Banger
Footballguy
Every offseason we (or least I) spend months trying to figure out how teams are going to change..how the new coach is going to impact the offense/defense, how the FA acquisitions and draft picks will work out, how the revamped line will run and pass block, etc. Then the actual games happen and you quickly have to rejigger your perceptions. I keep seeing in threads "that it's only week 1" and while that is true you still have to open you eyes to the changes and more specifically WHY things are happening. Does Blount stink or is the Lions D line for real? We had multiple threads on Manning's impact and what does that do to Indy starters, is the Houston game as bad as it gets or will that the norm? Was the Steeler game and defense a one week anomoly in a big game with a division rival or signs of that there are some cracks in the armour? Did Atlantas line get manhandled because Chicago is that good or will their line be an issue all year and their high flying passing attack will have trouble getting off the ground? Assessing injuries and the ripple effect are crucial in the early part of the year. We know that things change every year and the faster you comb through these situations and make your assessments of the new reality the better chance you have to win your leagues.
I always like the buy low/sell high threads but everyone does it, everyone reads the same websites and is working from the same lists and it's basically all the top players with a bad stat line and all the guys that are perceived garbage you want to dump before the pixie dust wears off. Realistically outside of real guppy leagues teams aren't going to dump a guy for pennies on the dollar that they snagged in the 1st couple rounds unless something drastic occurs. R. White, Bowe, Mendy, CJ, etc. all had down days and some guys view them as buy lows and some may be but some may also be sell lows.
What I tend to do the 1st few weeks is look for those guys that other owners drafted in the mid rounds or pick up off the WW and are looking to cash in thinking that they likely won't continue that production (B. Lloyd was a home run for me last year). Some guys I view as buy highs are Britt, S. Smith, B. Wells, Starks. They are all guys to me that look to have very good opportunity and were taken in the middle rounds of drafts and I could definitely see that some owners would think they are dumping a guy at his peak while I view it as a sign of things to come.
I also identify my sell lows or guys that I want to move from my roster because I'm not seeing the reality the same as my offseason perception. A lot of times these will be guys that I would have drafted in the upper rounds and I may look to deal them not out of panic due to a bad week of stats but the bigger issue of why did they have those bad stats and is this a sign of things to come? I try to move them while their value is still high and the other owner feels like he's stealing him from me. Some sell lows for me would be Grant (I think his role will be diminished and I'd try to get value for him now if you can swing him for something decent), Addai (if you can find someone who thinks he's a buy low) and I'd listen to strong offers for an owner trying buy low on S. Greene. I'm not advocating giving these guys away but I am saying keep your ears open and don't dismiss something out of hand because you drafted them in the 3rd/4th round and the guy he's offering you was drafted in the 7th/8th. All of that is completely meaningless once the season starts.
What other buy high / sell lows do you have?
I always like the buy low/sell high threads but everyone does it, everyone reads the same websites and is working from the same lists and it's basically all the top players with a bad stat line and all the guys that are perceived garbage you want to dump before the pixie dust wears off. Realistically outside of real guppy leagues teams aren't going to dump a guy for pennies on the dollar that they snagged in the 1st couple rounds unless something drastic occurs. R. White, Bowe, Mendy, CJ, etc. all had down days and some guys view them as buy lows and some may be but some may also be sell lows.
What I tend to do the 1st few weeks is look for those guys that other owners drafted in the mid rounds or pick up off the WW and are looking to cash in thinking that they likely won't continue that production (B. Lloyd was a home run for me last year). Some guys I view as buy highs are Britt, S. Smith, B. Wells, Starks. They are all guys to me that look to have very good opportunity and were taken in the middle rounds of drafts and I could definitely see that some owners would think they are dumping a guy at his peak while I view it as a sign of things to come.
I also identify my sell lows or guys that I want to move from my roster because I'm not seeing the reality the same as my offseason perception. A lot of times these will be guys that I would have drafted in the upper rounds and I may look to deal them not out of panic due to a bad week of stats but the bigger issue of why did they have those bad stats and is this a sign of things to come? I try to move them while their value is still high and the other owner feels like he's stealing him from me. Some sell lows for me would be Grant (I think his role will be diminished and I'd try to get value for him now if you can swing him for something decent), Addai (if you can find someone who thinks he's a buy low) and I'd listen to strong offers for an owner trying buy low on S. Greene. I'm not advocating giving these guys away but I am saying keep your ears open and don't dismiss something out of hand because you drafted them in the 3rd/4th round and the guy he's offering you was drafted in the 7th/8th. All of that is completely meaningless once the season starts.
What other buy high / sell lows do you have?
