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Who are your 2011 breakout Wr's? (1 Viewer)

Mike Thomas - will be a poor man's Steve Smith if the Jaguars use him correctly. He's quick and exceptionally strong for his height. He should at the very least be a great WR3 in ppr league.

Johnny Knox - should good progress in his second NFL season and should progress even more in his second year in the Martz system. The Roy Williams signing will probably cause him to fall in drafts where he'll be great value.

Arrelius Benn - He progressed a little slow as a rookie, and got injured just when he started "getting it". He will be a force opposite Mike Williams and the two will end the season closer in fantasy points than most will beleive.

Mario Manningham - he really borke out last season, but for some reason it went largely unnoticed. He'll be a top 20 WR this year with Steve Smith either on the PUP list or not back at all.

 
Mike Thomas, Jacoby Ford, James JonesLong shot Brandon LaFell, guy was exciting to watch in college hoping he can turn the light on in the NFL.
I think the debate between LaFell and Gettis is an interesting one. They both can be had cheap and only have an aging WR1 in front of them. Both have produced on the field although Gettis appears to be more of a deep threat and Lafell a possession type. I would be interested in hearing other thoughts on these two.
 
David Gettis- with coverage to an aging Smith I think this guy could see a lot of targets even with Newton starting.

Julio Jones- here again with coverage to White I think Julio ends up with more TD's than White.

Damian Williams- Britt could face a suspension and if he gets in trouble again I see the Titans releasing him. That opens the door for Williams as a starter and plenty of targets.

 
I haven't done a ton of research yet, but I really like Manningham this year. Especially if Steve Smith is a no-go. MSW is another one I like. Decker is also intriguing.

 
I am wondering who people think the 2011 breakout WR's will be. I can start with a few names. I like J. Maclin, K. Britt, D. Avery or D. Amendola (one of the St. Louis receivers is gonna be good), possibly M. Thomas. What are other peoples thoughts?
Maclin has been ill all offseason and still isn't in camp. Britt will be suspended for part of the year and both broke out last year. Avery has serious injury issues and missed all of last year. Amendola only got the looks he got because everyone on STL was injured and in terms of football production (not fantasy) he wasn't effective. No reason to expect them to go back to that well.Knox is my pick.

 
Surprised no one has mentioned Garcon. He's on a great passing offense, Wayne's best days are behind him and to me he looks to be the most talented guy to take the next step. I don't follow Indy very close but when I watched him last year I was impressed.
Agree on Garcon. And Collie is one hit to the head away from retirement.
 
I think we should define what "breakout means."

I consider it to mean a guy who has never scored in the top 30 getting into the top 20. Just one guy's opinion.

 
Andre roberts is a lock to emerge this year. mark that down, even if they get another WR. It will be.

Not a WR but Jermaine Gressham IF Gradkowski has the job all year. He will make good use of Gressham.

 
Another kid to keep an eye on is Anthony Armstrong.
I've got Armstrong but don't know what to make of him. He just seemed like a deep ball kind of guy to me, but I didn't watch the Redskins at all. Now they don't have a QB, and they brough in a ton of WR's. So what does all that mean for Armstrong?
 
I think we should define what "breakout means." I consider it to mean a guy who has never scored in the top 30 getting into the top 20. Just one guy's opinion.
I agree that breakout needs definition. To me a breakout guy would be someone who exceeds his career best season by say something like 20-25%.I don't see how guys like Mike Thomas or Percy Harvin and Kenny Britt can be called breakout guys unless they put up elite (top 5 type WR numbers). Otherwise in my mind these guys have already broken out.
 
the problem with Roberts "breaking out" is that he sucks...which is why the Cards are scrambling for another WR.
Stick to watching Pac 10 football SHUCKS - Roberts had a decent rookie season including a few nice games at the end of the year when he finally got more playing time - and remember who his quarterbacks were.I don't think he will be a "breakout" guy this year - they have already signed Stuckey and are trying to land Edwards.....but I don't think that is a coaching enditement of Roberts just the opportunity to continue to improve this team
 
I think we should define what "breakout means." I consider it to mean a guy who has never scored in the top 30 getting into the top 20. Just one guy's opinion.
I agree that breakout needs definition. To me a breakout guy would be someone who exceeds his career best season by say something like 20-25%.I don't see how guys like Mike Thomas or Percy Harvin and Kenny Britt can be called breakout guys unless they put up elite (top 5 type WR numbers). Otherwise in my mind these guys have already broken out.
You don't think Harvin can make 1050 yards as the #1 with McNabb?
 
the problem with Roberts "breaking out" is that he sucks...which is why the Cards are scrambling for another WR.
Stick to watching Pac 10 football SHUCKS - Roberts had a decent rookie season including a few nice games at the end of the year when he finally got more playing time - and remember who his quarterbacks were.I don't think he will be a "breakout" guy this year - they have already signed Stuckey and are trying to land Edwards.....but I don't think that is a coaching enditement of Roberts just the opportunity to continue to improve this team
My opinion is that Roberts will never be more than WR depth based on what I saw his rookie year.
 
FordGettisLittleBenn SandersCobb
Nice to see you Eastwood (enjoyed quite a few of your posts in past)Can you expound on some of these picks, mainly Cobb really. I mean Driver still catchin the ball, most people like Jones too. I also would imagine Im not only guy impressed by Nelson (disappointed to a degree in all honesty, almost shocked by his playoff perf.)
The only one benefiting from receivers in Green Bay may be Rodgers. Rookie TE DJ Wiliams is getting raves now for his hands and comfort with the offense-even fewer balls to go around.
Surprised no one has mentioned Garcon. He's on a great passing offense, Wayne's best days are behind him and to me he looks to be the most talented guy to take the next step. I don't follow Indy very close but when I watched him last year I was impressed.
Agree on Garcon. And Collie is one hit to the head away from retirement.
If they move Collie outside(no rumor-just speculation by me) to protect him and if they do it hurts Garcon.
 
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I like the Shipley call. Once Dalton goes in Shipley will be his best friend.

Mine are:

Titus Young

Sims Walker

Eric Decker

Plax

 
Jordan Shipley, Blair White, Emmanuel Sanders.
I doubt Blair White plays much this year since Anthony Gonzalez is healthy. Not to mention Austin Collie.
I've got questions about whether those two guys can stay healthy. White isn't a great player by any means, but with Collie and Gonzalez injury issues, Garcon's inconsistency and Wayne declining, I wouldn't be shocked if he had a breakout year if given the chance.
 
I think we should define what "breakout means." I consider it to mean a guy who has never scored in the top 30 getting into the top 20. Just one guy's opinion.
I agree that breakout needs definition. To me a breakout guy would be someone who exceeds his career best season by say something like 20-25%.I don't see how guys like Mike Thomas or Percy Harvin and Kenny Britt can be called breakout guys unless they put up elite (top 5 type WR numbers). Otherwise in my mind these guys have already broken out.
You don't think Harvin can make 1050 yards as the #1 with McNabb?
Harvin might be a bad example because that is probably attainable. I really have no idea how things will shake out in Minnesota but I do believe Harvin is best suited as a slot receiver and am not confident he will put up huge numbers if his role is changed.
 
Percy Harvin - Should be the #1 with a QB that will feed him.Jerome Simpson - With all the Green hype I feel Simpson is being a bit underrated.Mario Manningham - With Smith being gimpy & not sure where he is playing, I don't think Mario is getting the hype he deserves.
I'm on board with Harvin and Manningham, but Jerome Simpson is the second best WR on a team with a terrible starting QB as of now...he's going to need some help to have a breakout season.
Right now Green is a promising prospect, Simpson has actually shown he can play in the NFL.
Simpson has shown that he can play in the NFL by posting 21 receptions in 3 years in the league, with 12 of those receptions coming in one game. That's not exactly a Fitzgerald type track record to hold over a ridiculously well regarded rookie prospect.Combine that with the fact that the team will likely have a brand new starting QB, and I'm just going to go with the guy who is likely the most talented.
 
Jordan Shipley, Blair White, Emmanuel Sanders.
I doubt Blair White plays much this year since Anthony Gonzalez is healthy. Not to mention Austin Collie.
I've got questions about whether those two guys can stay healthy. White isn't a great player by any means, but with Collie and Gonzalez injury issues, Garcon's inconsistency and Wayne declining, I wouldn't be shocked if he had a breakout year if given the chance.
I wouldn't be so fast at putting Wayne out to pasture. He's still gotta little Colt left in him and should post solid wr-1 #'s.
 
Percy Harvin - Should be the #1 with a QB that will feed him.

Jerome Simpson - With all the Green hype I feel Simpson is being a bit underrated.

Mario Manningham - With Smith being gimpy & not sure where he is playing, I don't think Mario is getting the hype he deserves.
I'm on board with Harvin and Manningham, but Jerome Simpson is the second best WR on a team with a terrible starting QB as of now...he's going to need some help to have a breakout season.
Right now Green is a promising prospect, Simpson has actually shown he can play in the NFL.
Simpson has shown that he can play in the NFL by posting 21 receptions in 3 years in the league, with 12 of those receptions coming in one game. That's not exactly a Fitzgerald type track record to hold over a ridiculously well regarded rookie prospect.Combine that with the fact that the team will likely have a brand new starting QB, and I'm just going to go with the guy who is likely the most talented.
Aside from our different views on Green/Simpson do you guys think it is likely Simpson has a much better season than his career high 277 yards last season? The bolded feeds right into my prediction. ;)
 
Aside from our different views on Green/Simpson do you guys think it is likely Simpson has a much better season than his career high 277 yards last season? The bolded feeds right into my prediction. ;)
yes, but I currently have him projected as barely being fantasy significant...only in the deepest league will he be useful per my projections.
 
Aside from our different views on Green/Simpson do you guys think it is likely Simpson has a much better season than his career high 277 yards last season? The bolded feeds right into my prediction. ;)
yes, but I currently have him projected as barely being fantasy significant...only in the deepest league will he be useful per my projections.
Where do you have him ranked & how shallow are the leagues you play in?
 
Aside from our different views on Green/Simpson do you guys think it is likely Simpson has a much better season than his career high 277 yards last season? The bolded feeds right into my prediction. ;)
yes, but I currently have him projected as barely being fantasy significant...only in the deepest league will he be useful per my projections.
Where do you have him ranked & how shallow are the leagues you play in?
I have him projected for 55/740/4 with the current QB situation
 
Percy Harvin - Should be the #1 with a QB that will feed him.

Jerome Simpson - With all the Green hype I feel Simpson is being a bit underrated.

Mario Manningham - With Smith being gimpy & not sure where he is playing, I don't think Mario is getting the hype he deserves.
I'm on board with Harvin and Manningham, but Jerome Simpson is the second best WR on a team with a terrible starting QB as of now...he's going to need some help to have a breakout season.
Right now Green is a promising prospect, Simpson has actually shown he can play in the NFL.
Simpson has shown that he can play in the NFL by posting 21 receptions in 3 years in the league, with 12 of those receptions coming in one game. That's not exactly a Fitzgerald type track record to hold over a ridiculously well regarded rookie prospect.Combine that with the fact that the team will likely have a brand new starting QB, and I'm just going to go with the guy who is likely the most talented.
Aside from our different views on Green/Simpson do you guys think it is likely Simpson has a much better season than his career high 277 yards last season? The bolded feeds right into my prediction. ;)
I agree it is likely he will have a better year next year. I don't agree that he is likely to be worth starting in most leagues. There are two other veteran WRs on the team that have been more productive in the NFL than Simpson has. Caldwell had about the same number of yards over the last 3 games as Simpson and Shipley had a better overall year. I'd rather have Simpson than either of them based on upside, but I don't think there is any guarantee Simpson will be the clear #2 fantasy receiver on a team that's unlikely to produce more than ONE fantasy producer at WR. I just don't like those odds for a real "breakout".In a deep league, he might be a good sleeper candidate with some upside, but that isn't what I thought this thread was discussing.

 
I think we should define what "breakout means." I consider it to mean a guy who has never scored in the top 30 getting into the top 20. Just one guy's opinion.
I agree that breakout needs definition. To me a breakout guy would be someone who exceeds his career best season by say something like 20-25%.I don't see how guys like Mike Thomas or Percy Harvin and Kenny Britt can be called breakout guys unless they put up elite (top 5 type WR numbers). Otherwise in my mind these guys have already broken out.
You don't think Harvin can make 1050 yards as the #1 with McNabb?
The migraines are a bigger problem than McNabb. Ask anyone that's owned him the past two seasons... his headaches are headaches.
 
I dont see how Manningham (Top 30 last 2 years, 18th last year) and Harvin (Top 25 in both his first 2 seasons) are breakout candidates, but to each his own.

Of the aforementioned definitions of breakout, I probably like the 20-25% increase in production over previous best, but thats all relative really...So I guess "breakout" players of varying degrees for me:

If Hardy earns a starting spot for B-more, I might consider him as a last round flier, although I think Boldin really benefits with Mason gone more than many will project.

I definitely like Julio, although by the end of August Im not sure how much value he'll have in drafts.

Although I dont know if he outproduces Green, Shipley is definitely the WR of the 3 Bungals Im targetting.

He's been undraftable for me for seemingly 5 years, but if Roy Williams falls far enough I might take a chance on him in a Martz system.

Greg Little intrigues me if he does in fact look like the Browns top WR this preaseason.

Big if, but if Stafford can stay healthy I think Burleson will put up very nice numbers. He's been WR39 the last 2 years and his current ADP is WR71.

Im guessing Burress' ADP will go up a lot the next few weeks, but he's a steal right now.

I have a feeling MSW will drop in my 2 main drafts, so definitely like him and steering clear of all the other Rams WR.

Im cautiously optimistic on Benn because I really liked him at Illinois and know he has the talent, but can he stay healthy and will he get the targets?

I really dont get the love for Emmanuel Sanders from a fantasy perspective. Feels like people hoping for the next Wallace or something.

 
'griff321 said:
I think we should define what "breakout means." I consider it to mean a guy who has never scored in the top 30 getting into the top 20. Just one guy's opinion.
I agree that breakout needs definition. To me a breakout guy would be someone who exceeds his career best season by say something like 20-25%.I don't see how guys like Mike Thomas or Percy Harvin and Kenny Britt can be called breakout guys unless they put up elite (top 5 type WR numbers). Otherwise in my mind these guys have already broken out.
You don't think Harvin can make 1050 yards as the #1 with McNabb?
The migraines are a bigger problem than McNabb. Ask anyone that's owned him the past two seasons... his headaches are headaches.
He's supposedly overcame the headaches. If so, it's something to consider.
 
Emmanuel Sanders and Jason Hill and James Hardy.
Hardy was a TD machine in college on a terrible Indiana team. Been slowed by injuries the first two years, but does have huge potential and in a much better situation in Baltimore if he starts.
 
I had this guy as my sleeper last year (and he did nothing), but I am going to throw him out there again...Brian Robiskie.

McCoy has a year under his belt, and while they did add Little, Massaquoi seems to have some type of injury (just remembering a post here) and they don't really have anything else in the cupboard. Teams are going to be wise to their running, so they will be forced to air it a little more.

Ah...who am I kidding?
I stashed Robiskie too.. track speed.. came out of OSU young and undersized.. You cant teach speed.. but i dont think mccoys arm is strong enought to utilize it... and then they drafted little.. D'OH!!Julio Jones

Jared Cook - Check down Hassleback releases the inner Finley in Cook...

Josh Morgan

one of the recievers in Washington?
i'm still trying to process that part
 
My top breakout WRs:

[*]Donnie Avery: I like his chances even with MSW. I just don't see MSW as having the talent or the speed of Avery. I think Avery emerges as the #1 in STL.

[*]Jacoby Ford: With the trading of Zach Miller, this would be the WR to own in OAK. By the end of last year, it seemed like Campbell was focused on him and he performed well.

[*]Lance Moore: His numbers when Bush was out are top numbers. I think he'll definitely outperform his ADP.

 

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