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Why is FBG so high on Ameer Abdullah week one? (1 Viewer)

ejs39861

Footballguy
FBG's projections have him as a crazy good value, and he's appearing in every single lineup the interactive value charts generate for me. He's listed as Detroit's third string running back on their depth chart, and costs around the same price as Chris Ivory and others who are actually starting.

What am I missing??

 
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FBG's projections have him as a crazy good value, and he's appearing in every single lineup the interactive value charts generate for me. He's listed as Detroit's third string running back on their depth chart, and costs around the same price as Chris Ivory and others who are actually starting.

What am I missing??
The third string designation is meaningless. Excepting injury to Joique or Ameer, I don't expect Theo Riddick to outtouch him in any game this year. Zenner is strictly a special teamer until an opportunity presents itself.

i think the FBGs staffers expect Joique to be eased back in since he will have only had two weeks of reps. He is coming off minor knee and achilles surgery from mid-January and has a phenomenal work ethic. I don't expect fitness to be an issue, and to me it's NBD for a veteran to miss OTAs/TC/Preseason. But some place a higher value on those factors and think he won't receive his normal workload of 18-24 touches. The thinking seems to be if Bell's role is reduced, Abduallah - who is likely to average around 12 touches a game this year - should see on the order of 16-18. He's the kind of guy who can do a lot with limited work from a FF production standpoint.

I'm sold on Ameer's talent - drafted him in the 6th, starting him week 1 - but I'm dubious he'll have as big of a role Week 1 as most seem to be projecting. We'll have data points to confirm that soon enough.

 
Week 1 is a crapshoot. Ameer could see anywhere from 2 to 15 touches. Bell should see the majority of workload. I see Bell with 15 touches, Ameer with 10 touches, and Riddick/Zenner with a few touches. I can see the coaches being cautious in not overworking either RB. Ameer is probably at best a flex play this week or a low-end RB2.

 
FBG's projections have him as a crazy good value, and he's appearing in every single lineup the interactive value charts generate for me. He's listed as Detroit's third string running back on their depth chart, and costs around the same price as Chris Ivory and others who are actually starting.

What am I missing??
start him... just forget this thread and start him over Ivory or any other bum espn puts out there in the 4th round range.. Thank you

 
Week 1 is a crapshoot. Ameer could see anywhere from 2 to 15 touches. Bell should see the majority of workload. I see Bell with 15 touches, Ameer with 10 touches, and Riddick/Zenner with a few touches. I can see the coaches being cautious in not overworking either RB. Ameer is probably at best a flex play this week or a low-end RB2.
2 touches??? 2-15 thats a pretty drastic difference. That's like If I said this receiver could catch 2 passes or 12...... how silly does that sound. Abdullah will see right around 15 touches I think week 1 and by week 4-6 he will be in the 16-18 touch range and making it all worthwhile drafting him as a rb2 in your ppr league.. Everyones already been aboard for months now, this train already left the station, I know lots of guys want to temper that but it's not happening. Im from Detroit and the lions always functioned well when they had his type of back in the backfield. Think Jahvid Best, Before he went down the lions were 5-1 fresh of a butt kicking of a pretty good Bears defense. Lions love runners that can run, catch, block and are athletic. Ameer is gonna fill the JBest, Reggie bush/Theo riddick spot to perfection. I think you are lookin at 800 rush 800 rec 10 tds and 50 catches. how does that sound for you fantasy guys?

 
I am not sure about the seriousness of Bell's achilles injury. He was able to keep playing through it last season, so it wasn't a complete tear or he wouldn't have been able to do that, I am not sure if playing through it further aggravated the injury however.

He had surgery in January to address the issue and recovery from this injury is typically 6 to 9 months. It has been about 8 months since the surgery. So he could be close to returning to playing shape, or it could still take until October until he is ready.

 

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