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Six teams that won't make the playoffs (1 Viewer)

C

Chicago Hooligan

Footballguy
Picking 6 teams that won't make the playoffs is a sucker's bet. Try it with me; bet you'll lose with me.

In addition to using this bet to practically steal money from friends, I've found it useful in helping me figure out which teams won't suck as bad as I expect. Accordingly, they probably have undervalued or complete sleeper FF players among their ranks. Can I figure out who they are? Uh, maybe. For now I'll just make my almost-certainly-not-all-correct picks:

1) Buffalo - maybe the worst team top to bottom. Seem to have no plan year-to-year, always maintaining eerie sense that 80% of starters require replacement before the team can be any good. 6 wins for them would shock me. Strong division.

Why I could be wrong: I don't really know much about Buffalo. I saw them play once last year and they sucked horribly but I guess they have okay skill players?

2) Carolina - starting an inexperienced and/or bad QB on opening day and maybe all year. The other 3 teams in their division are all expecting to make the playoffs. Rookie head coach working on a shortened off-season.

Why I could be wrong: Fairly talented, esp. on offense. Potential to win games with clock control.

3) Jacksonville - seem primed for implosion. Are Lewis/Thomas enough receiving power? How soon does pressure to play Gabbert become too much? 10 wins may not be enough for an AFC wildcard.

Why I could be wrong: a lot of reasons, so maybe this is a bad pick. The Colts are still there but what if Manning actually missed games? Okay, that's unlikely. But coach Del Rio and QB Garrard both know their jobs are on the line this year. The Jags are rarely an outright bad team.

4) Washington - nothing makes sense here and the rest of the division has a lot more talent.

Why I could be wrong: A lot of wacky stuff happens in the NFC East. Wasn't Dallas basically last year's "Dream Team?"

5) Cincinnati - another team probably trotting out a callow QB on opening day. Benson is in trouble and Ocho is gone. Doubtful that they have a chance against Pitt. and Balt. and the Browns probably "should" beat the Bengals too

Why I could be wrong: Fair amount of good young players. Maybe the rookie QB/WR and others play way above expectations.

6) San Francisco - too many things can go wrong. Rookie or mediocre QB again. Rookie head coach on a short offseason again. Crabtree hurt? Gore cranky? Division is wide open but no team has a real advantage, so I'm taking the 49ers with the thought that there's more or less a 3 out of 4 chance they don't make it.

Why I could be wrong: The new coach is a strategist with some pieces in place. Everyone in the division hopes to get better, but some will go downhill; in this scrum SF could easily be the last man standing. They are a favorite to take the NFC West for some.

The end. Give it a shot if you like. Join me in abject failure. I'll bump this when I'm proven wrong.

 
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6 teams that will not make the playoffs:

Buffalo

Cincinnati

Jacksonville

Oakland

Seattle

Carolina

What do I win if I am right?

 
Maybe you guys will be wrong, but I know I'm right:

Miami

Buffalo

Cincinnati

Washington

San Francisco

Carolina

theme here is tough divisions and/or bad or unproven QB's

 
Easy as 1-2-3 (well, and 4-5-6)

Cincinnati Bengals

Carolina Panthers

Buffalo Bills

Oakland Raiders

San Francisco 49ers

Washington Redskins

 
Minnesota (pains me to say it)

Carolina

Buffalo

Miami

Seattle

Texans (not a bad team at all, I'm just sick of picking them to make it)

 
Fun thread!

Buffalo -- Not enough talent on either side of the ball, won't outplay NE or NYJ

Cleveland -- Lack of passing offense, won't outplay Pitt or Balt

Carolina -- Qb will be an issue, won't outplay NO or Atl

Oakland -- Lost some good players in free agency, won't outplay SD or KC

Washington -- Trainwreck, won't outplay Phil or NYG

St Louis -- Some brightspots, but still not a good team, won't outplay Ariz or SF

Also:

Jacksonville -- D needs major work, won't outplay Ind or Hou

Miami -- QB will be an issue, won't outplay NE or NYJ

Tennessee -- QB will be an issue, won't outplay Ind or Hou

Detroit -- A team on the rise, but not there yet, won't outplay GB or Chi

Tampa -- A team on the rise, but not there yet, won't outplay NO or Atl

Seattle -- QB will be an issue, won't outplay Ariz or SF

 
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Cleveland

Cincinnati

Oakland

Buffalo

Seattle

Washington

Carolina

San Francisco

Jaacksonville

Miami

How can people pick Detroit when 10 teams are worse? Haters!

 
Here's my 6.

Buffalo. Extremely tough division and a brutal schedule. If I were to pick one team to miss the playoffs this would be the one.

Carolina. Another team in a very tough division. Hard to see them improving by the 7-8 wins they would need to when largely they've been resigning guys more than adding new guys.

Washington. A tougher pick, especially in the sense that I think that while Philly looks tough I am much less sold on Dallas or the Giants. They also get to play all the NFC West teams. Not the most inspiring QB choices.

Cleveland. A tougher call as the AFC North teams have a softer schedule.

San Francisco. It's really tough to pick any NFC West team, given how awful the division was last year. Still, this is a team that's lost more than they've won in the free-agency derby.

Oakland. Lost Nnamdi and losing other folks because of the salary cap issues. Doesn't look like they've had an offseason that says they are stepping forward.

--------------------

Honorable mention:

Cincinnati. While as a Bengals fan, I think we're in store for a horrible year, it's tough to totally bury my beloved Who-Deys for three reasons. One: They have a track record of coming out of nowhere and surprising (see 2009) which makes them potentially lethal on a list like this Two: The schedule is very forgiving - only one team outside the division had a winning record last year.

Denver. Tempted to put them in the Oakland spot. Think this new regime can't be worse than McDaniels was though.

Seattle. Like the 49ers they seem to be racing headlong in the quest for Andrew Luck, but I think they're in a little better shape.

So there you go.

-QG

 
Pittsburgh - Missed the playoffs after last 2 Superbowl appearances. Might as well make it 3

Dallas - Close, but not quite.

San Diego- KC improving every day. SD not so much

Indy - The decline will be great

Philly - The signing of Vince Young will be regretted

Detroit - They get 10 wins and just miss

eta forgot 6th team

 
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'gigantor said:
Pittsburgh - Missed the playoffs after last 2 Superbowl appearances. Might as well make it 3Dallas - Close, but not quite.San Diego- KC improving every day. SD not so muchIndy - The decline will be greatPhilly - The signing of Vince Young will be regrettedDetroit - They get 10 wins and just miss eta forgot 6th team
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:lmao: Doesn't this belong in the "bold predictions" thread?
 
This is too easy, I love predicting who will finish third in their division.

Hold onto your butts.

NFC North: Lions (are still a wildcard team)

NFC East: Eagles

NFC West: Niners

NFC South: Bucs

AFC North: Browns

AFC East: Jets

AFC West: Chiefs

AFC South: Jaguars

 
Dolphins

Bengals

Raiders

Redskins

Panthers

Titans

now to get bold with 6 more:

Bills

Giants

Browns

Lions

Jaguars

Vikings

 
The NFC West's mediocrity makes this a little tougher than it should be.

Carolina, Buffalo, Washington, Cincinnati, Tennessee, Jacksonville.

 
You're right about Washington, but it's not because of the rest of the division. Other than the Skins I see one very good team and two mediocre ones there. I wouldn't be surprised to see Philly lock up the division by around Thanksgiving, with none of the other teams finishing above .500.

 
Washington, Chicago, Carolina, San Fran, Buffalo, Cincy, Tennessee, Denver

One from each division.

 
Buffalo

Minnesota

San Fran

Oakland

Cincy

Tennessee

Like the OP -- and unlike the rest of the posters, apparently -- I have very little confidence in these picks.

 
'Bamac said:
Buffalo

Minnesota

San Fran

Oakland

Cincy

Tennessee

Like the OP -- and unlike the rest of the posters, apparently -- I have very little confidence in these picks.
Click to expand...
"any given Sunday" and all that, it's entirely possible that any team could surprise us. Just a few breaks and any of the teams I listed could be playoff bound.
 
Denver (John Fox will do a good job turning the team around, but it will take another year)

Cincinatti (Trainwreck)

Carolina (I think they will be greatly improved, but still 8-8 at best)

Buffalo (I don't think they will be as bad as many predict, but they still won't be good enough)

Tampa Bay (A bolder pick than the others, but Tampa has been as inconsistent as Carolina in recent years. They were good last year, they'll be bad this year. Plus, New Orleans and Atlanta will probably make the playoff)

Baltimore (Thought I would go out on a limb with a pick)

 
'southeastjerome said:
Carolina, Buffalo, Washington, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Jacksonville.The first three are guarantees that I would double down on.
Click to expand...
Agree with this. Buffalo, Cleveland, and Cincy will be feisty but are basically starting 1-3 or 0-4 in their respective divisions (NE/NYJ, PIT/BAL) which means they probably have to go 9-3 or better in the rest of their games to make it. Carolina has too far to go and 3 solid teams in their division. Washington is poopy. Jacksonville is not good enough to win 10 games. NFC West is too tricky to pick a sure fire loser. Gun to my head I would say SF.
 
'FUBAR said:
'Bamac said:
Buffalo

Minnesota

San Fran

Oakland

Cincy

Tennessee

Like the OP -- and unlike the rest of the posters, apparently -- I have very little confidence in these picks.
Click to expand...
"any given Sunday" and all that, it's entirely possible that any team could surprise us. Just a few breaks and any of the teams I listed could be playoff bound.
Click to expand...
Another interesting question would be "what percentage of the posters will get all six right?" -- maybe take only the first six from those who posted more.I'd venture about 35%. Over/under?

 
This is too easy.

Cleveland

Buffalo

Cincinnati

Jacksonville

Carolina

Washington

Heck, I'll give you 10.

Minnesota

Tennessee

Denver

Miami

 
Maybe it is me, but I am surprised Oakland is on so many lists. QB is obviously shaky and line does not seem to be much improved, but they were 8-8 last year, and I don't see where any team within their division made glaring improvements. The thing that sticks out to me is that Washington, for example, is a consensus pick due to their spot in their division and the fact that they probably won't be so good. But when I look at Oakland (or the AFC West cellar dweller), I also see picks of KC and Denver...this tells me that there is a real question of who is worst and it is not a "sure" thing.

Well, onto my list:

Miami

Buffalo

Cincy

San Fran

Carolina

Cleveland

 
Washington

Cincinnati

Cleveland

Miami

Carolina

Oakland

A very weak NFC West makes me afraid to pick anyone from that division.

 
The team I would be very afraid to pick that I'm seeing on some lists is the Titans. They have followed up poor seasons in the past with playoff bound seasons. They have a new coach, but they still have Chris Johnson and added Matt Hasselbeck. I think they have a decent chance to sneak in as a wild card in the AFC. Colts fan by the way.

 
I think Carolina could be the team that screws with everyone here.

Cam Newton could end up surprising a lot of folks. I still think Steve Smiff has something in the tank. Two great RBs. Olsen, Shockey and Hartsock were really smart additions.

Carolina had the best record in the NFC in '08, then went 8-8 against the third hardest schedule in '09. That was with Delhomme at QB. I could see Newton, Williams, Stewart, Olsen, Shockey and Smith making for a very interesting offense.

 
My six:

Buffalo: very uninspiring off-season. Difficult division/conference. No way the AFC East sends three teams to the playoffs, and I'm having a hard time seeing the Bills finishing 1st or 2nd in that division.

Seattle: This team is horrible.

San Francisco: Has any team been more hurt by the lockout? They're trying to install a new timing based offense, but lost a bunch of practice time. They lost Manny Lawson, David Baas, Takeo Spikes, Nate Clements, Travis Laboy and Aubrayo Franklin. It's obviously dangerous picking two NFCW teams, but SF wasn't very good beforehand and seems to have taken some steps back. Harbaugh is going to have his hands full.

Washington: Are they not the clear worst team in the division? I have a hard time seeing them not land in the cellar, much less make the playoffs. Really ugly situation in D.C. with the Giants, Eagles and Cowboys all looking tough.

Cincinnati: the Buffalo of the AFC North. Such an uninspiring off-season; this team needs a jolt of something in the worst way.

I want to stay away from the AFC South because it's so tight. Ditto the AFC West, just because I could see the Broncos surprising people and I'm not picking a team that swept their own division last year. Therefore...

Minnesota: Frazier's doing some good things, and maybe McNabb/Peterson/Harvin form a special sort of triplets. But this team seems awfully thin at WR, I don't love McNabb, and I think Minny's awful season went a bit beyond Favre last year. The whole stadium issue isn't helping matters, either.

 
'Chase Stuart said:
I think Carolina could be the team that screws with everyone here.Cam Newton could end up surprising a lot of folks. I still think Steve Smiff has something in the tank. Two great RBs. Olsen, Shockey and Hartsock were really smart additions.Carolina had the best record in the NFC in '08, then went 8-8 against the third hardest schedule in '09. That was with Delhomme at QB. I could see Newton, Williams, Stewart, Olsen, Shockey and Smith making for a very interesting offense.
Click to expand...
I would tend to agree with your point except that they have a brutal schedule and a god awful secondary. Brees and his horses, Ryan/White/Jones/Gonzo, Freeman/Williams/Winslow will light up this defense. Carolina would need their divisions rivals to severely catch the injury bug to make the playoffs. There won't be many freebie wildcard slots floating around with GB/Chicago and Philly/NYG likely grabbing one of those.
 
'Chase Stuart said:
My six:Buffalo: very uninspiring off-season. Difficult division/conference. No way the AFC East sends three teams to the playoffs, and I'm having a hard time seeing the Bills finishing 1st or 2nd in that division.Seattle: This team is horrible.San Francisco: Has any team been more hurt by the lockout? They're trying to install a new timing based offense, but lost a bunch of practice time. They lost Manny Lawson, David Baas, Takeo Spikes, Nate Clements, Travis Laboy and Aubrayo Franklin. It's obviously dangerous picking two NFCW teams, but SF wasn't very good beforehand and seems to have taken some steps back. Harbaugh is going to have his hands full.Washington: Are they not the clear worst team in the division? I have a hard time seeing them not land in the cellar, much less make the playoffs. Really ugly situation in D.C. with the Giants, Eagles and Cowboys all looking tough.Cincinnati: the Buffalo of the AFC North. Such an uninspiring off-season; this team needs a jolt of something in the worst way.I want to stay away from the AFC South because it's so tight. Ditto the AFC West, just because I could see the Broncos surprising people and I'm not picking a team that swept their own division last year. Therefore...Minnesota: Frazier's doing some good things, and maybe McNabb/Peterson/Harvin form a special sort of triplets. But this team seems awfully thin at WR, I don't love McNabb, and I think Minny's awful season went a bit beyond Favre last year. The whole stadium issue isn't helping matters, either.
Click to expand...
Picking two in the NFC west is suicide.
 
Denver

Kansas City

St. Louis

Cincinnati

Washington

Buffalo

And to take a huge flying leap I'll add a seventh team: Philadelphia.

 
i dont think its a good idea to put 2 teams from the same division on the list. esp when both teams play the nfc west along with buffalo, miami, denver and oakland.

 
My locks to miss:

Tennessee

Cincinnati

San Francisco

Washington

Miami

Cleveland

Buffalo

Others I see missing:

Denver

Oakland

Jacksonville

Carolina

Detroit

 
pinnys worst division odds

carolina +2500

buffalo +2331

cinci +2200

wash +2024

denver +1267

cle +1000

minn +921

miami +913

seattle +754

jville +690

tenn +595

 
'Chase Stuart said:
I think Carolina could be the team that screws with everyone here.Cam Newton could end up surprising a lot of folks. I still think Steve Smiff has something in the tank. Two great RBs. Olsen, Shockey and Hartsock were really smart additions.Carolina had the best record in the NFC in '08, then went 8-8 against the third hardest schedule in '09. That was with Delhomme at QB. I could see Newton, Williams, Stewart, Olsen, Shockey and Smith making for a very interesting offense.
Click to expand...
I agree, they are one of the most improved teams, but they are playing in arguably the toughest division in football. TB is young and was tough to beat last year. They really haven't lost anyone and they should be improved with their young guys having a full year of service under their belts. New Orleans and Atlanta are legit super bowl contenders and both teams improved in the draft and free agency. New Orleans D-line is massive and have one of the best run D's on paper. Atlanta added more explosiveness to their offense in the draft. Like I said, Carolina has improved as well, I just don't see them finishing first or second in that division this year.
 
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