chinawildman
Footballguy
After doing some research on Ryan Mallett for the shark pool mock, I find myself intrigued by his plummet down mock draft boards from the end of the season to the present. In our mock he fell all the way to the bottom of the second round (And the pick was still met with skepticism from some). In 49er message boards I frequent, there are droves of people who have written him off completely.
BACKGROUND:
For a base line I started looking up old mock drafts that included Andrew Luck, most were done at the beginning of this year during the bowl games. Luck was the consensus #1 choice, while Mallett was mostly mocked in the range of no.2 - no.15 overall, with most having him go in the top 10. More often than not, he was the #2 QB off the board, and Mallett had the numbers and the physical tools to back it up.
When Luck made the decision to return to Stanford, you'd have thought that Mallett would naturally ascend as the #1 QB prospect and a sure fire top 5 pick... But the exact opposite happened. When Auburn won the national championship, the Cam Newton hype began. Blaine Gabbert suddenly was in the conversation to be the best QB prospect despite mediocre production, and Mallett was subterfuged with rumors of drug use, lack of leadership, inaccuracy, even comparisons to Ryan Leaf.
MY TAKE:
All this propaganda bears an eerie resemblance to a political smear campaign. When Luck dropped out of the race, the agents (might as well call them campaign managers) smelled blood in the water, and the mud-slinging began. Don't get me wrong, I think character should be in the conversation in the evaluation of a player... But with increased media focus on the entire draft process, the attention has shifted towards more on how the candidate, er, player talks, shakes hands, carries himself, and their background and away from what they do on the field.
"Ryan Mallet... haven't we learned Ryan's not a good name for a quarterback? I'm Blaine Gabbert and I approve this message..."
"Ryan Mallet... don't you want a REAL black guy to lead your team? I'm Cam Newton and I approve this message..."
The difference here of course, is that the teams are the ones that will ultimately determine when a player gets chosen, not the fans and media consumers. Assuming they do their due diligence, it's most likely the actual draft will end up closer to what the whole landscape was like before the smears began. Which leads me to...
PREDICTION:
Assuming there is a new rookie salary pay scale in place, taking a QB high may not be as big a gamble as in years past. Many GMs have already said they believe as many as 5-6 QBs could go in the first round, with 9 teams out of the top 15 picks needing a new starter at QB. I'm willing to bet one of these 9 will take a chance on Ryan Mallett and that his floor is basically Miami at 15. I also think it's VERY LIKELY he gets chosen before Gabbert, possibly as high as #4 to cincy. Mallett is also the most NFL ready of the bunch, meaning a team that is already talented in other positions on offense and ready to make a run will be more inclined to choose him (49ers, vikings)
As a 49er fan, I would not be surprised (or disappointed) to hear his name called at #7 on draft day. I think with Harbaugh mentoring him, he could do some real damage in the NFL.
BACKGROUND:
For a base line I started looking up old mock drafts that included Andrew Luck, most were done at the beginning of this year during the bowl games. Luck was the consensus #1 choice, while Mallett was mostly mocked in the range of no.2 - no.15 overall, with most having him go in the top 10. More often than not, he was the #2 QB off the board, and Mallett had the numbers and the physical tools to back it up.
When Luck made the decision to return to Stanford, you'd have thought that Mallett would naturally ascend as the #1 QB prospect and a sure fire top 5 pick... But the exact opposite happened. When Auburn won the national championship, the Cam Newton hype began. Blaine Gabbert suddenly was in the conversation to be the best QB prospect despite mediocre production, and Mallett was subterfuged with rumors of drug use, lack of leadership, inaccuracy, even comparisons to Ryan Leaf.
MY TAKE:
All this propaganda bears an eerie resemblance to a political smear campaign. When Luck dropped out of the race, the agents (might as well call them campaign managers) smelled blood in the water, and the mud-slinging began. Don't get me wrong, I think character should be in the conversation in the evaluation of a player... But with increased media focus on the entire draft process, the attention has shifted towards more on how the candidate, er, player talks, shakes hands, carries himself, and their background and away from what they do on the field.
"Ryan Mallet... haven't we learned Ryan's not a good name for a quarterback? I'm Blaine Gabbert and I approve this message..."
"Ryan Mallet... don't you want a REAL black guy to lead your team? I'm Cam Newton and I approve this message..."
The difference here of course, is that the teams are the ones that will ultimately determine when a player gets chosen, not the fans and media consumers. Assuming they do their due diligence, it's most likely the actual draft will end up closer to what the whole landscape was like before the smears began. Which leads me to...
PREDICTION:
Assuming there is a new rookie salary pay scale in place, taking a QB high may not be as big a gamble as in years past. Many GMs have already said they believe as many as 5-6 QBs could go in the first round, with 9 teams out of the top 15 picks needing a new starter at QB. I'm willing to bet one of these 9 will take a chance on Ryan Mallett and that his floor is basically Miami at 15. I also think it's VERY LIKELY he gets chosen before Gabbert, possibly as high as #4 to cincy. Mallett is also the most NFL ready of the bunch, meaning a team that is already talented in other positions on offense and ready to make a run will be more inclined to choose him (49ers, vikings)
As a 49er fan, I would not be surprised (or disappointed) to hear his name called at #7 on draft day. I think with Harbaugh mentoring him, he could do some real damage in the NFL.
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