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Government Response To The Coronavirus (11 Viewers)

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I don't think it's a bad idea to lock down right now based on the worst case scenario. But we should also be doing research to see whether the worst case scenario come to fruition. A model done by Oxford suggests a lot of people have already had the virus, which challenges a lot of assumptions going into this worst case scenario. Mainly that would mean a much smaller percentage of people who get covid19 will go to the hospital or die from the virus. Are these 1000's of phds doing research to get a more accurate picture, or are they just making recommendation going with the current conventional wisdom?

My only point is everybody blasting Trump may end up eating crow because it's possible cov19 isn't as bad as originally predicted. 
Pretty sure that model you are referring to was/is determined to be bunk because what it implies isn't representational of what we are actually seeing. It is wishful thinking.

 
Pretty sure that model you are referring to was/is determined to be bunk because what it implies isn't representational of what we are actually seeing. It is wishful thinking.
It has not been bunked because we can not possibly know how many people have already had covid19. 

 
I don't think it's a bad idea to lock down right now based on the worst case scenario. But we should also be doing research to see whether the worst case scenario come to fruition. A model done by Oxford suggests a lot of people have already had the virus, which challenges a lot of assumptions going into this worst case scenario. Mainly that would mean a much smaller percentage of people who get covid19 will go to the hospital or die from the virus. Are these 1000's of phds doing research to get a more accurate picture, or are they just making recommendation going with the current conventional wisdom?

My only point is everybody blasting Trump may end up eating crow because it's possible cov19 isn't as bad as originally predicted. 
The whole point of the lockdown is so the worst-case scenario doesn't happen. If everyone abides by the social distancing and shelter-in-place measures and in the end nothing bad really happens, well that's the point.

 
The bolded is just flat out wrong so please stop.  This isn't about other people...its about not believing Trump because of his own history of lies.  It ends there...its not excusing anyone else or being ok with others lying...there was zero need to bring others up other than to deflect...please stop doing that.  Multiple people are responding to you with the same sentiment.  I don't believe it leads to very honest discussion doing what you are either.
Seriously, we have a current president in charge. Instead of blaming others, how about demanding more leadership from him and less blaming others previous or future?

 
It has not been bunked because we can not possibly know how many people have already had covid19. 
Yes, it has.

Look - let's assume the study is correct and COVID19 is ubiquitous and everywhere. Then you wouldn't see flareups or clusters that we are experiencing because it is already everywhere. Everyone should be burning at the same rate - but we are not seeing that. Also, if the virus behaved that way then places like China, S. Korea, and Singapore wouldn't have luck containing the virus through social distancing, quarantining, and testing because it would already have infected such a large portion of their population before it was noticeable. Similarly, the testing and quarantining in Vo, Italy (the first city in Italy to experience a confirmed COVID19 death) would have revealed far more than 3% infection and we would've seen it reemerge if there were really a boatload of false negatives. What that study implies is nothing close to what we are actually experiencing if it were true.

 
My only point is everybody blasting Trump may end up eating crow because it's possible cov19 isn't as bad as originally predicted. 
I'm not sure who's predictions you are talking about, but at the beginning of this whole thing, most were in agreement that we wouldn't hit China levels as long as we acted quickly.  I remember because I chuckled while thinking "fat chance".  So, we're well beyond original predictions already.  :mellow:  

 
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

On the one hand, Trump's approval rating is as high as its ever been. On the other, he's seen less of a boost than other world leaders and even less than Congress (per Fox News poll).
Some evidence for Trump's improved polling being a muted "rally around the flag" reaction.

 
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Yes, it has.

Look - let's assume the study is correct and COVID19 is ubiquitous and everywhere. Then you wouldn't see flareups or clusters that we are experiencing because it is already everywhere. Everyone should be burning at the same rate - but we are not seeing that. Also, if the virus behaved that way then places like China, S. Korea, and Singapore wouldn't have luck containing the virus through social distancing, quarantining, and testing because it would already have infected such a large portion of their population before it was noticeable. Similarly, the testing and quarantining in Vo, Italy (the first city in Italy to experience a confirmed COVID19 death) would have revealed far more than 3% infection and we would've seen it reemerge if there were really a boatload of false negatives. What that study implies is nothing close to what we are actually experiencing if it were true.
I don't think many people believe in the extreme version of the Oxford model that 50% of people already have it, but it challenges some of the assumptions in the Imperial model, which is also flawed in the other direction. If a small town of 3,000 in Italy, not close to urban life, has 3% on Feb 21st, I think it's safe to say this number is a lot higher in Milan and Barcelona. The diamand cruise ship confirms how fast it spreads, by the time the virus gets to the small towns it's already extremely prevalent in the cities where it transmits even faster.

One thing is for certain, fact that 50% of people carrying covid19 have no symptoms alone reduces the danger of the virus in the Imperial model. Ferguson already admited many more people have it than he originally thought, though he later backtracked defending his model's validity. 

 
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Meanwhile Peter Navarro, apparently oblivious to the existing crisis and obsessed with continuing the trade war against China, is pushing Trump to issue an executive order that would restrict new purchase of PPE to American manufacturers. 

 
The bolded is just flat out wrong so please stop.  This isn't about other people...its about not believing Trump because of his own history of lies.  It ends there...its not excusing anyone else or being ok with others lying...there was zero need to bring others up other than to deflect...please stop doing that.  Multiple people are responding to you with the same sentiment.  I don't believe it leads to very honest discussion doing what you are either.
Sound like you just want to write off one person lying being ok and the other not.  You can say anything you want but treating one persons lying different than another is biased. Keep those shades on.  I'll drop it now and not respond to you on this topic any more.

 
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This was on the Wiki site for 2020 Coronavirus Pandemic in the United States:

Public response

Opinion polling showed a significant partisan divide regarding the outbreak.[332] NPR, PBS NewsHour and Marist found in their mid-March survey that 76% of Democrats viewed COVID-19 as "a real threat", while only 40% of Republicans agreed; the previous month's figures for Democrats and Republicans were 70% and 72% respectively.[333] A mid-March poll conducted by NBC News and The Wall Street Journal found that 60% of Democrats were concerned someone in their family might contract the virus, while 40% of Republicans expressed concern. Nearly 80% of Democrats believed the worst was yet to come, whereas 40% of Republicans thought so. About 56% of Democrats believed their lives would change in a major way due to the outbreak, compared to 26% for Republicans.[334] A mid-March poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation found that 83% of Democrats had taken certain precautions against the virus, compared to 53% of Republicans. The poll found that President Trump was the least-trusted source of information about the outbreak, at 46% overall, although 88% of Republicans expressed trust in the president, second only to their trust in the CDC.[335] A March 22 poll conducted by Gallup shows that 60% of Americans polled approved Trump's handling of the situation. The poll also found that his approval rating had increased by 5 points to 49%.[336][337]

The outbreak has prompted calls for the United States to adopt social policies common in other wealthy countries, including universal health care, universal child care, paid family leave, and higher levels of funding for public health.[338] Political analysts anticipated it may negatively affect Donald Trump's chances of re-election in the 2020 presidential election.

Source: Wiki

 
Remember when Trump was bragging about a deal with GM to manufacture ventilators? It’s been canceled: 

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/03/26/us/politics/coronavirus-ventilators-trump.amp.html

And now Trump claims the demand for ventilators is “overblown.” 
Based on that article they are wanting to charge 18,000 per ventilator. That seems high to me.  Does anyone know what the average price for these should be?  If they are significantly higher than the past average price then the Task Force should give the number they need and pay a normal price and be done with it. 

 
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Based on that article they are wanting to charge 18,000 per ventilator. That seems high to me.  Does anyone know what the average price for these should be?  If they are significantly higher than the past average price then the Task Force should give the number they need and pay a normal price and be done with it. 
I have no idea, but 18,000 seems a little low for a premium/ICU ventilator. So I'm going with $18,001, Bob.

 
There is quite a bit of projection in your posts. Is there a reason why you feel the need to interpret and re-state what others are saying?
Is there an issue with explaining how I see the comments they are making and looking for clarification in what we are discussing?

Would it be better if I said "Trump is a stupid lying idiot"? Would you have questioned my motive then?

Would it be better if i said "Biden is a stupid lying idiot"? Would someone else have questioned my motive then?

What is your actual motivation for collecting that and posting?

 
I have no idea, but 18,000 seems a little low for a premium/ICU ventilator. So I'm going with $18,001, Bob.
It would be interesting to actually see the cost but at this point if he feels they are overpricing he should invoke the DPA.

 
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Based on that article they are wanting to charge 18,000 per ventilator. That seems high to me.  Does anyone know what the average price for these should be?  If they are significantly higher than the past average price then the Task Force should give the number they need and pay a normal price and be done with it. 
I don't buy a lot of ventilators these days, especially from car manufacturers who repurposed their equipment to make them, but after spending a couple trillion, i figure a machine that will save multiple lives as each ventilator certainly will is worth a few bucks.  

I suppose you're right, though, that it's not fair for private businesses to charge more just because we need it.  When people's lives are at stake, the government should prioritize health care over profits and ask ther federal government to enact a socialist policy. 

Of course Republicans have been arguing against that for decades but it's different now because it might affect them.  

 
Based on that article they are wanting to charge 18,000 per ventilator. That seems high to me.  Does anyone know what the average price for these should be?  If they are significantly higher than the past average price then the Task Force should give the number they need and pay a normal price and be done with it. 
Most likely the cost involves retooling. 

But this whole conversation is absurd. As in World War II, we should order the plants to make them at the prices we set. 

 
Based on that article they are wanting to charge 18,000 per ventilator. That seems high to me.  Does anyone know what the average price for these should be?  If they are significantly higher than the past average price then the Task Force should give the number they need and pay a normal price and be done with it. 
No clue but remember the factory also has to be converted so I’m sure that makes it more expensive than for a company already making ventilators. Also we are dumping $6 trillion into the economy, are we really going to quibble over maybe $50 Or $100 million that will help a large publicly traded company make some money, provide work for Americans and get emergency health equipment out to the hospitals? The big issue imo is making sure they are going to be ready when we need them and not after it’s too late.

 
It’s about ####### time. Though it sounds like he’s using it only for GM. Let’s see. 
He's been pretty clear that he's only using "force" as necessary (3 or 4 times so far, I think). He's said most companies are happy and willing to help, so why "bully" them with it when you don't have to? That seemed like it was going to be the case with GM, but something obviously fell through there... so he used it.

I can't help but chuckle at the people in here that think, even in time of crisis, you can just snap a finger and make a shuttered car plant pump out ventilators. They've surely been prepping themselves for production while these discussions have gone on.

And before anyone replies, I know I know... if Trump had acted like a dictator in January he'd have a bunch of ventilators now. And you probably would've critiqued that as overstepping his bounds then and called for impeachment. I get the playbook, guys. You're not being as nuanced with all this as you think. 

 
After Trump bashed Michigan’s “woman Governor” on Hannity and Twitter yesterday, Gov Whitmer says the medical supply providers she been in contact with are saying they have been instructed not to send supplies to Michigan.

 
After Trump bashed Michigan’s “woman Governor” on Hannity and Twitter yesterday, Gov Whitmer says the medical supply providers she been in contact with are saying they have been instructed not to send supplies to Michigan.
Link to the evidence this is true?

 
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