When would you trade up? (1 Viewer)

[-OZ-]

On almost every team's draft discussion, one of the top votes is "trade down", and it makes sense to do so IMO. But doesn't that mean some team has to trade up? When does it make sense to trade up?A: Take any team this year - would you trade up to a certain spot to get Young, Bush, Leinart, Hawk, Brick or Mario? If so, what are you willing to give?B: In the past, when has a team traded up (high in the 1st) and been hugely succesful for doing so?

 

[coolnerd]

a couple of us have been on the trading down is not as easy as most fans talk about it bandwagon so I am interested to see the answers myself.

 

[Marc Levin]

When you are the Giants and want Eli Manning.When you are the St Louis Rams and want Edgerrin James,.When you are the Miami Dolphins and have both the #16 and Ricky Williams to dangfle at a RB-hungry team.Or was this a fantasy question - I didn't read it?

 

[Ozymandias]

Never.However, NFL egos being what they are, there will always be someone whose ego is so big that they KNOW that xxxxx will be a success in the NFL."The very top NFL draft picks are overvalued. That's according to Cade Massey of Duke University and Richard H. Thaler of the University of Chicago. Their new study, "The Loser's Curse: Overconfidence vs. Market Efficiency in the National Football League Draft," says teams put far too much stake in their ability to identify the most valuable players in the draft, and therefore trade too much to move up to get better picks, according to the PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER.The professors analyzed 334 NFL draft-day trades from 1988 to 2004 in which draft positions were swapped (the average move in such trades was 13.3 picks). They also looked at player salaries and on-field success, finding that over their first five years, players drafted in the first round spend about as many seasons not starting a single game as making the Pro Bowl.The professors call the first pick in the draft "The Loser's Curse," and conclude that the last pick in Round 1, costing an average of one-quarter as much, delivers more bang for the buck."

 

[Dancing Bear]

Really good question!

I can see a team like Arizona Trading UP to get Bush this year.

I can also see someone like Cleveland, Miami, NY Jets, Washington, Dallas or even Green Bay Trading UP to get either Young or Leinhart.

 

[Chase Stuart]

I wouldn't be surprised to see the Jets trade up this year.

 

[Ozymandias]

Really good question!

I can see a team like Arizona Trading UP to get Bush this year.

I can also see someone like Cleveland, Miami, NY Jets, Washington, Dallas or even Green Bay Trading UP to get either Young or Leinhart.

Arizona needs an o-line more than it needs a running back.

 

[Sinrman]

Trading DOWN makes sense when your team has a ton of holes to fill. Trading UP makes sense when you have your eye on a top talent that you REALLLLLLY don't want to miss out on (like a Bush or Young).I could see the Texans, Saints, and Titans entertaining offers, but for once, I don't think any of them will budge, unless it's an absolutely INSANE offer...