In a Zealots Field (non-PPR) league, I just made the following trade:
I traded 1.02/2.01/5.05 for the 1.01.
This gives me the 1.01/1.03/1.05/1.11 picks and other assorted lesser picks for this year.
I made this trade because of a combination of I really feel Gurley is the better RB AND I feel he's going to be drafted by a team for which he'll be in a great situation, ie Dallas (assuming they let DeMarco Murray leave) or Indy.
The other team is very much in a rebuilding situation.
Don't like the deal. You made three assumptions here, at least one of which will turn out to be wrong.
1) Assumed the person at the 1.01 would take Gurley over Gordon. If this guy told you that's what he was going to do, you probably got suckered too.
2) Assumed Gurley would be better than Gordon.
3) Assumed Gurley would go to a better spot than Gordon.
The 5.05 is a throw away... but that 2.01 could turn out to be a great player in this draft.
On the assumptions. I don't see where he made assumption #1. He just seems to like Gurley more and did not want to take a chance. Assumption #3 he did not really make either. He said he felt Gurley would go to a good spot which is an assumption he might get wrong but that's not the same as saying he felt it would better than Gordon's. Assumption #2 is something we all are forced to make when making rookie picks except I'd not label it an assumption.
If someone absolutely likes Gurley or Gordon more than the other I see nothing wrong with this deal. That 2.1 is a high price to pay but the 1.1 or 1.2 is a big investment and if you feel like that 2.1 insures you a better shot of hitting on that investment I don't see an issue. For me personally I would not pay that for any one of them because for me landing spot will matter.
If someone, like me, goes into this knowing that landing spot will dictate which one they would take at 1.1 I don't think it's a bad deal. That 2.1 is not cheap but it's hedging your bet if landing spot matters and doubling your chances. It's a gamble. If you have them equal and landing spot matters to you and they end up in equal spots then you lost. But if say one ends up on Dallas and the other ends up in someplace way less desirable I'm not sure 2.1 and 5.1 would get it done in some a lot of leagues.
It's odd because I'm sitting on 1.1 in one league and right now I'd pass on that offer to move back one spot because I want to give myself the best possible chance to get this major investment correct or have one of these players end up such a great landing spot the trade value spikes. On the other hand if I was sitting on pick 1.2 I'm not sure I'd pay that to move up. All in all leads me to conclude it's a fair and reasonable deal.
Do you understand the meaning of the word assumption? I mean, you've used it several times above:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G2y8Sx4B2Sk
Yes, #1 is an assumption. You may not understand, but when you say "he did not want to take a chance" you're admitting as much. Just because you think Gurley is the next AP, Jim Brown, Walter Payton, Emmitt Smith and LaDanian Tomlinson all rolled into one, doesn't mean other people think the same. They may need a WR. They may be completely turned off by an ACL tear. They may be stupid. They may think Mariota or Winston are the next Andrew Luck. You may be 100% wrong. Go look at the recent poll for the 1.01 - was it unanimous for Gurley at the 1.01? There is a chance that the guy at 1.01 takes Gordon, and he gets his guy at the 1.02 without having to give up the 2.01.
This next one is great, "
Assumption #2 is something we all are forced to make when making rookie picks except I'd not label it an assumption." Say that sentence out loud to yourself a few times, I'm not even going to bother.
Assumption #3, his words, "
I feel he's going to be drafted by a team for which he'll be in a great situation" Now he didn't say that Gurley would go to a better sitaution that Gordon, he made an assumption that Gurley would go to a great situation. What if he gets drafted by the 49ers, Pittsburgh, Green Bay, etc? That's the biggest assumption he's made - before the draft, he went ahead and assumed that Gurley would not be drafted by about 2/3 of the league where he would be in a horrible situation.
Now my point was he just made three assumptions and if any one of them turn out to be wrong he just made a bad deal for himself. Maybe he just went 3 for 3 or maybe he's as high on Gurley as anyone else and simply had to have him, as you say. That's fine. But don't respond to my post with a bunch of nonsense about how none of these were assumptions because every single one of them was. Don't come back at me with "that's my opinion" either... because your opinion is flat ### wrong if that's the case.