Aggressive trading up or trading after picks? (1 Viewer)

[starks]

I was wondering how people approach their dyno drafts. Are you aggressive in trading up in first rounds before draft has started or prefer to wait to see how first several pics turn out then go after your guy? On one hand you can see if players fall but if you are locked in on a guy and he gets drafted do you wait until you are on the clock and try to make a deal? I feel like the psychology of getting "your guy" and standing outweighs trading down a few spots and picking up say a second. Thoughts?

 

[eighsse2]

I was wondering how people approach their dyno drafts. Are you aggressive in trading up in first rounds before draft has started or prefer to wait to see how first several pics turn out then go after your guy? On one hand you can see if players fall but if you are locked in on a guy and he gets drafted do you wait until you are on the clock and try to make a deal? I feel like the psychology of getting "your guy" and standing outweighs trading down a few spots and picking up say a second. Thoughts?

I don't think we've ever had a mid-draft trade in 15+ years that I've been in the league. It's a live draft, so negotiating might take a while for people who want to go home at some point. But I did try unsuccessfully to trade up for 1.02 (Gibbs) a couple years ago.

But as far offseason pick trades, I'm usually trying to trade up just because I always have an overloaded roster and know I'm going to have to cut like eight guys.

 

[starks]

I guess I should have included context we have a slow draft and trading is frequent with 10 hours per pick in first/second rounds.

 

[greenmountaingoat]

I heard a few years ago "never trade up for a WR" and have found that adage to be true.

My most successful draft day trade was moving down one spot OTC. I wanted Flowers who fell to me. The guy that swung the deal was hot for QJ.

 

[pinkstapler]

I was wondering how people approach their dyno drafts. Are you aggressive in trading up in first rounds before draft has started or prefer to wait to see how first several pics turn out then go after your guy? On one hand you can see if players fall but if you are locked in on a guy and he gets drafted do you wait until you are on the clock and try to make a deal? I feel like the psychology of getting "your guy" and standing outweighs trading down a few spots and picking up say a second. Thoughts?

Really comes down to where I'm at in the draft, and what my tiers are. For the most part, I have pockets of the draft I like to put myself in that coincide with the end of my tiers of players. That way, I pay less to get the leftovers of a group of players I have ranked relatively the same. This also helps the paralysis analysis and later MMQB type draft regrets (this doesn't really matter much for fantasy success, but does make it easier to live with your hits and misses haha). So most of those trades I try to get done before the fantasy draft.

OTC trades are normally when I'm targeting a very specific player, and normally it's someone I value more than consensus. So I know what I would pay, and what their ADP is, and typically when they fall to somewhere in the middle of those two, I'll start putting out offers to move up. However, in my experience, this can still be hard to pull off. So sometimes I'll just trade for the draft spot I'm comfortable taking him beforehand. I lose some value this way, but at least I get my guy. I'm legit in the process of doing this for Skattebo right now. I was planning on trying to trade up OTC and max my value, but seeing how high he's been going in the "Post your Rookie Drafts" thread, I said F-it, I don't want to miss out and am trying to get somewhere in the 11-13 range where I know I'm 99% guaranteed to get him.

 

[tjford]

If I have a target, I will spend time trying to figure out what tier that player ends up in usually and then work to trade into that tier before the draft. Reason being is that I find trading up in the heat of the moment requires more of an overpay than I want to pay more often than not.

 

[kutta]

I find that it’s really hard to trade for your guy after someone else has already taken him. People tend to over value what they have, and after they draft someone they convince themselves he’s worth more than he really is.
If I want someone I’ll try to move to get him before someone else does.

 

[Max Power]

I've way overpaid for players (mostly RBs) before and think it's a viable strategy assuming you have enough mid-level ammo to get there. Always depends on where your team is in the Championship picture and shouldn't be done yearly. Every 3-5 years I'll take a swing for the fences. Trade a couple picks and mid-level starters for a top rookie. Clears out some room at the end of the bench for lottery tickets. If some of the lottery tickets pan out, I can afford to repeat the process.

 

[Gatorade]

I always try to gain extra low round picks for next year. Then I can trade up. Two 5ths for a 4th. Then two 4ths for a 3rd. Then two 3rds for a 2nd.

 

[Jppaul]

I devalue RBs in dynasty and focus heavily on WRs (since we can start up to four).

I feel like more dart throws at the end of the 1st and beginning of the 2nd leads to more success. I'd rather have the 13-14 picks than the 4th pick and select two WRs. (yes, I just traded 1.04 for picks 11 and 16... I think there will be two very good WR prospects there).