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Yes.AtomicDogg97 said:
No. We have enough evidence to question Peterson's ability to carry the load for 16 games. In MockDraftCentral's A.D.P. report of 118 qualifying drafts between 6-13 and 6-20, the top 3 picks this year are well dialed in. #1) Tomlinson, #2) Peterson and #3) Westbrook. Sometimes Peterson and L.T. are flip-flopped and sometimes Peterson and Westy are flip-flopped, but it's those three in a landslide above all other.At #3, you're simply taking whoever falls to you but Tomlinson vs. Peterson (and Peterson vs. Westy) gets to the heart of who you are as a fantasy player in a hurry. It's all fairly easy to boil down. Peterson finished '07 as the 4th-8th best fantasy RB (depending on your scoring system) while missing two complete games and getting less than 15 attempts in another six games. He has the God-given ability to not only be the best fantasy RB, but absolutely obliterate the rest of the field.We're all well aware of Peterson's downside too (his much maligned upright running style and propensity for getting dinged up). It's the ultimate risk/reward scenario. A 250+ attempt season out of Peterson goes a LONG way toward your league championship. A brutally honest evaluation of yourself will make this decision much easier. If you're fairly new to this hobby and are still learning the basic nuances of the game or if you have a higher tolerance of risk in general, I don't think you can't pass up Peterson. Hitting a homerun here would forgive a sin or two in the middle rounds of your draft. But if you hold a significant edge over your opponents in the middle rounds, I don't think you HAVE to rule out an option other than Peterson at #2. Of course, Shaq Attack offered up the best option which is shopping the #2 and seeing just how badly someone wants Peterson.
Sorry. Should have said Peterson vs. "another option". Basically, your level of risk tolerance.
Agreed. Don't get me wrong, I think Peterson is the logical option at #2 overall. But that's not the question. Rather, is he a stone cold LOCK at #2. I don't think the answer is yes.
Couldn't agree more. Although I don't know my draft position yet, it would be very hard to pass up on AP at 2. However, my gut - at this point - tells me that Sjax has a shot at being RB1 this year. I know, not a very bold prediction, but it illustrates the point that for some people AP is like you say, "not a stone cold LOCK at #2."
Not only do I think he is a lock, I think he could possibly be #1 this year, which is the reason for my answer. I think the tier ends at 2. That's my opinion.
Exactly, your opinion. And you may indeed be right. I just am not yet sold on him as the number 2, stone cold lock. I am sure there are more in your camp than mine, but there are indeed people who feel as I do.
I think you absolutely have to consider it in a redraft. While AP and Westbrook both have injury concerns, I think he's much more consistent on a week-to-week basis. He doesn't really have flat-out duds when he's on the field.I think Jackson is a great candidate for the top RB in fantasy this year. If the team is better and Josh Brown keeps them in close games, I see them contending for a playoff spot and feeding him the ball. Of course, he also is an injury risk but he can catch and doesn't split time with anyone.When AP wrestles away more carries from Chester, stays healthy and starts catching the ball I'll be a bigger believes fantasy-wise. I'm not really down on him as a player. I just think he's not fully-utilized where he is. Great place for him in some ways; not so in others. To me, he's definitely not an automatic at #2.
