Good Posting Judge said:
Eephus said:
Just Win Baby said:
Good Posting Judge said:
That said, I think a successor to K would have to come in and just blow it consistently for a few years to undo everything that K has built. And even schools like UNC or Kentucky that were out in the wilderness for awhile came back to life quickly when they got the right coach in. For me, I think it'd come down to the specific roster set-ups I was going to be inheriting. Would everyone stay if I became the coach? Am I getting paid like a new coach, or do I have a reputation? What are my strengths as a coach?
The same thing that happened to UNC with Doherty could happen to any of these programs. The question is, if it happens to Duke, who is Duke's equivalent to Roy Williams to come in behind the next coach and quickly right the ship? Anything could happen, but the Williams situation was very unusual.
Doherty only had one year of head coaching experience before getting hired at Chapel Hill. Krzyzewski's coaching tree has some guys who have already been successful at other NCAA programs (Amaker, Dawkins, Brey) with Chris Collins and Steve Wojciechowski starting off at Northwestern and Marquette respectively.
Roy's
bona fides were already established when he came back to UNC. Dawkins has done a worse job at Stanford than the two guys who preceded him (Johnson and Montgomery), Amaker's turned around Harvard, but a lot of that has to be attributed to Harvard lowering their academic standards to get better players, it's difficult to really assess how well he's done given how much more firepower he has.
Brey's been generally good over the last decade at ND, but nothing even close to what Roy did when he was at Kansas. Which isn't to say that Duke's going to be successful post-K, but the path is unclear.
Exactly my point. The Roy Williams situation was unusual, if not unprecedented. He was already a known, elite coach with strong ties to UNC. Duke doesn't have that. No program really has that.
As a State fan, I'd be thrilled if Coach K's successor is any of these Duke alums named here, as opposed to someone like Brad Stevens.
ETA: And the Doherty situation just illustrates how difficult it can be to identify the right young up and coming alum coach. He had been an assistant at UNC and Kansas and my recollection is that he was highly regarded as a head coaching candidate. No different than Collins right now, and arguably better than Amaker, Dawkins, and Brey, who have shown that their likely ceiling is well below the Coach K/Williams level.