sspunisher
Footballguy
With all this research that goes into fantasy, I figured I'd try some parlays out. I got a few teaser bets picked out
Dallas Cowboys +3
Green Bay Packers -4
New England Patriots -1
The TB and DET games felt like "trap bets' to me so I thought I'd put up a poll.
Here's some game notes for anyone who hasn't watched these teams. Or if anyone would like to add any observations of their own.
Minnesota: Everyone's pointing the finger at McNabb, and at first you think it's rightfully so b/c of the ugly stats. But after watching the game, he wasn't exactly on top of my "to blame" list. The oline was horrible. With the exception of a few nice runs by Peterson, McNabb was constantly in 3rd and long. Pressure was always in his face, and he even made some very nice scrambles out of the pocket to keep the chains moving. Some dropped balls hurt, a few were medium to long range balls that would have significantly helped his stats. I'd go as far as blaming the offensive coordinator or the game plan before I'd blame McNabb. He was throwing ridiclously short passes all game long and when he finally was allowed to throw the ball deep, most of the time he was just flooded with pressure. It was just bad football all around. While most point to his bad situation in WAS, with the exception of AP, I don't find his situation in MIN any better. At least he had Santana Moss in WAS. His WRs are significantly weaker in Minny and it showed on Sunday.
TB: Watched a bit less of this game, but from what I saw, Freeman was just taking what DET was giving him, which wasn't much at all. I think he's still a bit away from being turned fully loose.
DET: Again, didn't watch much of this game but the offense did look potent. The few plays I did see, Freeman was being pressured pretty good, which leads me to believe they'll absolutely wreak havoc on KC. Freeman is 100x more comfortable with pressure in his face than Cassel is.
KC: That's 5 preseason games so far for KC. The Chiefs scare me, to be honest. They give me a vibe of a team that can explode at any moment, especially with all those offensive weapons in Bowe and Charles, even McCluster is having his moments. Maybe I'm thinking that b/c I traded Bowe for Bryant last year before Bowe's first huge game, and sat there and watched him go off for a few weeks after Dez got hurt. There was no indication of that last year. But as for this game, Cassel has to be the most unathletic starting QB in the NFL today. No balance whatsoever, defenders would fall barely at his feet and he'd just fall backwards like a statue. To his credit, I wouldn't underestimate the difficulty of learning a new offense, some people it takes a while to click, which was pretty obvious for Cassel last year. But Cassel's my bet for the first QB change of the year after watching that game. Even McCown looked better to me in the Jags game. I have absolutely no idea what's going on in KC. The schedule's harder, the coordinators changed, but I still don't think that fully explains the crazy dropoff in production. This wasn't the Patriots that crushed them, it was the Bills.
Anyone have anything to add?
Dallas Cowboys +3
Green Bay Packers -4
New England Patriots -1
The TB and DET games felt like "trap bets' to me so I thought I'd put up a poll.
Here's some game notes for anyone who hasn't watched these teams. Or if anyone would like to add any observations of their own.
Minnesota: Everyone's pointing the finger at McNabb, and at first you think it's rightfully so b/c of the ugly stats. But after watching the game, he wasn't exactly on top of my "to blame" list. The oline was horrible. With the exception of a few nice runs by Peterson, McNabb was constantly in 3rd and long. Pressure was always in his face, and he even made some very nice scrambles out of the pocket to keep the chains moving. Some dropped balls hurt, a few were medium to long range balls that would have significantly helped his stats. I'd go as far as blaming the offensive coordinator or the game plan before I'd blame McNabb. He was throwing ridiclously short passes all game long and when he finally was allowed to throw the ball deep, most of the time he was just flooded with pressure. It was just bad football all around. While most point to his bad situation in WAS, with the exception of AP, I don't find his situation in MIN any better. At least he had Santana Moss in WAS. His WRs are significantly weaker in Minny and it showed on Sunday.
TB: Watched a bit less of this game, but from what I saw, Freeman was just taking what DET was giving him, which wasn't much at all. I think he's still a bit away from being turned fully loose.
DET: Again, didn't watch much of this game but the offense did look potent. The few plays I did see, Freeman was being pressured pretty good, which leads me to believe they'll absolutely wreak havoc on KC. Freeman is 100x more comfortable with pressure in his face than Cassel is.
KC: That's 5 preseason games so far for KC. The Chiefs scare me, to be honest. They give me a vibe of a team that can explode at any moment, especially with all those offensive weapons in Bowe and Charles, even McCluster is having his moments. Maybe I'm thinking that b/c I traded Bowe for Bryant last year before Bowe's first huge game, and sat there and watched him go off for a few weeks after Dez got hurt. There was no indication of that last year. But as for this game, Cassel has to be the most unathletic starting QB in the NFL today. No balance whatsoever, defenders would fall barely at his feet and he'd just fall backwards like a statue. To his credit, I wouldn't underestimate the difficulty of learning a new offense, some people it takes a while to click, which was pretty obvious for Cassel last year. But Cassel's my bet for the first QB change of the year after watching that game. Even McCown looked better to me in the Jags game. I have absolutely no idea what's going on in KC. The schedule's harder, the coordinators changed, but I still don't think that fully explains the crazy dropoff in production. This wasn't the Patriots that crushed them, it was the Bills.
Anyone have anything to add?
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