2024 SoS Analysis - Why this metric is not very useful (1 Viewer)

[Scoresman]

Simple analysis below. Comparing the pre-season Strength of Schedule projections vs. final SoS based on opponent win %.

Sorry for the formatting but tables are horribly broken on the forum right now. The first number is Preseason SoS rank, second is final SoS rank, and third is the difference between them.

Some of these are hilariously off. I bolded the largest discrepancies. New England was projected to have the hardest schedule, ended up 7th easiest. Vikings were similar. Falcons had the pre-season easiest schedule, ended up 22nd.

Miami Dolphins 9 1 8
Washington Commanders 12 2 10
Philadelphia Eagles 8 3 5
Indianapolis Colts 7 4 3
Los Angeles Chargers 2 5 -3
Buffalo Bills 26 6 20
New England Patriots 32 7 25
Minnesota Vikings 30 8 22
Jacksonville Jaguars 15 9 6
Cincinnati Bengals 3 10 -7
Houston Texans 25 11 14
Kansas City Chiefs 10 12 -2
New York Jets 4 13 -9
Carolina Panthers 11 14 -3
Seattle Seahawks 17 15 2
Denver Broncos 24 16 8
Pittsburgh Steelers 31 17 14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13 18 -5
New Orleans Saints 6 19 -13
Los Angeles Rams 19 20 -1
Detroit Lions 18 21 -3
Atlanta Falcons 1 22 -21
Tennessee Titans 28 23 5
Dallas Cowboys 20 24 -4
Baltimore Ravens 23 25 -2
Green Bay Packers 27 26 1
Cleveland Browns 29 27 2
Arizona Cardinals 21 28 -7
Las Vegas Raiders 22 29 -7
New York Giants 14 30 -16
Chicago Bears 5 31 -26
San Francisco 49ers 16 32 -16

 

[TheWinz]

For FF sake, I steer clear of SoS when drafting my team. I do use it when I'm choosing my weekly D's though.
And yes, those projections were off to the tune of just over 9 spots on average. That's garbage.