meetings, all in less than 6 innings. Cards averaged 7 runs over the last two meetings with Zito. Wellemeyer has stifled SF two of three outings. Should see a very lopsided contest tonight. Cards by 4 or more. Runline may be more of a lucrative wager.

$200 Seattle +1.5(+115)

The Mariners have fought to try and take a game from the Yanks. They keep coming up short. In gm 1, they tied the game twice. After the second tie, they gave it up in the bottom of the inning. Last night they did the same exact thing. Tonight they send Vargas to the hill to try and get the Ms in the win column vs. NY. Sabathia will be the home starter. CC has impressed me lately, as has Vargas. The difference is Vargas has not shown good road numbers. The Ms are due for a solid outing from a starter as Morrow and Wash did not do enough. Opponents are averaging 5 runs per game with Vargas on road. CC will not give up much but I am banking that Vargas steps up and the Ms keep this close. They lost gm 1 by 3, and by 2 runs last night. Hoping the pattern continues.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 4-1, +6.30 units

Currently: -98.3 units

Units remaining: 298.3

7/3/09

Making progress in July...A 7-2 mark over the first 2 days for over 21 units of profit. Let's see if the month of July does a complete 360 of how June went. So far no complaints. Totals with the win last night are 12-3-1 over the last week and 16 plays. Again, alot better than sides are doing. Everything but the Royals game was on point last night.

Write-ups to follow later today but I am listing the plays now for line movement especially on totals.

$200 Toronto +170

Yanks come off the loss. Look for the Jays to start winning again somewhat as they come off the win and face Burnett who they got 5 runs off of last time they met. Tallet has not really had a bad showing as Jays starter, and held the Yanks to 2 runs in his lone meeting with them. Again, Yanks at home, alot of value on the dog in this spot.

$200 STL -1.5(+125)

$100 STL/CIN OVER 9.5

$100 SEA/BOS UNDER 8.5

$500 Oakland +110

$200 Oakland/Cleveland Over 9

$500 Atlanta -125

$500 Pittsburgh +145

$500 Philly -140

 

[The Platinum Standard]

Here are the write-ups for the late MLB games:

$200 St. Louis -1.5(+125)

$100 St. Louis/Cincy OVER 9.5

Joel Pineiro has succeeded in Cincy and in his last 4 against the Reds he has allowed 9 ERs in 24 innings. Bailey has struggled against STL and has not had any success at home. Opponents have ran up the scoreboard on Bailey and the Reds bullpen putting up 40 total runs in the last 6 home starts. Look for the Cards to get busy with the bats today. Bailey has not seen many trips to the mound vs. STL. He has less than 4 innings pitched in both his previous home outings vs. Cards. Look for him to continue with the struggles. Cards should be able to get 7-9 in this one and the Reds should not see more than 4 today. Cards should take this by several. Prediction 9-4.

$100 Seattle/Boston UNDER 8.5

King Felix is back. Hernandez has shut down the opposition of late and has cruised in Fenway in the past. He is 2-0 in his last 3 outings with a 0.74 ERA. He also is not too shabby on the road with a 1.72 ERA and a 5-1 record away from home. Felix has allowed just 7 hits in his 2 starts in Boston and has not allowed a run there. He has struggled at home vs. Sox but obviously different ballparks give different results. Red Sox will struggle for runs today and so will Seattle. The Ms have only scored 26 runs in the 6 road starts by Hernandez. Wakefield has also posted just 3 ERs allowed in his last 15 innings vs. Seattle. Look for 5 at most.

$500 Oakland +110

$200 Oakland/Cleveland Over 9

Trevor Cahill looks to bounce back after a 7 ER allowance in his last start. The ball will travel today. Opponents average 5+ runs per game in Cahills last 10 outings. The As pen has also struggled in Cahill road outings. Cahill has a 4+ ERA on the road for the season. Huff has had a great run until his last outing where he allowed 6. Yes, and that was at home. The ball will fly today, as Cleveland has allowed 17 runs in Huffs last 2 home outings. This game should see a double digit figure, and Oakland should be able to score more than Cleveland in this one. Look for a 7-5 final.

$500 Atlanta -125

Kenshin Kawakami will lead the Braves to another win tonight as they face the Nats in the opening game of their series. Kawakami has had a great run allowing 3 or less ERs in 12 of his 14 starts. Since an 8 ER shelling in Cincy, he has settled in and has allowed 2 ERs in 6 of his last 10. Three of four previous road outings were 2 ER performances. The Braves have started making some real contact with the baseball and are finding ways to win ballgames. Look for them to at least get 5 somehow tonight, giving them the win in this one. I can see a 5-4 final here.

$500 Philly -140

Mets finally got some runs on the board yesterday but I see that fade into the night with having to face Lopez tonight. Rodrigo Lopez has not been seen in over a year, almost 2 years. The former Oriole was sent to Colorado, where he pitched very well. How about no more than 3 ERs in his last 5 outings as starter in Coors. Not bad. He should prosper in Philly as long as he stays healthy. I believe he will have a good return back tonight. Unless he exits early, the Phills should take this one easily as Livan Hernandez and his relievers have struggled on the road. In the last 6 road outings, opponents have put up 30 total runs on the Mets. Philly was also embarrassed in Atlanta where they won 20 of 27 previously. Look for them to take revenge on a weak Mets team at home.

$500 Pittsburgh +145

I will take my chances with Morton who is dogged today at Florida and Volstad. Morton allowed just 2 ERs in his last road outing in Colorado. Volstad has been too overvalued at home seeing as his ERA is 4.72 and over his last 3 games a whopping 7.47 ERA. Morton is familiar with Florida as he faced them 3 times while with the Braves. The Fish are just 3-7 in the last 10 games Volstad has started. I think the Pirates will get it done offensively and with Morton allowing just 5 ERs in 11 innings, I like the value here.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 6-3, +14.65 units

Currently: -83.65 units

Units remaining: 283.65

JULY 13-5, +36.35 units in 3 days

Totals run of 14-4-1 last 19 plays

7/4/09

Just a few more winning days like the last 3, and I will be on my way. How about that STL game turning around from having 2 losses to 2 wins. Braves fought for the win, and totals go 2-1 to stay hot last night. Small card for Saturday, hoping to go at least 2 of 3.

$500 Atlanta/Washington UNDER 8.5

Has anyone else liked what Tommy Hanson has brought to the Braves rotation? I sure do. It is about time! Once Hudson gets back to full strength the Braves will have one of the best starting 5 in the league. All they need are some guys that can swing lumber and get runs across. Recently that has not been an issue. Against Lannan Saturday, they may go back to struggling. Both starters have a combined 3.56 ERA in this spot. Hanson a 1.54 on road and Lannan a 2.02 at home. Lannan has allowed just 8 ERs over his last 5 home outings. Braves have scored just 6 runs total in his 2 outings against them this season. Just 1 run in Washington. Hanson has never faced Wsh, but has allowed 2 ERs in 2 road starts and has not allowed a run over his last 3 gms over 17+ innings. Look for 5 runs at best.

$200 Pittsburgh/Florida OVER 8.5

I look at these team and starters and say 8.5 runs, are you kidding me? These teams hit the over in game 1 of their series and will do it again Saturday as Duke faces A.Miller. These teams will put up runs in this series. Duke holds a better home ERA and I feel too much weight is based on how well he has pitched at home. In Duke starts, opponents have averaged about 5 runs over his last 3 outings and the same over his last 4 on road. Duke gave up 6 ERs in his last mtg with FLA back in 2007. Florida should put up 6-7 in this one. Miller has not had much backing from his bullpen as he has only allowed 12 ERs over his last 6 at home but opponents scored a total of 27 runs in those gms. Miller already faced Pit this year allowing 4 ERs en route to a 8-0 loss. This one hits about a dozen.

$200 Tampa/Texas OVER 11

Texas totals have been the cornerstone of my totals rally I have going. Already 2 wins this week looking for the hat trick. After a low scoring game the other night Texas opened the flood gates with run scoring going over in two straight. Now a similar low output in the first of this series. I expect these teams will do some damage offensively, especially with Price and Holland facing off. Price has pitched good in several starts but his lack to go deep has given the pen a chance to blow it. In 2 of the 4 road starts this year for Price, the bullpen had a collapse. Price will not last long and Texas will tag the TB pen. Holland has suffered at home allowing 1 ER per home inning roughly. Both teams should put up a half dozen each with a total of 14 or more at the finish!

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 2-1, +4.80 units

Currently: -78.85 units

Units remaining: 278.85

JULY 15-6, +41.15 units in first 4 days

Totals run of 16-5-1 last 22 plays

7/5/09

Last Sunday there were a few games that were lost late giving me a 2-3 finish to the day. Could've easily went 4-1 and I am hoping this cinderella week continues today, keeping the July run piping hot!

$1000 Boston -270

Never really like laying the big chalk on games, but this systematic play comes with a rate of high return regardless of line. Personally Morrow will struggle against this Sox line-up. He has failed to go deep in games and although he is no longer on a strict pitch count he still gets into trouble and leaves the pen to clean up. The Sox will be doing the cleaning up. Lester has had rough times vs. Seattle but has never faced them at home. Should be a good outing for him, but I do like runs to be scored in this one. Lean to the over and the runline may be wiser for some. I rarely play RLs as my selections are based off of MLs only. Sox have won 5 of the last 6 games that Lester had started. Morrow is 0-3 on the road this season.

$200 Chisox/Royals OVER 9

This game has the most appealing total to me for the day. Bannister has proven he struggles against the Sox. Bannister has given up 5+ ERs in his previous 6 of 7 meetings with the White Sox. This year he gave up 7 in a 11-2 loss. Opponents have averaged 5-6 runs over his last 10 outings and the Sox average 7 runs per game in his last 10 meetings with them. Richard has not pitched well of late, only pitching in 28+ innings in his last 6 outings. He has only gone 6 or more in his last 3 of 6 road starts. KC has not hit the ball well nor have they scored tons of runs lately, but they scored 14 in a Richard outing last season. They managed just 2 runs in his one start against them this year. One of these guys will struggle today, leading to 13 or more runs!

$200 Cards/Reds UNDER 8.5

Caught this one in the nick of time, as this game has risen from a 7.5 to an 8.5 quickly. No one has much faith in Arroyo I guess. After all he has taken a beaten lately, allowing 5 ERs or more in 4 of his last 6 outings. However, he also is 7-1-1 to the under in his last 9 outings vs. STL. We know how well Carpenter can pitch. He already went the distance vs. Cincy this season allowing 1 run. I expect him to have a similar outing. This total will ride on the shoulders of Arroyo, who has only allowed 9 ERs in his last 5 home outings vs. STL. Reds are also 5-1-1 to the under in their last 7 games and have played to the under 11 more times than the over this season. Look for 5-7 in this one.

$200 Rays/Rangers UNDER 9.5

$300 Texas +115

Looking for a fourth straight win with a Texas total. Tonight I lean back to the under after flip flopping back and forth. This team is the best under team in the league, which is surprising at 29-47-3 on the year. Tampa comes into this one at 9-20 in the last 29 in Texas. They struggle to win here. Texas has Feldman facing off with Garza. You will slowly see the 10s and 11s fade down to 9 and 9.5 run totals. Garza is 1-1 in Texas including a 7-0 shutout win in his last meeting with them. Feldman allowed 2 ERs in 7 innings in his only home meeting with the Rays. Opponents have scored 17 runs total in the last 6 games Feldman has started at home. I expect this one to see a 3-2 game midway or even late. Look for the Rangers to continue the winning ways as they should win this one 4-3.

 

[Romulan]

Good Info keep it up

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 3-1-1, +13.25 units

Currently: -65.6 units

Units remaining: 265.6

18-7-1, +54.4 units in first 5 days of July

Totals run of 17-6-2 last 25.

7/6/09

$300 NY Yankees -145

$200 Tor/NYY Under 9.5

The Yanks look for the sweep from Jays who have gone 2-8 in their last 10 gms. Pettitte is 8-3 on the season. Pettitte has only allowed 6 ERs in his last 3 outings, 9 ERs in his last 3 at home. The Jays slumping offense needs to give Romero a cushion. After a few high scoring games these teams will come back to reality and struggle to get runs today. Romero has been impecable. He is 6-3(2.85) on the year but is 3-0, with a 0.82 ERA over his last 3. Jays have won the last 4 Romero has started but played TB who has scored 11 runs in their last 5 gms, the Nats(say no more), and Philly two times, a team that had lost 12 of 17 before the Mets series and scored 4 runs or less in 16 of their last 28. Does not say much for Romero and his stats.

$400 Cincy +155

Cueto faces Hamels. I like what Cueto has brought to the table in Cincy, and Hamels, well we know what he can do. Just have not seen much of that this season. Nothing to like about Philly. The public may think they are hot now after dropping a plenty over the last 30 days but they swept the Mets. Swept a team that has not been able to score enough to win games. Philly still lacked run support in that series. Hamels may be fighting injury and playing through it which could be why he is struggling this year. I think the Reds are a live dog in this spot. If things are normal in this one, we could witness a 4-3 game but I have a strange feel that this one could get out of hand. Play the plus money tonight as the Reds steal this one from the Phills on the road!

$500 LA Angels -150

This is a rematch from last week, one that Millwood and the Rangers won by a score of 9-7. Jered Weaver has been a home workhorse at 5-1 with a 1.68 ERA in LA. Weaver has only allowed 3 ERs in his previous 3 home mtgs with Tex. Rangers have won 3 of the last 4 Millwood has started vs. LAA, but previously were just 2-6. This time around, the public will perceive a result similar to the last meeting between these starters. I disagree with that. Weaver has the edge at home. Millwood has weaker numbers on the road. Texas is just 2-5 in Millwood road starts this year. LA has won 12 of their last 15 games following a win, and have won 8 of the last 9 opening series games.

$200 SD/Arizona OVER 10

Jon Garland has been anything but great this season, especially at home. Walter Silva will match-up against Garland. Both of these starters have been horrendous in this spot. Garland has a 7.51 home ERA, while Silva has a 16.71 ERA on the road. Both starters have a combined WHIP of 3.45 which means there will possibly be a lot of base runners. In Garlands last 4 home outings, opponents combined for 38 total runs. Garland allowed 33 total hits over those 4 outings at home in less than 20 innings of work. Garland allowed 6 ERs in his last meeting with the Pads, this season, in a 6-3 loss. Silva has gone over in his two road starts this year. The over has hit in 13 of the last 16 meetings between these clubs. Opponents have averaged 7 runs per game over Silvas 5 outings this year.

$200 KC/Detroit UNDER 9

Both the Tigers and Royals have struggled for runs lately. The Royals have scored 27 runs in their last 10, and 12 of those came in the last 2 gms. Detroit has only scored 38 in their last 10 but more importantly, they have scored more than 4 runs only in 3 of those recent 10 games. Last season these teams had a span of 9 of 10 games that went under. Gil Meche(4-8, 4.20) faces Galarraga(5-7, 5.34). Meche has had tremendous success vs. Det on the road allowing 9 ERs in his last 5 in Detroit. Galarraga is 2-0 in his last 3 starts and looks to be back. Armando has not had trouble facing the Royals. In 3 career outings the Royals managed just 5 total runs. Look for this one to finish in the 6 run range in 4-2 fashion, keeping this one well under the total.

 

[Romulan]

Bump for the great info for us that have 0% knowledge on baseball.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 3-3, -1.55 units

Currently: -67.15 units

Units remaining: 267.15

21-10-1, +52.85 units in first 6 days of July

Totals run of 19-7-2 last 28.

First losing day of July, only 1.55 units. I pulled the trigger on the Yanks total late, and it cost me a winning day. I had that total and the Astros total going under but trimmed the card to 5 plays, then adding the Yankee under. I never felt like posting back here for just one play on the Astros game. Still plenty of days left but it could very well come down to a little mistake like that causing a pass or fail for this thread!

7/7/09

$500 LA Dodgers -135

Kershaw(5-5, 3.49 ERA) will try to keep the Mets slumping as he will face Pelfrey(6-3, 4.26 ERA). The Mets have lacked pitching and of course the lumber at the plate. Pelfrey would certainly need one of his best outings of the year to come out victorious in this one. Pelfrey allowed 2 ERs over 7 innings in his home start last year vs. LA. The Mets are just 2-4 in his last 6 starts and opponents have scored 24 runs in his last 3 at home. LA has new life with Manny back, as they have scored 17 runs in his 3 games back while the previous 6 gms saw 16 total runs. That says a lot. Kershaw has gone 2-0(1.00) in his last 3. Opponents have scored 3 or less runs in 6 of his last 8 outings, and he has allowed just 2 ERs in his last 24 innings. Mets slide continues.

$500 TB Rays -185

This line has crept down from the opening of over -200 for Shields and the Rays. Primarily for the fact that the Rays will not face Brad Mills tonight. Instead, Rzepczynski, tough to spell, will get his first start. Either way, the Rays are miserable after losing to the Rangers in all 3 games. They will get a measure of revenge tonight. Shields has not pitched bad against the jays and I feel if Tampa can put up at least 5-6 in this one they will win it easily. More and more shy away from this game, because of the dominant pitching that has come up into the majors this year, but for every star there is a not so hot prospect. Tampa by 3.

$200 Boston -1.5(-120)

Not taking the juice as the Sox have been sour lately losing some games they should have won. The way things are looking with the Eveland, and Beckett match-up they should win this by 4+ tonight. Dana Eveland has struggled lately, allowing 7 ERs in his last outing and has allowed 4 or more ERs in 4 of his last 6. Not to mention in 2 starts he allowed 14 ERs to the Sox. Beckett doesnt need an explanation as he has proven he can pitch, especially at home. Against Oakland, the As have managed just 12 runs in his last 4 against him. Nothing proves that they will put up more runs than usual in this one. Beckett really has not changed over the course of those 3+ seasons. Look for an over in this one as Boston should roll 7-3 or 8-4.

$200 NY Yankees/Minnesota UNDER 9

Sabathia and Baker come into this game with nearly identical WHIP at 1.15 and 1.14 respectively. Sabathia comes off the rough outing against Seattle so I expect the bounce back. Since 2007, he has not allowed more than 2 ERs in any of the 6 starts vs. Min. CC has actually gone 17 straight innings with 0 ERs allowed vs. Minnesota. Baker is not too shabby either, as he has settled in nicely after the Twins were having trouble with starters early on. Baker had a rough May, but is cruising in June, not allowing more than 3 ERs in any of his 6 starts. He has not faced the Yanks since 06, where he allowed 2 ERs in 12 innings, allowing 5 hits in those 2 games with 8 Ks. It has been a few years, but Baker will control this game. Minny has gone 20-6-2 to the under, last 28 as dogs. 4-2 final.

$200 Baltimore/Seattle UNDER 8

The Ms will send Bedard to the hill to face off with Guthrie and the Os. In Guthries last 3, opponents have averaged 3 runs per game. All 3 games went under the total. Guthrie has only allowed 9 ERs in his previous 4 starts against Seattle, which has been a hair over 2 per outing. Seattle managed just 11 runs in those 4 gms, and all 4 of those starts went under by a combined 12.5 runs. That is clearing the under by 3 runs per game. Bedard has a 2.15 ERA at home this season. He has failed to allow the opposition more than 2 ERs at home all year. He already faced the Os this season, at home, only allowing 1 ER over 6+ innings of work. Bedard and the Ms have gone 4-1 to the under in his last 5 outings, which have usually been set at 7.5 runs. I expect a 3-2 final or similar to it.

 

[Romulan]

Nice calls yesterday, only ones that didnt hit was the unders and NY Yanks...

Your two big plays TB and Dodgers hit nicely.

Look forward to your views today!

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 3-2, +7.6 units

Currently: -59.55 units

Units remaining: 259.55

24-12-1, +60.45 units in first 7 days of July

Totals run of 19-9-2 last 30.

Sides 3-0 Wed, totals 0-2. Not a storybook Wednesday but completely flipped around the last days of June. Went from 6 under .500 in 3 final days in June to +12 over .500 in the first 7 days in July. A difference of a week makes a big impression.

Let's keep this going through the end of August!

7/8/09

$300 San Fran -115

$200 Florida/San Fran UNDER 8.5

Sadowski tries to keep the scoreless innings streak alive. Not every up and coming new face will have success like this. Sadowski has completely shut down the opposition. He has allowed 7 hits over 13 innings. Sadowski has a WHIP of 0.85 after the 2 starts. Volstad will try to out duel Sadowski but it wont be easy. He has allowed 16 ERs in his last 4 away from home. Volstad is 8-2-1 to the under in his last 11 as a plus money starter. He faced SF this season allowing just 2 ERs at home in a 2-1 final. The total will rest on Volstad, and if he can pitch similar to the last mtg, this one should clear the under easy. Florida has scored 38 over their last 10 games, and in their 7 other than the Nats series, just 22 runs. Roughly 3 RPG. If this occurs again the Giants win a low scoring contest.

$200 SD/Arizona OVER 9

The over is 14-4, last 18 mtgs, and 58 runs were scored in the previous 5 in Arizona. Both starters help vouch for an over today. Gaudin has a 5.23 ERA on road, while M.Scherzer has a 5.40 ERA at home. Gaudin has allowed 12 ERs in his 2 mtgs with Zona while Scherzer has allowed just 2 ERs in his 2, but the relief has allowed 9 runs in those 2 ballgames. All four games these guys pitched in went over. Opponents have brought in 29 runs total in Scherzers last 5. Between all of the 4 starts in this series between these starters, there were 45 totals runs in those games, averaging 11 per. Even if each starter gives up a few each, the relief should allow at least 3-4 putting this one at the 10+ run mark. Zona has averaged 7.5 RPG over Gaudins last 2, and SD averaged 5.5 RPG in Scherzers last 2.

$200 Boston -165

Wakefield will look to master the As for a third straight time Wednesday. Wake is 6-0 at home this year. The As have only scored 3 total runs in his last 2 outings against them. Tim didnt allow a run in his lone home start vs. Oak last season. This year he went the distance in Oakland allowing 2 ERs. Oakland has only scored a total of 14 runs in his 4 outings previous to today. Cahill will go for the As, and after 7 consecutive quality starts, his recent 2 outings were anything but quality. He allowed 12 ERs over 7 and a third, and the opponents put up a combined 26 runs in those games. Opponents have scored 36 runs in his last 4. Wakefield is on the bounce-back and is 3-1 in a bounce-back effort on the season. Sox have also outscored Oakland in the last 5 Fenway mtgs by a 24-13 margin.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)

Yesterday: 2-2, -1.65 units

Currently: -61.20 units

Units remaining: 261.20

26-14-1, +58.80 units in first 8 days of July

Totals run of 20-10-2 last 32.

7/9/09

$1000 NY Yankees -105

Minnesota will try its best to stop a home sweep vs. Yanks today but will come up short. I know Liriano faced the Yanks earlier this season allowing just 1 ER on the road, but Liriano has not been the dominant pitcher he once was. He is 4-8 on the season with a 5.5 ERA just about. Not an ace in my book. The yanks have owned the Twins for years, and they send Aceves to the hill to fill in for Wang. Acevas has started previously and has not looked shabby. Yanks are 4-0 in Aceves starts and have outscored opponents 31-11 in those games. He has only allowed 7 ERs in his 4 starts so look for the Twins offense to sputter again. Yanks by a run.

Back with the rest later on.

 

[Guster]

some quality shtick here. i'm assuming Romulan = The Platinum Standard ??

 

[The Platinum Standard]

Remaining card for 7/9/09:

$1000 Houston -110

The Nats are in a bad position in this one, as they are 1-13 in game 1s of a series on the road this year. It gets worse as they are 5-23 in game 1s for the season and have yet to win in the road game following a road loss (0-5). Lannan has had some stellar outings this year, however, he has not gone deep in his last 3 following a long outing. He has faced the Stros 3x, allowing 7 ERs in 17 innings. Houston gets at least 4 on the board and that will be enough for the win. Nats have scored an average of 3 RPG over their last 15 road games. Ortiz has only allowed 12 ERs in his 6 home outings, and just 4 ERs in his last 3. Astros 4-3. Nats are 5-14 in last 19 Lannan rd starts. Astros are 24-11 in last 35 as a home fave.

$1000 San Fran -260

Lincecum has done everything right at home vs. SD in the past. He allowed 2 ERs in 4 home starts vs. SD in 28 inngs. Looking at his numbers vs. SD, he has only really had one bad outing vs. SD and that came on road. He allowed 4 ERs in less than 6 inngs. His last 10 vs. Pads shows a 7-3 team record, with only 11 ERs allowed over 69 innings. He usually allows 0-1 ER per outing. SF has won all 4 home outings, and outscored SD 16-8 in those gms. Josh Geer will counter for the Pads who were swept by Arizona. Padres have lost 6 of 7. Geer has allowed 20 ERs in his last 4 on road. SD will only compete with a superb effort from Geer, who on the road is 0-2(6.55 ERA). Pads are 5-9 in Geer starts, and 0-4 in his road ones. Pads run scoring over their last 8: 1 2 3 7 then 6 5 3 and 2.

$500 Atlanta +120

$200 Atl/Col Under 9

Hanson has been a great find. Glavine and Smoltz are distant memories. Hanson has been sharp over his last 5, allowing just 3 ERs which were bookends to 3 scoreless outings. Hanson is 4-0(2.25) on the year. He has gone an avg of 6 inngs per start, and looks sharper each time out. He had his longest outing his last start. Braves are 5-1 in Hansons starts. Rockies are 25-7 in their last 32 ballgames. Braves have won 7 of 10. The Rockies will have a letdown game after an easy sweep vs. Wsh. Cook is 8-3(3.76) and has dominated opponents of late allowing 1 ER in 4 of his last 6. The other two were 2 ER and 3 ER efforts. Too impressed with Hanson as he carved through the Sox and Yanks like they were non contenders. Braves 4-2.

$200 Fla/Arz Under 10

Andrew Miller will take to the hill to battle Petit tonight in Arizona. Miller has faced Zona 3 times previously, all quality starts. He allowed 2 runs over 7 innings in his most recent, back in May. Arizona has had trouble putting up massive amounts of runs and they will find themselves in another situation like that today facing Miller. Petit has been pretty awful lately allowing 18 ERs in his last 4 outings. He has however, pitched against the Marlins, where he allowed 1 ER over 6 innings just last season. That contest went under and so did Miller at a 2-0-1 clip to the under in his 3 vs. Arz. One of these starters, if not both, will have an outstanding effort in this one. Look for a 4-3 final at best if both pitchers have decent outings.

$200 Boston -1.5(Even)

Sox and Yanks continue their battle for supremacy in the AL East. One thing is for sure, the Red Sox will need to keep winning in this division. KC has started to slump as they do each and every year. Penny goes against Hochevar tonight. Penny has never faced KC, while Hoch has faced Boston 2x and allowed 12 ERs. Boston won those games by a 15-2 margin. Penny has been outstanding at home of late, and the Sox own KC at home. In their last 4 meetings in Boston, the Sox outscored KC 26-12, and in their last 7 meetings, Boston has a 45-20 scoring edge. Red Sox by 4.

 

[The Platinum Standard]

some quality shtick here. i'm assuming Romulan = The Platinum Standard ??

Genius comments...Yes, I joined back in 2005, and the 4 years later signed up again under a new name. Riot! Stay strange brother.

 

[Romulan]

Wow what an ####. If you dont like taking the guy's advise dont do so. (Yesterday hurt bad)

Anyway frikken Rays won today and took more of my money have me in a bad mood.