February 9, 2007
1 LaDainian Tomlinson, SD, RB Top spot can't be argued: 31 TDs, 2,323 yfs 1
2 Larry Johnson, KC, RB 11 100-yrd games, 19 TDs, but O-line needs work 2
3 Steven Jackson, StL, RB 90 receptions, strong '06 finish has him on LJ's heels 3
4 Shaun Alexander, Sea, RB 30 years old, yes, but foot injury limited wear-n-tear 4
5 Frank Gore, SF, RB 9 100-yard games; Offense should improve in '07 5
6 Rudi Johnson, Cin, RB 12 TDs in 3 straight seasons, but just 3.8 ypc in '06 7
7 Brian Westbrook, Phi, RB Bonus: Avg 4.5 TD catches, 588 rec. yds past 4 years 6
8 Willie Parker, Pit, RB Will new coach infuse some Bus-like help? 8
9 Peyton Manning, Ind, QB 4-year avg: 37 TD passes, 10 INTs, 4,242 pass yds 9
10 Clinton Portis, Was, RB Betts' success has brought trade, platoon concerns 11
11 Joseph Addai, Ind, RB After far outplaying Rhodes, should be go-to in '07 10
12 Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac, RB 6.5 yards per touch; Many more touches coming in '07 12
13 Carson Palmer, Cin, QB Starts '07 fresh after answering health ?'s in '06 13
14 Steve Smith, Car, WR Sans hammy, QB health issues, he'll rebound in '07 14
15 Marvin Harrison, Ind, WR $ in bank: 1,100+ yds, 10+ TDs in 8 straight seasons 15
16 Torry Holt, StL, WR 4-year average: 102 catches, 1,397 yds, 10 TDs 16
17 Chad Johnson, Cin, WR Scored in just 4 games, topped 100 yds in just 4, too 17
18 Reggie Bush, NO, RB Including playoffs, 9 TDs in final 7 games 21
19 Chester Taylor, Min, RB Has O-line to excel if QB problems can be righted 20
20 Terrell Owens, Dal, WR New coach called him by 1st name - it's a good start 23
21 Brandon Jacobs, NYG RB 16 TDs in 134 career attempts; Should see 200+ in '07 18
22 Ronnie Brown, Mia, RB Return of Ricky Williams a realistic possibility 19
23 Laurence Maroney, NE, RB Expect Dillon to take a back seat in '07, if he stays 22
24 Drew Brees, NO, QB Technician has weapons, system to keep it rolling 24
25 Larry Fitzgerald, Ari, WR Closed with a TD in 4 of his last 5 games 25
26 T.J. Houshmandzadeh,Cin,WR 20 TDs in past 34 regular-season games 26
27 Reggie Wayne, Ind, WR 3-year average: 82 catches, 1,192 yds, 9 TDs 27
28 Antonio Gates, SD, TE Chemistry w/ Rivers solidified down the stretch 28
29 Edgerrin James, Ari, RB Wisenhunt brings run know-how from Pittsburgh 32
30 Roy Williams, Det, WR 1,310 yds, 7 TDs was solid, but below my expectations 29
31 Javon Walker, Den, WR Cutler's deep-ball will fit well with Walker's skills 31
32 Anquan Boldin, Ari, WR 4 TDs likely to bring draft discount in '07 - I'll take it 30
33 Marques Colston, NO, WR May have a better '07 but less Yahoo! value sans TE 33
34 Donald Driver, GB, WR Favre return is good news 34
35 Willis McGahee, Buf, RB If O-line, Losman continue to click, he could surprise 35
36 Andre Johnson, Hou, WR 103 catches yielded just 1,147 yards, 5 TDs 36
37 Deuce McAllister, NO, RB Repeat #'s (1,057 yds, 10 TDs) in '07 wouldn't surprise 37
38 Plaxico Burress, NYG, WR 10 TDs despite just 63 catches 38
39 Lee Evans, Buf, WR Averaged 96 yards and scored 7 TDs in final 9 games 39
40 Darrell Jackson, Sea, WR Per game production has been top shelf for a while 40
41 Hines Ward, Pit, WR 975 yds, 6 TDs despite persistent health woes 41
42 Kevin Jones, Det, RB Health updates (foot) will dictate value going forward 42
43 Travis Henry, Ten, RB Very likely he'll be featured once again 43
44 Marion Barber III, Dal, RB 16 TDs in '06, and likely more work in '07 44
45 DeAngelo Williams, Car, RB DeShaun's lackluster '06 opens big door for DeLo 45
46 Marc Bulger, StL, QB 95 TD passes in 60 career games (24 in '06) 46
47 Tom Brady, NE, QB Comfort pick: write in his 3,700 yds, 25 TDs in pen 47
48 Carnell Williams, TB, RB Worth gamble this late that health, Bucs get right 48
49 Jerious Norwood, Atl, RB His 6.4 ypc, Dunn's fade screams increased workload 49
50 Michael Vick, Atl, QB New coach, another system trying to make Vick click 50
FBG's had Manning ranked 9th for VBD in leagues where QB's get 6 per TD and 1 pt every 20 yards (which BTW is the way it shoudl be).Has anyone taken the final year numbers and dropped them into the VBD model and looked at where guys SHOULD have been drafted?FBG's this is something you should do every year as I think it will add great insight.
I agree with with your assessment of Jacobs 100%, he will not be a starting rb here in NY.
