What is the best draft position to have in snake league? (1 Viewer)

[Mil-Town Ballers]

As a new rule this year, we are picking our names out of a hat.

The first person gets to pick whatever drafting position they want (1-10), now obviously probably the first 5 will be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, but at what point would it be better to be 10 vs. in regular order.

This is a snake draft so please take that into consideration. Please let me know if this doesn't make sense and I will try to clarify, basically wondering if there is a strategy invovled if you can pick where you draft in the drafting order.

Thanks and first post so be nice.

 

[tomarken]

As a new rule this year, we are picking our names out of a hat. The first person gets to pick whatever drafting position they want (1-10), now obviously probably the first 5 will be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, but at what point would it be better to be 10 vs. in regular order. This is a snake draft so please take that into consideration. Please let me know if this doesn't make sense and I will try to clarify, basically wondering if there is a strategy invovled if you can pick where you draft in the drafting order. Thanks and first post so be nice.

A lot depends on how you value players. I don't think it's obvious at all that the first 5 will go 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. #1 will probably take the first pick.#2 will probably take the second pick.Even at this point I think you might see it start to get mixed up. The #3 team may take the 4 or 5 pick if he has two or three backs similarly rated. The #5 team may see a dropoff after the first three or four RB's and opt instead to take the 10/11 spot or something. Very difficult to predict, again it has a lot to do with how you personally rank players.

 

[Rounders]

Our league does the same thing.

Our order went like this: 2,1,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10

 

[VTjkru]

My league does the same thing except we stagger the percentages for each team. So the 12th place team from last year gets 20 chips in the bag, 11th place gets a little less, and so on. I dont have the bag in front of me right now but the percentages make sense. And every year, only about three people choose a draft spot that differed from the order picked. And every year, one of those teams wins.

I dont know about 10 team leagues but I know in 12 team leagues I hate having the middle picks. I dont like having to be suprised and guess if I can skip drafting a player hoping that he'll last 8 more picks or so. I love having the ends because I know for certain what will be available to me and can pretty much guarantee what player will fall to me on the swing.

 

[Mil-Town Ballers]

Thanks for the ideas. I think with the lack of #1 RB's out there I will probably just go in typical number order, but if I get around 7 or 8 I will just take 10 cause I like knowing I can lock in both picks.

Any other ideas?

 

[Chris Smith]

As a new rule this year, we are picking our names out of a hat. The first person gets to pick whatever drafting position they want (1-10), now obviously probably the first 5 will be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, but at what point would it be better to be 10 vs. in regular order. This is a snake draft so please take that into consideration. Please let me know if this doesn't make sense and I will try to clarify, basically wondering if there is a strategy invovled if you can pick where you draft in the drafting order. Thanks and first post so be nice.

I am currently writing a series of articles on draft slots... I have only completed up to 4 so far but I would definitely put the order in as1, 4, 2, 3...There is Tomlinson as a clear top choice and then there are three running backs bunched together in Steven Jackson, Larry Johnson and Frank Gore... There is little to choose really between those three so selecting fourth overall becomes an advantage as you'll get a better player coming back in round two. As far as when I would choose a later pick, I think my order will be this...1, 4,2,3, 8,7, 10,9, 6,5I really don't love the 5/6 spot this year as nobody jumps out there as must take... I put 8/7 over 9/10 because you'll land a RB like Westbrook, Parker, Addai or Alexander.

 

[jurb26]

I recently mocked from the 6 position and LOVED my team afterwards.

QB Matt Hasselbeck (8)

WR Roy Williams (6)

WR Randy Moss (10)

WR Reggie Brown (5)

RB Shaun Alexander (8)

RB Clinton Portis (4)

TE Ben Watson (10)

K John Carney (4)

DEF Defense San Diego (7)

Bench Fred Taylor (4)

Bench Ladell Betts (4)

Bench D.J. Hackett (8)

Bench Donte Stallworth (10)

Bench J.P. Losman (6)

Bench Troy Williamson (5)

 

[Chumpson]

I would prefer to be at 8 or 9 as opposed to 10. I think I can look at their roster and look for needs then guess who is more likely to fall out of my choices. I feel I have a better opportunity to control the draft/get value this way.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

Personally, I think the best spots are the top three positions. Not only do you get a top RB, you also get two very good players at the 2/3 turn. I see a major talent dropoff in the third round before pick 30

 

[twistd]

I would prefer to be at 8 or 9 as opposed to 10. I think I can look at their roster and look for needs then guess who is more likely to fall out of my choices. I feel I have a better opportunity to control the draft/get value this way.

I agree. I've gotten 12 in a 12 team league. It is a slow draft so it really takes a lot of the strategy out of it when you have back to back picks. After you pick you have to wait 22 picks to pick again. If you have the first pick it isn't so bad because you get the benefit of the first pick. Picking last you lose that. I'd say, generally, that I'd be more comfortable at 10 in a 10 team league than I am at 12 in a 12 team league. I feel better about the players you will get at 10 and 11, versus 12 and 13 And I'd feel oh so much better if we were doing a third round reversal.

 

[Chaz]

First pick is a no brainer.

Depending on how you bunch the next tier(s), consider taking one slot higher than the number of players in that tier.

For example, if you see 2-4 as the same, go for pick 3. Reason being that it protects your downside in the event of an injury or freaky holdout or something to one of the players in that tier. Just a suggestion.

The middle looks pretty good in general, assuming you're missing out on the easy picks.

 

[cowpie]

First pick is a no brainer.Depending on how you bunch the next tier(s), consider taking one slot higher than the number of players in that tier.For example, if you see 2-4 as the same, go for pick 3. Reason being that it protects your downside in the event of an injury or freaky holdout or something to one of the players in that tier. Just a suggestion.The middle looks pretty good in general, assuming you're missing out on the easy picks.

I like 12you can get two rbs at the end of 1 and beginning of 2. then you can get a WR and a qb or any positon that fell for no reason at 3/4.

 

[Chaos Commish]

I am currently writing a series of articles on draft slots... I have only completed up to 4 so far but I would definitely put the order in as1, 4, 2, 3...There is Tomlinson as a clear top choice and then there are three running backs bunched together in Steven Jackson, Larry Johnson and Frank Gore... There is little to choose really between those three so selecting fourth overall becomes an advantage as you'll get a better player coming back in round two.

Looking forward to the series.I don't understand 2 before 3 given your argument for these picks. Seems like the "bunched together trio" should cause you to rank them 1,4,3,2... I like the 4 spot better than 2 and 3 for the same reason, AND very important to me, I have a significant drop off in my personal projections at 2.10 in a 12 teamer. The 4 spot gets a 2nd rounder I value much more than the 2 or 3.

As far as when I would choose a later pick, I think my order will be this...1, 4,2,3, 8,7, 10,9, 6,5I really don't love the 5/6 spot this year as nobody jumps out there as must take... I put 8/7 over 9/10 because you'll land a RB like Westbrook, Parker, Addai or Alexander.

I like 5 better than 6-10 also because of the combo of what I think will be available in both the first and second. Alexander isn't getting enough respect, imo.

 

[littletank]

I prefer to be in the middle as you don't have the long wait between picks. Although being at the ends it's easy to create position runs.

 

[Lash]

what makes it even more interesting is in a dynasty initial draft if you split the vet and rook drafts and reverse the order for the rook

i am in a 16 teamer where i had the 5th highest dice roll and chose to pick 16th so i would get #1 rook pick ... so i can go thru the vet draft picking BPA and when i get to rook draft i can grab CJ2 if i need a WR or ADP/Lynch if i need a RB

to me, having the 16th and 17th best player AND with the #1 rook being probably worth the #20 to #30 overall, i just had to choose that

because to me, after pick 4, nearly every one of those stud RBs has some kind of question mark ...

now in different year it may be a total different strategy

 

[Chris Smith]

I am currently writing a series of articles on draft slots... I have only completed up to 4 so far but I would definitely put the order in as1, 4, 2, 3...There is Tomlinson as a clear top choice and then there are three running backs bunched together in Steven Jackson, Larry Johnson and Frank Gore... There is little to choose really between those three so selecting fourth overall becomes an advantage as you'll get a better player coming back in round two.

Looking forward to the series.I don't understand 2 before 3 given your argument for these picks. Seems like the "bunched together trio" should cause you to rank them 1,4,3,2... I like the 4 spot better than 2 and 3 for the same reason, AND very important to me, I have a significant drop off in my personal projections at 2.10 in a 12 teamer. The 4 spot gets a 2nd rounder I value much more than the 2 or 3.

As far as when I would choose a later pick, I think my order will be this...1, 4,2,3, 8,7, 10,9, 6,5I really don't love the 5/6 spot this year as nobody jumps out there as must take... I put 8/7 over 9/10 because you'll land a RB like Westbrook, Parker, Addai or Alexander.

I like 5 better than 6-10 also because of the combo of what I think will be available in both the first and second. Alexander isn't getting enough respect, imo.

Actually yes, that was a mistake...It should be 1,4,3,2The reason I don't like five is that I have those players all lumped together and it is a long way back to the 2nd round pick... Getting Parker with the 8th pick and getting to go again a few picks ahead of the #5 slot is a big advantage to me.Really the 9 and 10 spots are pretty good this season... If you are lucky you can go with a Parker / Bush combo and even if you're not as lucky, there is tons of talent to choose from with the 9th and 12th or 10th and 11th picks.

 

[Chris Smith]

what makes it even more interesting is in a dynasty initial draft if you split the vet and rook drafts and reverse the order for the rooki am in a 16 teamer where i had the 5th highest dice roll and chose to pick 16th so i would get #1 rook pick ... so i can go thru the vet draft picking BPA and when i get to rook draft i can grab CJ2 if i need a WR or ADP/Lynch if i need a RBto me, having the 16th and 17th best player AND with the #1 rook being probably worth the #20 to #30 overall, i just had to choose that because to me, after pick 4, nearly every one of those stud RBs has some kind of question mark ... now in different year it may be a total different strategy

That was a great move on your part...I think a draft starting with sayWillis McGaheeandsomebody like Larry Fitzgerald or Maurice Jones-Drewin combination withAD (Peterson)would be a great start to your Dynasty team.Love the format

 

[barndog]

Actually yes, that was a mistake...It should be 1,4,3,2The reason I don't like five is that I have those players all lumped together and it is a long way back to the 2nd round pick... Getting Parker with the 8th pick and getting to go again a few picks ahead of the #5 slot is a big advantage to me.Really the 9 and 10 spots are pretty good this season... If you are lucky you can go with a Parker / Bush combo and even if you're not as lucky, there is tons of talent to choose from with the 9th and 12th or 10th and 11th picks.

I don't know. I drew 12th and after my first DD mocks I was not happy at all. In a couple of on-line mocks I've felt a little better because both T Henry and W McGahee fell to me. In DD (on most ADP settings but not all) Peyton is available but the highest ranked RB by then is MJD, who has upside but is not an every-down back. I'm not terribly comfortable with taking Peyton at the turn unless a solid RB can also be gotten, and even then I'd prefer to get two of those. I'm still struggling with how to approach drafting in this spot. I noticed it's much less likely that true value guys drop to me there because one of the 11 guys in front eventually notes their presence on the board. Ugh. I don't think that's justification for "knowing" I can get who I want with both picks.I think I'd rather be at 8 or so and guaranteed a shot at Henry/Rudi/Westy/Alexander/Parker.