What we're getting at is some sort of intrinsic value based on the anticipated VBD by rookie draft position, likely based on historical data. I'm sure someone has done this but I'm not sure where. The plot of VBD (VBD on the y, rookie pick # on the x) I imagine starts very high and decreases exponentially as it approaches 0. Point being is that once you get past the first few picks in most drafts the plot is quite flat, which equates to a small difference in player outcomes.
We agree that the 1.07 is worth much more than the 1.12 but probably not as much as the actual numbers dictate. Current value does suggests 1.07 > Allen though, that much we can agree on
We agree that the 1.07 is worth much more than the 1.12 but probably not as much as the actual numbers dictate. Current value does suggests 1.07 > Allen though, that much we can agree on