The 2010 WW player to come out of nowhere and.... (1 Viewer)

[plyka]

This is why Fantasy football is purely luck. You pick up some random guy 14 beers and 24 rounds into your draft and win your league. Year after year in leagues across the cosmos Championship banners are hoisted by whoever happened to be lucky enough to draft the guy who came out of nowhere. I mean, yeah, there's a few leagues won here and there by the guy who had a great draft and worked the waiver wire/trades to assemble a strong team by week 4 or 5. But more often than not the clown who had gold nuggets fall into his lap because he ended up drafting a few guys he's never heard of who end up exploding.You sharks out there want to tell me differently? You drafted Peyton Hillis or Brandon LLoyd? You had a gut feeling these cats would blow up? Provide proof you drafted them and then give us a link of you talking them up. What else can it be when a guy like Hillis or Lloyd just absolutely blows up. Or even Michael Vick? Congrats if you were the lucky one in your league who took Hillis in the 26th round.

I think there is some truth to this, but not in the manner you are outlining. The luck in fantasy football is due to the low number of outcomes. For instance, soccer is more lucky than basketball. The reason is that in soccer 1 goal is huge while in basketball 1 field goal is close to meaningless. So if you get very lucky 1 time in soccer, it is HUGE while in basketball, not so much. The same is true in fantasy football vs baseball and basketball. In football you have 1 game per week per position, while it baseball you have 7 games per week per position and basketball due to the streaming you may have 6. The bigger your sample size is, the more closely it is going to represent the true value of your subject. But in another manner, I think you're wrong. During the first few weeks I was in last place or close to it, but due to the waiver wire and some trades, i've worked my way back up and now sit at the top or close to the top of the leader board. Hillis, Vick, Torain, blount, Tamme, and yes, even seyi this last week. Basically, if you work the waivers and trade system, you can overcome the bad luck. I don't want to count the chickens before they hatch, but i think that i'm in a great position to win the championship in 2 of my 3 teams. Sure luck is more involved in football than in the other sports, but skill still has a huge part to play, especially over the entire season.

 

[Jambi]

This is why Fantasy football is purely luck. You pick up some random guy 14 beers and 24 rounds into your draft and win your league. Year after year in leagues across the cosmos Championship banners are hoisted by whoever happened to be lucky enough to draft the guy who came out of nowhere. I mean, yeah, there's a few leagues won here and there by the guy who had a great draft and worked the waiver wire/trades to assemble a strong team by week 4 or 5. But more often than not the clown who had gold nuggets fall into his lap because he ended up drafting a few guys he's never heard of who end up exploding.You sharks out there want to tell me differently? You drafted Peyton Hillis or Brandon LLoyd? You had a gut feeling these cats would blow up? Provide proof you drafted them and then give us a link of you talking them up. What else can it be when a guy like Hillis or Lloyd just absolutely blows up. Or even Michael Vick? Congrats if you were the lucky one in your league who took Hillis in the 26th round.

I think there is some truth to this, but not in the manner you are outlining. The luck in fantasy football is due to the low number of outcomes. For instance, soccer is more lucky than basketball. The reason is that in soccer 1 goal is huge while in basketball 1 field goal is close to meaningless. So if you get very lucky 1 time in soccer, it is HUGE while in basketball, not so much. The same is true in fantasy football vs baseball and basketball. In football you have 1 game per week per position, while it baseball you have 7 games per week per position and basketball due to the streaming you may have 6. The bigger your sample size is, the more closely it is going to represent the true value of your subject. But in another manner, I think you're wrong. During the first few weeks I was in last place or close to it, but due to the waiver wire and some trades, i've worked my way back up and now sit at the top or close to the top of the leader board. Hillis, Vick, Torain, blount, Tamme, and yes, even seyi this last week. Basically, if you work the waivers and trade system, you can overcome the bad luck. I don't want to count the chickens before they hatch, but i think that i'm in a great position to win the championship in 2 of my 3 teams. Sure luck is more involved in football than in the other sports, but skill still has a huge part to play, especially over the entire season.

What skill is involved when your 15th, 16th, 17th, 18th and 19th picks were Britt, Mercedes Lewis, Hillis, Vick and Lloyd? And you were forced into taking McFadden because he slipped all the way into the 12th round. Those who forecasted the value of guys like Foster, Bradshaw, TO, Orton, or McFadden or a few others and jumped on them in the middle rounds, sure you deserve the kudos. Or maybe you reached a little For Tomlinson. But you gotta admit this year, luck has played a gigantic role in who's been successful. I've had an uphill battle to try and contend with luck this year.Thing is, most of the luckboxes out there who ended up with these out of nowhere, explosion guys on their roster won't be smart enough to know when to pull the trigger and let them go. Thank God we have dynasty leagues (I'm in 9 of them). In a redraft there's not much you can really do when some fish is sitting there with Hillis, McFadden, TO, Lloyd, Orton, Vick, M Lewis, and then his early round picks were all guys that didn't bust such as Peterson, P Manning, R White, Wayne, McCoy.... Then at the 8/9 turn he decided to go Foster/LT. Just seems like a lot of unordinary busts this year and a lot of guys playing way above the level that any of us thought possibleFunny fantasy season this has been.

 

[richn]

This is why Fantasy football is purely luck. You pick up some random guy 14 beers and 24 rounds into your draft and win your league. Year after year in leagues across the cosmos Championship banners are hoisted by whoever happened to be lucky enough to draft the guy who came out of nowhere. I mean, yeah, there's a few leagues won here and there by the guy who had a great draft and worked the waiver wire/trades to assemble a strong team by week 4 or 5. But more often than not the clown who had gold nuggets fall into his lap because he ended up drafting a few guys he's never heard of who end up exploding.You sharks out there want to tell me differently? You drafted Peyton Hillis or Brandon LLoyd? You had a gut feeling these cats would blow up? Provide proof you drafted them and then give us a link of you talking them up. What else can it be when a guy like Hillis or Lloyd just absolutely blows up. Or even Michael Vick? Congrats if you were the lucky one in your league who took Hillis in the 26th round.

I think there is some truth to this, but not in the manner you are outlining. The luck in fantasy football is due to the low number of outcomes. For instance, soccer is more lucky than basketball. The reason is that in soccer 1 goal is huge while in basketball 1 field goal is close to meaningless. So if you get very lucky 1 time in soccer, it is HUGE while in basketball, not so much. The same is true in fantasy football vs baseball and basketball. In football you have 1 game per week per position, while it baseball you have 7 games per week per position and basketball due to the streaming you may have 6. The bigger your sample size is, the more closely it is going to represent the true value of your subject. But in another manner, I think you're wrong. During the first few weeks I was in last place or close to it, but due to the waiver wire and some trades, i've worked my way back up and now sit at the top or close to the top of the leader board. Hillis, Vick, Torain, blount, Tamme, and yes, even seyi this last week. Basically, if you work the waivers and trade system, you can overcome the bad luck. I don't want to count the chickens before they hatch, but i think that i'm in a great position to win the championship in 2 of my 3 teams. Sure luck is more involved in football than in the other sports, but skill still has a huge part to play, especially over the entire season.

What skill is involved when your 15th, 16th, 17th, 18th and 19th picks were Britt, Mercedes Lewis, Hillis, Vick and Lloyd? And you were forced into taking McFadden because he slipped all the way into the 12th round. Those who forecasted the value of guys like Foster, Bradshaw, TO, Orton, or McFadden or a few others and jumped on them in the middle rounds, sure you deserve the kudos. Or maybe you reached a little For Tomlinson. But you gotta admit this year, luck has played a gigantic role in who's been successful. I've had an uphill battle to try and contend with luck this year.Thing is, most of the luckboxes out there who ended up with these out of nowhere, explosion guys on their roster won't be smart enough to know when to pull the trigger and let them go. Thank God we have dynasty leagues (I'm in 9 of them). In a redraft there's not much you can really do when some fish is sitting there with Hillis, McFadden, TO, Lloyd, Orton, Vick, M Lewis, and then his early round picks were all guys that didn't bust such as Peterson, P Manning, R White, Wayne, McCoy.... Then at the 8/9 turn he decided to go Foster/LT. Just seems like a lot of unordinary busts this year and a lot of guys playing way above the level that any of us thought possibleFunny fantasy season this has been.

Of course there's luck involved.......but you also create your own luck. Like picking up Hillis before he blows up because he's getting half the carries of Harrison and out producing him as the backup. Like picking up Tamme right when Clark is done because you research he's basically a wr on the team for 3 years. Like drafting McFadden because Bush is hurt for the first 3-4 weeks of the season. Again of course there's luck involved but you make your own luck too with in season team management.

 

[Donsmith753]

James Starks....