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2015 DFS Baseball Thread (1 Viewer)

Peyton Marino said:
what's with the all skill shtick? did you drop a bunch of money last season and this is you being bitter?
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No, I played maybe $20 worth of this last season before I realized that it was controlled by the guys that played online poker for a living, investing bankrolls into 100s of different lineup combinations in the same contest to stay try to stay +EV by hitting all the favorable matchups. Because of this, the chances of one of us jokers putting in one lineup a day actually spiking a major prize are like winning the lotto.

Don't get me wrong, I enjoy it... But no matter whether I win or lose, this is 100% educated guessing at a tiny sample size and gambling on the outcome at the single entry price point.

I'll be bitter when these #######s get full-season fantasy sports outlawed when some kook in Congress tries to pass a bill banning all fantasy sports because some bozo in his district went and held up a bank because he lost all his money on a FanDuel daily game. That's when RnR gets angry.

 
All that being said, I've entered teams in the Afternoon and Evening contests today! Hot streak! All skill.

 
Stack the Stros today. 2 runs, 7 hits in 2 games. Those bats are exploding today. They're putting up a 6-spot vs Bauer.

8.5 run total so im not alone in that thinking. This game has the makings of a 9-7 affair.

 
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Realized I clicked on a lot of triple ups and 10x boosters and not many 50/50s. Going to blame that at least partially for my bad night. Yeah, that's it.

 
Matt Harvey feels like a must-buy at 8800 against crippledNATS.

I like Graveman vs. Nick Martinez to sneak a win on the cheap too.

Also, Danks apparently owns KC if you're feeling lucky.

Alcides Escobar SS KC 10 0 0 0 0 1 4 .000 .091 .000 .091
Alex Gordon OF KC 26 4 1 0 0 3 3 .154 .267 .192 .459
Kendrys Morales 1B KC 12 2 2 0 1 0 1 .167 .167 .333 .500
Mike Moustakas 3B KC 11 1 1 0 0 1 1 .091 .167 .182 .348
Alex Rios OF KC 11 2 1 0 0 0 3 .182 .182 .273 .45

 
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Oh boy, im stacking the Stros for sure on FD:

Chris Carter - 3200 :eek:

Valbuena - 2700

Castro - 2600

I'm tempted even to throw Springer in (4000)

 
P -Ian Kennedy - 8300

C - Jason Castro - 2600

1B- Moss - 3800

2B - Dozier - 3400

SS - Santana - 3200

3B - Valbuena - 2700

OF - Springer - 4000

OF - Carter - 3200

OF - Hamilton - 3700

Probably a better tournament play then cash game. This team will be terrific or absolutely brutal.

 
Likely going to remove Twins players...the weather in Detroit today looks horrific. Rain/T-Storms all day long, this one might not get in...

 
with you on Harvey, TRE.

don't really get Gildz's reasoning on the Stros. yea, the total is high, but did you say they're going to score a lot today because they didn't score much in the previous 2 games, or did I read that wrong.

edit: also, the total is 8, not 8.5.

 
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Only won 1 of 4 last night. FIRST LOSING NIGHT ALL YEAR!!!!!!!

Agreeing with Tre & Gildz, going with Harvey & Astros today, I think.

 
Peyton Marino said:
with you on Harvey, TRE.

don't really get Gildz's reasoning on the Stros. yea, the total is high, but did you say they're going to score a lot today because they didn't score much in the previous 2 games, or did I read that wrong.

edit: also, the total is 8, not 8.5.
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No you read that right. After Kluber/Carrasco, the ball will look watermelon-esque coming out of Bauer's hand today.

New early lineup, sans MINN/DET players:

P -Harvey- 8800

C - Jason Castro - 2600

1B- Moss - 3800

2B - Kipnis- 3700

SS - Escobar- 3000

3B - Valbuena - 2700

OF - Springer - 4000

OF - Carter - 3200

OF - Eaton- 3000

I like.

 
In Detroit: There's an 85 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms at 2 p.m. today. The gloomy skies aren't expected to clear up until midnight.

It's a perfect day for a baseball game. Minus the damp conditions, gloomy skies and rain-threatening forecast. Just perfect! #sarcasm

Similar to the weather conditions at Comerica Park on Wednesday, there's a chance today's game could be delayed due at some point due to impending rain.

The forecast calls for heavy rain and thunderstorms to arrive at 1:45 p.m. and it's expected to last until midnight. Unless the Tigers are able to squeeze in five innings in less than an hour, I suspect today's game will be postponed.

As I alluded to Wednesday, if the game is postponed, a makeup game could be scheduled May 11 -- a mutual off day for both teams. The Twins are scheduled to return to Detroit for a three-game series May 12-14.

 
This rain stuff sucks. My lineup is almost completely different, lol. Thanks a lot, Obama.

 
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Switched it up, Going Graveman over Harvey, Gravemen at 5k is comical. He'll be in everyones tourney lineup im sure...

P -Gravemen- 5000

C - Gattis - 3400

1B- Moss - 3800

2B - Kipnis- 3700

SS - Escobar- 3000

3B - Frazier - 3700

OF - Mccutchen - 5000

OF - Springer - 4000

OF - Carter - 3200

 
I think I'm going to go with a Pirates & Astros stack. Looks like the rain isn't supposed to hit Cincy until 330 eastern or so.

 
Does anyone know if the "beginner" leagues on DK are actually filled with beginners? Apparently I still have beginner status. Wondering if they're just filled with sharks who create multiple accounts.

 
Screw it, I don't like anything today.

P: S Strasburg, C: T Sanchez, 1B: A LaRoche, 2B: N Walker, 3B: L Valbuena, SS: J Lowrie, OF: G Springer, OF: B Hamilton, OF: D Murphy

ETA Tournament lineup: Graveman, Perez, LaRoche, Altuve, Frazier, Escobar, Springer, McCutchen, Polanco

 
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Riding the Graveman 5k as well.

I like Escobar KC at 3k

Spending my money on VMart, votto, mccutchen, kipnis, Hanley

 
Weather be damned.

DK (Early only) lineup:

P- M. Harvey

P- K. Graveman

C- C. Santana

1B - M. Cabrera

2B - I. Kinsler

3B - T. Frazier

SS - J. Ramirez

OF - A. McCutchen

OF - S. Marte

OF - Y. Cespedes

 
As much as I used to be FanDuel homer, I have to admit that the 2 SP aspect of DK is fun.

 
I'm just watching DFS from afar right now, but I'd think most are playing Graveman today so I'd be looking for a lineup that doesn't include him. Yeah, Texas is a train wreck, which is why he's such a popular play, but what's Graveman? A low K guy that doesn't even have 50 career IP above A ball.

 
MAC_32 said:
I'm just watching DFS from afar right now, but I'd think most are playing Graveman today so I'd be looking for a lineup that doesn't include him. Yeah, Texas is a train wreck, which is why he's such a popular play, but what's Graveman? A low K guy that doesn't even have 50 career IP above A ball.
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Its more about his price then his performance. He goes even 5 IP, and manages to get the W, he's well worth 5k (FD). Allows you the flexibility to go with a monster lineup. At least for tournament play, he's almost a lock start.

Cash games, I'd stay away.

 
MAC_32 said:
I'm just watching DFS from afar right now, but I'd think most are playing Graveman today so I'd be looking for a lineup that doesn't include him. Yeah, Texas is a train wreck, which is why he's such a popular play, but what's Graveman? A low K guy that doesn't even have 50 career IP above A ball.
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The savings you get from his salary make a significant difference on the rest of your lineup. For that price, I'd take my chances with any Oakland pitcher making a home start in that park against any team.

 
Da Gildz said:
MAC_32 said:
I'm just watching DFS from afar right now, but I'd think most are playing Graveman today so I'd be looking for a lineup that doesn't include him. Yeah, Texas is a train wreck, which is why he's such a popular play, but what's Graveman? A low K guy that doesn't even have 50 career IP above A ball.
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Its more about his price then his performance. He goes even 5 IP, and manages to get the W, he's well worth 5k (FD). Allows you the flexibility to go with a monster lineup. At least for tournament play, he's almost a lock start.

Cash games, I'd stay away.
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Cash/Tournament strategy in DFS differs greatly. Any kind of 50/50, HU, 3-man leagues, you should be paying for pitching. Over the long haul, you should be (+) over your competition. These tournaments however, u need to take chances on the high-risk/cheap SP's. You hit on that random garbage option, while also hitting on the Trouts/Stanton/Miggy's of the world, well, you're in business.

And RnR you actually said something I agreed with before. Shocking, I know. But these sharks just have more bullets in their proverbial chambers. So they're entering a ton of lineups/tourney, varying on the buy in of course. But they're able to diversify that risk and thus, cash more, and win more then your average joe.

 
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Notorious T.R.E. said:
Graveman's A's are also the biggest favorite today.
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That's why he's such a popular play. If he misses then the guys not playing Graveman ideally should be at an advantage.

I don't think he's a bad play for the reasons why so many are invested in him, but given how many are playing him this may be a good zig while others zag opportunity. Even if he does well it isn't all that likely he does so great that he eliminates the non Graveman teams from contention.

 
MAC_32 said:
Notorious T.R.E. said:
Graveman's A's are also the biggest favorite today.
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That's why he's such a popular play. If he misses then the guys not playing Graveman ideally should be at an advantage.

I don't think he's a bad play for the reasons why so many are invested in him, but given how many are playing him this may be a good zig while others zag opportunity. Even if he does well it isn't all that likely he does so great that he eliminates the non Graveman teams from contention.
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Who is your bullet for the day? One of the Strasburg/Harvey matchup?

 
MAC_32 said:
Notorious T.R.E. said:
Graveman's A's are also the biggest favorite today.
Click to expand...
That's why he's such a popular play. If he misses then the guys not playing Graveman ideally should be at an advantage.

I don't think he's a bad play for the reasons why so many are invested in him, but given how many are playing him this may be a good zig while others zag opportunity. Even if he does well it isn't all that likely he does so great that he eliminates the non Graveman teams from contention.
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Obviously that goes both ways. You're behind if you pick a pitcher and he doesn't perform.

 
MAC_32 said:
Notorious T.R.E. said:
Graveman's A's are also the biggest favorite today.
Click to expand...
That's why he's such a popular play. If he misses then the guys not playing Graveman ideally should be at an advantage.

I don't think he's a bad play for the reasons why so many are invested in him, but given how many are playing him this may be a good zig while others zag opportunity. Even if he does well it isn't all that likely he does so great that he eliminates the non Graveman teams from contention.
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Well no, he's popular because he's dirt cheap. If he were 7k+, he'd probably be in very few lineups today.

 
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