1.04 Toronto Raptors: Jalen Suggs, Guard, Gonzaga
If the Raptors decide to go into full rebuild mode, perhaps a swing for the fences like Kuminga or Barnes would make sense here. But if they’re still trying to compete with their core of FVV, Anunoby, and Siakam, Suggs seems like the obvious choice. His floor is just so much higher than the next guys’. Suggs didn’t show elite traits on offense—just OK shooting, doesn’t have the quickest first step or elite pick and roll craft--but his intelligence and defensive prowess should lead to a long career as a starting guard in the NBA.
1.05 Orlando Magic: Scottie Barnes, Wing, Florida State
The Magic aren’t afraid to take excellent defenders who have long arms and little shooting ability, so with the top 4 players off the board this seems like a natural fit. Lots of smart basketball people have wildly different opinions of Barnes -- Hollinger is incredibly high on him, Duncan & Leroux are not. I think I agree more with Duncan & Leroux’s take: Barnes shows very little upside as a shooter which really hampers his potential in the league. His shooting numbers are about as bad as fellow top-10 prospect Jonathon Kuminga’s (30% 3P, 61% FT), but unlike Kuminga, Barnes’s odd mechanics make serious improvement an even taller order. The defensive talent is awesome though, which is why he’s still a top-10 pick.
1.06 Oklahoma City Thunder: James Bouknight, Guard/Wing, UConn
For a while it seemed like Kuminga was the pick here, but lately the tides have turned towards Bouknight, one of the most dynamic scorers in the class. Bouknight has good size, athleticism, and can create his own shot off the dribble. His 3s did not go in at a very good rate last year, but his shooting during private workouts reportedly assuaged some of those concerns. He also needs to work on his passing to really become a starting-caliber NBA guard. He and SGA could potentially be a really fun backcourt.
1.07 Golden State Warriors: Moses Moody, Wing, Arkansas
In addition to Moody, Golden State has been linked to Bouknight, Mitchell, Kuminga, and Giddey with this pick – it’s hard to say where they’re going. There almost seems to be a rift between the front office, which wants to build towards the future, and the players, who want to maximize the remaining couple years of prime Steph. Moody is more of a win-now player. He doesn’t really have go-to guy potential, but projects to be a solid 3&D wing who can defend multiple positions and knock down catch and shoot 3s. Every contending team could use more players like that.
1.08 Orlando Magic: Jonathon Kuminga, Wing, G-League Ignite
What do you know, Orlando takes another athletic wing who can’t shoot! Kuminga may not fill a need, at this point he seems like a good value. Kuminga’s feel for the game isn’t great yet and he made a lot of bad plays during the 3-week G-league season, but the highs were very intriguing. His athleticism and shot creating potential are undeniable. The shooting is obviously an issue (25% 3P, 63% FT), but his mechanics seem fine, suggesting that a lot of improvement could be possible. He probably won’t contribute anything of value in year 1, which is perfectly fine for a team like the Magic.
1.09 Sacramento Kings: Franz Wagner, Wing, Michigan
He doesn’t look like the most athletic guy, as noted by our resident Kings fan @thecatch. But unlike his older brother Mo, Franz is actually pretty nimble and a solid defender. His shot is a bit streakier than you’d like, but he has the potential to be a good 3&D guy. Sacramento is reportedly considering trade-down scenarios here.
1.10 Memphis Grizzlies: Josh Giddey, Wing, Australia
The Grizz took on a lot of bad salary to get this pick, so they better make it worthwhile. They’re in need of a second playmaker next to Ja Morant, and Giddey has the potential to be that guy. Giddey is one of the best passers in this class which is exciting for someone his size. Where he falls short is on defense (not a plus athlete) and as a shooter (31% 3P, some funky mechanics). If he cleans up the shot, this trade may end up looking pretty decent for Memphis.
1.11 Charlotte Hornets: Alperen Sengun, Big, Turkey
The Hornets have a type: college players who won a lot and put up big numbers. Sengun may not have gone to college, but he’s arguably the most productive prospect in the class. He dominated against grown men in the Turkish league, averaging 19/9 and winning league MVP at age 18. The Hornets were not a good defensive team last year and Sengun does not project as a plus defender, but the offensive upside of a Lamelo/Sengun pairing is too enticing to pass up. Sengun’s offensive game at this age is phenomenal – sweet footwork, good strength, can score from post-ups and the pick & roll. He didn’t shoot much away from the basket, but his jumper looks good and an 80% FT% hints at 3P potential. It wouldn’t surprise me if the Hornets go with someone like Kispert, who put up numbers and won a lot in college, but I want this pairing to happen so badly that I’m putting Sengun here anyway.
1.12 San Antonio Spurs: Keon Johnson, Guard/Wing, Tennessee
In my initial iterations of this mock, I had the Spurs taking Sengun and then Giddey. (Lazy? Maybe.) I think either player still makes sense for them if available, but both are off the board in this scenario. Keon Johnson is a polarizing prospect with a very wide range of potential draft outcomes. He’s a phenomenal athlete and high-effort player but didn’t show a lot of basketball skill in college -- he was a poor shooter who simply relied too much on being more athletic than everyone else. Supposedly he’s another guy who’s really improved his stock with private workouts, however. If he's significantly improved since the end of the season 3 months ago, the tantalizing athleticism may be enough for a team to take a shot on him in the lottery.
1.13 Indiana Pacers: Davion Mitchell, Guard, Baylor
TJ McConnell is a free agent and Malcolm Brogdon is on an expiring deal, so it makes sense for Indiana to bring in more talent at PG. Mitchell’s calling card is his stifling defense, but the offensive side of things isn’t too bad either. He’s a decent facilitator and shot 45% from deep last year, although his 65% FT% raises questions about that 3P performance being a fluke. His upside may not be as high as you like because of his size (6’2”) and his age (22).
1.14 Golden State Warriors: Chris Duarte, Guard, Oregon
At 24 years old, Duarte doesn’t have the upside of some of the 18 and 19 year olds in this class, but for Golden State it’s all about winning now – and Duarte could earn minutes on a playoff team day 1. He’s a fantastic shooter, can handle the ball, and was all-defense in the Pac-12. His passing isn’t very advanced, but he could stick around the league for quite a while as a solid role player.
1.15 Washington Wizards: Corey Kispert, Wing, Gonzaga
Not much to say here -- the Wizards desperately need shooting and luck into one of the best shooters in the draft here. Kispert’s age (22) and athleticism keep him from being a lottery pick in this scenario. If Kispert is off the board, Washington may look to someone like Trey Murphy.
1.16 Oklahoma City Thunder: Kai Jones, Big, Texas
Averaging 8 points and 5 rebounds, Jones was not particularly productive at Texas, but he has the kind of fluid athleticism and shot creating potential that you very rarely see in 6’11” guys. He also shot 39% from 3, albeit on low volume. Jones only began playing organized basketball at age 15 and is still figuring things out -- OKC is one of the better places for him to do that. The right-tail outcome for Jones is extremely interesting.
1.17 New Orleans Pelicans: Trey Murphy, Wing, Virginia
You’d think an athletic wing who shoots over 40% from 3 would go higher than this, but Murphy’s total inability to create shots limits his upside. The Pelicans already have quite a bit of shot creation between Zion, Ingram, and whichever expensive PG they end up with this summer, so they can afford to let Murphy just hang around the perimeter and hit catch and shoot 3s. New Orleans comes one step closer to giving Zion NBA-caliber spacing.
1.18 Oklahoma City Thunder: Ziaire Williams, Wing, Stanford
Very few prospects available in the second half of the 1st can legitimately claim to have all-star upside, and the Thunder have now taken two such prospects at 16 and 18. Williams is a tall, long, fluid athlete and a solid defender with legit potential as a shot creator off the dribble. He had an inefficient and mistake-prone year in college, but Stanford’s tumultuous season couldn’t have helped. He’s another worthy gamble for OKC.
1.19 New York Knicks: Usman Garuba, Big, Spain
This might not be a position of need for the Knicks, but Thibs loves his defenders. Garuba has good lateral quickness, defensive versatility, strength, and understanding of the game. Where he falls short is on offense – he’s not an above the rim athlete and his shooting is generally poor. He did shoot corner 3s at a respectable clip, so maybe he can play a PJ Tucker-esque role of tenacious defender who camps out at the corners on offense.
1.20 Atlanta Hawks: Jared Butler, Guard, Baylor
Very skilled offensive player. With the ball in his hands, he can score off screens and in isolation. Off ball, he can hit catch and shoot 3s at a very high rate. Butler projects as a nice combo guard who could play with and without Trae Young on the floor. On defense, he’s a high effort player who led the Big 12 in steals, but at 6’3” he could get taken advantage of while playing the 2.
1.21 New York Knicks: Sharife Cooper, PG, Auburn
After taking a luxury pick at 19, the Knicks address a need here – they're short on playmaking right now, and Cooper can provide some. He’s an excellent passer and shows some impressive pick and roll craft, averaging 20 points and 8 assists at Auburn. The two big questions with him are perimeter shooting and defense. Since he shot 80% from the line last year, some 3P improvement seems reasonably likely.
1.22 Los Angeles Lakers: Isaiah Jackson, Big, Kentucky
Athletic, rim-running big who’s an excellent shot blocker but doesn’t offer much on the offensive side. As a prospect he’s somewhat similar to Jarrett Allen, who was also taken in this part of the draft. AD likes to play at the 4 in the regular season and the Lakers have struggled to find a decent center to play next to him, so perhaps Jackson is the answer.
1.23 Houston Rockets: Jalen Johnson, Wing, Duke
Johnson has great vision and feel for the game with plus athleticism, but he was prone to a lot of silly mistakes and bad plays at Duke. Leaving the team early was probably bad for his draft stock as well. There’s undeniable potential here though, so a team that has multiple picks like Houston might be more willing to take a chance on him.
1.24 Houston Rockets: Joshua Primo, Wing, Alabama
Primo is said to be rising up draft boards lately – he has a good handle, won’t turn 19 until Christmas eve, and displayed some serious shooting ability in college. Since Alabama was such a talented team last year, Primo was not asked to do much shot creation, so that part of his game is extremely speculative. When he did have the ball, he turned it over much more than you’d like. He’s another dice roll, but a rebuilding team like the Rockets can afford to wait for him. Had he stayed in school, some think he would’ve been a lottery pick in next year’s draft.
1.25 Los Angeles Clippers: Tre Mann, Guard, Florida
The Clippers could use more depth at point guard and more shot creation with Kawhi potentially missing all of next season. Mann has a solid handle and an awesome pull-up jumper, shooting over 40% from 3. He’s not a great defender, and his lack of athleticism will probably prevent him from ever becoming one. He could also stand to improve as a facilitator.
1.26 Denver Nuggets: Jaden Springer, Guard, Tennessee
Springer is a good athlete and exceptional defender who doesn’t turn 19 until the fall. He’s a solid passer and scorer but did most of his damage inside the arc rather than outside -- his jumper has a bit of a hitch that needs to be ironed out. He has upside as a good defensive starter rather than a star, but at pick 26 you can’t ask for much more.
1.27 Brooklyn Nets: JT Thor, Wing/Big, Auburn
Generally speaking, it’s unlikely that any player taken at 27 will contribute immediately to a championship team, and Thor won’t be an exception. He’s a huge project. The Nets have shown a knack for developing big guys recently though (Jarrett Allen, Nic Claxton) and Thor might have the most intriguing potential yet as a small ball stretch 5. He’s a good athlete, versatile defender, and shows some upside as a shooter. Everything needs a lot of work though – he’s extremely raw.
1.28 Philadelphia 76ers: Cameron Thomas, Guard, LSU
Ben Simmons’ shooting hesitancy burned Philly during the playoffs and he’s likely headed out of town. Lucky for them, Cam Thomas never met a shot he didn’t like. A pure scoring talent with decent physical tools, Thomas has great shooting range and solid finishing abilities. Unfortunately, the other areas of his game such as passing and defense require major improvement, which is why he’s still on the board at 28.
1.29 Phoenix Suns: Miles McBride, Guard, Virginia
Chris Paul may return to Phoenix on a new contract but he isn’t getting any younger, so the Suns add more youth at guard. McBride lacks elite athleticism but makes up for it with lots of skill. He can shoot 3s, midrangers, and free throws very well, and is a good, aggressive defender. At 6’2” he might be a target for opposing offenses in spite of his defensive skill, but I’d count on McBride sticking around the league a while.
1.30 Utah Jazz: Herb Jones, Wing, Alabama
Jones is on the long list of guys in this draft who could become useful players if they learn to shoot the ball. Herb is a defensive specialist who can guard 1-4 and maybe even 1-5 in small lineups. The problems are on offense, where making 20 3s last season was considered a massive improvement for him. Just bringing the shooting up to a respectable level would make Jones an extremely useful chess piece in playoff lineups. Utah is desperate for more athleticism and defense on the wing, so they take a chance on his ability to improve the jumper.