SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
My preliminary screening identifies the following plays attractive for hypothetical sportsbook activity...lets discuss.
I'll include 2, 3, or 4 stars as a relative strength of play rating.
1. Detroit @ Green Bay (-13.5) o/u 46
The play: under 46 points. 2 stars.
Green Bay should limit detroit to 17 points worst case and has a desire to improve their run game. I'm guessing 27-14 or somesuch.
2. Carolina at New Orleans (-14) o/u 44.5
The play: New Orleans AND under 44.5. 2 stars on the spread and 3 stars on the over/under.
New Orleans is going to crush Carolina. The wide spread is the only reason I dont rate NO and points as 3 stars.
3. Jets (-6) at Buffalo o/u 37.
The play: Jets -6. 4 stars.
Think last weeks Pats/Bills game and add the Jets defense instead of the Pats defense. The spread should be double digits here.
4. Indy (-8) at Jacksonville o/u 46.
The play: Indy AND Under 46. 3 stars on Indy and 2 stars on Under 46.
This is another good team versus bad team game. Jax typically plays Indy tough but doesnt have the horses right now and will get STOMPED.
5. Houston (-5) at Oakland o/u 47.
The play: Houston AND Under 47. 3 stars.
So Houston can be passed on, AJ's ankle is a question mark, and Oakland has alphabet soup. So what? Foster will run for 140+ yards and Houston will grind the clock.
6. Redskins at Philly (-6.5) o/u 43.
The play: Philly. 2 stars.
Division battle may scare away some, but I think Vick continues to be the stud and the difference.
7. Chicago at Giants (-4) o/u 44.5.
The play: Chicago. 2 stars.
Bears should cause enough fits for the Giants offense to overcome 1 or 2 Cutler picks and get the win.
8. New England (-1.5) at Miami o/u 46.5.
The play: Over 46.5.
NE can only win with offense. Miami will score at will. I like a point total in the 50s in this game.
I'll include 2, 3, or 4 stars as a relative strength of play rating.
1. Detroit @ Green Bay (-13.5) o/u 46
The play: under 46 points. 2 stars.
Green Bay should limit detroit to 17 points worst case and has a desire to improve their run game. I'm guessing 27-14 or somesuch.
2. Carolina at New Orleans (-14) o/u 44.5
The play: New Orleans AND under 44.5. 2 stars on the spread and 3 stars on the over/under.
New Orleans is going to crush Carolina. The wide spread is the only reason I dont rate NO and points as 3 stars.
3. Jets (-6) at Buffalo o/u 37.
The play: Jets -6. 4 stars.
Think last weeks Pats/Bills game and add the Jets defense instead of the Pats defense. The spread should be double digits here.
4. Indy (-8) at Jacksonville o/u 46.
The play: Indy AND Under 46. 3 stars on Indy and 2 stars on Under 46.
This is another good team versus bad team game. Jax typically plays Indy tough but doesnt have the horses right now and will get STOMPED.
5. Houston (-5) at Oakland o/u 47.
The play: Houston AND Under 47. 3 stars.
So Houston can be passed on, AJ's ankle is a question mark, and Oakland has alphabet soup. So what? Foster will run for 140+ yards and Houston will grind the clock.
6. Redskins at Philly (-6.5) o/u 43.
The play: Philly. 2 stars.
Division battle may scare away some, but I think Vick continues to be the stud and the difference.
7. Chicago at Giants (-4) o/u 44.5.
The play: Chicago. 2 stars.
Bears should cause enough fits for the Giants offense to overcome 1 or 2 Cutler picks and get the win.
8. New England (-1.5) at Miami o/u 46.5.
The play: Over 46.5.
NE can only win with offense. Miami will score at will. I like a point total in the 50s in this game.