David Yudkin
Footballguy
I went through all the Pats games since 2007 to see what happened over time. I was mostly concerned about how often their top of the depth chart guy fared each week in terms of how often he touched the football. As I suspected, the Pats usually gave that guy the ball pretty consistently.
Looking over the game numbers below, be aware that the first back listed each week is the one I used for analysis. Secondary or 3rd down backs were left out entirely. So the numbers listed first are what the primary back did each week. By that I mean, If Maroney was the #1 and got hurt and he passed the baton to Morris, I only counted Morris' touches that week, even if someone else had more touches.
2007
Maroney 20
Maroney 15
Maroney 19 (Hurt) *** RESET ***
Morris 23
Morris 23
*Morris 10 (Hurt) / Faulk 15 *** RESET ***
*Faulk 7 / Maroney 6
Maroney 16
Maroney 15
*Maroney 6 (Hurt), Evans 12, Eckel 11
Maroney 10
Maroney 15
Maroney 8
Maroney 26
Maroney 14
Maroney 19
Playoffs
Maroney 24
Maroney 26
Maroney 16
Including playoffs, #1 back accounted for 289 touches (18.1 touches per game) in the 16 games where there was a healthy RB starter (Maroney or Morris) and no mid-game injuries.
I ignored 3 games where injuries caused a mess and there was no clear RB either mid-game or because of injuries.
2008
*Maroney 10 (Hurt), Morris 15 *** RESET ***
Morris 10, Jordan 11
Morris 10
Morris 16
Morris 14, Faulk 11
Morris 16 (Hurt), BJGE 13 *** RESET ***
BJGE 9, Faulk 17
BJGE 16, Faulk 15
BJGE 26 *** RESET ***
Morris 5, Faulk 12
Morris 10, Faulk 14
Morris 11, Faulk 13
Morris 11
Morris 14, Jordan 12
Morris 17, Jordan 20
Morris 24, Jordan 20
In the 15 games where there was a healthy RB starter (Morris or BJGE), the #1 back accounted for 209 touches (13.9 touches per game).
Given the rash of injuries to the RBs in 2008 (and Brady being out), this season was a mess to try to get a grasp on who the top back was.
2009
Maroney 12
*Maroney 6 (Hurt), Taylor 8 *** RESET ***
Taylor 21 (Hurt) *** RESET ***
Morris 11
Morris 19 *** RESET ***
Maroney 18
Maroney 13
Maroney 20
Maroney 15, Faulk 14
Maroney 22
Maroney 18
Maroney 14
Maroney 24, Faulk 13
Maroney 23 (Benched) *** RESET ***
Morris 13
Morris 10
In the 15 games where there was a healthy RB and no in-game injury, the #1 back accounted for 253 touches (16.9 touches per game).
2010
Taylor 16
*Taylor 5 (Hurt), BJGE 10 *** RESET ***
BJGE 10
BJGE 17
BJGE 10, Woodhead 16
BJGE 11, Woodhead 11
BJGE 18, Woodhead, 11
BJGE 9, Woodhead 11
BJGE 22
BJGE 22, Woodhead 11
BJGE 12, Woodhead 10
BJGE 19
BJGE 21
BJGE 8, Woodhead 10
BJGE 20, Woodhead 16
BJGE 21, Taylor 10
Playoffs
BJGE 11, Woodhead 20
In the 16 games including playoffs that the Pats had a healthy #1 back and no in-game injury, the #1 back accounted for 247 touches (15.4 touches per game).
2011
BJGE 7, Woodhead 15
BJGE 18
BJGE 10
BJGE 17, Ridley 11
BJGE 28
BJGE 15
BJGE 5, Faulk 11
BJGE 13, Woodhead 10
BJGE 8
BJGE 21
BJGE 14
BJGE 6, Ridley 8
BJGE 5, Woodhead 9
BJGE 12, Ridley 11
BJGE 3, Ridley 13
BJGE 8, Ridley 15
Playoffs
BJGE 14
BJGE 15
BJGE 10, Woodhead 11
In 19 games counting BJGE as the #1 back, he accounted for 231 touches (12.2 touches per game). By the end of the year, it was clear the Pats were more interested in seeing what Ridley could do than just feeding the ball to BJGE. However, I still counted those weeks as BJGE as being the majority back (even though that clearly was not the case).
Using that framework, over the 81 games since 2007 where there were no in-game injuries or multiple RB injuries the game after an injury, the primary RB (NOT the guy that had the most touches each week) averaged 15.2 touches a game. That works out to 243 touches over a full season.
I suggest using those per game and full season numbers as a baseline for what to expect heading forward. Unless BB changes his strategy, there will again be a lead back and other role players. If Ridley is the top dog, stays healthy, and doesn't fumble (admittedly all big IFs), I would expect him to see around 250 touches on the season.
Looking over the game numbers below, be aware that the first back listed each week is the one I used for analysis. Secondary or 3rd down backs were left out entirely. So the numbers listed first are what the primary back did each week. By that I mean, If Maroney was the #1 and got hurt and he passed the baton to Morris, I only counted Morris' touches that week, even if someone else had more touches.
2007
Maroney 20
Maroney 15
Maroney 19 (Hurt) *** RESET ***
Morris 23
Morris 23
*Morris 10 (Hurt) / Faulk 15 *** RESET ***
*Faulk 7 / Maroney 6
Maroney 16
Maroney 15
*Maroney 6 (Hurt), Evans 12, Eckel 11
Maroney 10
Maroney 15
Maroney 8
Maroney 26
Maroney 14
Maroney 19
Playoffs
Maroney 24
Maroney 26
Maroney 16
Including playoffs, #1 back accounted for 289 touches (18.1 touches per game) in the 16 games where there was a healthy RB starter (Maroney or Morris) and no mid-game injuries.
I ignored 3 games where injuries caused a mess and there was no clear RB either mid-game or because of injuries.
2008
*Maroney 10 (Hurt), Morris 15 *** RESET ***
Morris 10, Jordan 11
Morris 10
Morris 16
Morris 14, Faulk 11
Morris 16 (Hurt), BJGE 13 *** RESET ***
BJGE 9, Faulk 17
BJGE 16, Faulk 15
BJGE 26 *** RESET ***
Morris 5, Faulk 12
Morris 10, Faulk 14
Morris 11, Faulk 13
Morris 11
Morris 14, Jordan 12
Morris 17, Jordan 20
Morris 24, Jordan 20
In the 15 games where there was a healthy RB starter (Morris or BJGE), the #1 back accounted for 209 touches (13.9 touches per game).
Given the rash of injuries to the RBs in 2008 (and Brady being out), this season was a mess to try to get a grasp on who the top back was.
2009
Maroney 12
*Maroney 6 (Hurt), Taylor 8 *** RESET ***
Taylor 21 (Hurt) *** RESET ***
Morris 11
Morris 19 *** RESET ***
Maroney 18
Maroney 13
Maroney 20
Maroney 15, Faulk 14
Maroney 22
Maroney 18
Maroney 14
Maroney 24, Faulk 13
Maroney 23 (Benched) *** RESET ***
Morris 13
Morris 10
In the 15 games where there was a healthy RB and no in-game injury, the #1 back accounted for 253 touches (16.9 touches per game).
2010
Taylor 16
*Taylor 5 (Hurt), BJGE 10 *** RESET ***
BJGE 10
BJGE 17
BJGE 10, Woodhead 16
BJGE 11, Woodhead 11
BJGE 18, Woodhead, 11
BJGE 9, Woodhead 11
BJGE 22
BJGE 22, Woodhead 11
BJGE 12, Woodhead 10
BJGE 19
BJGE 21
BJGE 8, Woodhead 10
BJGE 20, Woodhead 16
BJGE 21, Taylor 10
Playoffs
BJGE 11, Woodhead 20
In the 16 games including playoffs that the Pats had a healthy #1 back and no in-game injury, the #1 back accounted for 247 touches (15.4 touches per game).
2011
BJGE 7, Woodhead 15
BJGE 18
BJGE 10
BJGE 17, Ridley 11
BJGE 28
BJGE 15
BJGE 5, Faulk 11
BJGE 13, Woodhead 10
BJGE 8
BJGE 21
BJGE 14
BJGE 6, Ridley 8
BJGE 5, Woodhead 9
BJGE 12, Ridley 11
BJGE 3, Ridley 13
BJGE 8, Ridley 15
Playoffs
BJGE 14
BJGE 15
BJGE 10, Woodhead 11
In 19 games counting BJGE as the #1 back, he accounted for 231 touches (12.2 touches per game). By the end of the year, it was clear the Pats were more interested in seeing what Ridley could do than just feeding the ball to BJGE. However, I still counted those weeks as BJGE as being the majority back (even though that clearly was not the case).
Using that framework, over the 81 games since 2007 where there were no in-game injuries or multiple RB injuries the game after an injury, the primary RB (NOT the guy that had the most touches each week) averaged 15.2 touches a game. That works out to 243 touches over a full season.
I suggest using those per game and full season numbers as a baseline for what to expect heading forward. Unless BB changes his strategy, there will again be a lead back and other role players. If Ridley is the top dog, stays healthy, and doesn't fumble (admittedly all big IFs), I would expect him to see around 250 touches on the season.