Detroit — Let me start this column by telling you how I believed things would play out when the Detroit Lions signed veteran quarterback Kyle Allen in free agency this offseason.
I saw Allen as a means to an end, not a solution. I thought of his addition as a symbolic fire being lit under the *** of Hendon Hooker, to tap into the returning QB's competitive drive and push him to new heights more quickly. Initially, I considered Allen a minimal threat to unseat Detroit’s incumbent backup.
My stance softened a tad when
I watched Allen’s film, particularly his preseason performance with the Steelers last year. Here's what I wrote following the tape study:
“The Allen that showed up last preseason, earning a roster spot as a third QB on Pittsburgh’s roster, is capable of pushing Hendon Hooker this offseason.
“Yes, it was the preseason, where the schemes are vanilla and the defensive talent is mostly backups, but Allen showed good command of the Steelers’ offense, had significantly fewer issues with the placement of his throws than he did in the two starts in 2022, and displayed toughness and mobility.”
Still, through last month’s Hall of Fame Game, my opinion remained unchanged: This was Hooker’s job, and it was only a matter of time before he proved that.
Two weeks later, I’m tapping my chest like a defensive back who blew an assignment. My bad.
To be clear, what you’ve seen in the preseason isn’t reflective of what we’ve watched daily on the practice field this offseason. In my writings, radio interviews, and casual conversations, I confidently proclaimed Hooker was a vastly improved quarterback from last training camp. He was making better (and quicker) decisions, his accuracy was significantly better — to all depths — and he undeniably had more zip on his throws than Allen.
I stand by the assessment.
Hooker and Allen’s performances in practice, where they’ve rotated snaps with the second- and third-team offenses, have been relatively even. And, like the runner in baseball, the tie goes to the incumbent, particularly when you’ve invested multiple years into his development and have him under contract for a season beyond this one.
But the preseason has revealed a gap between the two that practices hadn’t. Allen is unquestionably superior, more comfortably executing an offensive scheme, which he explained after Saturday's game as feeling like it equips him with “answers on every play.”
It certainly seems like he has the cheat sheet memorized, and he’s acing the test. After throwing a couple of interceptions in the Hall of Fame Game, including one that was egregious, he’s posted a near-perfect quarterback rating in the past two matchups.
Hooker, meanwhile, has looked lost. The only steps he's taken are backward — with his processing, accuracy and ball security. It’s genuinely baffling to know this is the same guy who has been slinging the rock around with confidence on the practice field. Is it possible we underestimated the power of the red jersey, which prohibits the quarterback from being hit in practice?
Given the outcome to date, coach Dan Campbell didn’t shy away from stating where the competition stands with one preseason game remaining.
“If you had to go in with the (No.) two right now, ‘Who would you trust more?’ Yeah, I would trust Kyle more because he’s proven more after these two games,” Campbell said.
Which leads us to the important question: Where do the Lions go from here?
Well, there are a few ways this plays out if we assume Allen doesn’t fall flat on his face down the stretch.
First, the Lions can keep three quarterbacks on the 53-man roster. The last time they did that to open a season was 2021, when they held on to both Tim Boyle and David Blough behind Jared Goff.
They’ve also rostered three for parts of the past two seasons, when Hooker returned from a torn ACL as a rookie in 2023, and when Teddy Bridgewater was added as an insurance policy for last year’s postseason.
It’s hardly out of the question, but keeping three means you’re cutting somewhere else. Maybe that’s a 10th offensive lineman or defensive back, or perhaps it’s a seventh receiver such as Jackson Meeks or Dominic Lovett.
Why would the Lions do this? The team has barely needed their backup to play since trading for Goff.
Well, we know general manager Brad Holmes loathes giving up on his draft picks prematurely. And given the progress shown in practice, the team could justifiably still believe in Hooker’s developmental arc.
Plus, the assurance of having a cheap backup who knows the system carries appeal when your starter is scheduled to have a nearly $70 million cap hit in 2026. Yes, that will probably be restructured, but the point is Goff is expensive.
Alternatively, the Lions can move on. Obviously, bringing Hooker back as a member of the practice squad would be an ideal compromise. However, there’s no way you can realistically bank on him clearing waivers.
It's easy to imagine a QB-needy team willing to make the low-risk, low-cost investment in a player who had some really great college tape before the knee injury. Teams weighing the flyer could be further encouraged by what the Packers were able to get out of another recently discarded former third-round pick, Malik Willis. It just takes one GM or coach to believe they can do a better job with Hooker than Detroit.
I wouldn't be surprised if multiple teams feel this way. Sure, we didn't see any quarterbacks claimed after final cuts the past two years. But surely Hooker has more upside than Kellen Mond or Ian Book did in 2023, when they were plucked off waivers.
This leads us to a final option: The Lions could see if anyone would be willing to trade for Hooker.
To be clear, you shouldn’t expect much in return. You might not get more than a seventh-rounder, maybe with conditions attached that could bump it to a sixth. If the Lions were willing to give up on Hooker’s development before his third season, you shouldn’t anticipate others banging down the door to acquire him. The reason you might be able to get anything is a team is intrigued enough that they don’t want to lose out on a claim based on waiver order.
Going back to Willis, he only cost the Packers a seventh-rounder to acquire.
Assuming the Lions surrender Hooker, either in a trade or via waivers, where does that leave the future of the backup spot? Realistically, there's nothing to say Allen, 29, couldn’t hold it down beyond this season. Unless he is forced into action as an injury replacement in 2025, it's unlikely his salary demands will sharply increase beyond the veteran minimum he commanded as a free agent this offseason.
Of course, the Lions could also take another stab at the position via the draft.
That said, finding a quarterback in Round 3 or beyond — where the team would likely be comfortable investing given Goff is under contract through 2028 — is a minefield. For every Dak Prescott or Brock Purdy, there are more than a dozen guys who amount to nothing.
From 2015-24, 56 quarterbacks have been drafted in the third round or later. Five have won 10 or more games as a starter, including Jacoby Brissett and Trevor Siemian. Hooker, who has attempted nine passes, has the seventh-best passer rating of that group.
Maybe that positional hit rate, or lack thereof, is another reason to exhibit a little more patience with Hooker, carrying him as a third QB this season.
We won't have to speculate long. Teams will trim their rosters to 53 in under two weeks, on Aug. 26. Until then, Hooker has a little more time to state his case, with next Saturday's exhibition game potentially being his final test.
I didn’t anticipate the Lions would be here with this decision, and maybe they didn’t either, but they are and must decide whether continued patience is justified.