This_Is_Not_VRR
Footballguy
Brady
Shaun Alexander
Randy Moss
Shaun Alexander
Randy Moss
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300+pass yds, 100+rush yds, 100+rec yds (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Wingnut
- Start date
Wingnut
Footballguy
Define "easy"
Im batting .500 on the 2 that have played, and LT is an "easy" pick.
Asd Meatloaf once said, 2 out of 3 aint bad!
Wingnut
Footballguy
Manning had 276yds (and 247 if you had the other Manning)
pantagrapher
Footballguy
Limp Ditka
Footballguy
Late to the party, so I'll go with who's left
Brooks
Tomlinson
R Moss
Brooks
Tomlinson
R Moss
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thecardiackid
Footballguy
Only missed by 12 yards...Don't have him, but do have Bryant, so maybe some wishful thinkingthe Willis reach - cuz I'll need it.:stepsoutonlimb:
QB - A Smith
He'll need to pass for 400 to stay in this game - and Gore will be marginal on the road in the new stadium opener.
RB - M Bell
Shanny is playing w/ STL *and the rest of us* and MB (not III) will get 25/120/1
WR - L Evans
Down early and passing all day.Step back off the limb!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
It would be easy to say Peyton or Palmer, just for science here. Probable, no. Possible,
Too bad my other picks sucked.
JayMan
Footballguy
I'll go with McNabb / TBarber / Fitzgerald...What?... before the games?
And this is why we should temper our anger towards FBG (Dodds) weekly projections (which have been dabated longly in another thread)... His top-down / safe approach (i.e. normal NFL weekend overall stats with simulated games based on different variables) is certainly the best way to go...Predicting who will gain 300/100 yards on any given game, as this thread as proved, is an impossible task even though over 20 guys will do it every week... NFL players are consistently inconsistent (especially WRs)...Looks like nobody has a chance to nail all 3.
CalBear
Footballguy
The studies I have done have not shown WRs at a given production level to be any more inconsistent than RBs at the same production level. That is, WRs who score 140-150 points on the year are about equally consistent with RBs who score 140-150 points on the year. But on average, RBs score more points, so the #3 RB may be "more consistent," by some definition, than the #3 WR. (Generally, players who score more points have a higher standard deviation, but lower standard deviation relative to their production).
Wheelhouse
Footballguy
Two out of three aint bad.
JayMan
Footballguy
This is why I tend to evaluate consistency with a "starter" or "elite" tag... and not standard deviation (although you are stating StDev relative to their production level)... because we all know that if a guy scores 0 points all the time - his StDev will be 0 - he's consistently poor!...The "starter" tag is by definition a binary ("yes", "no") that looks at the number of starters per position - per week - in a given league (for example 12 QBs)... The 12 best weekly QB performances gets a "yes" tag and the others gets a no...
Same goes for the "elite" tag - but it's reserved for the 25% upper tier of starters... (thus 3 best QB performances per week)...
With that in mind - and looking only at the '05 season... I found that the top24 QB - top48 RBs and top72 WRs averaged 3.67 - 3.61 and 3.70 elite weeks respectively - keep in mind that this league scoring is PPR for WRs and not for RBs...
This would not suggest that RBs and/or QBs are more consistent than WRs (like I mentioned earlier today) - but the scoring system / roster requirements (like you mentioned) have to be taken into account - and a larger sample size is required...
(I should have looked at this for my 3rd freelance article
)The Jacket
Footballguy
It's really tough to project the passers, given that there are only going to be a few each week.In hindsight, and it's pure hindsight, I think the McNabb pick should've been made more. It just made sense. The Eagles pass more than anyone, the Texans allow more than just about anyone, and, oh yeah, McNabb's pretty good.Looks like nobody has a chance to nail all 3.
I'll go with McNabb / TBarber / Fitzgerald...What?... before the games?
And this is why we should temper our anger towards FBG (Dodds) weekly projections (which have been dabated longly in another thread)... His top-down / safe approach (i.e. normal NFL weekend overall stats with simulated games based on different variables) is certainly the best way to go...Predicting who will gain 300/100 yards on any given game, as this thread as proved, is an impossible task even though over 20 guys will do it every week... NFL players are consistently inconsistent (especially WRs)...Looks like nobody has a chance to nail all 3.
WRONG!I nailed all three. Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison & LT.Looks like nobody has a chance to nail all 3.
pizzatyme
Footballguy
I told you it was easy.Define "easy"Im batting .500 on the 2 that have played, and LT is an "easy" pick.
JayMan
Footballguy
I might be wrong here... but Peyton only had 276 yards passing against the GMen, no?WRONG!I nailed all three. Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison & LT.Looks like nobody has a chance to nail all 3.
pizzatyme
Footballguy
Good call Chief! Now all you have to do is call the NFL and tell them to add 24 yards to Peyton's passing total.WRONG!I nailed all three. Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison & LT.Looks like nobody has a chance to nail all 3.
The Man With No Name
Footballguy
Rudi was 4 yards short.
I don't recall anyone being angry at Dodds. I rather much liked that discussion. I still don't think you guys are Dodds and don't find it worthwhile to compare yourselves but I do see how this could be funI'll go with McNabb / TBarber / Fitzgerald...What?... before the games?
And this is why we should temper our anger towards FBG (Dodds) weekly projections (which have been dabated longly in another thread)... His top-down / safe approach (i.e. normal NFL weekend overall stats with simulated games based on different variables) is certainly the best way to go...Predicting who will gain 300/100 yards on any given game, as this thread as proved, is an impossible task even though over 20 guys will do it every week... NFL players are consistently inconsistent (especially WRs)...Looks like nobody has a chance to nail all 3.
M
MLBrandow
Guest
I know this is hindsight, but here would have been my predictions:
QB: Trent Green
RB: Dominic Rhodes
WR: Anquan Boldin
was pretty stunned that the Giants rushing D was so stifling.
QB: Trent Green
RB: Dominic Rhodes
WR: Anquan Boldin
was pretty stunned that the Giants rushing D was so stifling.
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Wingnut
Footballguy
Good call Chief! Now all you have to do is call the NFL and tell them to add 24 yards to Peyton's passing total.WRONG!I nailed all three. Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison & LT.Looks like nobody has a chance to nail all 3.
M
MLBrandow
Guest
pretty sure he means he was the least incorrect, which should count for something in this game, since no one was correct this week. He's the best loser.
JayMan
Footballguy
Angry is definitely an exageration on my part - more that some were discontent with the week1 projections (that no one was showing as a 300/100 week) and I was one of the board member saying the projections were "safe" ones - Dodds explained his way of arriving at these projections - and I liked that discussion very much also...And by no mean do I think that my FF knowledge is comparible to Dodds - far from it in fact!... I was just asking what was the process of deriving those weekly projections - since none was showing a 300/100 week while there are 21 guys reaching that plateau on average every week... Chase / Maurile / David explanations were on par and insightful... all I can ask (sorry if it sounds like I was trying to say I know more about FF - definitely not the idea or purpose)I don't recall anyone being angry at Dodds. I rather much liked that discussion. I still don't think you guys are Dodds and don't find it worthwhile to compare yourselves but I do see how this could be funI'll go with McNabb / TBarber / Fitzgerald...What?... before the games?
And this is why we should temper our anger towards FBG (Dodds) weekly projections (which have been dabated longly in another thread)... His top-down / safe approach (i.e. normal NFL weekend overall stats with simulated games based on different variables) is certainly the best way to go...Predicting who will gain 300/100 yards on any given game, as this thread as proved, is an impossible task even though over 20 guys will do it every week... NFL players are consistently inconsistent (especially WRs)...Looks like nobody has a chance to nail all 3.
Wingnut
Footballguy
Alot of folks guessed 2 out of 3. Theyre all the best losers.
