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Santonio Holmes - What can we expect? (1 Viewer)

Wheelhouse

Footballguy
The Steelers passing game hasn't exactly been anywhere near productive yet this year, but this is someone that hasn't been talked about in awhile. I'm not a big fan of rookie wideouts, but when the only competition ahead of you is Cedrick Wilson, yeah, I'll listen.

So what say you? Is Santonio Holmes someone who might have a nice surprise waiting for us come late October, early November? Is he too green to have any value at all this year? What's your take on the 25th overall pick in the 2006 draft and the first WR taken? This is the player the Steelers elected to move up 7 spots in the draft to select?

 
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Wheelhouse said:
The Steelers passing game hasn't exactly been anywhere near productive yet this year, but this is someone that hasn't been talked about in awhile. I'm not a big fan of rookie wideouts, but when the only competition ahead of you is Cedrick Wilson, yeah, I'll listen.

So what say you? Is Santonio Holmes someone who might have a nice surprise waiting for us come late October, early November? Is he too green to have any value at all this year? What's your take on the 25th overall pick in the 2006 draft? The player the Steelers elected to move up 7 spots in the draft to select?
I think the Steelers are going to need him to start producing ASAP, and I look for them to get him more involved in the offense starting tomorrow going forward, I think he'll have between 4-6 TDs by the end of the year...It's all elementary for Santonio Holmes

Friday, October 06, 2006

By Gerry Dulac, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

After three games, rookie Santonio Holmes has five catches for 45 yards. Numbers that seem modest, if not meager, for a No. 1 draft choice, especially the first wide receiver selected in the National Football League draft.

Holmes' production, though, is not uncommon for a rookie receiver in the NFL.

Even if he continues at that pace, Holmes would finish the season with 26 catches and 240 yards, which would amount to more catches than Lynn Swann, John Stallworth, Plaxico Burress and Hines Ward had in their rookie seasons with the Steelers. And nearly as many catches as Terrell Owens and Chad Johnson had in their rookie seasons.

Few rookie receivers burst into the league like Randy Moss, who had 1,313 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns as a rookie with the Minnesota Vikings in 1998. There are many more like Ward, who had 15 catches as a rookie, and Carolina's Steve Smith, who has 191 catches and 19 touchdowns in his past two full seasons with the Carolina Panthers after catching 10 passes as a rookie.

"It's hard to come in and learn on the run, to see coverages while you're running," Ward said. "You're doing a lot of thinking and. when you're doing a lot of thinking, you're not running as fast. You're really not sure of your routes."

That's why Holmes, the team's fourth receiver, is not worried how many catches he has with the Steelers (1-2), who will try to re-invent their passing game Sunday night against the San Diego Chargers (2-1). Nor are the coaches trying to force-feed him to an offense that has received minimal production from its wide receivers after three games.

"It's just the speed of the game, learning at the same time you're trying to run on the fly," Holmes said. "But I feel pretty comfortable overall. Right now, I'm above 60 percent overall where I feel comfortable running routes at a fast pace."

The player who holds the Steelers' record for rookie receptions -- Troy Edwards -- has had a career that spiraled in the opposite direction after his rookie season.

The 13th player selected overall in 1999, Edwards had a club-record 61 catches as a rookie, a number that far exceeds the rookie production of other more famous Steelers' receivers such as Swann (11), Stallworth (16), Burress (22) Ron Shanklin (30) and Louis Lipps (45).

Since 1999, only two rookie wide receivers in the NFL have managed more catches in their first season than Edwards -- Arizona's Anquan Boldin (101) and Houston's Andre Johnson (66), each in 2003. Players such as Owens (35) and Johnson (28) did not have nearly as many as Edwards had as a rookie.

But those players elevated their production by their second season, once they became comfortable with their assignments and had a better understanding of opposing defenses. Ward had 46 more catches in his second season; Smith had 44 more and Johnson 41. None, though, made as dramatic a leap as Isaac Bruce, who had 21 catches as a rookie in 1994 and 119 in his second season.

Edwards has gone the other way. His only other productive season was 2004, when he caught 50 passes in 16 games with the Jacksonville Jaguars. In six NFL seasons, he has 203 receptions and bounced around to four teams.

"It has something to do with the complexity of the offenses and maybe, more importantly, the defenses," said former Buffalo Bills president Tom Donahoe, who was the Steelers' director of football operations when they drafted Edwards. "The coverages they see up here compared to college and, really, the quality of the defensive backs ... if you have a good receiver in college you can usually create a mismatch and get that receiver on somebody not good enough to cover him. It's hard to do [that] in the NFL."

"Because of the different coverages you see, especially because of the talent of the guys who cover them, you have a lot of adjustments you have to make as a receiver," said offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt, a former NFL tight end. "It's almost like a learning curve for a quarterback -- you have to see things and learn from them because there's a lot of information you're trying to digest as you're on the move. It's tough."

Because receivers are thinking and not running at full speed, that hinders their ability to be in the proper spot on timing routes. And quarterbacks often throw to spots, based on the timing of the route.

Cedrick Wilson said the same thing happened to him last season in his first year with the Steelers, even though he had spent the four previous years in the league. He was learning a new offense, new terminology, and some of the indecision caused him to not play as fast and not be in the proper spot on pass routes.

Wilson's production increased as he became more comfortable with his assignments. After catching nine passes for 161 yards in the first eight games, he had 17 catches for 290 yards in the next seven. In the postseason, he caught nine passes for 216 yards and two touchdowns.

"When you know it, you play fast," Wilson said. "But, when you're thinking, it's kind of hard to play fast."

 
Wheel, don't bother. He's making one or two good catches a game. Don't dismiss Ced Wilson so quickly. When not injured, he had some very good weeks in SAN FRANCISCO! Quick, name the QB throwing to him in S.F... He's no downgrade from El, other than only being in the beginning of his 2nd season in Pitt. The problem this year has been Roethlisberger. Dude just doesn't look too sharp. His reads are coming a little slow, and it doesn't look like he's getting past his 1st and 2nd reads very often or very quickly. Besides this, he also looks a little tentative in the pocket, as if the contact is making him a little nervous. I attribute most of this to his double hospitalization this offseason, but before I'd buy on a rookie WR on a run dominant team with a head coach that is very wary of playing rookies (Polomalu couldn't start over Mike Logan), I'd like to see the QB of the future snap out of his funk. I'm still very optimistic that Ben will come around but I wonder how much of my positive outlook is just homerism.

For what it's worth, two of Ben's picks were a direct result of Holmes' misreads on option routes.

 
Depends on what you're looking for out of Holmes.

As a Steeler homer, maybe Im biased, but I like his outlook this year. Like the one post says, Wilson did nothing last year really until the post season. After watching the Cincy game where Wilson and Washington came up short dropping multiple passes each, especially key ones during the last drive where each dropped passes, I can easily see Holmes getting more and more chances, progressively, as the season moves on. Not to mention, Holmes had 2 catches himself on that final drive. He's really been the only guy looking good so far this year with a passing game thats been in shambles, aside from maybe Miller when they actually look his way. He'll keep taking playing time away from every WR besides Hines as the year goes on, plus, he's the only (potential) deep threat the steelers really have to offer.

Ben can't get any worse, so the numbers can't get any worse. I'd say this is a key week to see how he looks, but the Chargers D is a top 5 D, so its hard to judge going by this week. Id look for him to run around more and create more passing plays for the O. He should have his best numbers of the year so far despite playing a tough D (but lets be honest, thats not saying all too much). Aside from that, preseason the first 8 weeks of the Steelers schedule ranked #1 as toughest..the second 8 weeks ranked #24. It's preseason rankings, but obviously based on who they've played so far and who they still have to play aside from SD, there schedule outside of the BEST DIVISION IN THE NFL (2 vs BAL, 1 more vs CIN) looks pretty good for them.

By the years end, I almost guarantee Holmes posts better receiving numbers than anyone on the team aside from Hines and Miller...Im looking at about 45/700/5-6 as reasonable estimates. Maybe more, maybe less

 
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