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Snake vs. Auction (1 Viewer)

ceo3west said:
ROCKET said:
Auction format seperates the men from the boys and doesn't give anyone an advantage going in via. draft position. Serpentine is fun but a lot less challenging IMO>
Serpentine draft position gives very little advantage in my opinion. I dont care who you pick in the first round, leagues are won from rounds 5 on IMO. If you know what youre doing you can win at any draft position. Depth and sleepers win titles for the most part.
This simply is Not true. Empirical data showed that team drafting in the early rounds of a serpentien draft are more than 2x likely to make the playoffs than teams drafting in the 2nd half of the draft.
Interesting. Can you link to that data? Thanks.
Yeah, I'd love to see this data too. I've been playing FF for 12 years and Ive never seen a team with one of the top picks make the playoffs without depth and/or sleepers in later rounds. Even if the top backs have more value, it is not siginificant enough to carry a team to the playoffs by itself, sorry. If that were the case, then why wouldnt you bid 80% of your salary cap on a top back in an auction?
 
I prefer auctions in both sports. Its interesting that if you go the best football internet site, FBG, 90%+ l of the articles and message board chats talk about serpentine leagues rather than auctions. Conversely, the best baseball internet site, Baseball HQ, talks as if auctions are the "norm".

It is an issue of preferance.
I think it's because the founding fathers of rotisserie baseball, as explained in their series of books in the mid-eighties, grasped that the fundamental concept that made the game what it became was building the best team you could while having the same amount of money to spend as everyone else.It is, indeed, an issue of preference but for the life of me I don't understand why someone would surrender this most fundamental of concepts.

 
ceo3west said:
ROCKET said:
Auction format seperates the men from the boys and doesn't give anyone an advantage going in via. draft position. Serpentine is fun but a lot less challenging IMO>
Serpentine draft position gives very little advantage in my opinion. I dont care who you pick in the first round, leagues are won from rounds 5 on IMO. If you know what youre doing you can win at any draft position. Depth and sleepers win titles for the most part.
This simply is Not true. Empirical data showed that team drafting in the early rounds of a serpentien draft are more than 2x likely to make the playoffs than teams drafting in the 2nd half of the draft.
Interesting. Can you link to that data? Thanks.
Yeah, I'd love to see this data too. I've been playing FF for 12 years and Ive never seen a team with one of the top picks make the playoffs without depth and/or sleepers in later rounds. Even if the top backs have more value, it is not siginificant enough to carry a team to the playoffs by itself, sorry. If that were the case, then why wouldnt you bid 80% of your salary cap on a top back in an auction?
Page 95 of "Dominating Fantasy Football" by Randy Giminez -- source ESPN leagues (data with which to look at this not available on CBS)
 
ceo3west said:
ROCKET said:
Auction format seperates the men from the boys and doesn't give anyone an advantage going in via. draft position. Serpentine is fun but a lot less challenging IMO>
Serpentine draft position gives very little advantage in my opinion. I dont care who you pick in the first round, leagues are won from rounds 5 on IMO. If you know what youre doing you can win at any draft position. Depth and sleepers win titles for the most part.
This simply is Not true. Empirical data showed that team drafting in the early rounds of a serpentien draft are more than 2x likely to make the playoffs than teams drafting in the 2nd half of the draft.
Interesting. Can you link to that data? Thanks.
Yeah, I'd love to see this data too. I've been playing FF for 12 years and Ive never seen a team with one of the top picks make the playoffs without depth and/or sleepers in later rounds. Even if the top backs have more value, it is not siginificant enough to carry a team to the playoffs by itself, sorry. If that were the case, then why wouldnt you bid 80% of your salary cap on a top back in an auction?
Page 95 of "Dominating Fantasy Football" by Randy Giminez -- source ESPN leagues (data with which to look at this not available on CBS)
Ok, I haven't posted here in a really long time, but I'm fascinated with this topic so I thought I'd jump in.I looked up the book at amazon.com and browsed to page 95 using the online reader. The book is actually called "Your Official Guide on How to Dominate Fantasy Football," and the desired reference actually runs pages 95- 96. Here's the quote of interest:

"ESPN stated that for 2005 the draft position for their site that won the most championships was number two. Most large fantasy football contest leagues will not give out information related to the best draft position(s), as it would only serve as a detriment to their contest growth.

(Sidebar: In drafting from the last six spots, the odds are stacked against you almost 2-to-1. You must have a strategy to overcome this.)

In doing my research, I found if you want to reach the playoffs, you have a 57 percent chance if drafting from the first six spots vs a 35 percent chance from the bottom six positions."

 
Jack Tripper said:
I'm new to the site and love it.I've played this game for 8 years and the first 6 were snake drafts. The last 2 we've done an auction and will never go back. It would be like going back to manually calculating stats from the newspaper.Auctions are the most fair since any owner can have any player he wants if he's willing to pay $1 more than the next owner. I also believe they require more strategy - much like playing poker. And not the poker you play with your buddies in your mom's basement - Baseball, pass the trash, Guts...etc. What I can't understand is why 99% of magazines, internet sites and boards like this one are dedicated to what is really an antiquated draft style. I mean I realize a snake is easy so any moron with a 4 month old magazine can sit down and go for it and might luck into a good team but this site, as a perfect example, caters mostly to at least somewhat serious players(Sharks) so why so little talk relating to the most realistic draft format?Anyone care to shed some light on this? :confused:
Why there are more drafts than auctions:1) Because they are easier2) Because they take less time3) Because they are easier4) Because they can read but can't use a calculator or computer5) Because no one could keep track of the money after the 5th pitcher6) Because they are easier
 
Standard drafting(serpentine or the more advanced form of drawing cards for every other round so you aren't picking in the same spot over and over again) is closer to the real mccoy. Most people who play fantasy ball understand this. No need for mags and/or websites to cater to the lowest common denominator.
:lmao: OK I'll bite. Closer how? I guess I don't play fantasy ball, because I don't understand this claim at all. :shrug:
Because the NFL doesn't hold an auction draft.
Weak argument. The NFL also doesn't throw veterans into the draft pool, give points for yards gained, start 2 or 3 halfbacks per team, etc.We do this for fun, not to pretend we're real NFL GMs. :nerd: Auctions are simply more fun IMO.
 
I prefer auctions in both sports. Its interesting that if you go the best football internet site, FBG, 90%+ l of the articles and message board chats talk about serpentine leagues rather than auctions. Conversely, the best baseball internet site, Baseball HQ, talks as if auctions are the "norm".

It is an issue of preferance.
I think it's because the founding fathers of rotisserie baseball, as explained in their series of books in the mid-eighties, grasped that the fundamental concept that made the game what it became was building the best team you could while having the same amount of money to spend as everyone else.It is, indeed, an issue of preference but for the life of me I don't understand why someone would surrender this most fundamental of concepts.
:goodposting: Even if you don't believe there is an advantage to picking early in a serpentine draft, you have to at least acknowledge that it can be argued. In an auction, there is no argument. Everyone starts out on equal ground. Period.

I don't understand why auction is "too complicated" for football magazines and websites, yet it's the standard for baseball magazines and websites. :confused: Is it simply due to the fact that baseball fans are smarter than football fans? :baitingjoe:

 
Auction format seperates the men from the boys and doesn't give anyone an advantage going in via. draft position. Serpentine is fun but a lot less challenging IMO>
Serpentine draft position gives very little advantage in my opinion. I dont care who you pick in the first round, leagues are won from rounds 5 on IMO. If you know what youre doing you can win at any draft position. Depth and sleepers win titles for the most part.
This simply is Not true. Empirical data showed that team drafting in the early rounds of a serpentien draft are more than 2x likely to make the playoffs than teams drafting in the 2nd half of the draft.
Interesting. Can you link to that data? Thanks.
Yeah, I'd love to see this data too. I've been playing FF for 12 years and Ive never seen a team with one of the top picks make the playoffs without depth and/or sleepers in later rounds. Even if the top backs have more value, it is not siginificant enough to carry a team to the playoffs by itself, sorry. If that were the case, then why wouldnt you bid 80% of your salary cap on a top back in an auction?
Page 95 of "Dominating Fantasy Football" by Randy Giminez -- source ESPN leagues (data with which to look at this not available on CBS)
Ok, I haven't posted here in a really long time, but I'm fascinated with this topic so I thought I'd jump in.I looked up the book at amazon.com and browsed to page 95 using the online reader. The book is actually called "Your Official Guide on How to Dominate Fantasy Football," and the desired reference actually runs pages 95- 96. Here's the quote of interest:

"ESPN stated that for 2005 the draft position for their site that won the most championships was number two. Most large fantasy football contest leagues will not give out information related to the best draft position(s), as it would only serve as a detriment to their contest growth.

(Sidebar: In drafting from the last six spots, the odds are stacked against you almost 2-to-1. You must have a strategy to overcome this.)

In doing my research, I found if you want to reach the playoffs, you have a 57 percent chance if drafting from the first six spots vs a 35 percent chance from the bottom six positions."
But again, if you know this is true than why not break the bank on one of the top backs in an auction? This still does not give evidence that an auction eliminates the fact that if you have one of the top backs youre more likely to win. Last year, Alexander was the guy taken at #2 in most snake drafts. I'd bet the farm that in auction drafts the guys that had Alexander won more titles than the guys that didn't, as is claimed above of snake drafts. And to reiterate someone elses point, if you know a player is going to have a monster year, then trade up in your snake draft, it's as simple as that.

 
Auction format seperates the men from the boys and doesn't give anyone an advantage going in via. draft position. Serpentine is fun but a lot less challenging IMO>
Serpentine draft position gives very little advantage in my opinion. I dont care who you pick in the first round, leagues are won from rounds 5 on IMO. If you know what youre doing you can win at any draft position. Depth and sleepers win titles for the most part.
This simply is Not true. Empirical data showed that team drafting in the early rounds of a serpentien draft are more than 2x likely to make the playoffs than teams drafting in the 2nd half of the draft.
Interesting. Can you link to that data? Thanks.
Yeah, I'd love to see this data too. I've been playing FF for 12 years and Ive never seen a team with one of the top picks make the playoffs without depth and/or sleepers in later rounds. Even if the top backs have more value, it is not siginificant enough to carry a team to the playoffs by itself, sorry. If that were the case, then why wouldnt you bid 80% of your salary cap on a top back in an auction?
Page 95 of "Dominating Fantasy Football" by Randy Giminez -- source ESPN leagues (data with which to look at this not available on CBS)
Ok, I haven't posted here in a really long time, but I'm fascinated with this topic so I thought I'd jump in.I looked up the book at amazon.com and browsed to page 95 using the online reader. The book is actually called "Your Official Guide on How to Dominate Fantasy Football," and the desired reference actually runs pages 95- 96. Here's the quote of interest:

"ESPN stated that for 2005 the draft position for their site that won the most championships was number two. Most large fantasy football contest leagues will not give out information related to the best draft position(s), as it would only serve as a detriment to their contest growth.

(Sidebar: In drafting from the last six spots, the odds are stacked against you almost 2-to-1. You must have a strategy to overcome this.)

In doing my research, I found if you want to reach the playoffs, you have a 57 percent chance if drafting from the first six spots vs a 35 percent chance from the bottom six positions."
But again, if you know this is true than why not break the bank on one of the top backs in an auction? This still does not give evidence that an auction eliminates the fact that if you have one of the top backs youre more likely to win. Last year, Alexander was the guy taken at #2 in most snake drafts. I'd bet the farm that in auction drafts the guys that had Alexander won more titles than the guys that didn't, as is claimed above of snake drafts. And to reiterate someone elses point, if you know a player is going to have a monster year, then trade up in your snake draft, it's as simple as that.
You're unwittingly making the argument FOR auctions. Getting one of the coveted elite players "costs more" in auctions than it does in drafts. That's where some of the strategy and leveled playing field thoughts come in. Instead of being given the gift of a top 3 RB, you have to pay (literally) for their services.To keep the example simple, let's assume that the first four rounds are where draft position really matters. Let's also assume a 12 team league, using FBG scoring, in which all participants draft straight off the VBD App cheatsheet.

After four rounds, the guy with the #1 pick has this team - LJ, Jamal, Fitz, and DJax, for a total "value" of 365.

The guy with the 12th pick has Bush, Westbrook, Wayne, and Dillon, for a total "value" of 247.

In a draft the remaining picks of these two teams should be about equal (could argue that #1 has slightly higher value since he has the very next pick, but I won't). So thanks to the luck of the draw, the guy picking first has nearly a 120 point lead.

In an auction these two owners could have these exact same first four players, and again the #12 guy would be facing a deficit. The difference is in an auction, he should have 33% of his money left, whereas the #1 guy only has 25% remaining. (again using the VBD app)

That's how the auction levels the playing field.

 
Why there are more drafts than auctions:

1) Because they are easier

2) Because they take less time

3) Because they are easier

4) Because they can read but can't use a calculator or computer

5) Because no one could keep track of the money after the 5th pitcher

6) Because they are easier
This is the point in time when auctions really become interesting. Let Excel keep track and pour another one.
 
Auction format seperates the men from the boys and doesn't give anyone an advantage going in via. draft position. Serpentine is fun but a lot less challenging IMO>
Serpentine draft position gives very little advantage in my opinion. I dont care who you pick in the first round, leagues are won from rounds 5 on IMO. If you know what youre doing you can win at any draft position. Depth and sleepers win titles for the most part.
This simply is Not true. Empirical data showed that team drafting in the early rounds of a serpentien draft are more than 2x likely to make the playoffs than teams drafting in the 2nd half of the draft.
Interesting. Can you link to that data? Thanks.
Yeah, I'd love to see this data too. I've been playing FF for 12 years and Ive never seen a team with one of the top picks make the playoffs without depth and/or sleepers in later rounds. Even if the top backs have more value, it is not siginificant enough to carry a team to the playoffs by itself, sorry. If that were the case, then why wouldnt you bid 80% of your salary cap on a top back in an auction?
Page 95 of "Dominating Fantasy Football" by Randy Giminez -- source ESPN leagues (data with which to look at this not available on CBS)
Ok, I haven't posted here in a really long time, but I'm fascinated with this topic so I thought I'd jump in.I looked up the book at amazon.com and browsed to page 95 using the online reader. The book is actually called "Your Official Guide on How to Dominate Fantasy Football," and the desired reference actually runs pages 95- 96. Here's the quote of interest:

"ESPN stated that for 2005 the draft position for their site that won the most championships was number two. Most large fantasy football contest leagues will not give out information related to the best draft position(s), as it would only serve as a detriment to their contest growth.

(Sidebar: In drafting from the last six spots, the odds are stacked against you almost 2-to-1. You must have a strategy to overcome this.)

In doing my research, I found if you want to reach the playoffs, you have a 57 percent chance if drafting from the first six spots vs a 35 percent chance from the bottom six positions."
But again, if you know this is true than why not break the bank on one of the top backs in an auction? This still does not give evidence that an auction eliminates the fact that if you have one of the top backs youre more likely to win. Last year, Alexander was the guy taken at #2 in most snake drafts. I'd bet the farm that in auction drafts the guys that had Alexander won more titles than the guys that didn't, as is claimed above of snake drafts. And to reiterate someone elses point, if you know a player is going to have a monster year, then trade up in your snake draft, it's as simple as that.
You obviously haven't played in many auction leagues. If you buy Alexander or Larry Johnson for 35% of your budget (~ $90 out of standard $260), your advantage over that slot will be evened out by the disadvantage of your spending power over the balance of the draft. I was in an auction earlier this year in which 1 team drafted both Larry Johnson AND Alexander for 70% of his budget ($183 of $260). In this league there are 10 starting positions. Does he have an advantage? Personally, I much prefer the team that I put together by spending my $260 in a different manner.
 
You're unwittingly making the argument FOR auctions. Getting one of the coveted elite players "costs more" in auctions than it does in drafts. That's where some of the strategy and leveled playing field thoughts come in. Instead of being given the gift of a top 3 RB, you have to pay (literally) for their services.

To keep the example simple, let's assume that the first four rounds are where draft position really matters. Let's also assume a 12 team league, using FBG scoring, in which all participants draft straight off the VBD App cheatsheet.

After four rounds, the guy with the #1 pick has this team - LJ, Jamal, Fitz, and DJax, for a total "value" of 365.

The guy with the 12th pick has Bush, Westbrook, Wayne, and Dillon, for a total "value" of 247.

In a draft the remaining picks of these two teams should be about equal (could argue that #1 has slightly higher value since he has the very next pick, but I won't). So thanks to the luck of the draw, the guy picking first has nearly a 120 point lead.

In an auction these two owners could have these exact same first four players, and again the #12 guy would be facing a deficit. The difference is in an auction, he should have 33% of his money left, whereas the #1 guy only has 25% remaining. (again using the VBD app)

That's how the auction levels the playing field.
You make a good argument, but what it really comes down to is that no matter what if you dont know how to identify breakout players, sleepers and good value, you wont win in any format. These players can be had in any draft format - and these players are the ones that win titles. Last year, I had the first pick (14 tms), took LT, came back with Holt and Javon Walker. LT faded in the playoffs and Walker went down in week 1 - I still won my league. Why? Because I drafted guys like Shockey, Galloway, Stallworth & Thomas Jones. Depth wins, not draft position.Even though auction may level the playing field as you say, I dont think the "advantage" of this is enough to make serpentine drafting irrelevant. I dont care where I pick in a snake draft, I know I will make the playoffs in any draft position, Ive done it time and time again. To me, guys that complain about their draft position just don't know what their doing when it comes to drafting, and end up out of the playoffs every year.

That said, Ive done auctions and I DO like this format as well. I just have a preference for serpentine drafting. To me auction drafting is anticlimatic. The best part of the year IMO is the draft - the serpentine draft that is.

 
You're unwittingly making the argument FOR auctions. Getting one of the coveted elite players "costs more" in auctions than it does in drafts. That's where some of the strategy and leveled playing field thoughts come in. Instead of being given the gift of a top 3 RB, you have to pay (literally) for their services.

To keep the example simple, let's assume that the first four rounds are where draft position really matters. Let's also assume a 12 team league, using FBG scoring, in which all participants draft straight off the VBD App cheatsheet.

After four rounds, the guy with the #1 pick has this team - LJ, Jamal, Fitz, and DJax, for a total "value" of 365.

The guy with the 12th pick has Bush, Westbrook, Wayne, and Dillon, for a total "value" of 247.

In a draft the remaining picks of these two teams should be about equal (could argue that #1 has slightly higher value since he has the very next pick, but I won't). So thanks to the luck of the draw, the guy picking first has nearly a 120 point lead.

In an auction these two owners could have these exact same first four players, and again the #12 guy would be facing a deficit. The difference is in an auction, he should have 33% of his money left, whereas the #1 guy only has 25% remaining. (again using the VBD app)

That's how the auction levels the playing field.
You make a good argument, but what it really comes down to is that no matter what if you dont know how to identify breakout players, sleepers and good value, you wont win in any format. These players can be had in any draft format - and these players are the ones that win titles. Last year, I had the first pick (14 tms), took LT, came back with Holt and Javon Walker. LT faded in the playoffs and Walker went down in week 1 - I still won my league. Why? Because I drafted guys like Shockey, Galloway, Stallworth & Thomas Jones. Depth wins, not draft position.Even though auction may level the playing field as you say, I dont think the "advantage" of this is enough to make serpentine drafting irrelevant. I dont care where I pick in a snake draft, I know I will make the playoffs in any draft position, Ive done it time and time again. To me, guys that complain about their draft position just don't know what their doing when it comes to drafting, and end up out of the playoffs every year.

That said, Ive done auctions and I DO like this format as well. I just have a preference for serpentine drafting. To me auction drafting is anticlimatic. The best part of the year IMO is the draft - the serpentine draft that is.
What part do you find anticlimatic? To me the auction is much more exciting than a serpentine. It's boring to sit there waiting on someone to pick, crossing guys off your cheatsheet while you passively wait for your turn. Especially if you are near one end, it can be a LONG boring wait between picks.An auction, on the other hand, has you on the edge of your seat as you're involved in every pick (assuming you don't blow your load early).

Serpentine = waiting on the slow guys

Auction = you snooze, you lose

As far as the making the playoffs every year from any draft position stuff. Well, that's simply a statement on the strength of your league. If the playing field is tilted in your favor due to your "skill" compared to your leaguemates, then you're right that it doesn't really matter if it's tilted against you in the "luck" of the draft draw. Hopefully this thread doesn't get hijacked into yet another skill vs luck argument... :unsure:

 
I'm new to the site and love it.

I've played this game for 8 years and the first 6 were snake drafts. The last 2 we've done an auction and will never go back. It would be like going back to manually calculating stats from the newspaper.

Auctions are the most fair since any owner can have any player he wants if he's willing to pay $1 more than the next owner. I also believe they require more strategy - much like playing poker. And not the poker you play with your buddies in your mom's basement - Baseball, pass the trash, Guts...etc.

What I can't understand is why 99% of magazines, internet sites and boards like this one are dedicated to what is really an antiquated draft style.

I mean I realize a snake is easy so any moron with a 4 month old magazine can sit down and go for it and might luck into a good team but this site, as a perfect example, caters mostly to at least somewhat serious players(Sharks) so why so little talk relating to the most realistic draft format?

Anyone care to shed some light on this? :confused:
Don't kid yourself, most people on this site are idiots who only THINK they are sharks. There's about 20-30 guys here who post worthwhile info. A shark would know that whether you run a draft OR an auction you dont luck into good teams. You get the best values you can and you keep working all season through the waiver wire to improve.Personally I've run drafts and auctions myself for 15 years and I there's plenty of good reasons to use either. I've found drafts to be a lot more fun and a lot less headaches than auctions. In reality, the best thing about an auction to many people is that they feel big bragging about how much better they are than drafts. It's like the guy with a small package who wastes big money on a mercedes to feel good about himself. To each his own.

 
Don't kid yourself, most people on this site are idiots who only THINK they are sharks. There's about 20-30 guys here who post worthwhile info.
:lmao: Amen brother. This may be the best post Ive ever seen on this board.
 
How ironic is it that MLB drafts often have a salary cap and NFL ones most times don't? I have friends that tried to get me to do a baseball draft and I told them the only way I'd do it is if they copied baseball's pay structure. Start with one team with a 200 mil cap and work your way down to a 40 mil team :loco: . Of course I want the 200 mil team

 
2) A draft is freakin easy to set up and execute. A corrollary of this - in an online league it presents all kinds of hurdles to develop an easy effective user interface for the auction. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------I disagree here. I've done a number of auctions on MFL and they are just as easy to do as a draft.-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------4) People are simply reluctant to change.-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------This is a big reason----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
[quote

For the thread subject, others have already said what to me are the major reasons:

* It's "easier" to do a draft, so the yahoo public leagues of the world are going to focus on those.

* You don't have to all be there live.

* Even though a very small percentage of people who try auctions, say afterwards that they still prefer drafts... until they actually try one, they are going to stick with what they know.

* Lack of quality software. For instance, MFL has good draft software, and crappy auction software other than bidding waivers. FantasyAuctioneer.com is the only good software I know of for an online auction.

I could not disagree more. I've comished a number of leagues over the years, draft and auction. I still do both and enjoy both; but like auctions better.

It is no harder to do an auction than a draft on line. MFL handles it just fine. You can do it quick (live) or slow with a 24 hour clock from last bid on a player on line. MFL software is designed by Fantasyauctioneer.com and works great. I've done a few dozen on there counting the mock auctions I've set up so people can try (get use to) them.

Just finishing one with a 24 hour clock since last bid to win a player. Started on the 2nd and will be done tomorrow. All 12 teams will have their full 22 man roster.

 
Auction format seperates the men from the boys and doesn't give anyone an advantage going in via. draft position. Serpentine is fun but a lot less challenging IMO>
Serpentine draft position gives very little advantage in my opinion. I dont care who you pick in the first round, leagues are won from rounds 5 on IMO. If you know what youre doing you can win at any draft position. Depth and sleepers win titles for the most part.
This simply is Not true. Empirical data showed that team drafting in the early rounds of a serpentien draft are more than 2x likely to make the playoffs than teams drafting in the 2nd half of the draft.
Interesting. Can you link to that data? Thanks.
Yeah, I'd love to see this data too. I've been playing FF for 12 years and Ive never seen a team with one of the top picks make the playoffs without depth and/or sleepers in later rounds. Even if the top backs have more value, it is not siginificant enough to carry a team to the playoffs by itself, sorry. If that were the case, then why wouldnt you bid 80% of your salary cap on a top back in an auction?
Page 95 of "Dominating Fantasy Football" by Randy Giminez -- source ESPN leagues (data with which to look at this not available on CBS)
Ok, I haven't posted here in a really long time, but I'm fascinated with this topic so I thought I'd jump in.I looked up the book at amazon.com and browsed to page 95 using the online reader. The book is actually called "Your Official Guide on How to Dominate Fantasy Football," and the desired reference actually runs pages 95- 96. Here's the quote of interest:

"ESPN stated that for 2005 the draft position for their site that won the most championships was number two. Most large fantasy football contest leagues will not give out information related to the best draft position(s), as it would only serve as a detriment to their contest growth.

(Sidebar: In drafting from the last six spots, the odds are stacked against you almost 2-to-1. You must have a strategy to overcome this.)

In doing my research, I found if you want to reach the playoffs, you have a 57 percent chance if drafting from the first six spots vs a 35 percent chance from the bottom six positions."
But again, if you know this is true than why not break the bank on one of the top backs in an auction? This still does not give evidence that an auction eliminates the fact that if you have one of the top backs youre more likely to win. Last year, Alexander was the guy taken at #2 in most snake drafts. I'd bet the farm that in auction drafts the guys that had Alexander won more titles than the guys that didn't, as is claimed above of snake drafts. And to reiterate someone elses point, if you know a player is going to have a monster year, then trade up in your snake draft, it's as simple as that.
 
Auction format seperates the men from the boys and doesn't give anyone an advantage going in via. draft position. Serpentine is fun but a lot less challenging IMO>
Serpentine draft position gives very little advantage in my opinion. I dont care who you pick in the first round, leagues are won from rounds 5 on IMO. If you know what youre doing you can win at any draft position. Depth and sleepers win titles for the most part.
This simply is Not true. Empirical data showed that team drafting in the early rounds of a serpentien draft are more than 2x likely to make the playoffs than teams drafting in the 2nd half of the draft.
Interesting. Can you link to that data? Thanks.
Yeah, I'd love to see this data too. I've been playing FF for 12 years and Ive never seen a team with one of the top picks make the playoffs without depth and/or sleepers in later rounds. Even if the top backs have more value, it is not siginificant enough to carry a team to the playoffs by itself, sorry. If that were the case, then why wouldnt you bid 80% of your salary cap on a top back in an auction?
Page 95 of "Dominating Fantasy Football" by Randy Giminez -- source ESPN leagues (data with which to look at this not available on CBS)
Ok, I haven't posted here in a really long time, but I'm fascinated with this topic so I thought I'd jump in.I looked up the book at amazon.com and browsed to page 95 using the online reader. The book is actually called "Your Official Guide on How to Dominate Fantasy Football," and the desired reference actually runs pages 95- 96. Here's the quote of interest:

"ESPN stated that for 2005 the draft position for their site that won the most championships was number two. Most large fantasy football contest leagues will not give out information related to the best draft position(s), as it would only serve as a detriment to their contest growth.

(Sidebar: In drafting from the last six spots, the odds are stacked against you almost 2-to-1. You must have a strategy to overcome this.)

In doing my research, I found if you want to reach the playoffs, you have a 57 percent chance if drafting from the first six spots vs a 35 percent chance from the bottom six positions."
But again, if you know this is true than why not break the bank on one of the top backs in an auction? This still does not give evidence that an auction eliminates the fact that if you have one of the top backs youre more likely to win. Last year, Alexander was the guy taken at #2 in most snake drafts. I'd bet the farm that in auction drafts the guys that had Alexander won more titles than the guys that didn't, as is claimed above of snake drafts. And to reiterate someone elses point, if you know a player is going to have a monster year, then trade up in your snake draft, it's as simple as that.
Last year would actually be evidence against your point. I would "bet the farm" that Larry Johnson (drafted in later rounds), or in ppr leagues perhaps the Lamont Jordan/Steve Smith 3rd/4th rounder equated to more championships than Shaun Alexander... by a long shot. The only guy on any of the leagues I played or kept up with last year (7) to win with Alexander really struggled until LJ emerged (drafted LJ in the 7th).
 
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