What is the % chance the Pats run the table this year? (1 Viewer)

[The Jerk]

I'm not a homer but I'm going to say they're close to a 90% lock for an undefeated season.

Really?

I live in Tangiers, so I've adopted the New England/Boston teams. Everybody loves a champion.

Glad the Pats can go back to dominating the NFL now. Nothings going to change. If anything this will bring the team together! I can see them beating the Chargers this weekend and carrying Bill off the field on their shoulders. It's going to be like a scene from a movie. I can't wait!

Concerning the Patriots "new" logo with camera added and the song "Shady Brady and Bill Belicheat":

The helmet with the camera is great...I love it. The song? It's kind of pathetic...like I'm embarrassed for the guy who made it. I can rip on my teams but that song was just poorly done. Clearly a Jets fan. I'd be burned up as well. Not because the Pats cheated but because my team is terrible and the Pats will continue to roll.

Dude, you don't have to live in the same zip code as your favorite team to be a homer.

 

[Phlash]

The run game a bit of a question mark. It looks good but not outstanding. The passing game looks great, but if Moss gets injured, it will be merely efficient. The defense has looked good but not dominant.

The Patriots are 54% run/46% pass so far this year, with Maroney, Morris and Faulk all averaging more than 4.5 yards per carry. The Patriots are third in the league in rushing offense, third in passing offense, and first in total offense. They have only punted four times all year. The defense is first in rush yards allowed with a stingy 112 through three games, and they have not allowed a rushing touchdown yet this season. They are third in passing yards allowed, and first in total yards allowed. They also tied an NFL record for longest kickoff return in history.

They gave up a huge rushing TD to Lynch yesterday dude. He powered through 3-4 defenders.

Hey, get your "facts" out of this thread, no one wants that.And I'm willing to bet my mortgage that Brady breaks Marino's passing yardage record while Moss is the first WR to catch over 2,000 yards all while the Patriots go undefeated to the Superbowl while averaging 38 points a game.

 

[bostonfred]

The run game a bit of a question mark. It looks good but not outstanding. The passing game looks great, but if Moss gets injured, it will be merely efficient. The defense has looked good but not dominant.

The Patriots are 54% run/46% pass so far this year, with Maroney, Morris and Faulk all averaging more than 4.5 yards per carry. The Patriots are third in the league in rushing offense, third in passing offense, and first in total offense. They have only punted four times all year. The defense is first in rush yards allowed with a stingy 112 through three games, and they have not allowed a rushing touchdown yet this season. They are third in passing yards allowed, and first in total yards allowed. They also tied an NFL record for longest kickoff return in history.

They gave up a huge rushing TD to Lynch yesterday dude. He powered through 3-4 defenders.

Wow, you're absolutely right. I pulled the numbers off of PFR and didn't even sanity check it. The rushing and passing numbers were correct, but the defensive numbers hadn't been updated yet. The Pats have given up almost 200 rush yards through three games, and have allowed one rushing TD. The Patriots are still first overall on defense, but only second in passing YPG and fourth in rushing YPG. They're still first in overall offense, third in passing offense and fourth in rushing offense per game. Not a huge swing, but thanks for the correction.

 

[LHUCKS]

Snapshot after 4 weeks

0% [ 70 ] [43.75%]

25% [ 44 ] [27.50%]

50% [ 19 ] [11.88%]

75% [ 14 ] [8.75%]

100% [ 13 ] [8.13%]

 

[David Yudkin]

Using rough numbers . . .

The league as constituted (AFC and NFC) has been around roughly 40 years. Using an average of 25 teams per season, that means there has been 1 undefeated team in approximately 1,000 team seasons.

I don't care what team we're talking about. The percentage chances given are pretty preposterous IMO.

 

[LHUCKS]

The percentage chances given are pretty preposterous IMO.

Vote for the percentage chance that you believe is the closest...given your reasoning your vote appears to be zero percent.

 

[LHUCKS]

 

[LHUCKS]

weekly bump

 

[bcberg]

100%

 

[Phlash]

Well.

Time to fix all their problems this bye week.

They have a fantastic chance of running the tables this year...

 

[wilked]

I say 25% at this point

 

[LHUCKS]

Using rough numbers . . .The league as constituted (AFC and NFC) has been around roughly 40 years. Using an average of 25 teams per season, that means there has been 1 undefeated team in approximately 1,000 team seasons.I don't care what team we're talking about. The percentage chances given are pretty preposterous IMO.

would you still use the word "preposterous?"

 

[urbanhack]

null

I don't vote in shuck's polls.

 

[Abrantes]

Using rough numbers . . .The league as constituted (AFC and NFC) has been around roughly 40 years. Using an average of 25 teams per season, that means there has been 1 undefeated team in approximately 1,000 team seasons.I don't care what team we're talking about. The percentage chances given are pretty preposterous IMO.

would you still use the word "preposterous?"

Regardless of how the season is turning out, it is still rather preposterous to say that they had a 100% chance of going undefeated.

 

[Alias]

50% either they do or they don't

 

[bostonfred]

The flipside of this is that the 3 teams they've played are a combined 2-7. Their opponents rank 28th, 27th & 32nd in total offense and 27th, 22nd and 32nd in total defense. Part of those rankings are influenced by playing the Pats, admittedly. The Pats are damn good, but I'm not sure they've even played anybody worthwhile yet. (Who would have thought San Diego would be so terrible starting out?)

Looking back, the Chargers and Browns were actually pretty good teams. People said that the Chargers started out slow, but they started out against a murderer's row of New England, Chicago (before all the injuries on the defense) and Green Bay. And nobody knew that the Browns were going to be as good as they have been.

 

[LHUCKS]

Using rough numbers . . .The league as constituted (AFC and NFC) has been around roughly 40 years. Using an average of 25 teams per season, that means there has been 1 undefeated team in approximately 1,000 team seasons.I don't care what team we're talking about. The percentage chances given are pretty preposterous IMO.

would you still use the word "preposterous?"

Regardless of how the season is turning out, it is still rather preposterous to say that they had a 100% chance of going undefeated.

who said that?

 

[Phlash]

Using rough numbers . . .The league as constituted (AFC and NFC) has been around roughly 40 years. Using an average of 25 teams per season, that means there has been 1 undefeated team in approximately 1,000 team seasons.I don't care what team we're talking about. The percentage chances given are pretty preposterous IMO.

would you still use the word "preposterous?"

Regardless of how the season is turning out, it is still rather preposterous to say that they had a 100% chance of going undefeated.

who said that?

50% of voters voted 100%

 

[Phlash]

The run game a bit of a question mark. It looks good but not outstanding. The passing game looks great, but if Moss gets injured, it will be merely efficient. The defense has looked good but not dominant.

The Patriots are 54% run/46% pass so far this year, with Maroney, Morris and Faulk all averaging more than 4.5 yards per carry. The Patriots are third in the league in rushing offense, third in passing offense, and first in total offense. They have only punted four times all year. The defense is first in rush yards allowed with a stingy 112 through three games, and they have not allowed a rushing touchdown yet this season. They are third in passing yards allowed, and first in total yards allowed. They also tied an NFL record for longest kickoff return in history.

They gave up a huge rushing TD to Lynch yesterday dude. He powered through 3-4 defenders.

Hey, get your "facts" out of this thread, no one wants that.And I'm willing to bet my mortgage that Brady breaks Marino's passing yardage record while Moss is the first WR to catch over 2,000 yards all while the Patriots go undefeated to the Superbowl while averaging 38 points a game.

I was being facetious in this post and the only thing I was completely wrong about on was the Moss thing...

 

[wilked]

I think there is still only 60-70% it happens. Even if you put them as 90% favorites for NYJ and MIA and 80% against NYG, that still leaves them as 65% overall to do it.

 

[Alias]

Pinnacle had a bet for this a week or so ago, I forget what the payout was - you could have bet either way.

 

[The Man Who Met Andy Griffith]

I think there is still only 60-70% it happens. Even if you put them as 90% favorites for NYJ and MIA and 80% against NYG, that still leaves them as 65% overall to do it.

You really think the Jets or the Dolphins have a 10% chance of beating the Pats? I'd say 98% against each of those teams and 90% against the Giants.I wasn't sure that the Pats would do it, but they have ridden out the tough patch. They are home free absent an injury to Brady.

 

[-OZ-]

I think there is still only 60-70% it happens. Even if you put them as 90% favorites for NYJ and MIA and 80% against NYG, that still leaves them as 65% overall to do it.

fair point. Giants may just pull it off if Jacobs is healthy. They certainly have the make-up for what seem to be the Patriots "weakness" But can they cover Moss and Welker?

 

[Alias]

I think there is still only 60-70% it happens. Even if you put them as 90% favorites for NYJ and MIA and 80% against NYG, that still leaves them as 65% overall to do it.

fair point. Giants may just pull it off if Jacobs is healthy. They certainly have the make-up for what seem to be the Patriots "weakness" But can they cover Moss and Welker?

wouldn't they rest their players week 17?

 

[bicycle_seat_sniffer]

I pretty much think they are going 16-0.

Only chance is Indy and/or dallas to win in the playoffs. I doubt NE looses either one of those

 

[-OZ-]

I think there is still only 60-70% it happens. Even if you put them as 90% favorites for NYJ and MIA and 80% against NYG, that still leaves them as 65% overall to do it.

fair point. Giants may just pull it off if Jacobs is healthy. They certainly have the make-up for what seem to be the Patriots "weakness" But can they cover Moss and Welker?

wouldn't they rest their players week 17?

who? the Patriots who have a chance at historical greatness; or the Giants, who while they'll have a WC, have a chance to change history?Either way, I don't see the players resting much.

 

[The Man Who Met Andy Griffith]

I think there is still only 60-70% it happens. Even if you put them as 90% favorites for NYJ and MIA and 80% against NYG, that still leaves them as 65% overall to do it.

fair point. Giants may just pull it off if Jacobs is healthy. They certainly have the make-up for what seem to be the Patriots "weakness" But can they cover Moss and Welker?

wouldn't they rest their players week 17?

They will rest their players in week 18, and probably the fourth quarter of week 17 (as per usual).