Scoresman
Footballguy
TLDR: I put together a specific "target team" to draft. I identified the most common scenarios where this plan could go wrong and identified several backup teams that I like and can pivot to. Wondering if anyone else does something similar.
In recent seasons, I've gone into my auction with a pretty loose plan, usually targeting one or two players at value and going from there hitting on value when it shows itself.
The best thing you can do during an auction is to be able to pivot when something doesn't go as expected. I've found that this can be difficult with such a loose plan like the above.
So this year, I'm actually trying to identify every instance where the draft could go awry from my plan. I do extensive research on my league's history to come up with estimated player prices and I've become fairly good at this. With these prices in hand, I identified my ideal team (starters only) that I would be thrilled to land. It's the following.
$110 cap
Jayden Daniels $6
Breece Hall (or CMC/Bijan) $31
Kenneth Walker $11
Justin Jefferson $24
Amon-Ra St. Brown $20
Malik Nabers $9
Best $1 TE
From here, I start identifying specific scenarios where landing this team could go wrong. Usually things like "What if X player goes for more than my budget". But also things like "What if top QBs are going below value" etc. I've identified about 10-15 of these scenarios with alternate teams I could see myself drafting.
From doing this I've learned a few things like even if Breece Hall goes over budget and I get him anyway, I like the teams I end up getting around him more than if I had passed on him. I also learned that if the top QBs go below budget by 10-15% (unlikely) I end up really liking the teams I build around that.
After doing this, I feel like I have a good plan with a ton of specific things to do wherever the original plan goes wrong. I feel the most prepared I ever have going into an auction.
In recent seasons, I've gone into my auction with a pretty loose plan, usually targeting one or two players at value and going from there hitting on value when it shows itself.
The best thing you can do during an auction is to be able to pivot when something doesn't go as expected. I've found that this can be difficult with such a loose plan like the above.
So this year, I'm actually trying to identify every instance where the draft could go awry from my plan. I do extensive research on my league's history to come up with estimated player prices and I've become fairly good at this. With these prices in hand, I identified my ideal team (starters only) that I would be thrilled to land. It's the following.
$110 cap
Jayden Daniels $6
Breece Hall (or CMC/Bijan) $31
Kenneth Walker $11
Justin Jefferson $24
Amon-Ra St. Brown $20
Malik Nabers $9
Best $1 TE
From here, I start identifying specific scenarios where landing this team could go wrong. Usually things like "What if X player goes for more than my budget". But also things like "What if top QBs are going below value" etc. I've identified about 10-15 of these scenarios with alternate teams I could see myself drafting.
From doing this I've learned a few things like even if Breece Hall goes over budget and I get him anyway, I like the teams I end up getting around him more than if I had passed on him. I also learned that if the top QBs go below budget by 10-15% (unlikely) I end up really liking the teams I build around that.
After doing this, I feel like I have a good plan with a ton of specific things to do wherever the original plan goes wrong. I feel the most prepared I ever have going into an auction.
