Thought this myself. And while Anderson isn’t great, maybe he doesn’t put them in awful situations as frequently? Bills have been incredible the last few weeks.Bills look like a top option all year & have a good matchup vs INDY
Indy's offense is actually middling in terms of PPG (ranking 13th) and not too shabby in total points (11th).Bills look like a top option all year & have a good matchup vs INDY
9th worst in points allowed to opposing defenses.Indy's offense is actually middling in terms of PPG (ranking 13th) and not too shabby in total points (11th).
Bills have indeed been surprising in terms of their D, but not sure this is a good match up.
I was wondering the same things and looking at the schedule I think I am comfortable dropping Baltimore. Yikes, ugly.Cant decide if I want to stick with Ravens vs NO this week or grab a better matchup for this week and Ravems bye Week 10. Considering Indy with home games vs Buff and Jags
Yeah, i don't think I'll drop them --we don't lose points for yardage --just total points --so if NO scores like 34 its -1 -- which I'm ok with if they are getting sacks, FR's INts--I was wondering the same things and looking at the schedule I think I am comfortable dropping Baltimore. Yikes, ugly.
I'm holding the Ravens for now -- their schedule does look tough, but if they show signs of holding their own from a FP persepctive with sacks, takeaways, etc., it can offset the potential points scored against them.Yeah, i don't think I'll drop them --we don't lose points for yardage --just total points --so if NO scores like 34 its -1 -- which I'm ok with if they are getting sacks, FR's INts--
But agree their schedule, as it looks now, has only one positive match-up the rest of the way --which is Raiders in Bmore.
Not claiming to be an expert, but it sounds like this was a major factor. Which is a little scary since a) it makes you wonder if they were really that good to begin with, and b) this may be a lingering injury.So anybody have any theories about the Bears DST this past week vs Miami? Lucky bounces? Wilting in the heat? Kalil Mack hurt?
I dropped the Jags last year after they crapped the bed in the Jets game. Following week they picked off Ben five times and were off to the races.I was planning to ride them at least through their stretch vs the AFC East (and just hope for a couple of points this week vs NE) but now not so sure. I knew their secondary was shakey even before this week, it was just that their front seven was so dominant it masked their deficiencies there.
I'm asking more for weeks 8 and beyond, since can't expect anything super against the Patriots. Are they worth a hold or am I back to streaming?
I do remember last year the Jags and Ravens both having totally awful games against a bad offense but they came around as the year went on, so I don't want to bail too quickly from one bad week, but FF is inherently a short sample size, so hanging on too long can be bad too.
I did ride the roller coaster with the Ravens and Jags last year, but finally nailed down the Jags and rode them to a title. First time I ever had both the #1 kicker and #1 DST on my team, which otherwise was decent but not great. And I got them both via streaming. I was kind of hoping I had lucked into the same situation with the Bears this year.Not claiming to be an expert, but it sounds like this was a major factor. Which is a little scary since a) it makes you wonder if they were really that good to begin with, and b) this may be a lingering injury.
I dropped the Jags last year after they crapped the bed in the Jets game. Following week they picked off Ben five times and were off to the races.![]()
As for the Bears, schedule gets way easier after this week: NYJ, @Buf, Det, Min (tougher match-ups but at least at home), @Det, @NYG. Then it gets bad the first two weeks of the playoffs (LAR/GB) before they finish @SF.
Pending Mack's health, I think they should be good until Week 14, but definitely plan on having back-up options come playoff time.
As for this week, I definitely wouldn't drop them, but it you have the roster space and can get the best of some mediocre options (Indy, maybe Detroit) then it might be worth it. In my case, I'd rather not drop OJ Howard or Dion Lewis in my 14-teamer, so I'll take my chances with the Bears.
With my CHI D vs NE this week I picked up Denver last week to replace them.Would love Indy, they are the sexy pick, and my brain is screaming yes.
I don't know why my gut is thinking this could backfire as turning out to be "one of those games" that totally backfires.
like the Fins putting up 31 points on the Bears...or like the Jets hanging 42 on this same Indy D.
Momentum sometimes matters. And sometimes just one variable (Pederson or Anderson not being great) ignores another (Shady is still very good, skill-wise).
Wondering if a team like the Broncs provides less risk due to lower variance in potential outcome.
the bills are losing, do you really think their d will play lights out in december?Bills look like a top option all year & have a good matchup vs INDY
They did hold the LAR to 23 points. Quite an accomplishment.I'm sitting with DEN this week as well, but considering NE or LAC. I'd like to think with DEN being so up and down, that this may be an up week for them. I'm sure I'll flip/flop 3 times over the next 5 days.
Mack played 79% of the snaps in week 6, as compared to 70%, 73%, 100%, and 81% in weeks 1-4, so he was on the field a comparable amount to his other weeks. Anybody know at what point in the game he got hurt? Was it early and he was hobbling around all game?Not claiming to be an expert, but it (Mack Injory) sounds like this was a major factor. Which is a little scary since a) it makes you wonder if they were really that good to begin with, and b) this may be a lingering injury.
What does December have to do with this week? They are a top 3 defense in my league so far.the bills are losing, do you really think their d will play lights out in december?
you said top option all year, which includes december.What does December have to do with this week? They are a top 3 defense in my league so far.
I meant they have been a top option all year.you said top option all year, which includes december.
Watched the game in parts. Not sure when he got hurt, but when I was watching he was definitely out there limping around (and getting attended to whenever he went to the sideline). Ankle injuries are in some ways the worst, because guys play through them even though they're unable to perform as they normally would.themeistersinger said:Mack played 79% of the snaps in week 6, as compared to 70%, 73%, 100%, and 81% in weeks 1-4, so he was on the field a comparable amount to his other weeks. Anybody know at what point in the game he got hurt? Was it early and he was hobbling around all game?
With my CHI D vs NE this week I picked up Denver last week to replace them.
Now I'm thinking this may be a bad spot for the Denver D. They've given up two consecutive 200 yard rushers on the ground (Gurley, Crowell) and now they face DJ. AZ has been somewhat clueless, but the matchup is there, the game is at home, and Rosen seems to slowly be getting his feet under him.
Now I'm considering going after Indy tonight. They've created some turnovers and sacks and if Peterman starts, booya.
Another option is LAC. Facing TN in London. TN just got sacked 11 times but why do I think funky things happen in London.
I'm sitting with DEN this week as well, but considering NE or LAC. I'd like to think with DEN being so up and down, that this may be an up week for them. I'm sure I'll flip/flop 3 times over the next 5 days.
I, too, am wary of the Denver match up -- short week, on the road on a THU game, and DJ is DJ. But ARI had both Iupati and Pugh dinged last weekend and both were either DNP or limited so far this week, which I think limits ARI's rush ability (though DEN has not been their usual stout self against the run).They did hold the LAR to 23 points. Quite an accomplishment.
Was looking deeper at the Denver D's games and was shocked to see that Goff only completed 50% of his passes. Then read something somewhere that basically stated "Denver strategy was basically to let them run vs. pass deep." All that said, still not comfortable. On the road, could see the wheels just fall off Denver, coach fired, DJ owners rejoicing, etc.I, too, am wary of the Denver match up -- short week, on the road on a THU game, and DJ is DJ. But ARI had both Iupati and Pugh dinged last weekend and both were either DNP or limited so far this week, which I think limits ARI's rush ability (though DEN has not been their usual stout self against the run).
I know, grain of salt as no practice is really full on a short week, but MIN provided the blueprint of shutting down DJ and forcing Rosen into unfavorable down-and-distance situations where the ball got turned over a few times.
Would have rather had the Colts but they were gone. Other options I was considering was BUF, but I think DEN has the chance to perform better fantasy-wise, even on the road, though that's more going by gut (this team has dropped multiple games and desperately needs a win). And they weren't terrible against the Rams, to @kyoun1e's point.
I mean, I'd rather see Peterman.Anderson announced as the starting QB for Bills. Are we still starting Ind D?
Anderson is a gunslinger. He'll toss the ball around and won't be shy to turn it over. I can see him having a big day, but also throw a couple of receptions. I'm not as confident that IND Def can contain it. The team wasn't fond of Peterman starting, so they have to be ecstatic about Anderson coming in to play. Being a regular journeyman, it won't take long for him to get up to speed. I think the team will try to rally around him and it wouldn't surprise me if BUF put some points on the board this week. I'm staying away from IND Def this week. But then again, I'm also a fool starting DEN @ AZ. Hoping for a low scoring affair between these two lackluster teams. That and DEN D got called out by Elway this week, so hoping MIller and squad take on the challenge and ball out this week.Anderson announced as the starting QB for Bills. Are we still starting Ind D?
I think Buffalo is a better D, but they’re on the road. Still, they’ve shut teams down and piled up a lot of sacks and turnovers the past few weeks. Their numbers aren’t bouyed by defensive TDs like AZ got the past two weeks.Buffalo or AZ, what do you guys think?
Agreed on all counts here.I like Arizona better than Denver D this weekHome team and they have been the better fantasy defense so far this year. Quite honestly though I see both teams running the hell out of the ball in a low scoring affair.
Just looked up D. Anderson's stats. His last meaningful starts were back in 2016.Anderson is a gunslinger. He'll toss the ball around and won't be shy to turn it over. I can see him having a big day, but also throw a couple of receptions. I'm not as confident that IND Def can contain it. The team wasn't fond of Peterman starting, so they have to be ecstatic about Anderson coming in to play. Being a regular journeyman, it won't take long for him to get up to speed. I think the team will try to rally around him and it wouldn't surprise me if BUF put some points on the board this week. I'm staying away from IND Def this week. But then again, I'm also a fool starting DEN @ AZ. Hoping for a low scoring affair between these two lackluster teams. That and DEN D got called out by Elway this week, so hoping MIller and squad take on the challenge and ball out this week.
Ok you have convinced me to move Indy ahead of Arizona and Buffalo. This decision is gonna make or break both teams of mine because I can't see playing Baltimore or Chicago this week. It's one reason I usually stream defenses. Even when you have a great defense there are still a handful of games you can't play them.Just looked up D. Anderson's stats. His last meaningful starts were back in 2016.
* @ATL: 17-23-172-2-2
* TB: 18-28-278-0-2
But I think the more meaningful info may be that...HE HASN'T PLAYED IN TWO YEARS.
A couple other Indy D tid bits:
* Clayton Geathers and Margus Hunt back at practice on the D side. That can't hurt.
* TY Hilton testing hamstring today. If he's on the field, maybe more offense, maybe more pressure on Anderson to throw it up there.
* Vegas has Indy as -6.5 point home favorites. Like that a lot better than the Denver line (on the road).
Chargers are the clear play there IMOStarting to fall into the over-thinking trap....
Den D @ AZ tonight (total 41.5, DEN -1.5)
LAC D vs TEN in London (total 45, LAC -7)
NE D @ CHI (total 49, NE -3)
Leaning towards DEN just because the total points is going to be low for these two teams. I also think DEN D may have a chip on their shoulder. But if McCarthy is going to actually coach offense in a game this year for AZ, this is the one (revenge game).
LAC D is intriguing as London games are always a mess. LAC offense is better suited to take a strong lead, with TEN having to catch up. They put up good numbers last week vs CLE, and I think they could do it again here.
NE is here only because they are the last great hope on my WW. Trubisky could turn the ball over, but still very uncertain over this pick.
I think you're right. Doing some more digging, I found this nugget this morning...Chargers are the clear play there IMO
Balt is a good defense, but even the Browns managed to score and beat them. The LAC have a much better offense, and the defense is good enough to hold down the Titans. Feel a little more comfortable with that selectioin now.Tennessee was dominated from start to finish in Sunday’s 21-0 home loss to Baltimore, with quarterback Marcus Mariota getting sacked a ridiculous 11 times. The Titans managed only 106 total yards in the game, including 51 passing. The Titans have only topped 20 points on one occasion this season and there’s no reason to expect them to find their groove in England. Expect this one to be low-scoring and take the UNDER.
I agree, although the one thing that would give me pause is that London games tend to have one team totally prepared for the shift in routine and the other totally off their game (see Seattle/Oakland last week, or Jax/Baltimore last year). And is there any doubt which group an Anthony Lynn-coached team would find themselves in?Chargers are the clear play there IMO
Agree with the posters below that you'll want the Chargers, but for those without that luxury, I think you are on to something with the bolded. Von Miller just issued a public challenge to his own D, putting the pressure on them to reverse the 4-game lose skid they are on. I think they come out raring to stuff the run and force the Cards to be one-dimensional and get some turnovers.Starting to fall into the over-thinking trap....
Den D @ AZ tonight (total 41.5, DEN -1.5)
LAC D vs TEN in London (total 45, LAC -7)
NE D @ CHI (total 49, NE -3)
Leaning towards DEN just because the total points is going to be low for these two teams. I also think DEN D may have a chip on their shoulder. But if McCarthy is going to actually coach offense in a game this year for AZ, this is the one (revenge game).
LAC D is intriguing as London games are always a mess. LAC offense is better suited to take a strong lead, with TEN having to catch up. They put up good numbers last week vs CLE, and I think they could do it again here.
NE is here only because they are the last great hope on my WW. Trubisky could turn the ball over, but still very uncertain over this pick.
Great article. Good job as always, Faust. ?