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Please explain the luck involved in chess. TIA-------------------Expert rankings are intended to be a second opinion of your own thoughts and beliefs. Blind faith in educated opinions is what you end up with if you have no original thoughts or beliefs of your own.
If it were 100% luck this site would probably not exist nor have any subscribors - it would be like paying for winning lottery numbers in the next drawing. What would be the point? If you honestly believe it is 100% luck I dont know why you waste your time here, since any information won't do you any good, anyway. In the leagues I have been in, over the long term, the best Fantasy players usually make the playoffs each year, while the less skilled players are hit and miss. Once you get to the playoffs, then yes, luck does become a big factor due to the head-to-head matchups in most leagues (then it is not the best team that wins, it is just the best team for that given week).
Sorry my post probably came off bad. I have yet to see you yelling at the people who work at FBG for ruining your week or your season or whatever, so you are different. I in no way claim or think I know more than the guys who run this site. I just prefer to go with my picks, because that is what I find most enjoyable. I would rather my picks be wrong as long as they are my picks. When they are right they are that much sweeter.I said I don't watch enough or know enough.so you participate in a fantasy version of a sport you don't really watch or know anything about, all for the satisfaction of putting check marks next to names that you get off a list made by someone else.sound like buckets of fun.I dont watch enough or know nearly enough about football to make decisions for myself.I go with the rankings every single week.It's why I pay whatever it is I pay here.
I am a busy man. Playing fantasy football adds some excitement, but it's not as if I spend hours upon hours each week studying game tape and scouring practice squads. I watch maybe a couple of hours of games each week. There is nothing I do in my life that makes me think I know more about football than Dodds or Bloom, or whoever.
And I think most of you fools who think you know more should stop whining and start your own damn site if you think you are that knowledgeable.
And your success/failure ratio will be pretty much the same as if you had followed someone else's rankings.If you don't understand this then you are one of the last to realize that this is all just a guessing game.
+1000
The 60% figure doesn't include all line-up decisions; it includes only the line-up decisions where experts disagree with each other. Correctly ranking Adrian Peterson higher than Darren Sproles doesn't count. Given the way the scoring works, I think 60% is pretty good. (That said, it does mean that in close decisions, even the best experts will be wrong an awful lot. That's why they're close decisions.)Here's a link to the accuracy scores for this season.aimlessgun said:
I watch a lot of NFL football every week. I also try to stay current on all the news relevant to FF — injuries, depth chart moves, etc. Moreover, I do my own projections for every player each week. An awful lot of thought goes into them. In other words, I put a lot of time and effort into fantasy football. (And I'm lucky enough to be part of FBG, so it's not just a hobby.)But when I'm setting my lineups in my own leagues and Dodds and I disagree on a decision, I tend to go with Dodds more often than not — because I know that he takes even more into account than I do! For me, that doesn't detract from the fun. Everyone will draw the line differently regarding what information to use. Some will want to do all of their own analysis, and won't even read opinions by beat writers or NFL analysts. Others will listen to analysts but will not consider other people's rankings or projections. Still others will take everything possible into account, including rankings from other knowledgeable prognosticators.The Real Hipster Doofus said:
John Rozek. WCOFF's #1 ranked player in the world.I happened to exchange e-mails with him yesterday. He entered 4 high stakes contest leagues. He won 3 of those leagues, and is contending for the big $ in all of them including in the 4th.Yeah, it is all luck. Suckers like you line John's pocket.Hijack over.dennis.moore said:
LOL @ ranking fantasy football players.Thanks, I need the laugh.
Post Rozeks teams if you have access. Would love too see the Gurus picks and what rd he made the picks.
Ah that's true. My post was deliberately simple, and it does misrepresent the 60% figure. I wonder if it would be fun for them to create a web app where you could submit your rankings for the week and have it run through their algorithm to compare with the experts. For all the people who say rely only on your own opinions
not entirely true....I referenced the shirt in post #2....just sayin4th response? This place is slipping.
why would someone who doesn't follow FF that closely possibly think his own "gut" feeling would be better than an experts advice?Show me a site that has everyone ranked correctly? No? Right. Therefore, you made a mistake, you didn't do your own research and you made the wrong choice.
This doesn't change anything. You really should stop whining. And find a new hobby.
Was following the expert rankings what got you to your championship game? Serious question.LAbronco said:
You said a lot of good things there Fred and what really sticks out to me is the bolded part.
![[icon]](/data/avatars/m/5/5167.jpg?1660313464){kind=avatar}
Neither of these factors is true with FBG. They update their rankings daily from Wednesday through Sunday morning. In addition, the rankings can easily be customized based on your precise scoring system (multiple different ones if you need them) . Hell, it even highlights YOUR players in the projections to make it easier.
to FBG.
Don't forget to laugh when John is cashing his minimum $20,000.
oh that particular hand, yes.:mikeyfromswingers:
I use several different rankings as a guide but when I have a gut feeling I make the final decison. These experts have more resources and time to determine why certain players should do well. In a way its kind of dumb not to at least look at their rankings and consider them.The Real Hipster Doofus said:
bullpucky. you don't know what the h#ll you're talking about, clearly.Total coinflip. Bennett and Royal had been equally inconsitent, with both coming off good weeks the week before. Both healthy vs good matchups. Bennett was appealling in the matchup vs the Lions, since the Chic OL although better is shaky and the Lions have had a better than avg pass rush at home. Didn't look like a great spot to start Hester and poss Knox as slow-developing routes are usually rarely successful against such a Defense. Figured it was going to be a good day for Forte and Bennett, and poss Olsen.Royal had a lingering hip/groin injury thru the middle of the season, which he looks to have bounced back from, nearly 100 % . He wasn't on the inj report and had a big week the week before. Orton vs Cassell figured to be a point-fest , as the last time they met, but 10-6? Who knew? Orton threw for 300 yds and 4td's last time they met, had his worst week in the season by far vs KC last week, but u don't see my 'crying' about starting Orton.There's a site that ranks the experts picks every week and i believe Dodds is #2 overall for the season , according to that site. I filtered picks from experts who were 'top rated' overall and for the WR position, as well as used Dodds and Blooms rankings. Just disappointed looking back that Bennett wasn't given his due and ranked closer to Royal. Don't tell me i blew it by not doing my research. Consulting 'experts picks' is just that, and isn't the be all , end all, it's what i'll do when in a coinflip decision. I'm not the one making a living acquiring and accessing mountains of info, then filtering it out to my subscribers.
Total coinflip, but you fully expect them to have given you the right answer. Do you have any idea how absurd you sound?LAbronco said:
Those are gold.
I always assume the rankings are based on projections so I look at the projections and judge more by relative point differences between players. Makes me understand at least why players are valued as such... pass catching, td-likelihood, etc. I rarely look at the rankings since my different leagues all score differently. It also lets me make gut calls better if they are ranked within a point of one another. I can pick a 15th ranked WR because he's within a point of a 7th... and my prognostication allows me to do that (makes ff more fun too).So since you don't like the ranking, maybe you should start looking more at the proj.
Expert rankings >>> your gutYou lost because you were beat by a better team. Get over it.
The End.
but people pay for them
Exactly. Funny, how it's considered pedestrian to defer to esteemed experts (those who have fared extremely well vs other experts) when in a coinflip situation. Of course i'll make most determinations on my own, but there are those coinflip decisions where you can't seem to breakthrough on a decision, so in this case, why not defer to a guy like Dodds and Bloom, who make make their living writing about this stuff, and who are considered among the most accurate of all the pros when it comes to rankings?
fair point
