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2017 Survivor Thread (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter ldizzle
- Start date
Stompin' Tom Connors
Footballguy
Not an expert in Survivor, as this is only one of the handful of times I’ve ever played it, but this seems like solid strategy.
I was thinking of picking ATL or WAS because of this reasoning and saving DEN for later in the season. However, I'm reminded of how much things can change quickly in the NFL like NYG losing their top 4 WRs in a week. I'll go with the sure fire DEF coming off a bye playing at home at mile high. I'll let someone else risk those other games.
Interseptopus
Footballguy
If I had DEN I'd take them. Used them earlier, so I'm taking HOU...
Interseptopus
Footballguy
now I'm between Washington and Houston... I like Washington a lot and Houston has a couple of games I'd rather pick them for. plus without Watt I hate betting on Houston... until I see them a little more. Cleveland is better without Kizer. probably Washington for me
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Out I shall go with the Broncos it looks like. But again why I don't play these for money. Congrats to those smart enough to stick to the "go against the Browns" plan
-QG
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Down to 46 out of 997 to start with
This week looks tough. Only real home team option for me is the Bills but I have a hard time trusting that offense. Maybe Vikings?
Titans Saints or Panthers if I want to gran a road team. Dallas too but I don't trust them. I think i'll see how Titans look tonight then probably decide between them, bills and Vikings
This week looks tough. Only real home team option for me is the Bills but I have a hard time trusting that offense. Maybe Vikings?
Titans Saints or Panthers if I want to gran a road team. Dallas too but I don't trust them. I think i'll see how Titans look tonight then probably decide between them, bills and Vikings
Tough week - only options I see Minn , Tenn , Dallas. If this drags on towards end of the year which I doubt it will Tenn has some nice match ups at end of year. So I am "saving " them. Not really saving just using that as tie breaker with other choices.
So Minn home vs Balt or Dall on road vs San Fran. Both worry
So Minn home vs Balt or Dall on road vs San Fran. Both worry
Interseptopus
Footballguy
Denver is hard to figure out this year. Sorry to those who went with them. Seemed like a lot of better options IMO. Survived somehow with Washington myself.
Considering picking against the 49ers again with Dallas after a bye, but they have no Zeke so that is a wild card to me. Hard to see Dallas losing to SF though...
Tennessee is another one I may roll with. Cleveland is just ridiculous at the QB position and they may not win a game this year. I can't believe I said they were better this season... same old Browns I guess; I got sucked into the same thing they've been feeding their fan base for the last decade!
Down to 4 guys in my small pool. 2 have used NE, so I'm glad to have them in my back pocket as long as I can make it through this week
Considering picking against the 49ers again with Dallas after a bye, but they have no Zeke so that is a wild card to me. Hard to see Dallas losing to SF though...
Tennessee is another one I may roll with. Cleveland is just ridiculous at the QB position and they may not win a game this year. I can't believe I said they were better this season... same old Browns I guess; I got sucked into the same thing they've been feeding their fan base for the last decade!
Down to 4 guys in my small pool. 2 have used NE, so I'm glad to have them in my back pocket as long as I can make it through this week
Interseptopus
Footballguy
Who do you like that TEN plays better than this week vs CLE?!
BAL
CIN
@PIT
@IND (with a healthy Luck)
HOU
@ARI
@ SF
LAR
JAX
Maybe @ SF is a decent match up... if you see your league making it to week 15. The rest of those are awful IMO
According to Survivorgrid.com TEN has a 1 star rating rest of season.
Stompin' Tom Connors
Footballguy
Church of Iggy Pop
Footballguy
Oof!
Epic flop by Denver. I still feel like my "process" was good. Don't know how I would've predicted they would come out so flat at home in prime time. Reminded me of some Bruce Coslet coached teams, but I digress...I'll still be here in the thread, because my $$ pool picks all season, no elimination.
Looking ahead to week 7, will someone please talk me out of picking Miami hosting the Jets? The Dolphins are widely considered to be terrible, yet they beat the Falcons, and are running the ball well. Other teams I am considering are Bills vs Bucs, Vikings vs Ravens, or Chiefs at Raiders .
Interseptopus
Footballguy
You wouldn't' consider the top 2 picks of the week? TEN @ CLE or DAL @ SF?Church of Iggy Pop said:Oof!
I'll still be here in the thread, because my $$ pool picks all season, no elimination.
Looking ahead to week 7, will someone please talk me out of picking Miami hosting the Jets? The Dolphins are widely considered to be terrible, yet they beat the Falcons, and are running the ball well. Other teams I am considering are Bills vs Bucs, Vikings vs Ravens, or Chiefs at Raiders .
Both away games...
Dallas coming off of a bye, needs a win, now has Zeke. SF is win-less, but one of the better win-less teams out there if that is a thing. I think it'd be hard for DAL to lose to SF... seems like a no brainer, which scares me
CLE as well... win-less and pretty stout vs the run- meanwhile for TEN Murray may not play and Mariota is a little banged up. Lots ot like about this game as well. TEN is pretty much useless ROS. In Yahoo this is the most picked game of the week, which scares me.
Right now I am with Dallas but I really want to pickTEN
I wouldn't' touch Bills vs Bucs or Vikings vs Ravens. I'm actually not exactly sure who you are considering taking in either of those games... the Bills aren't awful and have a favorable patchup vs TB. I already took Buffalo week 1, and I wouldn't' bet against the Bills at this point when I can bet against the Browns or 49ers... Plus the line of this game is Even.
Vikings Ravens is hard to figure out too IMO. Diggs might be out again, no Bradford. Just too many variables. Chiefs vs Raiders... another tough one.
I am just surprised you didn't mention DAL or TEN at all as they are the two most popular picks
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DocHolliday
Footballguy
Thanks to Denver, I am out. I would have made that pick 99 times out of 100. Obviously, picking against Cleveland was the better decision and is where I would go this week.
I like the Chiefs this week. They are a much better team than the Raiders and the Chiefs are not going to lose 2 in a row. The chiefs should win by 14.
Interseptopus
Footballguy
I am not sure I would have taken Denver last week ,just with many other options out there. Denver did screw me over against BUF. At the time, in this thread, I believe I said there was no way they could beat one of the best teams in the league and then turn around and lose to BUF. So I understand your frustration with DEN. I echo that. Lucky for me double elimination in my league.
Looking out for the next several weeks I'd have this scenario if I took TEN or DAL this week:
Week 7: TEN @ CLE or DAL @ SF
Week 8: ATL @ NYJ
Week 9: HOU vs IND
Week 10: PIT @ IND or DET vs CLE
Week 11: Maybe JAX @ CLE? Probably more likely KC @ NYG or NE vs OAK - it'd be nice to save KC as weeks 11-16 are all favorable
Week 12: NE vs MIA
Having NE in my back pocket for week 11 or 12 is huge as 2/4 teams in my league have used them already. KC is another ace in the hole I'd like to save, so I won't consider them this week, although some in my league may. I don't see much variation in my league with the above picks until week 10 or 11. So we may all be picking the same teams for a while.
massraider
Footballguy
I was thinking MIA vs Jets, revenge game and all that.
I cannot take DAL, so that's out. Hoping for an upset.
Going BUF at home vs. TB, 2nd road game for TB, Winston with banged up shoulder. Go BILLS!
I cannot take DAL, so that's out. Hoping for an upset.
Going BUF at home vs. TB, 2nd road game for TB, Winston with banged up shoulder. Go BILLS!
Interseptopus
Footballguy
guess it's Dallas for me. just don't feel good about the titans... I think they took me out last year actually. if Dallas loses to SF after a bye they should just give up.
DangerMonkey
Footballguy
massraider
Footballguy
Feels like most held serve.
I think AZ is a team to follow around now. Without Palmer, I could see the team just folding. They had to know this was maybe the last run with this coach, QB, and Fitz. Seems like a candidate to mail it in.
If you used GB or AZ already, or both, you're at an advantage for sure.
I think AZ is a team to follow around now. Without Palmer, I could see the team just folding. They had to know this was maybe the last run with this coach, QB, and Fitz. Seems like a candidate to mail it in.
If you used GB or AZ already, or both, you're at an advantage for sure.
massraider
Footballguy
Has there ever been a Survivor week when everyone advanced in one week, where no one lost?
We might have that this week.
PHI v SF
CIN v IND
NO v CHI
MIN v CLE
Not the week to expect the herd to thin.
We might have that this week.
PHI v SF
CIN v IND
NO v CHI
MIN v CLE
Not the week to expect the herd to thin.
Interseptopus
Footballguy
Not liking NO. I can't take PHI
So I'd be down to
CIN v IND: I'd maybe consider CIN v CLE week 12 but I have a few other games I like that week (NE vs MIA maybe?)
MIN v CLE: CLE is bad... MIN has a top notch defense. CLE is good against the run, but Keenum can at least throw and manage a game. I don't like MIN any time rest of season
NE v LAC: Chargers are not good. I have NE left for a knock out blow when no one else can use them in my league. 1 out of the 2 other teams still have them. Not sure I'd want to pull this card yet. But I'm not sure I like them vs MIA week 12... divisional game and all. BUt that'd be the perfect time to use them.
Likely going MIN and feeling good about it... if CLE wins @ MIN then I can't really hate myself for trying to be too cute.
I expect 3/3 to advance in my league to next week, and even the week after. Unless people try to get cute.
On a side note: Anyone worried about the London location affecting the MIN/CLE game???
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jdkapow
Footballguy
I'm not concerned about the location, although having this game in Minnesota would obviously make it an even easier choice. I see no reason to save MIN and the other two people remaining have already used them, so it's really the best of all worlds for me.
massraider
Footballguy
The favorites have thus far an excellent record in London.
Just difficult to imagine CLE moving the ball vs that defense.
Just difficult to imagine CLE moving the ball vs that defense.
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Going with the Saints this week. Chicago offense is awful, dont see any way they keep up with Saints. Now Bears D is fairly solid, but saints D is kind of underrated IMO
Church of Iggy Pop
Footballguy
I'm a Bengal homer who hates banking on them in Survivor pools. That said, I'm going with them hosting the Colts this week. The Bengals are relatively healthy and should be well rested after mailing it in for the second half in Pittsburgh last week. 
Vikings and Saints are solid picks as well. I would be all over Vikings if it were a true home game.
Vikings and Saints are solid picks as well. I would be all over Vikings if it were a true home game.
massraider
Footballguy
Looking at CIN, they have had a tough go of it vs some tough defenses. Even CLE. I could see CIN really getting right vs. the Colts this week.I'm a Bengal homer who hates banking on them in Survivor pools. That said, I'm going with them hosting the Colts this week. The Bengals are relatively healthy and should be well rested after mailing it in for the second half in Pittsburgh last week.
Vikings and Saints are solid picks as well. I would be all over Vikings if it were a true home game.
Part of me wants to use CIN here, mainly so I am not tempted to use them later. CIN has CLE and CHI at home later this year, and I could see both teams upsetting CIN at home. Just the thought that CLE and CHI could be playing better ball in a month or two than they are now. Pretty sure I'm going to use them in one of my two entries. Both CLE and CHI have better defenses than IND, and if I am betting on the ginger, I want him to be facing the softest D possible.
MIN over CLE ( I don't care if it's on the moon) seems a lock. Kizer in a strange country, starting vs that defense, and awaiting Hue Jackson pulling him after any mistake seems like not a great position.
But I'm gonna pass on MIN, because of future value. MIN has CIN and CHI two of last three weeks of the season. The other teams I'm looking at like CIN and ATL have less options I like later. This might be getting too cute, but there are a lot of options this week, so taking the BEST option might not make the most sense, depending on your future schedule.
ATL is @Jets this week, and after that, you tell me when you LOVE the Falcons this year. Not looking great. Taking them on the road, in bad weather, vs the Jets seems like a TERRIBLE idea tho, so I may not use ATL this year, which sounds crazy, considering they were in the Super Bowl.
Regarding the Saints, I am saving them for at home in week 15 vs Jets. I don't like many games that week, so I am keeping Brees in my back pocket.
I have no idea if anyone reading my drivel, but typing this out helps me sort my thoughts. We are down to a few hundred in a million dollar pool, so I'm starting to overthink.
Interseptopus
Footballguy
I'm going MIN. I don't see my pool making it to week 16 or 17. plus I have no idea what MIN will be like from a health perspective or even at AN. Chicago is a divisional game and you just mentioned that CIN may get things right this week... i don't see CIN a lock for MIN at all.
CIN is a fair pick this week but I don't want to get cute, taking MIN in a lock
massraider
Footballguy
Yeah, I'm definitely going the distance in my pool.
No Joe Thomas, Myles Garrett, Jason McCourty. MIN should kill them.
Think it's gonna be a boring week (famous last words....).
Interseptopus
Footballguy
turned out to be an easy week.
oddly enough all 3 in my pool picked different teams. IND almost took out one.
looking ahead, I think I have to take Houston. vs a divisional opponent but it's at home and I don't expect Houston to duke it out vs Seattle and then lose to Indy. no other games I like at this point.
oddly enough all 3 in my pool picked different teams. IND almost took out one.
looking ahead, I think I have to take Houston. vs a divisional opponent but it's at home and I don't expect Houston to duke it out vs Seattle and then lose to Indy. no other games I like at this point.
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Houston only real option for me this week
Interseptopus
Footballguy
Anyone considering TEN vs BAL if Flacco can't go?
Not that I don't think HOU is going to steam roll IND but it's a divisional game and IND almost beat CIN last week. Plus it's the "no brainer" pick of the week. If it goes south it could win people their leagues if they pick something else
TEN, coming off of a bye, if Flacco's hurt it could be a good "zag" to everyone else's "zig."
Not that I don't think HOU is going to steam roll IND but it's a divisional game and IND almost beat CIN last week. Plus it's the "no brainer" pick of the week. If it goes south it could win people their leagues if they pick something else
TEN, coming off of a bye, if Flacco's hurt it could be a good "zag" to everyone else's "zig."
Church of Iggy Pop
Footballguy
Holy crap I was left sweating my CIN pick last week! Fluke defensive TD bailed me out. The Bengals O-Line is terrible. Can't open holes for Mixon, can't pick up blitzes.... which has me wanting to play JAX this week. I don't see how the Bengals can go down to Florida and keep Dalton upright.
I still have Houston left. Seems like that is the consensus pick.
I still have Houston left. Seems like that is the consensus pick.
Interseptopus
Footballguy
Watson's injury change what anyone's thinking? Does for me... staying away from this game now.
Considering TEN vs BAL if Flacco doesn't go.
Otherwise I'm looking at NO or LAR
Considering TEN vs BAL if Flacco doesn't go.
Otherwise I'm looking at NO or LAR
Interseptopus
Footballguy
looking at Jax as well... maybe even Seattle but I'm kind of between Jax and TEN. flacco practiced today so he's a full go. still think ten will win after a bye but going with Jacksonville and not liking it... they always burn me. I do like NO vs TB as well
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Church of Iggy Pop
Footballguy
My $$$ pool is not run online, and all picks lock for the week Wed at 8:30pm ET, 24 hours before first game of the week.
I, along with roughly half of the pool, now find ourselves drawing dead with Tom Savage!
Same here. Ours locks at 3pm on Thursday. I heard the news driving home. At least Indy is terrible and Houston is home. Hopefully they can grind out an ugly winMy $$$ pool is not run online, and all picks lock for the week Wed at 8:30pm ET, 24 hours before first game of the week.
I, along with roughly half of the pool, now find ourselves drawing dead with Tom Savage!
Raging weasel
Footballguy
Down to 7 in my pool. I'm the only one left that already used Hou and Ariz but also the only one that didn't use Gbay. Going with Saints as Jax has some good matchups left.
Interseptopus
Footballguy
NO has:
Week 11: WAS
Week 15: NYJ
JAX has:
Week 11: @ CLE (probably the only week I'd use them the ROS... but NO has WAS, KC @ NYG, NE vs OAK- which isn't a big lock but OAK has been up and down)
Week 13 IND (LAC have CLE at home and KC is @ NYJ)
Week 16: @ SF ( BAL has IND, NE vs BUF, CHI vs CLE)
Maybe this isn't a bad week to take NO and save JAX for week 11. I don't like JAX after week 11 however.
I could possibly be looking at :
9: NO vs TB
10: DET vs CLE
11: JAX @ CLE
12: NE vs MIA
13: LAC vs CLE
14: PIT vs BAL
15: KC vs LAC
16-17: idk yet not really planning on needing to get past week 11 TBH
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