Value of qb's in TD heavy leagues (1 Viewer)

[Dexter Manley]

I haven't seen any discussion this season wrt the value of qb's in TD heavy leagues. I'm in one particular league which starts 1 qb, 2 rb, 2 wr, 1 te, 1 dl, 1 lb, 1 db, 1 k. Here's the basic scoring:

All td's < 50 yards: 5 pts

All td's 50 yards or greater: 7 pts

All 2 pt conversions: 2 pts

passing 250 - 349: 3 pts

passing 350+ yards: 6 pts

ints: -2 pts

rush/receiving 100 - 149 yards: 3 pts

r/r 150 - 199 yds: 4 pts

r/r 200 - 249 yds: 5 pts

r/r 250+: 6 pts

1 ppr

1 ppt

3 pts/sack

3 pts/int

all defensive td's: 6 pts

fgs < 50: 3 pts

fgs > 49: 5 pts

Most TD heavy leagues I know of don't use ppr (or idp for that matter), so this is sort of unique. Outside of that, most td heavy leagues I've seen use similar scoring systems, at least for offensive performance.

I looked at the FBG cheatsheet that uses the most similar scoring to my league, and was initially surpised to find that it has 4 qb's ranked in the top 8 overall players, with Brady being ranked #1 overall, and Peyton ranked #3. Now this scoring system doens't have ppr, so I'm guessing if I were to adjust for that, Brady would fall to #2 and LT would move up to #1, and you would also have to upgrade the wr's, and the rb's heavily involved in the passing game like Westbrook, Addai, etc.

The general consensus is that after the top 4 qb's (Brady, Petyon, Brees, Romo) there's a steep dropoff. I think the latest the last one of these guys will be available in td heavy drafts is the top of round 3. Which means if you want to secure one of these qb's for your team, you'll probably have to spend a 1st or 2nd round pick.

I've come to the conclusion that it's imperative to get one of these qb's, which likely means burning my 2nd round pick on Brees or Romo, as I project a bigger gap between the 1st and 2nd tier qb's than the 1st and 2nd tiers of any other position. Is this sound logic?

 

[Saint]

I think you are right on... I play in a TD heavy league where there is 6 pts per TD, 100+ yds rush is 3 pts, 100+ yds receiving is 3 pts... combo yards don't count...

First thing you need to consider is what the drafting tendencies of your league are. That's key. In my league, I can figure on 4-5 QBs drafted by the end of round 2 (12-team league). So I plan my strategy accordingly. The VBD tool gives you an idea on the value of those positions, so you can look to see where you think the value is going to go exist and plan accordingly.

So from my point of view, if I am drafting in spots (1-5), I will probably draft a QB in the first 2 rounds, if I am drafting (6-8), I may be looking at who represents the best value based on how everyone else has drafted. If I am drafting in spots (9-12), I am probably going to go WR/WR and look to draft Roethlisburger/McNabb in rounds 6 or 7.

If I am waiting to take the QB, you need to ensure your other positions are rock solid. So I guess the best answer is "it depends." Be ready to change your strategy based on what your other league members are doing. Don't get caught in the "runs" and do a couple of mocks based on where your position is at to get an idea on what positions will be there and how it will look.

 

[thatguythere]

Our league is very similar, only more points for longer TD's. Using the Draft Dominator Brady, Manning, Romo, Brees, Palmer, Roethlisberger are in the top 14. Brady #1, Manning #3, Romo #4.

I think a few of the guys in our league are going to stick to the RB/RB, so I'm thinking QB, WR, RB, RB, WR this year. We'll have to see how it shakes out though.