Just look at your projections and do the math.
If the #15 RB + the #10 WR is better than the #25 RB and the #1 WR, then there isnt any "chances" to take; presuming you believe in your projections.
a stud wr can put up better #S than some of these guys taken early.
I totally agree with this. I've been in mocks where I've picked 2nd and 3rd overall in 12-team mocks and when the 2nd round in one mock (where I picked 2nd in rd 1) came around, I had the choice of these RB's:R. Droughns
T. Jones
W. Parker
D. Foster
OR WR, M. Harrison. I looked at the #'s and Harrison far-and-away out-produced any of the RB's. Take a wild guess who I took!
In the other mock I drafted 3rd in rd one, and when it was my turn to pick in rd 2 I had a similar scenario. These were the RB's available:
C. Taylor
C. Dillon
W. Parker
T. Jones
The WR's I had to choose from were:
T. Owens
R. Moss
A. Boldin
Again, after looking at the #'s, it looked like the wise choice was to take a WR (Owens). I will admit that having Dillon in the RB equation made the decision a bit tougher, but I'm not convinced that this Dillon is going to put up the #'s of the Dillon of a couple of years ago.
If the big-3...LJ, LT, and Alexander put up the #'s that we, as fantasy owners project, they'll practically give us the production of 2 RB's anyway.
I think that we've had the "get your RB's in your first two rds" drilled into us for such a long time that we sometimes fail to look at the #'s and do the smart thing.