cstu
Footballguy
ETA: These are commercial numbers, not residential, but impressive nonetheless.The national all-property index now stands 10% above its pre-crisis peak. All CPPI segments have
recovered at least 60% of their peak-to-trough loss.
The Moody’s/RCA CPPI measures price changes in US commercial real estate based on completed sales of
the same commercial properties over time, or the “repeat-sales”1 methodology. Below are the highlights of
this month’s report, which we base on transaction data through the end of April 2015. Exhibit 2 shows these
price changes broken out by sector and market type.
» The national all-property composite index increased by 1.6% in April, with prices now topping the 2007
pre-crisis peak by approximately 10%. Commercial property prices increased by 2.0%, while the smaller
apartment component increased by 0.5%.
» Apartment prices now exceed their pre-financial crisis peak level by 27.6%. Core commercial property
prices are approximately 4% above their pre-crisis peak level. The recovery of core commercial prices
was powered by CBD office, up approximately 29.9% from its pre-crisis peak.
» Prices in major-markets exceed their November 2007 pre-crisis peak level by approximately 25%, while
non-major market prices are approximately 2% below their pre-crisis peak.
» All of the CPPI segments have now recovered at least 60% of their post-crisis price decline. Thirteen of
the 20 CPPI segments have recovered all of their post-crisis price decline.
» Loans originated at a 75% loan-to-value (LTV) ratio during the 2004 through 2008 vintages would now,
on average, have current LTV ratios between 43% and 68% as adjusted by the CPPI. The worst CPPI
segment/pre-crisis vintage pairing is suburban office in non-major markets from 2007 – loans that were
originally made at 75% LTV would now have a CPPI adjusted LTV of 89%.
Last edited by a moderator: