Iwannabeacowboybaby!
Footballguy
I've been in quite a few drafts so far this year and have an opinion on what I think are some value plays. If you filled your team each round with a player who actually lives up to his draft slot, you have yourself a winning team. I have some guys I think will meet their ADP and some pretty good longshots who I think may surpass their ADP as well.
Rounds 3-5
RB E. Graham- He's being drafted at RB 19 and overall 38. If you've been drafting, you may have noticed that Wr's are flying off the board starting late 1st round thru late 3rd round. If you're a drafter who wants your 2nd and 3rd round picks to be WR's, Graham is a solid 4th round option.
WR's- I don't see a lot of value at WR. You need 2 WR's in your first 4 rounds to stay with your draft, so plan accordingly. I think there's a big dropoff after the Greg Jennings, Lions WR's and S. Holmes group. That next tier starts with Bowe and Harrison (yes, I know many are liking Harrison now).
QB's- No value. If I'm going QB, I might as well go Brady. He'll have a monster year so if I'm buying early, it's him or I wait.
Rounds 5-10
RB Johnathon Stewart RB 25 and Overall 53.
Will compete for ROY if he stays healthy. He'll start, Fox likes to run and Stewart is good. He's already impressing the coaches near the goaline.
RB Rudi Johnson, RB 27 and overall 55
Will he be all the way back? I expect him to be closer to the guy we knew 2 years ago than the guy we saw last year. Rudi was too light last year, under 215 pounds. He's bulked back up to about 230 pounds and lost body fat. His primary focus has been leg strength, his problem last season.
WR Santana Moss Wr 31 and overall 79
With the addition of 2 rookie WR's, all the focus is on them. Meanwhile, Moss is focused on showing the rookies just how to play this game at the pro level. Moss is a competitive guy and drafting 2 rookies in the 2nd round may have sparked him just a bit. I like Moss in the late 7th and early 8th rounds, a very solid WR3, allowing you some wiggle room in your middle rounds knowing you can get a quality player there at WR.
WR Patrick Crayton WR 37 and 103 Overall
Crayton is a WR 2 on a very talented passing offense. His blunder in the playoffs last season has actually been a blessing in disguise for fantasy owners because all offseason long, all people could think of his that Dallas needs another WR, leading people to think Crayton just isn't that good. The truth is Crayton is a young receiver, he moved forward last season and has every right to make gains again this year. He's worked hard in camp and has purposely been working opposite of Pro Bowl corner T. Newman.
QB Aaron Rodgers QB 17 and overall 109
Before this season, I didn't know if it was Rogers or Rodgers. We've seen his name so many times linked to Farve this summer it's burned into my long term memory forever I think. Simply said, I predict Aaron Rodgers will make the Pro Bowl this season.
10th round and Beyond
WR Vincent Jackson WR 40 and Overall 110
Right around round 10 and 11, get Jackson. I watched Jackson last year and I felt he was coming into his own. I think he's earning Rivers trust and he makes for an outstanding WR 5 who will perform like a WR3.
RB DeShaun Foster RB 59 and 178 Overall
Not a lot of talk about this backup, but he fits perfectly into that offense. If anything should happen to Gore during the season, Foster's natural pass catching ability will work well in that offensive scheme.
WR Amani Toomer- WR 69 and overall 212
It's been since 1997 that Amani Toomer hasn't finished higher than his current ADP of WR 69. The Giants have a solid pass offense and Buress has his own issues whether it be contract talk or injury issues. I look for Toomer to finish just inside WR 50, making him valuable in larger leagues, survivor and Best Ball formats.
RB Darren Sproles RB 75 and overall 222
With Turner in Atlanta, the backup to Lt 2 is valuable. All of a sudden rookie RB Hester out of LSU is the hot pickup. I'm not buying it until I see it. What I did see last year is Sproles play well against some good teams. He single handedly beat the Colts on Monday night and helped them win a playoff game. Heaven forbid if Lt2 being injured becomes more frequent, Darren Sproles can play. I like this play as one of your last picks in a Survivor or Best Ball League where there are 20 plus rounds. This could be a diamond in the rough or at a minimum, a guy who spells LT2 when they're up by 21 in the 2nd half.
These selections weren't focused on any type of league specifically. You can bump or drop back players according to your league rules. When I talk about rounds, I'm thinking of leagues that are 12 in size.
Rounds 3-5
RB E. Graham- He's being drafted at RB 19 and overall 38. If you've been drafting, you may have noticed that Wr's are flying off the board starting late 1st round thru late 3rd round. If you're a drafter who wants your 2nd and 3rd round picks to be WR's, Graham is a solid 4th round option.
WR's- I don't see a lot of value at WR. You need 2 WR's in your first 4 rounds to stay with your draft, so plan accordingly. I think there's a big dropoff after the Greg Jennings, Lions WR's and S. Holmes group. That next tier starts with Bowe and Harrison (yes, I know many are liking Harrison now).
QB's- No value. If I'm going QB, I might as well go Brady. He'll have a monster year so if I'm buying early, it's him or I wait.
Rounds 5-10
RB Johnathon Stewart RB 25 and Overall 53.
Will compete for ROY if he stays healthy. He'll start, Fox likes to run and Stewart is good. He's already impressing the coaches near the goaline.
RB Rudi Johnson, RB 27 and overall 55
Will he be all the way back? I expect him to be closer to the guy we knew 2 years ago than the guy we saw last year. Rudi was too light last year, under 215 pounds. He's bulked back up to about 230 pounds and lost body fat. His primary focus has been leg strength, his problem last season.
WR Santana Moss Wr 31 and overall 79
With the addition of 2 rookie WR's, all the focus is on them. Meanwhile, Moss is focused on showing the rookies just how to play this game at the pro level. Moss is a competitive guy and drafting 2 rookies in the 2nd round may have sparked him just a bit. I like Moss in the late 7th and early 8th rounds, a very solid WR3, allowing you some wiggle room in your middle rounds knowing you can get a quality player there at WR.
WR Patrick Crayton WR 37 and 103 Overall
Crayton is a WR 2 on a very talented passing offense. His blunder in the playoffs last season has actually been a blessing in disguise for fantasy owners because all offseason long, all people could think of his that Dallas needs another WR, leading people to think Crayton just isn't that good. The truth is Crayton is a young receiver, he moved forward last season and has every right to make gains again this year. He's worked hard in camp and has purposely been working opposite of Pro Bowl corner T. Newman.
QB Aaron Rodgers QB 17 and overall 109
Before this season, I didn't know if it was Rogers or Rodgers. We've seen his name so many times linked to Farve this summer it's burned into my long term memory forever I think. Simply said, I predict Aaron Rodgers will make the Pro Bowl this season.
10th round and Beyond
WR Vincent Jackson WR 40 and Overall 110
Right around round 10 and 11, get Jackson. I watched Jackson last year and I felt he was coming into his own. I think he's earning Rivers trust and he makes for an outstanding WR 5 who will perform like a WR3.
RB DeShaun Foster RB 59 and 178 Overall
Not a lot of talk about this backup, but he fits perfectly into that offense. If anything should happen to Gore during the season, Foster's natural pass catching ability will work well in that offensive scheme.
WR Amani Toomer- WR 69 and overall 212
It's been since 1997 that Amani Toomer hasn't finished higher than his current ADP of WR 69. The Giants have a solid pass offense and Buress has his own issues whether it be contract talk or injury issues. I look for Toomer to finish just inside WR 50, making him valuable in larger leagues, survivor and Best Ball formats.
RB Darren Sproles RB 75 and overall 222
With Turner in Atlanta, the backup to Lt 2 is valuable. All of a sudden rookie RB Hester out of LSU is the hot pickup. I'm not buying it until I see it. What I did see last year is Sproles play well against some good teams. He single handedly beat the Colts on Monday night and helped them win a playoff game. Heaven forbid if Lt2 being injured becomes more frequent, Darren Sproles can play. I like this play as one of your last picks in a Survivor or Best Ball League where there are 20 plus rounds. This could be a diamond in the rough or at a minimum, a guy who spells LT2 when they're up by 21 in the 2nd half.
These selections weren't focused on any type of league specifically. You can bump or drop back players according to your league rules. When I talk about rounds, I'm thinking of leagues that are 12 in size.
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