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Player Spotlight: Matt Ryan (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2008 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. Last year, we published more than 140 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters. This year will be no different.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons

Player Page Link: Matt Ryan Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsNow let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 
Why are you even thinking about drafting a rookie quarterback on the worst team in the league? Are you on drugs?

420 2900 11 14

 
He'll have a serviceable role out of the gates but won't be much more than a QB3/Spot Start in re-draft QB2 leagues.

12 Games

179/312 (57.4%) and 1,872 yards (6.00 YPA) and 10 TD vs. 11 INT (3.52%). 26 carries for 69 yards (2.65) and 1 TD.

FP: 111.00

I don't see the Falcons offense relying on Ryan's arm enough to have him putting up 16+ INT but I think he'll be a smart game manager after coming in for Chris Redman during the season.

 
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I'm having a hard time understanding why there is a spotlight for him. He may be the top rookie QB, but it's impossible right now to even say with any certainty that he's the starter. How could anyone predict with even a tiny degree of confidance.

Even if he started, and played as well as any rookie ever has on a team this bad, he still wouldn't come close to QB1 fantasy numbers.

Only in a start 2 league is he even worth considering...as a possible third QB.

 
Unless you play in two QB leagues or dynasty, say far away from the Atlanta QB in 2008. I have no idea if Matt Ryan will be effective enough in pre-season work that the Falcons will make the decision to go with him from the get-go or not, especially in June. However, for the purpose of the spotlight, I will assume that he shows enough promise that they will determine to use him as the starter in the first game and he will stick.

Atlanta is not likely to be very good in 08. They are definitely the weak sister in the NFC South. Typically having the worse team usually leads to more passing because they are well behind in many games, so despite the fact that they have two solid RBs and not many receivers, their passing stats may be more than expected.

Last year, they had a cumulative 336 completions in 555 attempts and I see similar numbers again this year. The yaradage per attempt was low at 6.44 and should remain that low or below. They lost their TE and their WRs are fairly young and will be learning a new offensive system and likely a new QB. Rookie QBs on poor teams are not good combos. Again the projection is for Ryan to get all the starts, which is not likley.

Matt Ryan 290 comps in 520 att (55.7%) for 3,150 yards (6.06 ypa) for 12 TDs and 21 ints with 80 rushing yards and 1 TD

 
Matt Ryan is off in the right direction, he's signed a contract and isn't going to miss valuable practice time in his rookie year. So many high profile players miss quality time and never really gain form their rookie seasons. Matt Ryan at some point this season will be asked to lead this football team on the field and in knowing that, he's given himself his best shot at being prepared. That is a sign of intelligence and proper work ethic.

I think Atlanta has helped themselves offensively this past off season. They've went out and brought in a running back that looks like he can handle a large load and they've improved what was a very poor offensive line last season. Roddy White stepped his game up big time last year and when Ryan finally gets the call to be the man, he and White will become familiar with each other real fast.

2000 yards, 12 td's and 14 int's with 70 yards rushing and 1 td (I saw that many of the FBG staff didn't give credit for a rushing TD this upcoming season with even up to 350 passing attempts by some staff. Young QB's entering the league tend to use their legs more than the vets, if he does play 1/2 season or more, I'd be suprised if somehow he doesn't run 1 td in.)

 
Pretty solid divisional opponents, relatively tough schedule IMHO, and a new RB and coach, and loss of the team's best offensive player (Crumpler) don't bode well.

I think you have to expect something like:

248/450/2790 12/18

I'm not sure what to do with his rushing stats, so I'll throw 55/200/1 out there.

 

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