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Redraft Value Plays (1 Viewer)

Eminence

Footballguy
I've been doing more than a few mock drafts and the following players present IMMENSE value:

Reggie Wayne - 7.05

Coming off the board after guys like Torrey Smith, Wayne represents HUGE value with where he is being drafted.

Indy has few offensive weapons and Wayne will have value simply for the amount of targets he will receive. Last year, with junk at QB he put up:

75 Catches / 960 Yards / 4TD

Considering that Luck is being touted as the best QB prospect in ages, I think he can improve on what Painter and Orlovsky did last year.

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Mike Wallace - 3.12

People are being scared away by him holding out but everything else that happened this off season will help him.

1.) Steelers drafting Offensive Lineman. Their Offensive Line has been putrid the last couple of years. I am very interested to see the type of year he could put together when him and Ben have time to let deeper routes develop.

2.) Bruce Arians got fired and Todd Haley took over. This is the same Todd Haley that once had '3' 1,000 yard receivers in Arizona. The players have been raving about the offense (sans Ben) and it looks like it will be run heavy.

With running comes play action, Mike Wallace will be the beneficiary of that.

2011 - 72 Catches / 1,193 Yards / 8TD

2010 - 60 Catches / 1,257 Yards / 10TD

We know what he is capable of yet the following WR are being taken ahead of him:

Victor Cruz - 3.09

Julio Jones - 3.09

A.J Green - 3.06

Wes Welker - 3.06

Roddy White - 3.05

Brandon Marshall - 3.02

Greg Jennings - 2.11

Andre Johnson - 2.07

Larry Fitzgerald - 2.04

Calvin Johnson - 1.06

Besides the 'Big 3' and possibly Julio Jones, I don't see a player in that group with more upside than Wallace.

Keep in mind, he may be playing for a new contract.

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Frank Gore - 3.12

Keep in mind, I've never been a huge Gore advocate but potentially picking him up in the 3rd Round is HUGE.

He only had 17 Catches last year, compared to his career average of 41 Catches. I'm not a 49ers homer and cannot vouch why his catches dwindled last year.

He's the Top RB on a team with the arguably best defense in the league and put up:

282 Carries / 1,211 Yards / 8TD

17 Catches / 114 Yards / 0TD

Perfect late 2nd / 3rd Round pick.

-

Jeremy Maclin - 5.06

People are still in love with the fools gold that is Desean Jackson (5.05) and are overlooking Maclin.

People forget this guy missed a lot of time in the Off Season with a 'mysterious' illness and in 13 games put up a stat line of:

63 Catches / 859 Yards / 5TD

Had he played in 3 more games he easily eclipses 1,000 and is drafted much higher. People also forget his high TD upside in 2009 he produced:

70 Catches / 963 Yards / 10TD

Anytime I can get a player with double digit TD potential in the 5th, I jump on it. It also helps when your QB has nice things to say about you:

LATEST NEWS RECENT NEWS

Michael Vick is the latest to suggest a "huge year" is in store for Jeremy Maclin. "Every time I see him run routes I think of Michael Irvin," added Vick. Maclin sustained a minor right ankle injury in Thursday's practice, but returned and didn't appear to miss any snaps the rest of the way. The ankle tweak is not a concern for the potential breakout star. May 31 -1:38 PM

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More to come, I have to sign up for some summer classes.

 
I've been doing more than a few mock drafts and the following players present IMMENSE value:Reggie Wayne - 7.05Coming off the board after guys like Torrey Smith, Wayne represents HUGE value with where he is being drafted.Indy has few offensive weapons and Wayne will have value simply for the amount of targets he will receive. Last year, with junk at QB he put up:75 Catches / 960 Yards / 4TDConsidering that Luck is being touted as the best QB prospect in ages, I think he can improve on what Painter and Orlovsky did last year.-Mike Wallace - 3.12People are being scared away by him holding out but everything else that happened this off season will help him.1.) Steelers drafting Offensive Lineman. Their Offensive Line has been putrid the last couple of years. I am very interested to see the type of year he could put together when him and Ben have time to let deeper routes develop.2.) Bruce Arians got fired and Todd Haley took over. This is the same Todd Haley that once had '3' 1,000 yard receivers in Arizona. The players have been raving about the offense (sans Ben) and it looks like it will be run heavy.With running comes play action, Mike Wallace will be the beneficiary of that.2011 - 72 Catches / 1,193 Yards / 8TD2010 - 60 Catches / 1,257 Yards / 10TDWe know what he is capable of yet the following WR are being taken ahead of him:Victor Cruz - 3.09Julio Jones - 3.09A.J Green - 3.06Wes Welker - 3.06Roddy White - 3.05Brandon Marshall - 3.02Greg Jennings - 2.11Andre Johnson - 2.07Larry Fitzgerald - 2.04Calvin Johnson - 1.06Besides the 'Big 3' and possibly Julio Jones, I don't see a player in that group with more upside than Wallace.Keep in mind, he may be playing for a new contract.-Frank Gore - 3.12Keep in mind, I've never been a huge Gore advocate but potentially picking him up in the 3rd Round is HUGE. He only had 17 Catches last year, compared to his career average of 41 Catches. I'm not a 49ers homer and cannot vouch why his catches dwindled last year.He's the Top RB on a team with the arguably best defense in the league and put up:282 Carries / 1,211 Yards / 8TD17 Catches / 114 Yards / 0TDPerfect late 2nd / 3rd Round pick.-Jeremy Maclin - 5.06People are still in love with the fools gold that is Desean Jackson (5.05) and are overlooking Maclin.People forget this guy missed a lot of time in the Off Season with a 'mysterious' illness and in 13 games put up a stat line of:63 Catches / 859 Yards / 5TDHad he played in 3 more games he easily eclipses 1,000 and is drafted much higher. People also forget his high TD upside in 2009 he produced:70 Catches / 963 Yards / 10TDAnytime I can get a player with double digit TD potential in the 5th, I jump on it. It also helps when your QB has nice things to say about you: LATEST NEWS RECENT NEWSMichael Vick is the latest to suggest a "huge year" is in store for Jeremy Maclin. "Every time I see him run routes I think of Michael Irvin," added Vick. Maclin sustained a minor right ankle injury in Thursday's practice, but returned and didn't appear to miss any snaps the rest of the way. The ankle tweak is not a concern for the potential breakout star. May 31 -1:38 PM-More to come, I have to sign up for some summer classes.
It doesn't look like Pitt will lean heavily on the run this year at all... they don't really have a workhorse back. They'll likely be more of a Haley, pass first offense. Means Wallace is going to get a lot of attention from DB's. He's so fast that they'll probably almost always keep a safety back there to help if the cb gets burned. Also, antonio brown looks in line for a huge year. Mid-late 3rd round seems about right for wallace.
 
Jeremy Maclin - 5.06

People are still in love with the fools gold that is Desean Jackson (5.05) and are overlooking Maclin.

People forget this guy missed a lot of time in the Off Season with a 'mysterious' illness and in 13 games put up a stat line of:

63 Catches / 859 Yards / 5TD

Had he played in 3 more games he easily eclipses 1,000 and is drafted much higher. People also forget his high TD upside in 2009 he produced:

70 Catches / 963 Yards / 10TD

Anytime I can get a player with double digit TD potential in the 5th, I jump on it. It also helps when your QB has nice things to say about you:
So basically, in your "analysis" people are underestimating Maclin at 5.06, but buying fool's gold in Jackson 1 pick earlier?First off, even if we all agree that we will use prorated stats instead of actual ones, the season before last (the one yoou cited as 2009) he actually did play all 16 games and did not "easily eclipse 1,000 yards".

Secondly, even we assume Maclin might breaks 1k yards - DJax has already done so...twice...in 4 seasons. You also cite Maclin's 10 TD season - Jackson has also had 10 TDs (presuming your league counts rushing TDs for WRs - more than 10 if they count special team TDs as well).

In fact, in his 3 seasons Maclin has cracked the top 30 WRs once (the year he had 10 TDs). DJax has done it all 4 seasons he's been in the league, including a top 5 finish in 2009.

So Maclin's "big season" was predicated on a season that saw him score more TDs than the rest of his career combined - while DJax is consistantly a solid WR2 with a WR1 upside.

I do agree, in the mid 5th there is a drastically undervaled Philly WR - but it aint Maclin.

 
I don't disagree with your assessments but I tend to find that June mocks can look quite a bit different than late August drafts. Some of these "interesting' valuations tend to normalize as the season draws near...

 
I would agree with Wayne.

Wallace I am not as sure about. Once teams changed up schemes and rolled cover over, Wallace's numbers dropped off last year and other Steelers WR picked up the slack. I owned Wallace last year and ended up benching him (granted, I had the luxury of having Nelson, Cruz, and Welker). From Week 8 on, Wallace only ranked 34th in 0 ppr leagues. Yes, he has upside, but he was trending the wrong way after his hot start last year. Given that Wallace is coming off draft boards as WR9, I would personally be inclined to pass at that cost.

Over the past 2 seasons, in 0 ppr leagues Macklin ranks 23rd in fantasy ppg (really 22nd since T.O. is gone). Macklin has an ADP of WR23, so that looks about right in terms of value. Maybe he performs better than the past two seasons (which he certainly could), but that is more of a judgment call. IMO, Macklin doesn't scream value and is going around where he should be.

As for Gore, they still have Hunter and also added Brandon Jacobs. They also upgraded their receivers, so Gore also is not a lock for big production and could see a reduced workload. I agree with an ADP in the upper teens, Gore looks tempting and looks like a value pick, but he does come with more risk than other seasons.

 
A drop in receiving numbers is often the first sign that an RB is getting too old. Gore is 29, and he had a big drop in both receptions and yards per reception (6.7 ypr, when his career average was 8.5).

 

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