This is from Feb 8th, almost 1 month ago. Considering Powell and Harris don't have much value on their own, you were advocating the 1.10 side in this deal. Miller's ADP in startups was not in the 4th round like it is right now at the time, so his value has clearly gone up.
I'm very fine being wrong about a particular trade. I'm wrong all of the time. That wasn't what I asked. And the example of Miller going in the 4th came during our initial conversation, so don't take credit for it now. And it still isn't in the 4th round range. You're taking an article that has been done before, and pointing it as your endgame. Quite a reach. You're moving the goalposts up. Your entire argument was based on him starting - he hasn't been named the starter. I certainly underestimated the reaction time of the hobby - it took a while for word to spread; I thought his 1.06 value was his peak, prior to camp, and was wrong about that. I thought those dictating his value were doing so with the speculative information out, which hasn't changed.
Again, just based on the situation, Miller had the most likelihood to see a significant jump in value and subsequently has without much happening. You could sell Miller for a top 3 rookie pick now pretty easily, I'd suspect.
The team relying on a 3rd string back with 51 career carries to start is an example of "much happening."
You tried to lump Miller in with the rest of those scrubs like Pead and Powell when it's simply not the same.
How is it not the same? We are not talking about his value, or talent, at the moment. We are talking about his status as "the perfect buy". Powell and Pead are in similar situations. They are 2nd and 4th round picks on teams with no clear starter. Ring a bell?
And, if Powell were named the starting RB for the NYJ today, no one is paying a top 3 rookie pick for him. Same goes for the other comparisons you tried to make.
If Pead is named the starter his ADP would be right next to Miller's. He was drafted higher and is going to starter for a better team, with a coach who would love to ride a bell-cow. But, again, I never claimed Powell was, or ever would be as valuable as Miller. That wasn't the conversation we were having.
The window to buy Miller and sell for profit is long gone. The funny thing is, it wasn't that long ago and not much has happened. He was the perfect speculative buy.
Every move that works out was perfect in hindsight - a gambler's folly. And if your goal to turn a 1.06 to 1.03 profit, well done. I haven't looked at the ADP data, but I think such a jump is reasonable.