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Player Spotlight: Anquan Boldin (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2009 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. Last year, we published more than 120 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters. This year will be no different.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Anquan Boldin, WR, Arizona Cardinals

Player Page Link: Anquan Boldin Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Attempts, Completions, Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsNow let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 
1200 Yards and 9 TDs.

Arizona is the best place for him right now because teams can not afford to double him with Fitz on the other side.

I personally would like to see what he could do with a team like the Eagles as their #1, but seeing that it is the end of June (after the draft) and he is still a Card. it looks like Boldin will be calling Arizona home for at least one more year.

 
Anquan Boldin is an awesome player. He is also in an awesome situation. He is talented enough to demand coverage by the other team's top CB, yet that guy is often on the other side of the field covering Fitzgerald. The fact is that he and Fitz both should demand double coverage, but the other team can't afford to do that.

I think that he will stay with the Cardinals and that the wondrous aerial attack with Warner, Fitz, Boldin, and Breaston will continue. The Arizona travel schedule last year was brutal as they made repeated cross country trips and it should be so difficult travel wise in 09.

Anquan Boldin is another guy that you have to be high on as he has a current ADP of WR9, but he is one of the most productive per game WRs over the past several seasons. He does get injured as he plays with reckless abandon, but he may slide a little there and be more Marvin Harrisonish following that brutal collison last year and the fact that he is looking forward to free agency.

Anquan Boldin 144 targets 90 catches 62.5% 12.5 ypc 1125 yards and 12 TDs

 
easy to forget he averaged more points per game than any WR in PPR leagues last year. 22 pts per game vs 20 for AJ, 19 for Fitz.

 
A stud...but a little less studly than his counterpart. That is great value, especially in a point per reception league. While other owners pass on him real early*, you can draft him with confidence knowing that despite all his injuries, he was still targeted as frequently in the regular season and playoffs (Super Bowl not included) as Fitz in the games he was healthy (140 to 138). Additionally, while Fitgerald catches a very respectable 60% of the passes in his direction, Boldin has caught near 70% of his targets over the last 2 seasons (even when Leinart was at QB). Great PPR WR, just doesn't get the same number of looks in the RZ as Fitz, but few WR in the league do.

106-1267-8

ETA: *: He may put up RWayne type numbers 8-10 spots later in the draft based on current ADP....wrong yardage too (1450+ was a typo)

 
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I love Q, but he always seems hurt or banged up.

Its tough to consider him a Fantasy WR1, high-end #2 for sure... and if you own him you need to get Breaston.

I'm hoping for 85 / 1100 / 9TDs - 13 games

But what will his future be next yr, I don't see Warner making it another 16 games this season and next yr maybe Lienart's turn; again.

Hopefully Q will get traded next yr.

 
I love Q, but he always seems hurt or banged up.

Its tough to consider him a Fantasy WR1, high-end #2 for sure... and if you own him you need to get Breaston.

I'm hoping for 85 / 1100 / 9TDs - 13 games

But what will his future be next yr, I don't see Warner making it another 16 games this season and next yr maybe Lienart's turn; again.

Hopefully Q will get traded next yr.
As a Breaston owner, I made sure to get Boldin ;) Per game - 6 / 80 / .5

So if he happens to play all 16 games, 96/1280/8

I'm happy with him as my #3.

 
Quan is a beast. I expect another banner year.

90 recptions

1250 Yards

10 TD's.

Playing all 16 games.

 
I think Bouldin outperforms Fitz by seasons end and I say this for 1 reason and 1 reason only which no one has brought up. Fitz is on the cover of Madden 10 and that curse has very convincing legs to it.

 
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A stud...but a little less studly than his counterpart. That is great value, especially in a point per reception league. While other owners pass on him real early*, you can draft him with confidence knowing that despite all his injuries, he was still targeted as frequently in the regular season and playoffs (Super Bowl not included) as Fitz in the games he was healthy (140 to 138). Additionally, while Fitgerald catches a very respectable 60% of the passes in his direction, Boldin has caught near 70% of his targets over the last 2 seasons (even when Leinart was at QB). Great PPR WR, just doesn't get the same number of looks in the RZ as Fitz, but few WR in the league do.

106-1267-8

ETA: *: He may put up RWayne type numbers 8-10 spots later in the draft based on current ADP....wrong yardage too (1450+ was a typo)
106 is a heck of a lot of catches for a guy who is the 2nd target on the team. It's possible, but I see them running a little more with Beanie in there.80 catches, 1100 yds, 7 TDs

 
106 is a heck of a lot of catches for a guy who is the 2nd target on the team. It's possible, but I see them running a little more with Beanie in there.
Last season, Boldin had 89 receptions in 12 games...a pace that would give him 111 in 16 games.IMO, 106 is a legit possibility. I have ARI with 975 offensive plays throwing the ball 59% of the time (down from 65% last season). If Anquan catches 68% of the balls thrown his way (he did better than this in '07 and '08, btw) and get about 27% of the targets (Fitz=29%)...you are looking at over 100+ receptions. I am not arguing to take him over Fitz in PPR (he shouldn't get the TDs that Fitz does), but I think there is some value with him if you are drafting #3 for instance (in a 10 team lague)...with the 18th pick overall, you may be able to wait on Boldin around the turn and get him in the 3rd round, picking up a top QB or RB instead...while still getting similar numbers to a WR taken in the 2nd round (i.e. RWayne). Granted, we are only talking 6 spots, but sometimes it is these little subtleties in the early rounds that may win us some cash this year. :)
 
Here's a question for everyone. Because Boldin is the #2 on his team, do you find yourself trying to get him as the #2 on your own team, or are you completely comfortable having him as your WR1? I've seen this happen over the years with guys like Wayne, Driver, Welker, etc. Despite a player putting up stats to make them a WRx, folks tend to want to draft them as a WRx-1.

Do you find yourself doing this? I think it's an interesting psychological element of the FF draft.

 
Just to clarify to people, there really is not much difference between Boldin and Fitzgerald, and they should be viewed as WR1 and WR1A for the Cardinals.

In the Warner/Fitz/Boldin era, (4 years), here is the breakdown.

Fitz: 9.9 targets, 12.5 fantasy ppg

Boldin: 10.1 targets, 12.1 fantasy ppg

Over the course of an entire season, if both produced at that level for all 16 games, Fitz would only outscore Boldin by 6 fantasy points. Of course, Boldin has missed more time, which makes Fitz the obvious better option and earlier draft pick. But their production has been as close to equal as you can get.

 
Just to clarify to people, there really is not much difference between Boldin and Fitzgerald, and they should be viewed as WR1 and WR1A for the Cardinals.In the Warner/Fitz/Boldin era, (4 years), here is the breakdown.Fitz: 9.9 targets, 12.5 fantasy ppgBoldin: 10.1 targets, 12.1 fantasy ppgOver the course of an entire season, if both produced at that level for all 16 games, Fitz would only outscore Boldin by 6 fantasy points. Of course, Boldin has missed more time, which makes Fitz the obvious better option and earlier draft pick. But their production has been as close to equal as you can get.
Great post.
 
Just to clarify to people, there really is not much difference between Boldin and Fitzgerald, and they should be viewed as WR1 and WR1A for the Cardinals.In the Warner/Fitz/Boldin era, (4 years), here is the breakdown.Fitz: 9.9 targets, 12.5 fantasy ppgBoldin: 10.1 targets, 12.1 fantasy ppgOver the course of an entire season, if both produced at that level for all 16 games, Fitz would only outscore Boldin by 6 fantasy points. Of course, Boldin has missed more time, which makes Fitz the obvious better option and earlier draft pick. But their production has been as close to equal as you can get.
If this was in reference to my post above, then it exercises my point. Why does it need to be clarified? Clearly, people have a preconception that Boldin is somehow less valuable because he is the #2 (or 1A...same thing), despite what his historical performance shows. Nearly two full rounds of ADP separates these guys. I understand that folks will devalue him for his injury history, but to let him fall two rounds seems unreasonable.He's a guy I am targeting for this exact reason.eta that I will concede that the variance between ADPs is also due to Fitz being overvalued.
 
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the variance between ADPs is also due to Fitz being overvalued.
Generally, this is what I believe the reason is. It's probably a combination of slight overvaluing of Fitzgerald coupled with the greater perceived injury risk with Anquan Boldin. I don't think Fitz is ridiculously overvalued by the general drafting community, but I think sometimes people forgot/ignore exactly how good Boldin is just because he's missed some time, whereas Larry really hasn't. I love Larry Fitzgerald, but Boldin is the AZ receiver I'd want for '09 at their current ADPs.
 
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the variance between ADPs is also due to Fitz being overvalued.
Generally, this is what I believe the reason is. It's probably a combination of slight overvaluing of Fitzgerald coupled with the greater perceived injury risk with Anquan Boldin. I don't think Fitz is ridiculously overvalued by the general drafting community, but I think sometimes people forgot/ignore exactly how good Boldin is just because he's missed some time, whereas Larry really hasn't. I love Larry Fitzgerald, but Boldin is the AZ receiver I'd want for '09 at their current ADPs.
I agree. Why draft Fitz when you can get the same or better production at least a full round later? I understand the injury argument, and Boldin does seem to miss time, but that's a risk I'm willing to take.I'd put Boldin at 90 catches, 1300 yards, and 12 TDs this year.
 
For me, it is about fantasy production, not "talent". That is a different argument all together. But, if we look at pure stats in 2008, we see that in the 12 games both played, Boldin outscored Fitz in eight. Since I do not hold the hit in the Jet game (and missing 2 games subsequently), I do not discount Boldin for only playing 12 games.

 
106 is a heck of a lot of catches for a guy who is the 2nd target on the team. It's possible, but I see them running a little more with Beanie in there.
Last season, Boldin had 89 receptions in 12 games...a pace that would give him 111 in 16 games.IMO, 106 is a legit possibility. I have ARI with 975 offensive plays throwing the ball 59% of the time (down from 65% last season). If Anquan catches 68% of the balls thrown his way (he did better than this in '07 and '08, btw) and get about 27% of the targets (Fitz=29%)...you are looking at over 100+ receptions. I am not arguing to take him over Fitz in PPR (he shouldn't get the TDs that Fitz does), but I think there is some value with him if you are drafting #3 for instance (in a 10 team lague)...with the 18th pick overall, you may be able to wait on Boldin around the turn and get him in the 3rd round, picking up a top QB or RB instead...while still getting similar numbers to a WR taken in the 2nd round (i.e. RWayne). Granted, we are only talking 6 spots, but sometimes it is these little subtleties in the early rounds that may win us some cash this year. :2cents:
Targeted Boldin in my ten team league drafting from the six spot, but when my 2nd round target went before me and then Fitz was actually available at #15--had to grab him. I think people tend to underestimate ten teamers--that turns into a really competitive set of teams; everyone's got good play.
 
Boldin is supposed to be back week one. He is already working on the side of practice and the Cardinals are being careful with him.
First post btw.... Let me start by saying i am as big a fitz fan as there is. With that said, I saw one thing when boldin was healthy last year, he was better than fitz. Warner loves this guy and I even would watch warners eyes scan for boldin in the red zone and not even glance towards fitz sometimes. I was a fitz owner so I was livid watching boldin get 2 tds every game it looked like! LOL! Ok not really but you know what i mean. I agree boldin is a better value than fitz but am still concerned with the discontent with the team hes had. Where is he at with that? Is he going to play hard like usual or blow up someones team like a grenade?
 
Per KFFL:

Cardinals | Boldin expected to practice next week

Sat, 05 Sep 2009 07:57:31 -0700

Kent Somers, of The Arizona Republic, reports Arizona Cardinals WR Anquan Boldin (hamstring) is expected to return to practice next week.

 
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