"Oh, I don't know. Stuff about his character, maturity, not to mention the fact that he operated in a spread offense that didn't force him to make many pre-snap reads. Someone will take him in the first round. Just as teams took
Jamarcus, VY, Tebow, Quinn, Leinart, Alex Smith, Campbell, JP Losman, etc., etc., etc."
Nice Cherry picking of some prominent first round busts. One problem with your list is that 2 of them are still starters in the NFL. Maybe not Fantasy Studs, but starters.
The reality is that the majority of 1st round QB's do not bust. This is because NFL teams actually pay people who are skilled to evaluate talent and make recommendations on who they should select when.
Here is a list for you! It is current NFL starters selected in the first round:
Matt Ryan, Joe Flacco, Jay Cutler, Carson Palmer, Matt Stafford, Aaron Rogers, Peyton Manning, Eli Manning, Mark Sanchez, Michael Vick, Ben Roethlisberger, Philip Rivers, Sam Bradford, Josh Freeman, Donnovan McNabb, Jason Campbell, and Tim Tebow.
Over half the league starts a signal caller selected in the first round. I am aware of the Ryan Leaf's, Joey Harrington's, David Carr's, and Akili Smith's as well. My only point is that based on the data, there is nothing about Newton except for his off the field issues at U of F that would be a red flag as a bust candidate. Russell was an easy call. He never won anything and regularly choked in big games. Jason Campbell was a shock 1st round pick and was not hyped at all leading up to the draft. Vince Young won 20+ games as a starter and I believe has mental issues. (Hardly a bust).
I understand why everyone is tired of the Cam show, but if he busts, it won't be for reasons anyone posting on this thread could ascertain by "breaking him down on film". In fact, there was a very well written analysis done of him by Chris Kouffman with www.universaldraft.com.
Here is the link:
http://weblogs.sun-sentinel.com/sports/columnists/hyde/blog/2011/02/draft_winds_a_thorough_breakdo.html
Of course, those of you who have already determined Newton has zero potential after watching him throw yesterday will quickly dismiss this 10 page article as thrown together and biased reporting!!! After all, did I not see that he only went 8-17 in his throwing drills???