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9th pick draft strategy .5 ppr (1 Viewer)

ppierce

Footballguy
I'm picking 9th in a 12 team redraft. Anyone have any thoughts or exeperience in this slot? I want a rb for sure but dont know if i could pass up a megatron in that spot.

 
I have same pick in same format. I want a RB. Hoping megatron goes before me but I doubt it. Im assuming RBs like McCoy, Lynch, & Morris will be there. So its just a matter of preference with who you want. On the way back definitely taking a RB unless Graham somehow falls. Hoping for Ridley

 
It seems like every time I take Megatron at that spot in mocks I don't like the way my team looks. Going RB/RB in the first 2 rounds is almost certainly what I'm doing if I'm drafting anywhere in the back half. If I get a top 5 pick, it's easier to grab a top tier WR/TE/QB in the 2nd because you have another early pick in the 3rd. I don't like the RB's available in the late 3rd as my RB2.

 
I have same pick in same format. I want a RB. Hoping megatron goes before me but I doubt it. Im assuming RBs like McCoy, Lynch, & Morris will be there. So its just a matter of preference with who you want. On the way back definitely taking a RB unless Graham somehow falls. Hoping for Ridley
I have similar thoughts. I would like to get Lynch or Morris in Round 1. Hoping for Chris Johnson at 2.04 (although if he keeps breaking off long TD runs in preseason he probably won't be there). Cruz or V.Jackson in Round 3 seems like would make a decent WR1 and fall into that ADP range.

 
I'm an RB guy, and would have to go RB at the 9 slot, but would then probably follow up with Julio in RD2 if he is there.

Megatron is awesome, but I just can't justify thinking he's going to put up 2,000 yds this year, though his td numbers should go up to compensate for any potential loss of yardage...

Real tough decision.

 
Here is the 8-10 draft slots of a .5 ppr redraft I'm currently in the middle of. I really like Team C's team in slot 10. I think a great start would be 1. Lynch 2. Graham

Team A -8 spot - Trent Richardson (1.08) Jimmy Graham (2.05) DeMarco Murray (3.08) Dwayne Bowe (4.05) Cam Newton (5.08) Rashard Mendenhall (6.05) Mike Williams TBB (7.08) Mark Ingram (8.05) Justin Blackmon (9.08)

Team B 9 spot - Calvin Johnson (1.09) Steven Jackson (2.04) Andre Johnson (3.09) Lamar Miller (4.04) Steve Smith CAR (5.10)* Tom Brady (6.03)* *Danario Alexander (7.09) T.Y. Hilton (8.04) Lance Moore (9.09) Johnathan Franklin (10.04)

Team C 10 spot -Marshawn Lynch (1.10) Dez Bryant (2.03) David Wilson (3.10) Vincent Jackson (4.03) Hakeem Nicks (5.09)* Shane Vereen (6.04)* Robert Griffin III (7.10) Anquan Boldin (8.03) Benjarvus Green-Ellis (9.10) Kyle Rudolph (10.03)

 
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I'm an RB guy, and would have to go RB at the 9 slot, but would then probably follow up with Julio in RD2 if he is there.

Megatron is awesome, but I just can't justify thinking he's going to put up 2,000 yds this year, though his td numbers should go up to compensate for any potential loss of yardage...

Real tough decision.
Interesting. I had been thinking I would definitely go RB/RB, but one thing I've noticed in mocks is that when I have a late-round pick, I find I like the RB2 options available in Rd 3 better than the WR1s. Just going off Yahoo's ADP, late round-3 RBs include Ridley, CJ2K and Gore. I'd be OK with any of them. (Hell, I might even be OK with Bush as my RB2, and he's going much later).

On the other hand, if I go RB/RB, the WR options in Rd. 3 are, according to Yahoo, Cobb, AJohnson, VJax and Colston. Other than maybe Cobb, I'm not crazy about any of those guys as my WR1.

So I'm thinking if my 2/3 options are DThomas/Ridley (or, say, White/Gore), I'd much rather have that than SJax/VJax or MJD/Colston. At least, that's where I am right now. I'm open to changing my mind again.

 
Here is the 8-10 draft slots of a .5 ppr redraft I'm currently in the middle of. I really like Team C's team in slot 10. I think a great start would be 1. Lynch 2. Graham

Team A -8 spot - Trent Richardson (1.08) Jimmy Graham (2.05) DeMarco Murray (3.08) Dwayne Bowe (4.05) Cam Newton (5.08) Rashard Mendenhall (6.05) Mike Williams TBB (7.08) Mark Ingram (8.05) Justin Blackmon (9.08)

Team B 9 spot - Calvin Johnson (1.09) Steven Jackson (2.04) Andre Johnson (3.09) Lamar Miller (4.04) Steve Smith CAR (5.10)* Tom Brady (6.03)* *Danario Alexander (7.09) T.Y. Hilton (8.04) Lance Moore (9.09) Johnathan Franklin (10.04)

Team C 10 spot -Marshawn Lynch (1.10) Dez Bryant (2.03) David Wilson (3.10) Vincent Jackson (4.03) Hakeem Nicks (5.09)* Shane Vereen (6.04)* Robert Griffin III (7.10) Anquan Boldin (8.03) Benjarvus Green-Ellis (9.10) Kyle Rudolph (10.03)
Personally, I like the way team B looks...if you swap out DX for Lacy/Mendenhall-type (who may be available there), I like the way that team looks. Obviously a pick has not been used on TE yet (as opposed to the others), but it seems to have the best starters to me.

 
Its critical to know your league tendencies. Who is the last ranked RB you would be OK with a your RB2 and what is his ranking? To me, the last RB2 I'd be ok with is my RB23 (DMC). I looked back at my last three drafts and on average, 19 RB's go off the board by pick 3.09. Knowing my league tendencies, i know that i will get a good Rb2 in round 3 which opens up 2.04 for me to go elite WR or Graham if he's there.

 
I'm an RB guy, and would have to go RB at the 9 slot, but would then probably follow up with Julio in RD2 if he is there.

Megatron is awesome, but I just can't justify thinking he's going to put up 2,000 yds this year, though his td numbers should go up to compensate for any potential loss of yardage...

Real tough decision.
Interesting. I had been thinking I would definitely go RB/RB, but one thing I've noticed in mocks is that when I have a late-round pick, I find I like the RB2 options available in Rd 3 better than the WR1s. Just going off Yahoo's ADP, late round-3 RBs include Ridley, CJ2K and Gore. I'd be OK with any of them. (Hell, I might even be OK with Bush as my RB2, and he's going much later).

On the other hand, if I go RB/RB, the WR options in Rd. 3 are, according to Yahoo, Cobb, AJohnson, VJax and Colston. Other than maybe Cobb, I'm not crazy about any of those guys as my WR1.

So I'm thinking if my 2/3 options are DThomas/Ridley (or, say, White/Gore), I'd much rather have that than SJax/VJax or MJD/Colston. At least, that's where I am right now. I'm open to changing my mind again.
In what league is Ridley & CJ2K lasting into the late 3rd? Even Gore is doubtful there

 
I'm an RB guy, and would have to go RB at the 9 slot, but would then probably follow up with Julio in RD2 if he is there.

Megatron is awesome, but I just can't justify thinking he's going to put up 2,000 yds this year, though his td numbers should go up to compensate for any potential loss of yardage...

Real tough decision.
Interesting. I had been thinking I would definitely go RB/RB, but one thing I've noticed in mocks is that when I have a late-round pick, I find I like the RB2 options available in Rd 3 better than the WR1s. Just going off Yahoo's ADP, late round-3 RBs include Ridley, CJ2K and Gore. I'd be OK with any of them. (Hell, I might even be OK with Bush as my RB2, and he's going much later).

On the other hand, if I go RB/RB, the WR options in Rd. 3 are, according to Yahoo, Cobb, AJohnson, VJax and Colston. Other than maybe Cobb, I'm not crazy about any of those guys as my WR1.

So I'm thinking if my 2/3 options are DThomas/Ridley (or, say, White/Gore), I'd much rather have that than SJax/VJax or MJD/Colston. At least, that's where I am right now. I'm open to changing my mind again.
My logic exactly. RB2 options are all over the place this year... WR1 has big separation in tiers...
 
I'm an RB guy, and would have to go RB at the 9 slot, but would then probably follow up with Julio in RD2 if he is there.

Megatron is awesome, but I just can't justify thinking he's going to put up 2,000 yds this year, though his td numbers should go up to compensate for any potential loss of yardage...

Real tough decision.
Interesting. I had been thinking I would definitely go RB/RB, but one thing I've noticed in mocks is that when I have a late-round pick, I find I like the RB2 options available in Rd 3 better than the WR1s. Just going off Yahoo's ADP, late round-3 RBs include Ridley, CJ2K and Gore. I'd be OK with any of them. (Hell, I might even be OK with Bush as my RB2, and he's going much later).

On the other hand, if I go RB/RB, the WR options in Rd. 3 are, according to Yahoo, Cobb, AJohnson, VJax and Colston. Other than maybe Cobb, I'm not crazy about any of those guys as my WR1.

So I'm thinking if my 2/3 options are DThomas/Ridley (or, say, White/Gore), I'd much rather have that than SJax/VJax or MJD/Colston. At least, that's where I am right now. I'm open to changing my mind again.
In what league is Ridley & CJ2K lasting into the late 3rd? Even Gore is doubtful there
Um, I said according to Yahoo ADP. Ridley is 29.4, CJ is 29.6 and Gore is 37.7. I guess technically that means the first two would go 5th or 6th in the 3rd round of a 12-team draft, but I was estimating (there are actually no RBs listed with ADPs in the low 30s).

Anecdotally, I've noticed in mock drafts that I'm generally much happier with the RBs available in Round 3 than the WRs.

[...]

OK, this is interesting: I just ran a quick mock on Fantasy Pros (12-team PPR). If I went WR in Rd 2, I could get JJones and CJ/Ridley/MJD in Rd 3. If I went RB first, I could get Lynch (seems unlikely; let's say Forte or SJax) and VJax/Bowe/Colston. Clear advantage to picking a WR.

However, if I run the same scenario in standard, there was much more of a run on RBs. Suddenly, my choices are SJax/White vs Marshall/Murray. So in that scenario, it would definitely make more sense to go RB/RB/WR (though it's close, because if White goes a little earlier I'm back in the same VJax/Bowe/Colston tier).

Of course, my league is 0.5 PPR, so not sure where that leaves me (we also don't find out our draft slot until 30 minutes before the draft, so you can only game out so much).

 
Gore - 41, 39, 59, 27

Ridley - 33, 27, 30. 47

I looked at 4 real drafts that happened in the last week with .5 ppr for and 1 ppr for wr's. This is where Gore and Ridley went.

These 4 leagues were multi flex though if you have to start 2 rb probably doesn't appay as much.

 
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Gore - 41, 39, 59, 27

Ridley - 33, 27, 30. 47

I looked at 4 real drafts that happened in the last week with .5 ppr for and 1 ppr for wr's. This is where Gore and Ridley went.

These 4 leagues were multi flex though if you have to start 2 rb probably doesn't appay as much.
OK, so that's an average of late 3rd for Ridley (34.25) and mid 4th for Gore (41.5). Sounds reasonable, though I think Ridley is way undervalued there. IMO, people overreact in PPR leagues to RBs who don't catch the ball. I would have no problem ending up with Lynch/Morris/Ridley as my RBs.

 
You guys are right regarding Ridley & Gore. I wouldnt get caught up in those ADPs though as I assume Ridley will be going in the 2nd round in most drafts soon enough.

 
I draft tonight and wanted to bump this up for thoughts/updates on recommendations :

In one of my leagues (draft is tonight, it's a 12 team PPR, re-draft, 1QB/1RB/2WR/2Flex/1TE/1K/1D) we have two 12 team leagues. Winner of each 12 team league (after playoffs) face off in the super bowl.

Here's how teams A, B & C drafted 8, 9, 10 last week in our other league :

Team A -8 spot - Doug Martin (1.08) Dez Bryant (2.05) Maurice Jones-Drew (3.08) Victor Cruz (4.05) Dwayne Bowe (5.08) Jason Witten (6.05) Andrew Luck (7.08) Mike Williams TB WR (8.05) Tony Romo (9.08)

Team B 9 spot - Jamaal Charles (1.09) Aaron Rogers (2.04) Roddy White (3.09) Montee Ball (4.04) Rob Gronkowski (5.10) Steve Smith (6.03) Chris Ivory (7.09) Tavon Austin (8.04) Vick Ballard (9.09) Big Ben (10.04)

Team C 10 spot -Trent Richardson (1.10) AJ Green (2.03) Darren Sproles (3.10) Danny Amendola (4.03) Daryl Richardson (5.09) Matt Stafford (6.04) Cecil Shorts (7.10) Greg Olsen (8.03) Bengals (9.10) Andre Roberts (10.03)

I can tell you, for me, I'm not interested in a discount double check in the 2nd round there (nothing wrong Mr. Rogers, it's just that I'm thinking 2nd RB there or top WR or even elite TE.) I'm thinking in our league RB's are ALWAYS a premium and I'm pretty sure Charles and Richardson will be gone by the time my pick comes up so I was leaning towards McCoy or Morris first pick and Calvin Johnson/AJ Green/Dez Bryant 2nd pick - thoughts?

 
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