I just want to know who we're blaming.Not a visual person AND you hate summation articles? Me too!
TRANSCIPT Rent: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Not a visual person AND you hate summation articles? Me too!
TRANSCIPT Rent: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
find another thread? it’s a big board.What if you hate partisan hacks like John Oliver?
I just want to know who we're blaming.
find another thread? it’s a big board.
Oliver may be a bit exhausting to watch but he's no partisan hack. Truth hurts.find another thread? it’s a big board.
I found parts of the report interesting (I’m not particularly enamored with Oliver but this piece was trending on Twitter all day.)It's all going to come crashing down soon. When it does, buy a house.
Yeah I think he hits on good topics. He’s equal opportunity, he’ll roast anyone. I find Jon Stewart in his new long form show does a little better job at taking a deep dive into issues.Oliver may be a bit exhausting to watch but he's no partisan hack. Truth hurts.
On the flip side to all this, I posted an article last year about how some want the US to be a nation of renters. This was coming off the report that blackrock and real estate groups were buying up all the market at over asking price.I found parts of the report interesting (I’m not particularly enamored with Oliver but this piece was trending on Twitter all day.)
For instance:
….apartments are being built. But the problem is, thanks in part to local, nimby opposition to more affordable, multi-family housing, it’s mainly been at the high end. In fact, in the last three decades, the national stock of rental units available actually grew by more than 13 million. But, crucially, the number of units at the lowest end of the market fell by nearly four million. That might be why if you’ve ever tried to search for affordable apartments in your area, google just says “nope.” [Laughter] And this serious lack of new affordable housing has enabled landlords to charge higher rents for the units that exist, something that’s increasingly attracted institutional investors: these are corporate landlords, like private equity firms, or even publicly traded companies, that pool the rents of their tenants and sell them as investments. They’ve long been players in apartment rentals, but more recently, after the 2008 housing crash, companies like these popped up to snap up single-family homes and rent them out. And because institutional investors are always trying to maximize returns, they’ll take any opportunity to push rents higher. Take Monarch, which has been called middle America’s fastest-growing landlord. Here is their owner last year salivating at the prospect of rent hikes.
We have an unprecedented opportunity, at least in my working lifetime, to really press rents, press rents on renewals because the country is highly occupied. We’re 97.5%. And so, where are people going to go? They can’t go anywhere. They want to be in apartments, or they have to be in apartments, and we have a tremendous opportunity to press both on renewing leases for existing residents, and to reset market rates, which we’ve reset numerous times even this year.
John: Wow. “They can’t go anywhere, and for us, that’s an unprecedented opportunity to press them.” That is a terrible way to talk about people. Honestly, it’s barely an acceptable way to talk about paninis. “Those sandwiches can’t go anywhere, #### it, press ’em. Squeeze those ####ers! I wanna see lines!” [Laughter] So if you’re wondering why your rent is going up, it may well be because your landlord sees the current affordable housing crisis as a chance to “reset market rates.” And in a lot of the country, there are very few legal constraints to stop them doing that. You may have heard of “rent control,” which strictly limits how much a landlord can charge you, but vanishingly few people have access to that anymore.
WRT the bolded, affordable housing seems like a lot of things in the globalized economy, the marketplace is not going to provide solutions for the low end. The vulnerable just get squeezed more and more (just as vulnerable workers like rideshare drivers or waitstaff or unskilled factory workers get squeezed in order to lay gifts at ge feet of “increasing shareholder value.”)
Anyway, it’s a 20 minute piece, I’ve learned people don’t watch or read posted links. Bite sized portions only, please.
1/3 of the country ate renters. I was homeless less than two years ago and without a HUD-VASH voucher (special program for homeless vets) would have never escaped. Even then I had to view 51 apartments before I found a NYC landlord who would accept my fully guaranteed voucher.
I’m no longer “at risk” but what’s going on in the NYC rental market is insane. The average midtown 1-bedroom hit $4K last month. The standard qualification in NYC is 40 times rent. Meaning $160K salary is the floor now.
If 33% or so are renters, in FBG terms it’s probably 10% or less. Affordable housing might not be on anyones radar bc it’s someone else’s problem.
IDK
One issue driving rents up in NYC is we have the total number of Air BnB + VRBO listings is a multiple of the available units to rent/lease long term.On the flip side to all this, I posted an article last year about how some want the US to be a nation of renters. This was coming off the report that blackrock and real estate groups were buying up all the market at over asking price.
Several people on this board thought renting was a good things. Especially for the younger generation so they aren't tied down to a mortgage.
Now we're just seeing the downside and if someone wants to live in a desirable location, they now need to pay for it more than before.
On the flip side to all this, I posted an article last year about how some want the US to be a nation of renters. This was coming off the report that blackrock and real estate groups were buying up all the market at over asking price.
Chicken little (riversco) is that you?Widespread violence is coming. No one can stop the momentum now.
This has nothing to do with politics outside of both sides being ok with unaffordable rent.What if you hate partisan hacks like John Oliver?
Excuse him. His piano is missing 87 keys.This has nothing to do with politics outside of both sides being ok with unaffordable rent.
This is the only solution if you don’t like rising rents. They’ll crater time to time but are always long term trending up. If you look at construction costs today, it’s near impossible to build what some call affordable housing to rent out. It’s not just corporate landlords raising either, I have to move my units up to market because all my maintenance and utility costs are up the same percentages. In raw dollars yes I am making more. But that’s why real property is a terrific inflation hedge, much better than gold.It's all going to come crashing down soon. When it does, buy a house.
I can't speak for NYC, and I know AL law and NYC law have to probably be at opposite ends of the spectrum, but this is pretty true even here. Sometimes you get bad tenants.• IDK what they were talking about with evicting renters? But here on Long Island, everything is stacked against the landlords. Police and the courts will not physically remove squatters and I know landlords that have gone into their pockets to pay tenants to leave. And even then, there is a 90% chance the appt is trashed and the landlord needs to foot that renovation bill.
Just got my insurance policy renewals in this morning on the two rental houses I have, both went up right at 10%. I was actually relieved it wasn't more. But to your point, most every cost is up that 10% at least, if you aren't matching it in rental increases you are doing worse.is there anyone here who rents to someone ?
I know rent is high ... but the cost of upkeep on a place isn't cheap. Taxes are not cheap. Insurance isn't cheap. Paying taxes on the income of the property isn't cheap. The entire purpose of renting is to make money, that factors in as well.
its easy to look at someone renting their place and think they're making $$$ but it another I think to actually be the owner
How many renters do you think can buy but choose not to? I'm thinking a small percentage.It's all going to come crashing down soon. When it does, buy a house.
“You will own nothing and you will be happy”- Klaus SchwabOn the flip side to all this, I posted an article last year about how some want the US to be a nation of renters. This was coming off the report that blackrock and real estate groups were buying up all the market at over asking price.
Just got my insurance policy renewals in this morning on the two rental houses I have, both went up right at 10%. I was actually relieved it wasn't more. But to your point, most every cost is up that 10% at least, if you aren't matching it in rental increases you are doing worse.
at a minimum that 10%. I'd think most LL would go higher since even service calls will now be 10% more. Parts and labor +10%. Lawn care or HOA fees up as well. 15-20% might be more realistic.so you pass that on to the renters, correct ?
on a $1500 rental, that's $150 more per month
its not an easy situation - but its also not the entirely the owners/landlord's fault either and many people don't understand that
How many renters do you think can buy but choose not to? I'm thinking a small percentage.
Getting the down payment is damn near impossible for many/most renters.
It also matters about what state/county you are speaking about. Many and rules about how much rent can be raised for existing residents. In parts of Cali it’s 9% if I remember correctly.at a minimum that 10%. I'd think most LL would go higher since even service calls will now be 10% more. Parts and labor +10%. Lawn care or HOA fees up as well. 15-20% might be more realistic24 minutes ago, Stealthycat said:
so you pass that on to the renters, correct ?
on a $1500 rental, that's $150 more per month
its not an easy situation - but its also not the entirely the owners/landlord's fault either and many people don't understand that
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It also matters about what state/county you are speaking about. Many and rules about how much rent can be raised for existing residents. In parts of Cali it’s 9% if I remember correctly.
I guess. Honestly it’s not so much I look at that and say I have to have it. The reality is the market makes it that way because the values of the homes and construction costs have risen. That drives up the risk to the insurance company so they raise prices. The markets for rent are driven up due to homes and construction costing more. So it’s pretty much hand in hand even though I’m just moving with the market, not so much making a line by line analysis of what I should charge. You have to price at the market or you’ll either rent for much too less or if you’re too high you sit vacant.so you pass that on to the renters, correct ?
on a $1500 rental, that's $150 more per month
its not an easy situation - but its also not the entirely the owners/landlord's fault either and many people don't understand that
Yeah, there are obviously a lot of renter protections in place all over and I'm not very familiar with the laws. I'm more trying to wrap my head around what a landlord needs to bump up his rate for it to continue to make sense being a LL. If everything is up 10%, I'd think the landlord needs to bump more than 10% just to keep up.It also matters about what state/county you are speaking about. Many and rules about how much rent can be raised for existing residents. In parts of Cali it’s 9% if I remember correctly.
From an IRR perspective this is true in order to maintain that percentage. It does lead to more raw dollars but if you assume inflation is also equal across all sectors the purchasing power of your return only is the same as before even with those extra dollars. If you have a fixed rate on your loan in an inflationary environment then you could see some increased return from that aspect.Yeah, there are obviously a lot of renter protections in place all over and I'm not very familiar with the laws. I'm more trying to wrap my head around what a landlord needs to bump up his rate for it to continue to make sense being a LL. If everything is up 10%, I'd think the landlord needs to bump more than 10% just to keep up.
This is the only solution if you don’t like rising rents. They’ll crater time to time but are always long term trending up. If you look at construction costs today, it’s near impossible to build what some call affordable housing to rent out. It’s not just corporate landlords raising either, I have to move my units up to market because all my maintenance and utility costs are up the same percentages. In raw dollars yes I am making more. But that’s why real property is a terrific inflation hedge, much better than gold.
I think it depends and really it depended 25 or so years ago for me as well. I was better off renting my first couple years until I got established. Sure housing in raw dollars is much higher, but also starting salaries for my field are up roughly that same proportion. While interest rates are skyrocketing compared to 12-24 months ago, they are still not out of line with those long term rates from that time period. In today's market I personally believe we are going to see a pullback so I couldn't advocate for starting on a path of rental ownership today, and I'd wait on primary residences unless I found just the right place or a certain location that just hardly ever comes on the market.I usually don't disagree with you on economic/financial matters, but I'm not quite so sure here.
I agree with you that renters are getting squeezed out. Before the pandemic hit, I bought my godson a condo in Dallas. I found a pretty solid place and a good situation at University Park. I considered putting him a sink or swim situation as an objective lesson, but the cost of housing is too brutal. Within his generation, I don't think it's doable for most. Within his peer group and his social circle and his college circle, etc, etc, nearly all of them just can't do it, not the way I did in decades past. Of course, as a parent, I have to consider the safety issue. What he could afford on his own, what kind of neighborhood would that be?
I had several rental properties long long ago, and I just phased them out. Some people are built to be landlords, others are not. That's part of the dynamic lots of people don't see upfront. There is money in owning property, but it creates all kinds of trade offs and obligations that you might be OK with and your situation is viable, and for others, not so much. Same thing with restaurants, I had a half stake in one for two years and I can tell you I am no Bourdain nor a new Gordon Ramsey waiting to happen.
If I wasn't a total safety net for my godson, he'd have no choice but to use the FI/RE strategy with implied minimalism.
For young people, I'd say join the military, do 20 years, don't own, keep moving. Stay long enough in one place to get experience in an industry and then try to telecommute full time. Move to a dirt cheap cost of living area/state. I have empty properties but my situation is unique, I understand that. I have places that are mine but I won't rent out. I'll let friends or associates stay there but I have no desire to be a landlord ever again. If I'm going to be fair about it, I abhor obligation. I don't like any kind of shackles. I always want the ability to walk away from anyone or anything. I channel Neil McCauley all the time.
I would consider it situational but in most cases, I think young people are better off not owning, if that's even an option for most of them now. What I think is more critical is that young people learn a trade/skill that they can take anywhere. That creates opportunity and options. I own in some pretty nice places in the country and I just see more obligation. But I recognize that's easy for me to say, for an average family with kids starting out, home ownership is a dream.
The next consideration is as it appears the economy is going to crater, some will argue property is much safer than putting your money elsewhere. My answer is the safest place right now is learning self reliance and enabling that pathway. That's a worthy investment. I didn't think late state capitalism would accelerate this quickly, but this is the end, my friend. Our future is war with China and likely civil war within our own borders. I'm not saying people should be nihilists or hedonists or be that bizarre anti-work BS, but I am saying Japan is a test case for cultural rot for our youth. Young men there have no desire to be "salaryman" slaves to the systems that wants to churn them out like cannon fodder.
People have figured out that they are nothing more than cattle to the corporate donor overlords. Now it's just going to be inevitable blood shed. Consider here we are likely talking three generational timelines. I'm likely far older than you. When I bought into lots of places, that was more viable to do with some margin of error. When you did it, the landscape was likely different. But as of today, would you and I see things the same way and have the same things if we just got out of college this year?
Not sure of the percentage, but it’s the entire FIRE movement.How many renters do you think can buy but choose not to? I'm thinking a small percentage.
Getting the down payment is damn near impossible for many/most renters.
I'm all for extreme savings, and lived that to a degree. The lack of real property ownership though is a huge risk for those people. Most people who can afford to do FIRE are doing pretty well to save a large percentage of their income to begin with. If they retire early but don't own property, they are at grave risk for environments like we are seeing today. Their savings will start being diminished at rates greater than they anticipated to merely keep a roof over their heads.Not sure of the percentage, but it’s the entire FIRE movement.
I haven't been able to watch Oliver's segment yet, but did he talk about all the blame the local governments should take? All the restrictions on building and density play a huge role in this.
IDK what they were talking about with evicting renters?
On the deduction part - I think his point (or how I took it) is we have the appetite to fund that but not low cost housing. No clue if that’s accurate but that’s how I took it and not “let’s take that away and use those funds for low cost housing”.Jayrod said:I watched the whole thing and it did tug on the heartstrings (that St. Louis lawyer needs a punch in the face).
But for many reasons, landlords don't shoulder all the blame and are not villains in a vacuum. Some landlords are horrible people, but so are some renters. As with any business relationship, there can be bad actors on either side of the agreement that make it a tenuous relationship at times. The law doesn't give landlords carte blanche to screw people over despite what the video tried to portray.
One specific thing I take issue with is his critique of the home mortgage interest deductions and implying that it could be taken away to fund affordable housing mandates. The volatility that would create in the housing market would generate some significant unintended consequences and the amount of money "generated" (their graphic showed $584B over 10 years, so $58B/year) would not be adequate to manage something like that on a national scale. I also wouldn't be surprised if the math wasn't done completely to account for people who would end up taking the standard deduction and thus not gaining the full benefit of the removal of the deduction.
But isn't that deduction incentive for people to actually buy homes?On the deduction part - I think his point (or how I took it) is we have the appetite to fund that but not low cost housing. No clue if that’s accurate but that’s how I took it and not “let’s take that away and use those funds for low cost housing”.
But isn't that deduction incentive for people to actually buy homes?
you can make the case that offestting a mortgage <> building housing developments people can afford.
But we already have houses, many of them, that people are always looking to sell. We don't really need MORE houses or condos, esp ones that are designated "Affordable" b/c I'm sorry to say, but labeling a community that usually means less than desirable conditions.
Again, I go back to saying renting shouldn't be meant as a permanent lifestyle for 98% of Americans. We should be encouraging people to buy homes, set down roots and invest in their community.
Interesting data...thx for sharing.Actually we need a lot more homes. That is the basic problem, we don't have enough homes so they are unaffordable for many people. This is especially true in the NE and California.
https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/housing-shortage-tracker
Interesting data...thx for sharing.
I'll admit I'm not a RE exert, but it just seems like we have plenty of homes on the market. The last year was an odd time where houses were getting snapped up instantly, but any other time beside that, houses locally could sit for a while w/o a buyer
Interesting data...thx for sharing.
I'll admit I'm not a RE exert, but it just seems like we have plenty of homes on the market. The last year was an odd time where houses were getting snapped up instantly, but any other time beside that, houses locally could sit for a while w/o a buyer
I think there are more than enough GG and pinkham threads on the first page to keep you interested.You would think, but every thread is about 1/6 mania, I hate Trump mania or a combination of both.
Ever thought about not posting in them? We've all heard your opinion on 1/6. Do you really need to repeat it every day? It sort of makes you look unhinged and uninformed. Maybe take a break.You would think, but every thread is about 1/6 mania, I hate Trump mania or a combination of both.