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why pass on studs ? (1 Viewer)

cantstop1999

Footballguy
im picking 3rd this year in a 12 team league. i have been looking at mocks and i keep seeing guys in my spot passing on stud wrs instead taking very questionable rbs. i know how important it is to have backs but its really early to pass on studs for chances. i think ill take my chances with a back in the 4th or 5th. the first 3 rounds are to important to chance things so why would you?

 
Just look at your projections and do the math.

If the #15 RB + the #10 WR is better than the #25 RB and the #1 WR, then there isnt any "chances" to take; presuming you believe in your projections.

 
Just look at your projections and do the math.

If the #15 RB + the #10 WR is better than the #25 RB and the #1 WR, then there isnt any "chances" to take; presuming you believe in your projections.
a stud wr can put up better #S than some of these guys taken early.
 
Just look at your projections and do the math.

If the #15 RB + the #10 WR is better than the #25 RB and the #1 WR, then there isnt any "chances" to take; presuming you believe in your projections.
a stud wr can put up better #S than some of these guys taken early.
I totally agree with this. I've been in mocks where I've picked 2nd and 3rd overall in 12-team mocks and when the 2nd round in one mock (where I picked 2nd in rd 1) came around, I had the choice of these RB's:R. Droughns

T. Jones

W. Parker

D. Foster

OR WR, M. Harrison. I looked at the #'s and Harrison far-and-away out-produced any of the RB's. Take a wild guess who I took!

In the other mock I drafted 3rd in rd one, and when it was my turn to pick in rd 2 I had a similar scenario. These were the RB's available:

C. Taylor

C. Dillon

W. Parker

T. Jones

The WR's I had to choose from were:

T. Owens

R. Moss

A. Boldin

Again, after looking at the #'s, it looked like the wise choice was to take a WR (Owens). I will admit that having Dillon in the RB equation made the decision a bit tougher, but I'm not convinced that this Dillon is going to put up the #'s of the Dillon of a couple of years ago.

If the big-3...LJ, LT, and Alexander put up the #'s that we, as fantasy owners project, they'll practically give us the production of 2 RB's anyway.

I think that we've had the "get your RB's in your first two rds" drilled into us for such a long time that we sometimes fail to look at the #'s and do the smart thing.

 
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Just look at your projections and do the math.

If the #15 RB + the #10 WR is better than the #25 RB and the #1 WR, then there isnt any "chances" to take; presuming you believe in your projections.
a stud wr can put up better #S than some of these guys taken early.
I totally agree with this. I've been in mocks where I've picked 2nd and 3rd overall in 12-team mocks and when the 2nd round in one mock (where I picked 2nd in rd 1) came around, I had the choice of these RB's:R. Droughns

T. Jones

W. Parker

D. Foster

OR WR, M. Harrison. I looked at the #'s and Harrison far-and-away out-produced any of the RB's. Take a wild guess who I took!

In the other mock I drafted 3rd in rd one, and when it was my turn to pick in rd 2 I had a similar scenario. These were the RB's available:

C. Taylor

C. Dillon

W. Parker

T. Jones

The WR's I had to choose from were:

T. Owens

R. Moss

A. Boldin

Again, after looking at the #'s, it looked like the wise choice was to take a WR (Owens). I will admit that having Dillon in the RB equation made the decision a bit tougher, but I'm not convinced that this Dillon is going to put up the #'s of the Dillon of a couple of years ago.

If the big-3...LJ, LT, and Alexander put up the #'s that we, as fantasy owners project, they'll practically give us the production of 2 RB's anyway.

I think that we've had the "get your RB's in your first two rds" drilled into us for such a long time that we sometimes fail to look at the #'s and do the smart thing.
exactly my point, well put .
 
in basic scoring leagues that start 1RB-1WR, yours is a pretty strong strategy!

most leagues I play in require 2RB's and 3WR's, so I find that when I add the projected stats of the 5 starters I draft...as opposed to just comparing the output of the 2 players you are comparing...I find drafting the 2 RB's 1st usually yields alittle stronger team, :shrug: but what the hell do I know?

you keep grabbing those WR's at the bottom of the 2nd round, while I take Droughns or Parker... :banned:

 
in basic scoring leagues that start 1RB-1WR, yours is a pretty strong strategy!

most leagues I play in require 2RB's and 3WR's, so I find that when I add the projected stats of the 5 starters I draft...as opposed to just comparing the output of the 2 players you are comparing...I find drafting the 2 RB's 1st usually yields alittle stronger team, :shrug: but what the hell do I know?

you keep grabbing those WR's at the bottom of the 2nd round, while I take Droughns or Parker... :banned:
in my league you can start 1 or 2 backs, if you start 1 then you cant start 4 wrs, if youstart 2 backs then 3 wrs.
 
Interesting to note where you could have gotten all those RB's last year at this time. 6th round or later. Now those stud WR's still go about the same spot. Boldin is probably the one that dropped the most and he was like a 4th-5th rounde. I think matters the rules in the end. If you have flexible lineups and can go a 1-4, than I like the WR. If it is PPR and a 2-3 than I dont mind WR. If your league is like a 2-2 or 3-3 than I like the RB.

 

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