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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (4 Viewers)

ChainsawU said:
Dan Lambskin said:
I’ll say Lions 27, Bucs 20
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Watchu got. I like Gibbs receiving yds
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I got a 1st TD parlay Kelce/Gibbs going

I played these
McCaffrey o36.5 rec
Aiyuk o4.5/o75.5
Kittle o56.5
Reynolds o2.5
Anzalone o4.5 tackles

I could see like a 34-28 SF win or something like that. That seems kinda high though, maybe 27-21 or something

Expect a lot of of Gibbs to the outside. I think lions shut down McCaffrey run but he will get a lot of passes. If Deebo is even remotely healthy i think that SF pass attack will be too much
 
I think the outstanding futures influenced the opener. Balanced out the money. And now it's just a coinflip. I miss when wagering was just kind of a shadow industry and the SB was the one, big, "**** the public" game. I think it's a coinflip this year. With the biggest handle ever.
 
So Whos everyone got for the SB???

spread is niners -2

Frankly, Im staying away. I have no clue on this game
 
KGB said:
So Whos everyone got for the SB???

spread is niners -2

Frankly, Im staying away. I have no clue on this game
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I think the line should be a couple points the other way in KCs favor. AFC proved that you win with an elite QB. Every time we think Lamar or Josh is going to be the next guy Mahomes is left standing there. The NFC was different, they showed they dont have an elite QB and the most well rounded team won with mr irrelevant. KC can win because of Mahomes. 49rs need a complete game from everyone without mistakes. But it's only 2 and the money line 110. I'm plunking some down Mahomes for MVP instead at a higher number.
 
Mahomes o1.5TD +150

Mahomes o262.5

Mahomes o26.5rush

Samuel o2.5rush

MSV o19.5

Kittle o3.5

Purdy o0.5int

C Jone sack
 
Who has the spreadsheeeeeeeet!!! :mad:
Here is what I have so far for specials:

gatoraide orange +450used to be a fairly easy $50 doing some internet slothing to get even odds red/yellow/orange or belichick clear. Seems like gatorage gods have been messing with us lately with 2 blues in a row and then a shocker chiefs(orange) purple last year. Taking odds that it swings back to normal
gatoraide clear +800there is always water on the sideline
first score chiefs fg +370
first turnover fumble +170
tot punts u7.5a half point higher than the sum of individual teams o/u
off pass int yes +380aggressive te on both teams and both team pick a lot
swift shown with drink in hand yes +120long tour, long flight, it's the superbowl
mcentire boot color white +500hoping silver (not listed) counts as white and she wants to be more flashy than the favorites black/brown. Red could pull an upset.
mahomes headband red +120matches more often than not and they are home team red, although I think he foked me on this last year
administrative time out +500no idea what counts as administrative, but, anything to get in more commercials
49rs win coin toss +100was the bets odds for the flip
first offensive play pass +135I think this might be the best bet out there. The line is following conventional wisdom, but, it's a passing league now and I think all teams pass more on 1st down than they do run. I think 49rs are 60% and Chiefs closer to 70%. What am I missing?
first chief offensive play pass +130
time of poss chiefs -110
49rs score first drive yes +110
chiefs convert 4th down yes -110
chiefs win both halves yes +380
first score td - no +130
Aiyuk 1 catch to the right +170
romo to say "taylor/swift" before jim +110
1st kick off = touch back yes -325This was by far my biggest bet last year, but, I got it at -160/-170. Looks like they've adjusted but the number opened at -400 so it's more tempting the lower it gets
 
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UFC Fight Night

Feel pretty good about this card

Wells -160

Clark -240

Lookboonmee -295

Vieira -115

Rodriguez -250

Fili +140

Pyfer -260

Wells fight is up next.
 
Kelce mvp +1700
Pacheco mvp +3500 - got these two early, lines have moved a bit.
Pacheco, Kelce or McCaffrey first TD +165 (flash boost)
Kittle O3.5 rec/McCaffrey ATTD +125
Mahomes 200+/Kelce 50+/KC ML +184
Kelce ATTD +100
Chiefs win/Kelce 40+. +190 (odds boost)
Yeah! Last song played +120


-;;;-

I'll probably add more here and there based on boosts that come out. Would like to get a bit more on the SF side. Hoping FD adds some Elijah Mitchell rush att/rush yards props.
 
No sweat mega parlay on DK
Kelce TD
McCaffrey TD
Purdy under 30.5 pass attempts
Mahommes under 292 pass+rush yards
Pacheco over 66.5 rushing
McCaffrey under 90.5 rushing

+4500

Pacheco over 16.5 rush attempts. -120
Longest TD over 37.5 yards -110
Winning margin to be exactly 7. +700
 
Deebo Anytime TD +140

Mahomes over 1.5 TD -160

Purdy over 12.5 yards rushing -130

Purdy anytime td +750

McCaffrey MVP +450

49ers M/L -130 (I got a $25 free bet and I threw it on this one)
 
I have a bunch of first TD bets and some other random stuff from Bet365 bonus bets (just launched in AZ) but if I was really betting, I think the Chiefs D gives them a fairly tight win to the under, something like 23-17. I dunno. I like Pacheco rushing overs, though.
 
I’ll just say I had some issues and I’m purely recreational now. Couple bucks on some same game parlays and the big events (masters, derby, March madness). It was mainly online casino but decided to just limit myself on everything
 
The Man With No Name said:
Former Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Dez Bryant has known to be an avid sports bettor since his playing days wrapped up. On Saturday, Bryant hit on one of the biggest bets of his life.

In a post on X, Bryant showed off that he won $416,970.35 on a massive 13-leg college basketball parlay on Saturday. The former NFL wideout placed $767 at +54215 odds to win the emphatic wager.
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Damn. Can't imagine hitting that. My Hardman anytime TD in the Superbowl brought me as much joy as the birth of my children. Ha ha
 
It was cool to hear Billy talk about every single thing I learned in here the L14 years. Apparently he wrote a book as a means to "give back" to all the young bettors of today who are oblivious to ev and pricing and are the ones buying all these prop parlays that are single-handedly increasing DK stock price every day. The same ones he says he doesn't bet because there's no edge and they're impossible to beat.

He did say that he never thought he'd be writing these "secrets" in a book for the general public to consume. Not because they were secrets, necessarily, but because that type of information (the same information I learned in here from you guys) is generally priceless info that he wouldn't have sold for $1M ten years ago.
 
ChainsawU said:
It was cool to hear Billy talk about every single thing I learned in here the L14 years. Apparently he wrote a book as a means to "give back" to all the young bettors of today who are oblivious to ev and pricing and are the ones buying all these prop parlays that are single-handedly increasing DK stock price every day. The same ones he says he doesn't bet because there's no edge and they're impossible to beat.

He did say that he never thought he'd be writing these "secrets" in a book for the general public to consume. Not because they were secrets, necessarily, but because that type of information (the same information I learned in here from you guys) is generally priceless info that he wouldn't have sold for $1M ten years ago.
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Cool. I'm super new to this online gambling. I know nothing. I don't have the knowledge to bet which teams to win or lose and feel picking NBA players over under just seems more logical. I don't know what I'm doing though. I follow a handful of Twitter guys and sort through what they recommend. I play guys who get increased minutes if someone is hurt and like playing players against teams on back to back. I've noticed I've picked players returning to old teams. I'm not winning, but I'm breaking even at this point. Ha ha
 
FarFromHome said:
ChainsawU said:
It was cool to hear Billy talk about every single thing I learned in here the L14 years. Apparently he wrote a book as a means to "give back" to all the young bettors of today who are oblivious to ev and pricing and are the ones buying all these prop parlays that are single-handedly increasing DK stock price every day. The same ones he says he doesn't bet because there's no edge and they're impossible to beat.

He did say that he never thought he'd be writing these "secrets" in a book for the general public to consume. Not because they were secrets, necessarily, but because that type of information (the same information I learned in here from you guys) is generally priceless info that he wouldn't have sold for $1M ten years ago.
Click to expand...
Cool. I'm super new to this online gambling. I know nothing. I don't have the knowledge to bet which teams to win or lose and feel picking NBA players over under just seems more logical. I don't know what I'm doing though. I follow a handful of Twitter guys and sort through what they recommend. I play guys who get increased minutes if someone is hurt and like playing players against teams on back to back. I've noticed I've picked players returning to old teams. I'm not winning, but I'm breaking even at this point. Ha ha
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The only advice I would give is to play YOUR picks instead of anyone else’s from tv or twitter or whatever
 
Cowboysfan8 said:
FarFromHome said:
ChainsawU said:
It was cool to hear Billy talk about every single thing I learned in here the L14 years. Apparently he wrote a book as a means to "give back" to all the young bettors of today who are oblivious to ev and pricing and are the ones buying all these prop parlays that are single-handedly increasing DK stock price every day. The same ones he says he doesn't bet because there's no edge and they're impossible to beat.

He did say that he never thought he'd be writing these "secrets" in a book for the general public to consume. Not because they were secrets, necessarily, but because that type of information (the same information I learned in here from you guys) is generally priceless info that he wouldn't have sold for $1M ten years ago.
Click to expand...
Cool. I'm super new to this online gambling. I know nothing. I don't have the knowledge to bet which teams to win or lose and feel picking NBA players over under just seems more logical. I don't know what I'm doing though. I follow a handful of Twitter guys and sort through what they recommend. I play guys who get increased minutes if someone is hurt and like playing players against teams on back to back. I've noticed I've picked players returning to old teams. I'm not winning, but I'm breaking even at this point. Ha ha
Click to expand...
The only advice I would give is to play YOUR picks instead of anyone else’s from tv or twitter or whatever
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Thanks. The good thing is I'm so frugal I wish I could just cash out my money now and buy a new tree trimmer. I have 2000 in winnings from Superbowl to play with. I have to play this roll over game to invest 5000 to cash out. So I'm not really trying to win money. I'm just trying to tread water to reach my roller goal and cash out.
 
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