I'm struggling with a few of the rookie WRs who are being given 1st round rookie dynasty ratings. My concern is primarily college production. Seems like each year there are mildly production WRs who get rookie draft hype based on a single good college season, or combine/workout performance. Don't get me wrong, I realize there have been plenty of uber-productive collegeans who flopped int he NFL (Mike Williams, Reggie Williams, Dwayne Jarrett) but to me those guys are more difficult to spot and FFers are to a greater extent excused for wasting a pick on them, compared to the WRs who truly never put up landmark college stats:
Demaryius Thomas [120, 2329 (19.5), 15]
Arreliuos Benn [159, 2221 (14.0), 7]
Damien Williams [147, 2114 (14.4), 17]
Guys who should have been ignored in prior drafts(?):
Devin Thomas (2008) [85, 1350 (15.9), 9]
Robert Meacham (2007) [125, 2140 (17.1), 17]
Chad Jackson (2006) [120, 1586 (13.2), 16]
Troy Williamson (2005) [91, 1754 (19.3), 13]
List of F&L top 10 along with college statistics:
1. Larry Fitzgerald [161, 2677 (16.6), 34]
2. Andre Johnson [92, 1831 (19.9), 20]
3. Calvin Johnson [178, 2927 (16.4), 28]
4. Vincent Jackson [171, 3467 (21.2), 36]
5. Reggie Wayne [175, 2510 (14.3), 20]
6. Desean Jackson [162, 2423 (14.9), 22]
7. Roddy White [163, 3112 (19.1), 26]
8. Randy Moss [174, 3529 (20.3), 54]
9. Miles Austin [150, 2867 (19.1), 33]
10. Marques Colston [182, 2834 (15.6), 18]
Seems to me that Andre Johnson is the one gem who bucked the norm by not putting up monster stats in college while going on to dynasty gold. So I guess this is a long-winded way of asking why should I care to take a chance on Demaryius Thomas, A.Benn or D.Williams? Secondarily, I'm curious if anytone has an example of a under-performing collegean (other than QB converts like Hines Ward) who became truly elite FF WRs?