Hey, don't take this the wrong way TZM, I really enjoy your posts and appreciate what you bring.
But I was just curious...how many years have you been playing FF?
I own Bortles & Taylor (I have forgotten if this is plan E or plan F for my QBs this year.) On paper, you are 100% correct. Brutal Bills schedule. Super attractive Jags schedule. One the reasons why I made a move for ARob today.
But, you know, funny things happen in the Not For Long. The Packers looks like they're gonna go 15-1 with Rodgers throwing 42 TDs and 2 INTs. Until he puts up the worst six consecutive quarters of his entire career. Or the Broncos D is the reincarnation of the '85 Bears. Until the 3-5 Colts, with a QB playing like he's Blaine "the turnover machine" Gabbert, throw up 27 with no TOs and hand them a loss.
Buffalo is going to have a lot to play for. Out of this next 6 (5 on the road), 3 are pretty winnable. Thursday night is HUGE, for both teams. If things go the way I think they will, they'll be beating up on the Cowboys Week 16 at home for the opportunity to have a win at home & you're in the playoffs for the first time in like 16-17 years, or lose to the Jets and stay home. I have a sneaky feeling this team ends that drought.
The Bills are hungry. Jax would like to be in that position in a year or two. Right now you have a HC clinging to his job by his fingernails. He ain't the guy who's going to lead them to the playoffs. Those young guys want to compete and prove they belong & they're pretty good. But - just my MHO - they don't really understand hunger yet. They don't know how to close out games they should win, and they sure as hell don't know how to steal games they should have lost. They might one day. But I suspect we're going to start seeing a lot of frustration in mid to late December. I could be way off base.
Anyway, that's a real long winded and meandering way of saying I don't put TOO MUCH stock in SOS. I sure do look at it, and I take it into consideration when I'm building the FF team for the stretch run. Want guys who will be putting up big #s weeks 14, 15 & 16. But in the Not For Long, things change fast. What makes sense on November 10 is going to seem pretty silly on December 27.
I have been playing FF for 8 or 9 years. (and I've watched it for 40 years on and off, God I'm old)
Not as long as most here, but long enough.
Likewise, I enjoy your posts when I come across them.
But also look back at what I wrote and think, not just read it on the surface. (note- I am not being condescending, bear with me)
I wrote "I am scared as an owner of LeSean McCoy". I think we all should be that own him, for a variety of reasons. Karlos Williams is a big one, and the stout defenses they face is another.
Perhaps I should have expanded and said "I like Tyrod a little better as opposed to LeSean McCoy, but still not that much due to SOS". (I am sometimes criticized for being too long in my posts, but at least when I state an opinion I try and back it up, unlike a few people on this board who just sling posts lol)
Also look at what Tyrod did just this past week. He put up an "excellent real football game", but not a good "fantasy football game".
Meaning- Tyrod didn't have to chuck it much to win, he can be an excellent game manager.
The one thing we can say about Bortles, is that is one thing
HE ISN'T at least thus far, right?
His defense is bad, so he will be throwing it a lot in most matchups, and thats not necessarily the case with Tyrod, as we have seen so far this year, and even last weekend.
As far as SOS, the one thing I learned in FF is to pay attention. I don't wager my whole season on it, but in the case of this example, I easily count in strength of schedule
ALONG WITH Taylor being a more proficient NFL QB. So its more of those two things combined.
I try and take everything into consideration if you want me to be honest.
Even the fact that Rex Ryan is more of a ground and pound kind of guy, and in close situations when I see all these indicators, I try and go the "bigger upside" route, and to me thats Bortles.
I much more often look at things through "fantasy football colored glasses", and not the "real NFL glasses".
Full disclosure - I don't have a favorite team, nor do I care about who wins or loses.
I tend to like certain players, and
how my fantasy team performs . It doesn't matter to me how the Bills end up for the season, and if they win or lose. Only how it affects me and my fantasy team.
Is that narrow minded and selfish???? Perhaps, but I play FF to win, and as I noted in another thread yesterday, I will start anyone, doesn't matter if its Adrian Peterson, or Joique Bell, I have no qualms.
Now that aside- I think we all can agree that Tyrod is the better "NFL" QB at this point. I guess a very simple way of me putting this is that "I don't think Tyrod will
HAVE to have big fantasy numbers, while I think Bortles will have to have fair ones, just to keep in games", if that makes sense.
Don't take it as a disagreement with you Bobby, its really not.
I know full well what we know now, may be totally different in weeks 15-16.
But I can only act on what I see now, and can try and predict whats going to happen in later weeks.
I only have Bortles in one league. I certainly don't think he is a great QB, I just think he will be better in fantasy, than Tyrod Taylor when the time comes. He most likely won't be as solid in "real life" as Tyrod has been thusfar (which admittedly has been a complete surprise for me, the guy should have been starting somewhere, instead of bouncing from bench to bench) but I think Bortles has some decent upside in fantasy, and a good schedule to boot.
Well, the way I roll............what will likely happen is I am now high on Bortles, so he will probably carry me into the playoffs on that particular team, then get hurt in the first playoff game and cost me a championship run.
Slick move getting Allen Robinson btw. I was huge on him everywhere, and was lucky enough to get him as my 3rd WR in 2 of 4 start 3WR leagues.
Dude is currently the #6 WR in fantasy.
TZM