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Alternate Perfect Draft (1 Viewer)

podunker

Footballguy
Ok, I will give my alternate perfect draft and see how close it comes to what the experts say is the real perfect draft. Drafts are going on right now, so maybe this can help someone or not!

A few general thoughts on this years draft. There are several undervalued players that can be had in the later rounds at the TE and QB position, way more than usual. For that reason, don’t jump too quick on those positions. I wouldn’t have said that the past few years. Stock up on RB’s and WR’s in the early rounds while your teammates take the Rodgers and Gates.

Ok here we go. This is a 12 team ppr league with 18 roster spots and a flex position and 10 starters. Seems like lots of leagues have went this route.

Round 1-2-3

Your goal in the first three rounds are to get a RB1, WR1, WR2. If you draft in the top 10 picks go RB (take your pick of the top 10) then WR, WR the next two rounds. You could end up with a Jennings/Welker or Wayne/Marshall combo. If you draft in the last two or three spots you can take a WR like AJ, Fitz, White, or Calvin and still get Mendy, MJD, SJax, Turner, or even Forte in round 2. Then pick WR in round three. (DeSean, Bowe, and Mike Williams should still be there.) Probably 4 QB’s will have been taken by now and possibly Gates. Those owners will be struggling to find a decent WR2. But you will still be able to grab a QB1 and TE1.

Round 4-5-6

These rounds are when the remaining top 4 QB’s and elite TE’s will fly off the board. Owners will be drafting Peyton, Rivers, Romo, and even Ben will be drafted. Four or five TE’s will also be drafted in these rounds. Don’t buy into the hype. Continue to take quality RB2’s and a WR3. My goal in is to get two of these RB’s in these three rounds. (Best, Blount, DWill, Greene, Moreno, Ingram, Felix, Grant, Lynch, and Addai) They will serve as your RB2 and RB3. A few of these guys are way undervalued in my book. (DWill, Ingram, Lynch, Addai) and one I am not sold on just yet. Felix Jones had his chance the last two years and did nothing with them, what has changed except that Barber is gone, and he has younger guys nipping at his heels. You also need to pick up your WR3 in the 6th at the latest. Guys like Collie, Garcon, Carolina S. Smith, AJ Green, S. Moss, Ocho would be great picks. All of these guys have the potential to put WR2 numbers.

So in conclusion you should have three RB’s and three WR’s after six rounds.

Now remember you don’t want to start reaching for QB and TE just because everyone else in your league may already have one. That is what they are counting on you doing. There are some exceptions, but continue to take value.

Round 7

Ben will not be there, but if he is, take him. Otherwise grab another WR from you list above. ( Garcon, Carolina S. Smith, AJ Green, S. Moss, Ocho). Notice I didn’t say anything about TE.

Round 8

Take Stafford if he is there. He is a potential top 10 guy if he stays healthy. Eli, Flacco, and Bradford are also options. If Stafford is not there I love Reggie Bush in this round. People have went from one extreme to the other with this guy. He was brought to Miami to be the main guy, who knows if he can do it or not. He could end up being a poor man’s Marshall Faulk and in the 8th round that is a steal. He might even be available in the ninth. Look for him if you take a QB in round 8.

Round 9

If you have not taken a QB you need to jump early on the last potential top ten guy in my opinion. This guy is so undervalued it’s not even funny. Jump on Kevin Kolb here if you took Bush in the last round. He might be available in the next round, but you can’t take a chance on it. Even if you took Stafford, I like taking Kolb in a two QB combo with him.

Round 10

Take Kevin Kolb as your backup if available. If you have our QB’s, take TE Winslow if he is here. Gronkowski and Pettigrew are also options, but I will probably wait if Winslow is not there. Danny Amendola and Braylon Edwards are two guys I like in this round also.

Round 11-12

Continue to look for value at WR and RB. LT and Hightower are two guys I like.

Round 13 – 14

Take two TE’s if you have not taken one already. Hernandez and Gresham might be available. The two most undervalued guys will still be there also. Greg Olsen and Heath Miller are steals this late in the draft. Both have potential to be top 12 guys, especially Miller.

Round 15 thru 18

Take your sleepers and backup RB’s to protect yourself. Always take a kicker in the last round. I would probably take my defense in 16th or 17th round.

Once again, Kolb, Reggie, Amendola, and Heath Miller are steals this year. Good luck!

 
I think it's a mistake to wait on a QB this year. You gotta at least get Ben. It seems more important this year than hogging RBs and WRs in the first 6 rounds.

 
I think this might the year to grab a top QB early. Seems to be a lot deep value at the WR and RB position.

 
Great post considering the actual articles generally come out AFTER most of us have drafted. Sadly, publishing paid content is below participating in FFA political discussions (ie Obama worship) for several staffers.

 
I agree wholeheartedly that RBs should be stashed early and in abundance (due to the talent pool being rather top-heavy) but not so much with WRs. Granted, you want at least one reliable top-tier talent but there are plenty of sleepers to be had in the later rounds. I'd jump earlier on a QB in a league where only two WRs start with a flex or a deeper league with 14 teams or more.

 
I think this might the year to grab a top QB early. Seems to be a lot deep value at the WR and RB position.
Depends how you define "early." The typical Perfect Draft columns have a QB1 drafted in round 7 or 8 IIRC. The sweet spot for QBs this year in my opinion is at the end of the top 7 guys, wherever that falls in your draft. In my main league, that'll mean I need to grab Rivers or Romo in the early 4th. I don't think you get that much more production by jumping on Vick or Rodgers in Rounds 1 or 2, or even by grabbing Manning/Brady/Brees in late Round 2 or Round 3. But if you don't get one of these top 7, you'll be playing catchup to every team that has one of them in each matchup this season.
 
Fitzpatrick is going in about the 12th round in a 12 team league- crazy good value for a guy who had the 10th highest average ppg last year.

 
You wait on QB that long and you will have to trade off all of that "value depth" by week four anyway. :shrug:

This isn't the year to wait on QB imo.

 
You wait on QB that long and you will have to trade off all of that "value depth" by week four anyway. :shrug: This isn't the year to wait on QB imo.
I am in the middle of a slow draft as we speak. Will take a week to finish. I am working this process as we speak and am one of three who do not have a QB. Round 5 is about to finish up. I can still get Big Ben, Stafford, Cutler, Eli, and some others...I'm OK with that.
 
You wait on QB that long and you will have to trade off all of that "value depth" by week four anyway. :shrug: This isn't the year to wait on QB imo.
I am in the middle of a slow draft as we speak. Will take a week to finish. I am working this process as we speak and am one of three who do not have a QB. Round 5 is about to finish up. I can still get Big Ben, Stafford, Cutler, Eli, and some others...I'm OK with that.
I've never heard of doing a draft over a weeks time. Doesn't that give people an unfair advantage? Basically someone could have watched a preseason game last night and decided between Ray Rice or <insert name here> depending on how they looked or god forbid Rice got hurt.Doesn't make much sense to my head brain not to knock out a draft in one fell swoop with people on the clock.
 
Last year I did this and landed Matt Ryan as my QB which I was pretty happy about.

This year however I think I am going to make sure I have one of the top 7. I just do not feel comfortable with the Stafford's of the world as my starter.

 
You wait on QB that long and you will have to trade off all of that "value depth" by week four anyway. :shrug: This isn't the year to wait on QB imo.
I am in the middle of a slow draft as we speak. Will take a week to finish. I am working this process as we speak and am one of three who do not have a QB. Round 5 is about to finish up. I can still get Big Ben, Stafford, Cutler, Eli, and some others...I'm OK with that.
I've never heard of doing a draft over a weeks time. Doesn't that give people an unfair advantage? Basically someone could have watched a preseason game last night and decided between Ray Rice or <insert name here> depending on how they looked or god forbid Rice got hurt.Doesn't make much sense to my head brain not to knock out a draft in one fell swoop with people on the clock.
Agreed, but the site that hosts my league also host some 30-50 other leagues like myself. So, each commish is invited to have a team in a league full of commises. The thought is to get more commishes involved, do a slow draft which gives each owner a four hour window to make a selection and the clock stops at 10 at night and starts back up the next morning around 8. Low entry fee, high reward. Really just fun to see how you measure up to the other commishes around the US. Not that a commish knows anything more than anyone else though.It is moving pretty quick, probably be done by tomorrow actually...about three days which is quicker than last year.
 
Just bumping this as it's been a few weeks. Funny how close it is to the real "Perfect Draft".

Still liking Reggie, but now you will have to jump sooner to get him.

I have changed my mind on Felix. He looks like a different player to me than in the past. He knows he is the bell cow, and has taken that job serious.

 
Last year in my 14 team league I waited too long (last pick in the 7th round) to take a QB and ended up with Kevin Kolb as my starter. I focus on grabbing value but ended up sweating out the end of the draft because of my QB situation. I'm not making that mistake this year as it pretty much killed my playoff chances the first month with the Kolb disaster.

 
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You wait on QB that long and you will have to trade off all of that "value depth" by week four anyway. :shrug: This isn't the year to wait on QB imo.
I am in the middle of a slow draft as we speak. Will take a week to finish. I am working this process as we speak and am one of three who do not have a QB. Round 5 is about to finish up. I can still get Big Ben, Stafford, Cutler, Eli, and some others...I'm OK with that.
I've never heard of doing a draft over a weeks time. Doesn't that give people an unfair advantage? Basically someone could have watched a preseason game last night and decided between Ray Rice or <insert name here> depending on how they looked or god forbid Rice got hurt.Doesn't make much sense to my head brain not to knock out a draft in one fell swoop with people on the clock.
Not, it doesn't give an unfair advantage. Everyone is in the same boat of having new info come in during the draft. You have the same odds that news comes in during your pick as anyone else does. It isn't like you have an unlimited amount of time to sit and wait for news to come in. There's a timer on your pick just like in a live draft.As for the why... some leagues find it easier to do this than to get 12 people to coordinate their schedules for a draft. I've found this is the case more and more as our owners get older, get married, have kids, etc. You can't just choose a day and everyone clears their schedule to make it. Their other obligations, like family and work, come first.My preference is still a live draft, but I've had two leagues doing slow online drafts for years, because that's what a majority of the league prefers.
 
Just bumping this as it's been a few weeks. Funny how close it is to the real "Perfect Draft". Still liking Reggie, but now you will have to jump sooner to get him.I have changed my mind on Felix. He looks like a different player to me than in the past. He knows he is the bell cow, and has taken that job serious.
Well done. Dodds should have just paid you $25 to write the article and just spent his time drinking and chasing skirts.
 

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