Project-a-Guy - Alcides Escobar, SS KC (1 Viewer)

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Alcides was a major piece in the Greinke trade to Milwaukee. He had a pretty brutal 2010, but just one year earlier in AAA (and a taste of MLB) the guy stole 46 bases. By most accounts, shortstop is a wasteland and many will be scrambling late in the draft to fill out SS or MI spots. If you're looking for some not so negative things from 2010, Escobar did keep the Ks relatively low, striking out just 13.8% of the time. He also suffered from a poor BABIP of .264, down from .344 in '09 (combined).

For me, the upside is in the steals and the Royals will need a bunch of them.

2010:

552 PA, 4 HR, 41 RBI, 57 R, 10 SB, 235 AVG, 288 OBP

Bill James Projection:

529 PA, 5 HR, 46 RBI, 69 R, 20 SB, 272 AVG, 318 OBP

TRE Projection:

610 PA, 7 HR, 50 RBI, 73 R, 33 SB, 260 AVG, 320 OBP

DO IT

 

[Mr. Pickles]

Boy did this guy's stock fall.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Boy did this guy's stock fall.

PROJECT

 

[Mr. Pickles]

Boy did this guy's stock fall.

PROJECT

Difficult, but okay:610 PA, 4 HR, 43 RBI, 64 R, 22 SB, 278 AVG, 319 OBPI don't know why he didn't run more last year. He should be able to crack 40 at some point.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Boy did this guy's stock fall.

PROJECT

Difficult, but okay:610 PA, 4 HR, 43 RBI, 64 R, 22 SB, 278 AVG, 319 OBP

I don't know why he didn't run more last year. He should be able to crack 40 at some point.

ETA: What's Willie Wilson up to? Let's get him on this.

 

[Eephus]

540 PAs

5 HRs

.264/.319/.360

98 R + RBI

22 SBs

Most interesting advanced stat is 14.2% infield fly balls in 2010. That's not effective use of his speed.

I'm hoping he can do something this year because I own him in dynasty. He really has no place to go but up, because he'll be out of the majors if he regresses any.

 

[MAC_32]

Millwaukee's old manager (forget his name) is notoriously conservative on the base paths, it's why I stayed away from Escobar last year. Either him or Cain are going to be $ this year in KC, it all depends who is leading off and running wild on the bases. I'm buying Alcides first because of his position, true toss up though imo.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Millwaukee's old manager (forget his name) is notoriously conservative on the base paths, it's why I stayed away from Escobar last year. Either him or Cain are going to be $ this year in KC, it all depends who is leading off and running wild on the bases. I'm buying Alcides first because of his position, true toss up though imo.

PROJECT IT

 

[Eephus]

Millwaukee's old manager (forget his name) is notoriously conservative on the base paths, it's why I stayed away from Escobar last year. Either him or Cain are going to be $ this year in KC, it all depends who is leading off and running wild on the bases. I'm buying Alcides first because of his position, true toss up though imo.

Ironically, KC's new manager Ned Yost is Milwaukee's old manager. He's not as conservative on the base paths as Ken Macha but Yost's Brewer clubs were around league average in both SB and SB attempts.

 

[Time Kibitzer]

600 PAs, 5 HRs, 48 RBI, 76 Runs, 27 SBs, .282 AVG, .339 OBP

 

[JZilla]

509 332 86 940 157 5 40

Oh wait, those are all GWB dice rolls

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

509 332 86 940 157 5 40Oh wait, those are all GWB dice rolls

 

[Mr. Pickles]

Boy did this guy's stock fall.

PROJECT

Difficult, but okay:610 PA, 4 HR, 43 RBI, 64 R, 22 SB, 278 AVG, 319 OBP

I don't know why he didn't run more last year. He should be able to crack 40 at some point.

ETA: What's Willie Wilson up to? Let's get him on this.

Waiting for Michael Brown to come in here and tell us we're all insane.

 

[scrumptrulescent]

2011 Projections: 70/3/40/.275/30

 

[Eephus]

The Kool Aid must be better in KC than in Milwaukee

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

The Kool Aid must be better in KC than in Milwaukee

Whatcha got?

 

[Eephus]

540 PAs5 HRs.264/.319/.36098 R + RBI22 SBsMost interesting advanced stat is 14.2% infield fly balls in 2010. That's not effective use of his speed. I'm hoping he can do something this year because I own him in dynasty. He really has no place to go but up, because he'll be out of the majors if he regresses any.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Oh yeah.

Seems like everyone is giving him a decent AVG bump.

 

[Giant Wooden Badger]

509 332 86 940 157 5 40Oh wait, those are all GWB dice rolls

I'll wait for my apology.

 

[Giant Wooden Badger]

509 332 86 940 157 5 40Oh wait, those are all GWB dice rolls

You know better.

 

[Eephus]

Oh yeah. Seems like everyone is giving him a decent AVG bump.

I think you have to give his minor league stats some credence and its probably safe to assume his BABIP is going to improve (although it's kind of hard to beat out a pop-up to the third baseman).

 

[Mr. Pickles]

Oh yeah. Seems like everyone is giving him a decent AVG bump.

No trouble hitting for average in the minors. Could reach .300 in a good year.

 

[Michael Brown]

Boy did this guy's stock fall.

PROJECT

Difficult, but okay:610 PA, 4 HR, 43 RBI, 64 R, 22 SB, 278 AVG, 319 OBP

I don't know why he didn't run more last year. He should be able to crack 40 at some point.

ETA: What's Willie Wilson up to? Let's get him on this.

Waiting for Michael Brown to come in here and tell us we're all insane.

Nah not everyone just you.I like your numbers on AE. What kind of success ratio are you expecting on 22 SBs? Gotta figure that Royals lineup is going to need to run every chance they get to produce some runs, so I think he may attempt a bit more.

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Who should we do next?

 

[Michael Brown]

Not to be all Royal-centric, but Billy Butler is a good one

 

[Eephus]

Jayson Werth or a pitcher

 

[Brady Marino]

Who should we do next?

Nick Punto

 

[scrumptrulescent]

Not to be all Royal-centric, but Billy Butler is a good one

Kila Ka'aihue

 

[Michael Brown]

TRE do you wanna just set up a bunch of these and people can chime in on several? It can be like the Spotlight series in the Shark Pool, but without the name-calling.

 

[scrumptrulescent]

Who should we do next?

Here's a challenge.....how about Tsuyoshi Nishioka? I honestly know nothing about him other than he's the starting 2b for the Twins now.

 

[Eephus]

TRE do you wanna just set up a bunch of these and people can chime in on several? It can be like the Spotlight series in the Shark Pool, but without the name-calling.

You're insane

 

[Notorious T.R.E.]

Oh, there will be name calling. I'll maybe set them up a little more frequently, but I don't want to get too crazy with it.

 

[Michael Brown]

Oh, there will be name calling. I'll maybe set them up a little more frequently, but I don't want to get too crazy with it.

Cool, some nominations that I think would be interesting...Starlin CastroAJ BurnettPablo SandovalNick MarkakisDelmon YoungJosh BeckettPedro AlvarezMatt WietersColby RasmusJay BruceManny RamirezEdinson VolquezJason HeywardMatt KempPaul Konerko

 

[scrumptrulescent]

Oh, there will be name calling. I'll maybe set them up a little more frequently, but I don't want to get too crazy with it.

Cool, some nominations that I think would be interesting...Starlin CastroAJ BurnettPablo SandovalNick MarkakisDelmon YoungJosh BeckettPedro AlvarezMatt WietersColby RasmusJay BruceManny RamirezEdinson VolquezJason HeywardMatt KempPaul Konerko

Aaron Hill