Super Bowl XLI MVP (1 Viewer)

[Raider Nation]

Peyton Manning +120

Rex Grossman +500

Joseph Addai +1000

Dominic Rhodes +1500

Cedric Benson +1500

Thomas Jones +1000

Marvin Harrison +1200

Reggie Wayne +1500

Bernard Berrian +1500

Muhsin Muhammad +2000

Dallas Clark +2000

Robbie Gould +3000

Adam Vinatieri +2000

Bob Sanders +3000

Brian Urlacher +2000

Lance Briggs +2500

Devin Hester +2500

Field (All Others) +800

These numbers are based on a $100 wager. For example, if you think Urlacher will be the MVP, you risk $100 to make $2000. If you think Manning will be the MVP, you risk $100 to win $120... you risk $200 to win $240, etc. I can't ever recall seeing such an overwhelming pre-Super Bowl favorite for MVP. Those are really short odds, with good reason I suppose.

I wouldn't put anything on Harrison/Wayne/Clark. If any of them have a huge game, Manning will win the MVP strictly from a sentimental standpoint. The best value I see on the board is Thomas Jones @ +1000.

 

[Capella]

Even at +120, it's hard not to like Manning there. If the Colts win and he does anything he's winning that award.

In fact, considering the Colts are laying 7 points, I think the +120 is a very good bet.

 

[Raider Nation]

Even at +120, it's hard not to like Manning there. If the Colts win and he does anything he's winning that award.

In fact, considering the Colts are laying 7 points, I think the +120 is a very good bet.

Makes sense. In fact, if you take Manning +120 AND the Bears +7, you are almost guaranteed of at least splitting, and you might even get lucky and go 2 fer 2...

 

[Chase Stuart]

The odds add up to 157%. You'd have to try hard to find a worse place to put your money in than a SB MVP bet.

 

[Capella]

Even at +120, it's hard not to like Manning there. If the Colts win and he does anything he's winning that award.

In fact, considering the Colts are laying 7 points, I think the +120 is a very good bet.

Makes sense. In fact, if you take Manning +120 AND the Bears +7, you are almost guaranteed of at least splitting, and you might even get lucky and go 2 fer 2...

Yup.Already have the Colts -7 or I'd pile on that Manning bet.

May still anyhow.

 

[Capella]

The odds add up to 157%. You'd have to try hard to find a worse place to put your money in that a SB MVP bet.

 

[Chase Stuart]

Even at +120, it's hard not to like Manning there. If the Colts win and he does anything he's winning that award.

In fact, considering the Colts are laying 7 points, I think the +120 is a very good bet.

Makes sense. In fact, if you take Manning +120 AND the Bears +7, you are almost guaranteed of at least splitting, and you might even get lucky and go 2 fer 2...

Those odds, minus the juice, put Manning at 28% odds to win SB MVP. A quick search of money lines put the Bears at 31% likely to win. FWIW, the SB MVP percentages give 59% to the Colts and 41% to the Bears. Anyway, I don't see how you're guaranteed anything by going with the Bears on the money line and Manning. I think the Bears will get creamed, but the Bears +210 seems much stronger than Manning +120 (which it is, because the juice is only about 3%, not 57%). But there's at least a 1/3 chance that the Colts win and the MVP is Harrison, Wayne, Rhodes, Addai or some other Colt player and not Manning, and then you're out pretty good. I don't like the odds on Manning to win MVP (of course he's the most likely guy, but I mean odds relative to the payout) or the Bears to cover, so I really don't like doing both.

 

[Raider Nation]

Even at +120, it's hard not to like Manning there. If the Colts win and he does anything he's winning that award.

In fact, considering the Colts are laying 7 points, I think the +120 is a very good bet.

Makes sense. In fact, if you take Manning +120 AND the Bears +7, you are almost guaranteed of at least splitting, and you might even get lucky and go 2 fer 2...

Those odds, minus the juice, put Manning at 28% odds to win SB MVP. A quick search of money lines put the Bears at 31% likely to win. FWIW, the SB MVP percentages give 59% to the Colts and 41% to the Bears. Anyway, I don't see how you're guaranteed anything by going with the Bears on the money line and Manning. I think the Bears will get creamed, but the Bears +210 seems much stronger than Manning +120 (which it is, because the juice is only about 3%, not 57%). But there's at least a 1/3 chance that the Colts win and the MVP is Harrison, Wayne, Rhodes, Addai or some other Colt player and not Manning, and then you're out pretty good. I don't like the odds on Manning to win MVP (of course he's the most likely guy, but I mean odds relative to the payout) or the Bears to cover, so I really don't like doing both.

Who mentioned anything about the Bears on the ML?

 

[Raider Nation]

The odds add up to 157%. You'd have to try hard to find a worse place to put your money in that a SB MVP bet.

Chase reminds me of my father. I would get two singles and a double in a little league game, and afterwards he wondered aloud how come I didn't get any home runs.

 

[Chase Stuart]

Even at +120, it's hard not to like Manning there. If the Colts win and he does anything he's winning that award.

In fact, considering the Colts are laying 7 points, I think the +120 is a very good bet.

Makes sense. In fact, if you take Manning +120 AND the Bears +7, you are almost guaranteed of at least splitting, and you might even get lucky and go 2 fer 2...

Those odds, minus the juice, put Manning at 28% odds to win SB MVP. A quick search of money lines put the Bears at 31% likely to win. FWIW, the SB MVP percentages give 59% to the Colts and 41% to the Bears. Anyway, I don't see how you're guaranteed anything by going with the Bears on the money line and Manning. I think the Bears will get creamed, but the Bears +210 seems much stronger than Manning +120 (which it is, because the juice is only about 3%, not 57%). But there's at least a 1/3 chance that the Colts win and the MVP is Harrison, Wayne, Rhodes, Addai or some other Colt player and not Manning, and then you're out pretty good. I don't like the odds on Manning to win MVP (of course he's the most likely guy, but I mean odds relative to the payout) or the Bears to cover, so I really don't like doing both.

Who mentioned anything about the Bears on the ML?

I assume that's what you meant by taking the Bears, although I'm tired and it's pretty clear you didn't say that. But that would make more sense, which is why I read it that way. Going with the Bears +7 leaves you pretty susceptible to a Colts win close and whoever getting the go ahead score (read: AV) having a chance to steal the MVP honors from Manning. In a blowout, I think PM's likely to win the SB MVP. Anyway, good luck with whatever you do.

 

[Chase Stuart]

The odds add up to 157%. You'd have to try hard to find a worse place to put your money in that a SB MVP bet.

Chase reminds me of my father. I would get two singles and a double in a little league game, and afterwards he wondered aloud how come I didn't get any home runs.

Do you think those odds are anything but terrible?

 

[DA RAIDERS]

berrian or jones.

 

[AB in DC]

SB MVP award is pretty much a joke anyway (see Larry Brown, Dwight Smith, and the first Brady award)

 

[Grigs Allmoon]

The odds add up to 157%. You'd have to try hard to find a worse place to put your money in than a SB MVP bet.

 

[Raptors]

I don't mind taking Vinateiri here either at 20-1

 

[John Mamula]

i love hester.

 

[PsychoMan]

The way the Colts kick coverage has been playing, betting $100 on Hester with a return of $2500 doesn't sound like a terrible idea.

 

[Loan Sharks]

i love hester.

Weird I was thinking that too. Bears win and he has a return for score and a couple good yardage returns, could happen.

 

[PsychoMan]

i love hester.

Weird I was thinking that too. Bears win and he has a return for score and a couple good yardage returns, could happen.

If Rex threw 1 td to someone, & Jones/Benson each ran for one, I wonder if Hester would get the MVP IF he returned one for a TD and had a couple other good returns.

 

[shakeybarn]

Even at +120, it's hard not to like Manning there. If the Colts win and he does anything he's winning that award.

In fact, considering the Colts are laying 7 points, I think the +120 is a very good bet.

Makes sense. In fact, if you take Manning +120 AND the Bears +7, you are almost guaranteed of at least splitting, and you might even get lucky and go 2 fer 2...

Seems to me... if you are taking the Bears +7... but an Indy win... me thinks Vinatieri is a steal.

 

[diesel7982]

I like Manning(he'll have to do very little to win it), Sanders, and Freeney in that order.

Sanders at 3000 looks like a great play, as he should be in position to pick off plenty of errant Rexy passes, and he'll have 12+ tackles coming up to stop the run.

 

[FairWarning]

I hope Sanders has 12 tackles. That means the Bears are still running in the second half.

 

[Grigs Allmoon]

i love hester.

 

[Grigs Allmoon]

i love hester.

Weird I was thinking that too. Bears win and he has a return for score and a couple good yardage returns, could happen.

If Rex threw 1 td to someone, & Jones/Benson each ran for one, I wonder if Hester would get the MVP IF he returned one for a TD and had a couple other good returns.

4 TDs for Chicago? You gotta think they'll have a couple FGs with the way Indy's D has been playing lately. Seems to me if you think Chi will put up that many points you should be putting your money on the Over.I don't think Chicago gets more than 2 TDs, though, so that still bodes well for Hester's chances. However, I think I'd take Gould, or Vinatieri if I was going to bet on someone. I could easily see one of them hitting 4-5 FGs, including a possible game winner in a semi-low scoring game.

 

[SuperJohn96]

These are great odds...

Devin Hester +2500

 

[3nOut]

Even at +120, it's hard not to like Manning there. If the Colts win and he does anything he's winning that award.

In fact, considering the Colts are laying 7 points, I think the +120 is a very good bet.

So you'd be willing to risk $100 to make $120? Brian Urlacher @ +2000 seems like a better bet to me.

 

[culdeus]

Even at +120, it's hard not to like Manning there. If the Colts win and he does anything he's winning that award.

In fact, considering the Colts are laying 7 points, I think the +120 is a very good bet.

So you'd be willing to risk $100 to make $120? Brian Urlacher @ +2000 seems like a better bet to me.

Peyton MVP and Chi +7 is pretty much a middle bet IMO. The NFL would bend over to give him the super bowl MVP as he's their spokesperson for all intents.

 

[John Mamula]

i love hester.