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playoff picture thru 12 weeks (1 Viewer)

BGP

Indians Fever
Tiebreaker rules here:

http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakers

AFC

#1 Colts 10-1 (bye)

#2 Ravens 9-2 (bye)

#3 Chargers 9-2

#4 Patriots 8-3

#5 Chiefs 7-4

#6 Broncos 7-4

*Ravens beat Chargers 16-13 in week 4 and thus win #2 seed.

**Chiefs (3-1) have a better AFC West record than Broncos (3-2) and thus win #5 seed.

AFC Wild Card Games:

#6 Broncos @ #3 Chargers

#5 Chiefs @ #4 Patriots

NFC

#1 Bears 9-2 (bye)

#2 Saints 7-4 (bye)

#3 Cowboys or Seahawks

#4 Cowboys or Seahawks

#5 Giants

#6 Panthers

*Saints (6-1) have a better NFC record than the Cowboys (4-3) or Seahawks (5-3 or 6-3, pending MNF) and thus win #2 seed.

**If Seahawks lose, Cowboys get #3 seed due to better overall record. If Seahawks win, Seahawks (6-3) have a better NFC record than Cowboys (4-3) and thus win #3 seed.

***Giants (5-2) have better NFC record than Panthers (4-4) and thus win #5 seed.

NFC Wild Card Games:

#6 Panthers @ #3 Cowboys or Seahawks

#5 Giants @ #4 Cowboys or Seahawks

 
Saints and Cowboys play eachother in Texas Stadium in two weeks.

Have to think that's for the 2 seed.

 
.....TEAM.......overall....div rec....conf rec1 Indianapolis...10-1-0......3-0..........7-02 Baltimore.......9-2-0.......3-0..........6-13 San Diego......9-2-0.......3-1..........7-24 New England..8-3-0.......4-1..........5-3 Remaining games:Indy: @Titans, @Jags, Cincy, @Texans, MiamiBaltimore: @Cincy, @KC, Cleveland, @Pittsburgh, BuffaloSan Diego: @Buffalo, Denver, KC, @Seattle, ArizonaNew England: Detroit, @Miami, Houston, @Jax, @Tenn
The key for the #1 seed hopes for Baltimore is not only that the Colts lose at least one game, but WHICH AFC game the Colts lose. If the Ravens and Colts tie, they would have the same conference record - so common games would be the next TB. The Ravens and Colts will qualify for the common opponents TB at the end of the season - they both play Denver, Buffalo, Tenn, Cincy (5 total games each). The Colts are 3-0 in those games with 2 to play, the Ravens are 2-1 with 2 to play. The Ravens would need the Colts to lose to either Tenn or Cincy for the next TB (strength of victory) to be in play (which is hard to predict right now who would win that TB). A 14-2 Charger team would lose the TB to either the Ravens or the Colts. At 13-3 - it would depend on which game the Chargers would lose (AFC game or NFC game) - but they'd lose a TB to the Ravens regardless because of the Ravens win over the Chargers.NE is probably a longshot for a bye - they would need 2 of the 3 of the following (if the Pats win the next 5): the Ravens to lose 2 games or more, the Colts to lose 3 games or more and the Chargers to lose 1 or 2 games or more (I don't know who would win the TB if both the Chargers and Pats finish at 13-3 assuming the Chargers would also lose to an AFC team - if the Chargers only lost to Seattle or Arizona they would win a TB over the Pats).
 
.....TEAM.......overall....div rec....conf rec1 Indianapolis...10-1-0......3-0..........7-02 Baltimore.......9-2-0.......3-0..........6-13 San Diego......9-2-0.......3-1..........7-24 New England..8-3-0.......4-1..........5-3 Remaining games:Indy: @Titans, @Jags, Cincy, @Texans, MiamiBaltimore: @Cincy, @KC, Cleveland, @Pittsburgh, BuffaloSan Diego: @Buffalo, Denver, KC, @Seattle, ArizonaNew England: Detroit, @Miami, Houston, @Jax, @Tenn
The key for the #1 seed hopes for Baltimore is not only that the Colts lose at least one game, but WHICH AFC game the Colts lose. If the Ravens and Colts tie, they would have the same conference record - so common games would be the next TB. The Ravens and Colts will qualify for the common opponents TB at the end of the season - they both play Denver, Buffalo, Tenn, Cincy (5 total games each). The Colts are 3-0 in those games with 2 to play, the Ravens are 2-1 with 2 to play. The Ravens would need the Colts to lose to either Tenn or Cincy for the next TB (strength of victory) to be in play (which is hard to predict right now who would win that TB). A 14-2 Charger team would lose the TB to either the Ravens or the Colts. At 13-3 - it would depend on which game the Chargers would lose (AFC game or NFC game) - but they'd lose a TB to the Ravens regardless because of the Ravens win over the Chargers.NE is probably a longshot for a bye - they would need 2 of the 3 of the following (if the Pats win the next 5): the Ravens to lose 2 games or more, the Colts to lose 3 games or more and the Chargers to lose 1 or 2 games or more (I don't know who would win the TB if both the Chargers and Pats finish at 13-3 assuming the Chargers would also lose to an AFC team - if the Chargers only lost to Seattle or Arizona they would win a TB over the Pats).
With the Ravens losing to the Bengals, which is a common opponent to with the Colts, the Colts can win the TB advantage over the Ravens with a win on Sunday over the Titans (another common opponent). The Chargers/Bills game is also important in terms of TBs - the Bills are a common opponent of both the Chargers/Pats and Chargers/Colts (as are the Broncos). The Chargers still have another game against the Broncos (the Pats lost to the Broncos earlier in the season). Any potential tie between a 13-3 Chargers and 13-3 Pats team would likely depend on who the Chargers would lose to. If the Chargers lose to the Broncos or Bills, then they would have the same common opponents record (4-1) and they'd have to go to the strength of victory TB. If the loss is against any of the other 3 opponents, they'd have the TB over the Pats. Basically, the Pats are generally on the short end of the TBs against the other 3 division leaders for the most part.
 

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