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Dr. Dan

AJ Brown - WR Titans

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Have him penciled in over diggs.  Been going back and forth on this one all week. 

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My goodness for several reasons. AJ Brown came onto the scene in week 4 @ ATL. There was a lot of chatter about who the best receivers whose last name was Brown at the time. AJ kind of fell to the back after weak weeks 5 & 6 and add Chark and Scary Terry and others into the mix. Lets face it, it's a little difficult to pull the trigger on rookies when we have seasoned players already on our bench. Hollywood got scooped up right away, others not so much. Chark latest another couple weeks before he got grabbed. I couldn't quite pull the trigger on D Chark, Jr. at the time. AJ sits on the FA all this time. 

And finally in week 14 he just got fully noticed as a monster WR.

He plays on TEN. Not a big market team. They have a solid RB in Henry and that's the only TEN player anyone wanted to own. They lost their stud TE too. Enter the D/ST soon. Mariota was eventually exposed. In comes Tannehill. Well, he takes a few weeks before - WAIT A SECOND HERE - and keeps performing at an extremely high level of efficiency and production. WOW! Now Tannehill is a player being mentioned for DFS as he maintained great value.

Now here we are in week 15 and everyone is talking about Tannehill, D Henry as the best RB in the league, and AJ Brown to some extent.

Will the hype be too much for him / this team? Shall we temper our expectations? Are we witnessing a new stud WR #1 in the making?

Tennessee is 8-5 and very much in a dog fit (whoops) for the division with the Texans, who they play this week and gives up points. Vegas has this game TEN -3 / 51. It could turn more heavily passing if Watson and company throw some points on the board. On a neutral site this is a pick em game. TEN gets home field advantage. TEN 27 - HOU 24 is the betting line. Average 3 TD's each. 

Most experts are telling us AJ Brown is around WR 20-24 in the rankings this week. He's a low end WR #2. You know, after losing Evans I'm thrilled to have grabbed him with a $2 FAAB bid and place him in the starting WR lineup. We shall see... 

 

* If I didn't land AJ it would have been looking at guys like Slayton, Perriman, Miller, Beasley, Conley, T Williams, Beasley, Ward, or J Watson. I did manage to also pick up DeDe dropping Breida for another shot at potential flex spot. Crowder was passed on by all 12 teams last Th night. Another WR that took a lil while to trust his skill set, who is awesome and very much a stud WR is D Parker.

Edited by Team Smokin'

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8 hours ago, Rig24 said:

leaning to starting him over Kupp¬†ūüė¨

 

55 minutes ago, Neo said:

Have him penciled in over diggs.  Been going back and forth on this one all week. 

ūü§Ē¬†

picking 2 from:

Diggs, Gallup, Kupp, Brown 

Its encouraging to see I'm not nuts but maddening to try and figure out which 2

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I'm thrilled with him and happy to start in flex, but would not be chasing points with I had Kupp and Diggs ready to go. You can hold your head high if one of them is meh and AJ blows up, those are top wrs, but if Kupp and Goff have one of their mindmeld games on your bench and AJ gets 3 targets it'll be a long off-season. 

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2 hours ago, Team Smokin' said:

My goodness for several reasons. AJ Brown came onto the scene in week 4 @ ATL. There was a lot of chatter about who the best receivers whose last name was Brown at the time. AJ kind of fell to the back after weak weeks 5 & 6 and add Chark and Scary Terry and others into the mix. Lets face it, it's a little difficult to pull the trigger on rookies when we have seasoned players already on our bench. Hollywood got scooped up right away, others not so much. Chark latest another couple weeks before he got grabbed. I couldn't quite pull the trigger on D Chark, Jr. at the time. AJ sits on the FA all this time. 

And finally in week 14 he just got fully noticed as a monster WR.

He plays on TEN. Not a big market team. They have a solid RB in Henry and that's the only TEN player anyone wanted to own. They lost their stud TE too. Enter the D/ST soon. Mariota was eventually exposed. In comes Tannehill. Well, he takes a few weeks before - WAIT A SECOND HERE - and keeps performing at an extremely high level of efficiency and production. WOW! Now Tannehill is a player being mentioned for DFS as he maintained great value.

Now here we are in week 15 and everyone is talking about Tannehill, D Henry as the best RB in the league, and AJ Brown to some extent.

Will the hype be too much for him / this team? Shall we temper our expectations? Are we witnessing a new stud WR #1 in the making?

Tennessee is 8-5 and very much in a dog fit (whoops) for the division with the Texans, who they play this week and gives up points. Vegas has this game TEN -3 / 51. It could turn more heavily passing if Watson and company throw some points on the board. On a neutral site this is a pick em game. TEN gets home field advantage. TEN 27 - HOU 24 is the betting line. Average 3 TD's each. 

Most experts are telling us AJ Brown is around WR 20-24 in the rankings this week. He's a low end WR #2. You know, after losing Evans I'm thrilled to have grabbed him with a $2 FAAB bid and place him in the starting WR lineup. We shall see... 

 

* If I didn't land AJ it would have been looking at guys like Slayton, Perriman, Miller, Beasley, Conley, T Williams, Beasley, Ward, or J Watson. I did manage to also pick up DeDe dropping Breida for another shot at potential flex spot. Crowder was passed on by all 12 teams last Th night. Another WR that took a lil while to trust his skill set, who is awesome and very much a stud WR is D Parker.

Slay ton may be a better play against the dolphins.

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1 hour ago, Dr. Dan said:

 

ūü§Ē

picking 2 from:

Diggs, Gallup, Kupp, Brown 

Its encouraging to see I'm not nuts but maddening to try and figure out which 2

They’re all wildly inconsistent. I’d go with the guys who got me there, Kupp and Diggs. 

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Just now, voiceofunreason said:

They’re all wildly inconsistent. I’d go with the guys who got me there, Kupp and Diggs. 

Yeah that's usually my philosophy. I dont want to chase points. thanks 

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Starting AJB over Lockett, Metcalf and John Brown. It's because of the match-up more than anything else. Vegas expects a high-scoring game, just have to hope Brown get fed.

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Starting A.J. Brown in my 2nd Flex spot over Ian Thomas and Breshad Perriman. Kept saying if Tannehill is going to be for real he has to take a WR with him, and Brown looks to be the guy.

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15 minutes ago, Twenty-Four Eighty-Four said:

I'd easily go Brown. Thielan is risky for in game injury.

Ditto. You'll be able watching games in fear of The Scroll. 

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2 hours ago, voiceofunreason said:

Slay ton may be a better play against the dolphins.

Could be, but I already start Barkley. That's enough Giants for me to handle lol. 

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Quote

A.J. Brown caught 8-of-13 targets for 114 yards and a touchdown in the Titans' Week 15 loss to the Texans.

The question for Brown has been volume, and he finally had it today, reaching a new season high in targets by five. Brown caught a 60-yard pass on the Titans' second play from scrimmage, freeing them from their own three-yard line. His touchdown was a five-yarder early in the fourth quarter. An absolute load in the open field, Brown has now posted at least 114 yards in 3-of-4 games. Even if he reverts to the 6-8 target range in Week 16, he has earned every-week WR2 treatment. The Saints are an unideal finals week matchup.

Dec 15, 2019, 5:55 PM ET

 

 

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In redraft he should be a good pick next year.  Great candidate to outproduce his draft slot.  See Metcalf, Mclauren and Chark as similar guys.

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AJ’s stock value has skyrocketed over the past few weeks.  What a gem he is turning out to be.  After Jacobs, AJ has to be the undisputed 1.02 in dynasty leagues now.

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12 hours ago, Kevrunner said:

AJ’s stock value has skyrocketed over the past few weeks.  What a gem he is turning out to be.  After Jacobs, AJ has to be the undisputed 1.02 in dynasty leagues now.

I think Metcalf would dispute it.

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2 hours ago, tangfoot said:

I think Metcalf would dispute it.

Metcalf has been extremely impressive also, way better than I thought he was going to be, but I'd take AJ Brown before him in a rookie draft if it was held today.

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1 hour ago, Kevrunner said:

Metcalf has been extremely impressive also, way better than I thought he was going to be, but I'd take AJ Brown before him in a rookie draft if it was held today.

I don't blame you.  All I was implying is that it is not "undisputed" that Brown is the 1.02.

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26 minutes ago, tangfoot said:

I don't blame you.  All I was implying is that it is not "undisputed" that Brown is the 1.02.

I agree- prior to the nfl draft it was a debate between these 2 and Harry. Metcalf looks like a hit and has stayed healthy. Harry has been out performed by other rookies and FAs and has even prompted NE to go out and desperately search for WRs. 

I would prefer Brown as well to any wr in that class

If Tannehill was on TEN in 2018 and had the kind of success he is having today, I think Brown would have been the undisputed 1.02, maybe 1.01 as Jacob's had some questionmarks. 

If a rookie re-draft were held today it would be close between him and Metcalf, probably Brown in most cases, for 1.02 

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5 hours ago, tangfoot said:

I think Metcalf would dispute it.

Actually, Brown outproduced his team mate, Metcalf, at Ole Miss.

I like Metcalf, but, put him on the Titans and Brown on the Seahawks, and you might have a different opinion.

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1 hour ago, Dr. Dan said:

I agree- prior to the nfl draft it was a debate between these 2 and Harry. Metcalf looks like a hit and has stayed healthy. Harry has been out performed by other rookies and FAs and has even prompted NE to go out and desperately search for WRs. 

I would prefer Brown as well to any wr in that class

If Tannehill was on TEN in 2018 and had the kind of success he is having today, I think Brown would have been the undisputed 1.02, maybe 1.01 as Jacob's had some questionmarks. 

If a rookie re-draft were held today it would be close between him and Metcalf, probably Brown in most cases, for 1.02 

To be fair, New England is not a rookie friendly landing spot for a WR.

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Just now, DropKick said:

To be fair, New England is not a rookie friendly landing spot for a WR.

TEN was worse 6 months ago

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1 minute ago, Dr. Dan said:

TEN was worse 6 months ago

Not so sure about that...  Many WRs, including polished veterans, have struggled with the Pats offense and getting on the same page with Brady.

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Just now, DropKick said:

Not so sure about that...  Many WRs, including polished veterans, have struggled with the Pats offense and getting on the same page with Brady.

maybe. I'm pretty certain dynasty guys were salivating over Harry going to NE whereas Brown was pretty much sent to purgatory. 

Harry was a common 1.02, whereas Brown was a late 1st/early 2nd round pick after being considered a potential 1.01 or 1.02

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47 minutes ago, Dr. Dan said:

maybe. I'm pretty certain dynasty guys were salivating over Harry going to NE whereas Brown was pretty much sent to purgatory. 

Harry was a common 1.02, whereas Brown was a late 1st/early 2nd round pick after being considered a potential 1.01 or 1.02

I had them Brown, Harry, Metcalf...  if I recall, Metcalf had a surgical procedure late summer and there was some concern about his agility metrics and that he could be one trick pony.  I have been pleasantly surprised by Metcalf and am still optimistic about Harry - although he'll have endure the Brady replacement.  Who knows how that will go?

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12 minutes ago, DropKick said:

I had them Brown, Harry, Metcalf...  if I recall, Metcalf had a surgical procedure late summer and there was some concern about his agility metrics and that he could be one trick pony.  I have been pleasantly surprised by Metcalf and am still optimistic about Harry - although he'll have endure the Brady replacement.  Who knows how that will go?

Harry's destination was a questionable one long term. I had the same ranking of those 3, however I had Metcalf lower and 3. I wanted to like him but just screamed David Boston gym rat and had some questionable injuries. He has proven me wrong so far as well. 

Brown is looking like a home run in this class so far. stoked to have him

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6 minutes ago, JohnnyU said:

I hate say I t.........

I'll give credit where credit is due, but I dont see a post in here after he was drafted to TEN saying to keep him ranked high. If your faith didnt falter at all after he was drafted, bravo. 

 

I certainly learned a valuable lesson regarding talent/scenario with him, and I'm happy I own him where I do. 

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He got his short game and intermediate game working, had a couple nice blocks where he had to run toward the ball and get involved, that was a real big game for him. Very special to see improvement each week.

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I was extremely down on Harry during my rookie drafts held in May. In one league in particular I held the 1.04 (and 1.05) and was kind of pissed that I missed out on Montgomery who I really wanted. I couldn't find a deal to save my life to move one of my two picks back. So I snagged Harry (plugged my nose) and Metcalf (who I wasn't walking away without). Later the 1.10 took AJ Brown who he didn't like and started offering him around. So I gave him Harry for AJ Brown and the 2.02, where I ended up taking Singletary. My favorite deal of the year it turns out. 

I started Brown this week over Crowder and Metcalf and am in the finals. 

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I could have traded TY for him but didn’t push hard enough and then TY gets injured during discussions. :wall:

 

At least I have him keepable for a 15th in 3-man keeper league where cost goes up two rounds each season that kept. I offered him around to teams that were out of it near the deadline for a guy to help me win this season, but no takers.

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This guy is everything that they expected Corey Davis to be, even when you take into account the Mariota factor.

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12 hours ago, Dr. Dan said:

I'll give credit where credit is due, but I dont see a post in here after he was drafted to TEN saying to keep him ranked high. If your faith didnt falter at all after he was drafted, bravo. 

 

I certainly learned a valuable lesson regarding talent/scenario with him, and I'm happy I own him where I do. 

 

On 5/7/2019 at 3:40 PM, Cobbler1 said:

I can affirm that the Corey Davis excuse making is real and so easy to do for me. He was hurt most of his rookie year and had like 25% of his targets from Blaine Gabbert last year. And probably other 25% or so from a gimpy Mariota. And he still had ~900 yards. Very easy to justify that we haven’t had the chance to to witness anything but flashes of his true ability his first couple years. 

 

Brown was my #2 wr predraft and I think I’m keeping him there despite still liking Corey Davis and the Titans passing game being underwhelming to say the least. Betting on talent finding its level here.

Ignore all that Corey Davis chatter. I was ecstatic to get AJB at 8 in one league after keeping him ranked high despite landing spot. He’ll be starting for me this week in my championship. Although I did pass on him twice in another league to acquire 2020 firsts. Your overall point still stands though, he was dropped several spots by most people after landing in Tenn. Good to get one right for once.

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6 hours ago, Cobbler1 said:

 

Ignore all that Corey Davis chatter. I was ecstatic to get AJB at 8 in one league after keeping him ranked high despite landing spot. He’ll be starting for me this week in my championship. Although I did pass on him twice in another league to acquire 2020 firsts. Your overall point still stands though, he was dropped several spots by most people after landing in Tenn. Good to get one right for once.

I had AJB say wr1 predraft and my wr3 or 4 post draft- I'll have to dig up my rankings. 

for the most part he was drafted hoping TEN found a qb

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23 hours ago, starks said:

Lattimore is worrisome 

 

13 hours ago, barackdhouse said:

Not loving the matchup this week. Saints defense has shut a lot of teams down. I don't think I can bench him though.

 

11 hours ago, voiceofunreason said:

Would he shadow him in the slot? 

It's got me hedging a start or not. Saints D riding high right now. AJ Brown is a monster stud WR and is performing like the #1 rookie WR on a TEN team. Tough call - to start, or not to start. I guess it depends upon ones options. I'm seeing AJ Brown in the ranks of a WR 3/even 4 this week. For my teams he's in the conservation with Metcalf, Miller, Lockett, Woods, Sutton, and even Edelman.

One would also have to think that if Lattimore covers him he too will be up for the rookie challenge licking his chops.

At this stage in the season riding momentum and solid play prevails for me. I just don't see how I can sit this guy. He's now a target and Tannehill is playing well and very accurate.

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4 hours ago, Team Smokin' said:

 

 

It's got me hedging a start or not. Saints D riding high right now. AJ Brown is a monster stud WR and is performing like the #1 rookie WR on a TEN team. Tough call - to start, or not to start. I guess it depends upon ones options. I'm seeing AJ Brown in the ranks of a WR 3/even 4 this week. For my teams he's in the conservation with Metcalf, Miller, Lockett, Woods, Sutton, and even Edelman.

One would also have to think that if Lattimore covers him he too will be up for the rookie challenge licking his chops.

At this stage in the season riding momentum and solid play prevails for me. I just don't see how I can sit this guy. He's now a target and Tannehill is playing well and very accurate.

After last two weeks I think you can only bench him for wr1 material. He'd be above all the guys you mentioned and indeed I am playing him over Miller. 

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